Ekin Decena

P DSL Rojos

Age 20 LHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	ROKDSL Rojos	12	10	12.19	6.49	25.4%	22.0%	—	K 17.3% · BB 27.5% · FIP 7.73
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	6	6	5.72	5.72	22.2%	19.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	10	10	5.39	5.26	22.8%	16.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCD Pelham (age 20) · Nicolo Pinazzi (age 21) · Peter Bonilla (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126134vR 142

ERA5.72

FIP5.72

K%22.2%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%2.9%

Proj IP6

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	12	0	10	59	15	13	2	0%	0.9	17.3%	27.5%	-10.3%	4.7%	12.19	7.73	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	12	0	10	59	15	13	2	0%	0.9	17.3%	27.5%	-10.3%	4.7%	12.19	7.73	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	12	0	10	59	15	13	2	0%	0.9	25.4%	22.0%	3.4%	3.4%	12.19	6.49	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	6	0	6	25	6	5	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	19.4%	2.9%	3.0%	5.72	5.72	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	19	0	20	84	19	14	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	16.4%	6.4%	3.0%	5.39	5.26	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	10	0	10	42	10	7	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	16.4%	6.4%	3.0%	5.39	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	7	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.4%	6.4%	3.0%	5.39	4.88	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	142	20	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.4%	6.4%	3.0%	5.39	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		12	0	10	59	10	16	3	0%	0.9	17.3%	27.5%	-10.3%	4.7%	12.19	7.73	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		232	0	200	1142	197	315	54	0%	0.9	17.3%	27.5%	-10.3%	4.7%	12.19	7.73	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ekin Decena (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.72	22.2%	19.4%	3.0%	—	5.26	22.7%	6.4%	20	-0.46	—	—	—
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	85
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	80
Peter Bonilla L 2024 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	20.9%	18.3%	1.8%	.250	6.24	19.5%	-5.4%	51	+1.61	4.27	134	80
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	79
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	79
Jayvien Sandridge L 2019 · 6.78 FIP	20	SU	6.78	19.0%	23.9%	4.1%	.324	3.61	27.9%	5.2%	41	-3.17	3.25	223	78
Luis Flores L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	20	SU	6.27	26.2%	26.3%	3.7%	.395	5.39	20.7%	-3.6%	82	-0.88	4.25	130	78
Boone Logan L 2006 · 4.69 FIP	21	SU	4.69	16.1%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	4.14	17.2%	10.5%	110	-0.55	2.58	442	78
Jonas Uzcategui L 2024 · 4.53 FIP	19	SU	4.53	23.7%	23.3%	0.9%	.231	4.54	22.5%	4.8%	59	+0.01	4.53	104	78
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	77
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	76
Enrique Perez L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SU	4.81	16.2%	14.3%	2.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	133	76
Daniel Juarez L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	20	SU	4.75	25.6%	19.2%	2.5%	.170	4.09	21.8%	9.3%	131	-0.66	3.68	221	76
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	75
Brendan Cellucci L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	26.3%	18.6%	2.4%	.398	4.63	23.4%	6.9%	172	+0.06	3.98	288	74
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	74
Jordan Norberto L 2010 · 6.32 FIP	23	SU	6.32	16.0%	22.3%	3.2%	.236	3.89	21.7%	12.3%	52	-2.43	3.89	117	74
Luis Viloria L 2024 · 4.83 FIP	20	SU	4.83	22.6%	18.3%	2.4%	.414	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	101	74
Yenfri Sosa L 2024 · 6.08 FIP	20	SU	6.08	19.0%	21.3%	3.4%	.309	4.41	21.7%	7.4%	38	-1.67	2.49	128	73
Anfernny Reyes L 2024 · 4.56 FIP	20	SU	4.56	20.2%	21.4%	0.8%	.195	4.24	21.4%	3.3%	67	-0.32	2.89	175	73