Luis Viloria — OGILVIE

Luis Viloria P ACL Angels

Age 22 LHP 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.06

FIP5.06

K%22.8%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	15	0	30	127	41	10	1	0%	2.0	22.0%	9.8%	12.1%	1.2%	2.97	3.16	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	15	0	30	127	41	10	1	0%	2.0	32.3%	7.9%	24.4%	0.8%	2.97	1.81	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	10	0	14	58	17	3	1	0%	1.4	19.9%	6.5%	13.5%	2.6%	3.14	3.64	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	10	0	14	58	17	3	1	0%	1.4	29.3%	5.2%	24.1%	1.7%	3.14	2.26	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	5	2	18	72	15	5	1	40%	3.5	14.2%	8.7%	5.5%	2.1%	3.06	4.18	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	5	2	18	72	15	5	1	40%	3.5	14.2%	8.7%	5.5%	2.1%	3.06	4.18	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	5	2	18	72	15	5	1	40%	3.5	20.8%	6.9%	13.9%	1.4%	3.06	2.99	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	39	193	62	29	3	0%	1.3	22.6%	18.3%	4.2%	2.4%	6.46	4.83	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	39	193	62	29	3	0%	1.3	22.6%	18.3%	4.2%	2.4%	6.46	4.83	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	39	193	62	29	3	0%	1.3	32.1%	15.0%	17.1%	1.6%	6.46	3.15	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	SEA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.8%	14.8%	7.9%	3.0%	5.06	5.06	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	35	0	36	154	36	20	4	0%	1.0	23.5%	12.9%	10.6%	2.9%	4.84	4.73	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	17	0	18	76	18	10	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	12.9%	10.6%	2.9%	4.84	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	76	18	10	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	12.9%	10.6%	2.9%	4.84	4.35	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	112	22	0%	1.1	23.5%	12.9%	10.6%	2.9%	4.84	4.35	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		60	2	101	450	93	58	9	3%	1.7	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	2.0%	4.35	4.10	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		118	4	200	888	184	114	18	3%	1.7	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	2.0%	4.35	4.10	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Viloria (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	22.8%	14.8%	3.0%	—	4.73	23.5%	10.6%	36	-0.33	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	92
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	88
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	86
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	85
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	85
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	83
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.01	223	83
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	81
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	81
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	81
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	81
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	81
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	80
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	80
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	80
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	80
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	80
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	80
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	23.3%	13.6%	1.14	4.92
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64