Jesus Teran

C DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	94	.183/.370/.239	1	8	25	—	.132/.283/.184
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBHOU	204	.217/.301/.288	2	4	71	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBHOU	60	.224/.308/.304	1	1	75	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBHOU	154	.227/.312/.314	2	3	79	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%95

Z-Con%92

BB%69

K%67

Chase%64

wOBA24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTyler Rodriguez (age 18) · Eddys Leonard (age 18) · Jonathan Galvez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .299 / .285

PA83

HR1

K%25

BB%9

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	94	71	13	1	0	1	17	17	4	8	3	183	370	239	609	56	218	18	18	299	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	94	76	10	1	0	1	12	21	4	8	3	132	283	184	467	53	139	22	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	94	76	10	1	0	1	12	21	4	8	3	132	283	184	467	53	161	22	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	94	71	13	1	0	1	17	17	4	8	3	183	370	239	609	56	218	18	18	299	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	94	78	10	1	0	1	12	21	4	8	3	128	283	179	462	51	139	22	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	94	78	10	1	0	1	12	21	4	8	3	128	283	179	462	51	139	22	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	204	181	39	5	1	2	18	50	3	4	1	217	301	288	589	70	288	25	9	273	71	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	175	154	35	5	1	2	16	42	3	3	1	221	306	300	606	79	290	24	9	280	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	318	280	63	9	2	4	29	76	6	5	1	225	310	311	621	86	292	24	9	285	79	-8	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	427	377	86	12	3	6	39	102	8	7	2	227	313	321	634	93	293	24	9	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	505	444	103	15	3	8	46	120	10	8	2	230	315	329	644	100	294	24	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	520	458	107	16	3	9	47	122	10	8	2	232	316	337	653	105	295	23	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	520	458	107	16	3	9	47	122	10	8	2	233	317	340	657	107	295	23	9	299	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	520	458	107	16	3	9	47	122	10	8	2	234	318	342	659	108	295	23	9	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	520	458	107	16	3	9	47	122	10	8	2	234	318	343	660	109	295	23	9	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	520	458	107	16	3	9	47	123	10	8	3	232	317	340	657	107	295	24	9	299	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	520	459	106	16	3	9	47	124	9	8	3	230	315	335	650	104	294	24	9	296	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	520	459	104	15	3	8	47	126	9	7	3	228	312	328	640	101	292	24	9	292	84	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	520	460	104	15	3	8	46	127	9	7	3	225	308	320	628	96	290	24	9	287	81	-12	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2040	31	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	504	445	98	14	2	7	45	125	9	6	5	220	303	310	613	90	287	25	9	281	77	-14	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2041	32	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	489	435	93	13	2	6	43	124	8	6	10	215	297	298	595	83	283	25	9	274	71	-17	-3	-4	+9	+11	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	60	54	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	224	308	304	612	80	294	25	8	282	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	154	136	31	5	1	2	14	37	3	3	1	227	312	314	627	87	296	24	9	288	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	232	204	46	7	1	3	21	55	5	4	1	230	315	324	639	94	297	24	9	293	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	286	253	59	9	2	4	26	68	5	5	1	232	317	333	650	100	298	24	9	296	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	299	264	63	10	2	5	27	70	6	5	1	234	318	340	659	106	298	23	9	300	88	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	296	261	62	10	2	5	27	70	6	5	1	236	320	343	663	107	299	24	9	301	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	295	261	62	10	2	5	27	69	5	5	1	236	320	345	665	109	299	23	9	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	294	260	62	10	2	5	27	69	5	5	1	236	320	346	666	110	299	23	9	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	289	256	60	9	2	5	26	68	5	4	1	235	319	343	662	108	298	24	9	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	286	253	59	9	2	5	26	68	5	4	1	233	317	338	655	105	297	24	9	298	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	278	246	57	9	2	4	25	67	5	4	2	230	314	331	645	101	296	24	9	294	84	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	274	243	54	8	1	4	24	67	5	4	2	227	310	323	633	96	294	24	9	290	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	263	234	52	8	1	4	23	65	4	3	3	223	305	313	618	91	291	25	9	283	77	-7	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	254	226	49	7	1	3	22	64	4	3	5	217	299	301	600	83	287	25	9	276	71	-9	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3560	3151	728	113	21	55	320	852	64	55	21	231	315	333	647	102	298	24	9	295	83	-68	+3	-6	+64	+77	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	133	21	4	10	58	156	12	10	4	231	314	334	648	103	299	24	9	295	83	-12	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6755	5954	1354	197	38	105	612	1618	126	107	44	227	313	326	639	99	293	24	9	291	83	-130	+3	-10	+119	+144	12.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	131	19	4	10	59	156	12	10	4	229	314	328	642	99	294	24	9	291	83	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.5	3,642	56	54	229	310	329	+65	+32	9.7	8.2
/162	664	10	10	+11.9	+5.8	1.8	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Teran (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	215/299/285	70	288	1	2	25%	9%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4

Jesus Teran

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps