Carlos Sandoval

OF DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Astros Or…	159	.252/.429/.420	3	6	61	—	.164/.314/.273
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	269	.224/.308/.321	3	6	81	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	76	.228/.313/.333	1	2	85	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	172	.231/.317/.344	2	5	89	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%93

K%88

Whiff%85

BB%77

wOBA73

ISO73

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Leody Taveras (age 18) · Angel Genao (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 132 proj PA

wRC+81

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .306 / .318

PA132

HR1

K%23

BB%9

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	159	119	30	9	1	3	31	21	6	6	1	252	429	420	850	168	276	13	19	383	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	159	128	21	6	1	2	22	26	6	6	1	164	314	273	588	109	172	16	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	159	128	21	6	1	2	22	26	6	6	1	164	314	273	588	109	184	16	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	159	119	30	9	1	3	31	21	6	6	1	252	429	420	850	168	276	13	19	383	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	159	130	21	6	1	2	22	26	6	6	1	162	314	269	583	108	172	16	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	159	130	21	6	1	2	22	26	6	6	1	162	314	269	583	108	172	16	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	269	238	54	11	2	3	25	61	4	6	2	224	308	321	629	97	287	23	9	287	81	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	220	194	45	9	2	3	20	49	4	6	2	228	313	333	646	105	289	22	9	294	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	354	312	73	15	3	5	33	79	6	10	3	231	317	344	661	112	291	22	9	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	454	401	93	19	3	7	42	101	8	13	4	234	320	353	673	119	292	22	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	525	462	109	22	4	9	49	116	9	15	5	236	321	361	683	125	293	22	9	308	95	-3	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	573	505	120	24	4	11	53	126	10	16	5	238	323	368	691	129	294	22	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	604	533	127	25	4	12	56	133	10	17	6	240	324	371	695	132	294	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	622	548	133	26	5	13	58	137	11	18	6	240	325	374	698	133	295	22	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	631	556	134	26	5	13	59	139	11	18	6	240	325	375	700	135	294	22	9	315	99	-1	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.1
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	632	557	134	26	5	13	59	140	11	18	6	239	324	372	696	133	294	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	627	554	131	26	4	12	58	140	10	17	6	237	322	367	689	130	293	22	9	311	96	-3	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	618	546	128	25	4	12	57	140	10	16	6	235	319	361	680	126	291	23	9	307	94	-5	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.5
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	607	536	124	24	4	11	56	139	10	16	7	231	315	353	668	121	289	23	9	302	91	-7	+0	-2	-4	+13	0.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	593	525	119	23	4	10	54	138	9	14	8	227	310	343	653	116	286	23	9	296	86	-10	-0	-3	-4	+13	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	76	68	16	3	1	1	7	17	1	2	1	228	313	333	646	105	289	22	9	294	85	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	172	151	34	7	1	2	16	38	3	5	2	231	317	344	661	112	291	22	9	300	89	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	246	217	51	10	2	4	23	54	4	7	2	234	320	353	673	119	292	22	9	305	92	-2	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	297	262	61	12	2	5	28	66	5	8	3	236	321	361	683	125	293	22	9	308	95	-2	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	330	290	69	14	2	6	31	73	6	9	3	238	323	368	691	129	294	22	9	311	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	344	303	73	14	3	7	32	76	6	10	3	240	324	371	695	132	294	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	353	311	75	15	3	7	33	77	6	10	3	240	325	374	698	133	295	22	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	357	315	76	15	3	7	33	78	6	10	3	240	325	375	700	135	294	22	9	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	351	309	75	15	3	7	33	78	6	10	3	239	324	372	696	133	294	22	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	344	303	72	14	2	7	32	77	6	9	3	237	322	367	689	130	293	22	9	311	96	-2	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	330	291	67	13	2	6	31	75	5	9	3	235	319	361	680	126	291	23	9	307	94	-2	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	320	283	66	13	2	6	29	73	5	8	4	231	315	353	668	121	289	23	9	302	91	-4	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	309	273	62	12	2	5	28	72	5	8	4	227	310	343	653	116	286	23	9	296	86	-5	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3829	3376	797	157	28	70	356	854	64	105	37	236	321	361	682	125	294	22	9	308	94	-24	+6	-4	-23	+83	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	136	27	5	12	60	145	11	18	6	237	321	365	686	127	295	22	9	308	94	-4	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7351	6474	1516	301	53	134	688	1633	127	203	72	234	320	359	679	125	291	22	9	306	94	-49	+11	-7	-43	+156	6.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	135	27	5	12	61	144	11	18	6	236	321	364	685	128	294	22	9	306	94	-4	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	3,961	73	108	237	317	363	-24	+0	6.6	5.9
/162	664	12	18	-4.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Sandoval (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	222/306/318	96	287	1	3	23%	9%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Leody Taveras 2017 · A	18	47→55	37→50	52→55	44	224/269/304	81	286	3	15	22%	6%	61	-1.5	223/267/303	80	289	5	13	23%	6%	61	-1.5	251/301/382	131	311	12	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
●Abraham Almonte 2008 · A	19	41→51	40→55	50→55	52	199/280/293	93	257	8	19	24%	10%	65	-1.2	218/268/315	97	291	6	19	26%	6%	64	-1.3	259/316/379	120	330	8	25	22%	7%	94	+0.8
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	45→55	37→40	53→55	62	208/315/286	78	255	3	15	18%	13%	77	-0.3	227/325/310	83	318	4	21	26%	12%	85	+0.2	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	41→51	36→40	51→65	48	192/286/264	72	258	2	16	24%	8%	61	-1.5	206/297/278	72	286	3	17	26%	10%	68	-1.0	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	41→51	42→50	51→45	46	199/266/307	109	243	8	10	22%	7%	63	-1.4	240/301/360	120	292	12	8	21%	5%	88	+0.4	266/321/397	132	318	13	6	20%	5%	101	+1.1
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	43→51	38→50	50	42	204/262/285	80	276	5	16	27%	6%	55	-1.9	230/286/334	104	297	8	16	24%	6%	76	-0.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Wenceel Pérez 2019 · A	19	50→49	37→55	51→55	48	233/282/307	74	273	4	12	16%	6%	67	-1.1	213/263/293	80	274	4	13	22%	6%	57	-1.8	237/301/388	150	285	13	19	21%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Henry Ramos 2011 · A	19	47→53	41→50	48→50	41	227/278/325	98	303	8	14	27%	6%	71	-0.8	220/262/322	102	301	8	11	28%	5%	63	-1.3	248/309/382	134	311	14	7	24%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Victor Robles 2015 · A	18	45→54	39→50	53→60	46	214/285/305	92	254	5	19	17%	6%	70	-0.9	242/313/356	114	299	7	22	21%	5%	92	+0.7	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2

Carlos Sandoval

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps