Player 839252 P DSL Orioles Orange
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP7
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: +0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+0CONTACTSTAM: +0.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.03 (16 IP)-0.0WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026ROKDSL Orioles Orange5410591412080%1.916.1%25.4%-9.3%0.0%12.104.96-0.0
ROSMLB11729731100%6.823.4%9.3%14.0%3.0%4.334.33+0.0
2026 TotalMLB16882115123.6%16.7%6.9%1.0%8.894.70-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLB3320842083100%6.723.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.284.25+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career5410591015080%1.916.1%25.4%-9.3%0.0%12.104.96-0.0
/ 200 IP103832001221207310080%1.916.1%25.4%-9.3%0.0%12.104.96+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 839252 (OGILVIE) 4.33 23.4%9.3%3.0%
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 79
Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 73
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 71
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 69
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 67
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 67
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 67
Sauryn Lao R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 25 SP- 3.48 21.7%7.3%2.4%.297 3.19 182 66
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 3.45 102 66
DJ Myers R 2025 · 4.12 FIP 24 SP- 4.12 22.9%12.4%2.5%.375 3.47 257 65
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 4.16 124 64
Spencer Howard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP 25 SP 3.82 24.5%11.3%2.5%.311 4.90 24.4%14.8%208 +1.08 2.29 484 64
Cody Morris R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SP- 3.74 31.3%11.6%3.3%.256 4.66 24.1%7.0%72 +0.92 2.26 256 64
Peter Van Loon R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 25 SP 3.14 25.5%11.9%1.2%.303 4.30 21.1%10.5%53 +1.16 2.47 256 64
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 64
Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SP 4.39 23.0%10.5%3.5%.335 4.65 21.4%11.7%382 +0.26 3.67 509 63
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 62
Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 24 SP- 4.34 23.8%8.3%4.0%.311 4.34 119 62
Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP 23 SP- 4.85 18.3%9.3%3.9%.317 3.73 126 62
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 25 SP- 5.50 21.0%12.2%4.8%.320 4.16 23.1%13.2%138 -1.34 3.45 292 61