Darling Montero

IF DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1101ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	161	.283/.462/.467	0	7	83	—	.192/.344/.308
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBTEX	271	.215/.304/.318	2	7	78	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTEX	47	.220/.309/.331	0	1	83	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBTEX	118	.224/.314/.344	1	4	88	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA89

wRC+85

Chase%84

ISO79

BB%79

Speed75

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Gilberto Celestino (age 18) · Derek Hill (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .302 / .315

PA83

HR0

K%25

BB%9

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	161	120	34	10	6	0	32	27	8	7	4	283	463	467	929	183	362	17	20	416	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	161	130	25	7	4	0	22	33	8	7	4	192	344	308	651	115	244	20	14	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	161	130	25	7	4	0	22	33	8	7	4	192	344	308	651	115	255	20	14	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	161	120	34	10	6	0	32	27	8	7	4	283	463	467	929	183	362	17	20	416	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	161	130	25	7	4	0	22	33	8	7	4	192	344	308	651	115	244	20	14	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	161	130	25	7	4	0	22	33	8	7	4	192	344	308	651	115	244	20	14	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	271	239	53	11	5	2	25	67	5	7	2	215	304	318	622	103	288	25	9	284	78	-7	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	138	121	26	5	2	1	13	34	3	4	1	220	310	331	641	111	290	25	9	292	83	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	243	213	49	10	4	3	23	58	5	8	2	224	314	343	656	119	292	24	9	298	88	-4	+1	+0	+0	+5	0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	365	320	73	14	6	5	34	87	8	12	4	227	317	353	669	126	293	24	9	303	91	-4	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	451	397	91	18	7	7	42	107	9	14	4	230	319	361	680	132	294	24	9	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	507	444	103	20	7	9	48	119	10	16	5	232	320	369	689	136	295	23	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+0	+11	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	546	479	113	22	8	10	51	128	11	17	5	234	322	373	694	139	296	23	9	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+0	+12	1.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	569	500	117	23	8	10	53	134	11	18	6	234	322	375	698	141	296	24	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+0	+12	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	585	513	120	23	8	11	55	137	12	18	6	234	322	377	700	143	296	23	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	+0	+13	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	587	515	120	23	8	11	55	139	12	18	6	233	321	375	696	141	295	24	9	313	98	-2	+1	+0	+0	+13	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	578	508	117	23	8	10	54	138	11	17	6	231	319	370	689	138	294	24	9	310	96	-3	+1	-1	+0	+13	1.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	564	495	114	22	8	10	53	136	11	17	6	229	316	363	680	135	292	24	9	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+0	+12	0.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	550	484	109	21	7	9	51	134	10	16	6	226	313	355	668	130	290	24	9	302	90	-6	+1	-2	+0	+12	0.4
2040	31	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	532	468	104	20	7	8	49	132	10	15	7	221	308	345	653	124	287	25	9	295	86	-9	+0	-3	+0	+12	0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	47	42	9	2	1	0	4	11	1	1	0	220	309	331	641	112	289	23	9	292	83	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	118	104	22	4	2	1	11	28	2	4	1	224	314	344	657	120	291	24	9	298	88	-2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	198	173	40	8	3	3	19	47	4	6	2	227	317	355	671	128	292	24	10	303	91	-2	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	255	224	52	10	4	4	24	60	5	8	3	230	319	364	683	134	293	24	9	308	94	-2	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	292	257	59	11	4	5	27	69	6	9	3	233	321	372	692	139	294	24	9	311	96	-1	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	311	273	64	12	4	6	29	73	6	10	3	234	322	376	698	142	295	23	9	313	97	-1	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	323	284	66	12	5	6	30	76	6	10	3	235	323	379	702	144	295	24	9	315	98	-1	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	331	290	69	13	5	7	31	78	7	10	3	235	323	381	704	146	295	24	9	316	99	-1	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	326	286	67	12	5	7	31	77	6	10	3	234	322	378	700	144	294	24	10	314	98	-1	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	317	278	64	12	4	6	30	76	6	10	3	232	320	373	693	141	293	24	9	311	96	-2	+1	-0	+0	+7	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	302	265	61	11	4	6	28	73	6	9	3	229	317	367	683	137	292	24	9	308	93	-2	+1	-1	+0	+7	0.4
2039	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	290	256	58	11	4	5	27	71	5	8	3	226	313	358	671	132	290	24	9	303	90	-3	+0	-1	+0	+6	0.2
2040	31	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	277	245	54	10	4	4	25	69	5	8	4	222	308	348	656	126	287	25	9	297	86	-5	+0	-1	+0	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3387	2977	685	128	49	60	316	808	65	103	34	230	317	366	684	136	294	24	9	309	94	-23	+7	-4	+0	+73	5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	132	25	9	12	61	155	12	20	7	231	318	370	687	138	295	24	9	309	94	-4	+1	-1	+0	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6459	5660	1296	254	93	104	611	1536	133	199	68	229	319	362	680	133	294	24	9	307	94	-46	+13	-7	+0	+136	9.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	130	26	9	10	61	155	13	20	7	228	316	358	674	130	294	24	9	307	94	-5	+1	-1	+0	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 161 PAwOBA .410 → .291 (−119)K% 16.8% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.77%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.88%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	13.91%
HBP% /PA	4.97%	—	×0.700	—	—	3.48%
Singles /BIP	19.35%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.050	—	13.82%
Doubles /BIP	10.75%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	—	6.77%
Triples /BIP	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	—	4.06%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .410 → .291; ISO .183 → .124; BABIP .362 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Lenny Randle'71-'82 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,427 PA	6.7	4,427	27	156	256*	323*	370*	+10	+7	8.7	9.8
/162	664	4	23	+1.5	+1.0	1.3	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,470	57	106	231	315	365	+0	+0	7.8	6.8
/162	664	11	20	+0.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Carlos Febles'98-'03 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,892 PA	2.8	1,892	24	68	239*	316*	342*	+6	-4	0.5	0.5
/162	664	8	24	+2.2	-1.5	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darling Montero (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	213/302/315	102	288	0	2	25%	9%	78	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Victor Robles 2015 · A	18	45→54	39→50	53→60	46	214/285/305	92	254	5	19	17%	6%	70	-0.9	242/313/356	114	299	7	22	21%	5%	92	+0.7	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
●Jorge Bonifacio 2011 · A	18	48→51	37→55	51→45	42	220/280/308	88	318	3	11	30%	7%	68	-1.0	225/271/338	113	308	8	6	28%	5%	71	-0.8	243/310/399	156	318	17	3	28%	8%	99	+0.9
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	43→51	38→50	50	42	204/262/285	80	276	5	16	27%	6%	55	-1.9	230/286/334	104	297	8	16	24%	6%	76	-0.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	43→53	37→55	50	50	203/282/289	86	254	3	13	20%	8%	65	-1.2	228/282/352	124	298	11	12	26%	6%	78	-0.3	267/319/412	145	327	15	13	22%	6%	104	+1.4
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Eury Pérez 2008 · A	18	42→52	34→40	50→65	52	195/291/248	53	268	2	15	25%	10%	60	-1.6	238/300/309	71	293	4	24	19%	6%	75	-0.5	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
●Edward Olivares 2015 · A	19	47→53	36→55	53→55	50	218/303/289	71	269	3	13	19%	8%	73	-0.6	203/276/311	108	262	9	14	25%	5%	68	-1.0	264/320/435	172	299	20	16	19%	6%	111	+1.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Leody Taveras 2017 · A	18	47→55	37→50	52→55	44	224/269/304	81	286	3	15	22%	6%	61	-1.5	223/267/303	80	289	5	13	23%	6%	61	-1.5	251/301/382	131	311	12	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	41→51	42→50	51→45	46	199/266/307	109	243	8	10	22%	7%	63	-1.4	240/301/360	120	292	12	8	21%	5%	88	+0.4	266/321/397	132	318	13	6	20%	5%	101	+1.1
✕Tito Polo 2013 · A	18	44→54	37→45	50→60	44	206/288/282	76	276	4	18	25%	7%	66	-1.1	203/265/282	79	275	4	22	26%	6%	56	-1.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4

Darling Montero

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps