Player 839105 — OGILVIE

Player 8391051B DSL Rangers Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .318 / .263

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP297

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	TEX	—	161	132	29	8	5	0	20	39	8	7	4	220	356	356	712	136	309	24	12	307	94	-1	-0	+0	-3	+3	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	TEX	—	161	120	34	10	6	0	32	27	8	7	4	283	463	467	929	183	362	17	20	416	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	TEX	0%	22	19	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	1	0	211	318	263	581	53	296	27	9	291	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	TEX	—	183	151	33	9	5	0	22	45	9	8	4	219	352	344	696	126	308	25	12	305	93	-2	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	293	256	54	12	5	3	29	78	6	8	3	211	306	332	638	121	291	27	10	291	83	-6	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	393	343	74	16	6	5	39	104	8	12	4	216	310	341	651	125	291	26	10	295	86	-7	+1	+0	-7	+9	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	461	403	87	19	7	6	45	121	10	14	4	216	310	342	652	127	290	26	10	298	88	-7	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	507	441	98	21	8	8	50	132	11	16	5	222	317	361	677	138	290	26	10	300	89	-6	+1	+0	-9	+11	-0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	539	470	103	22	8	9	53	141	11	17	5	219	313	357	670	138	290	26	10	302	90	-6	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	561	489	108	23	9	9	55	146	12	18	5	221	315	360	675	139	290	26	10	303	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	578	504	111	23	9	10	57	151	12	18	6	220	314	361	675	141	290	26	10	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-10	+13	-0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	591	516	114	24	9	11	58	154	12	19	6	221	314	366	680	145	290	26	10	305	93	-5	+1	+0	-11	+13	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	277	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	282	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	286	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	288	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	290	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	291	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	292	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	293	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3945	3441	753	161	61	61	388	1033	83	123	38	219	313	354	667	135	292	26	10	301	90	-49	+9	+0	-70	+85	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	124	27	10	10	64	170	14	20	6	219	313	354	668	136	292	26	10	301	90	-8	+2	+0	-12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,213	62	130	218	309	351	-47	+0	2.7	2.9
/162	664	10	20	-7.4	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 839105 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	208/309/319	112	296	2	9	27%	10%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→50	40→45	55→60	43	197/264/288	91	273	7	19	29%	7%	57	-1.8	216/270/336	120	285	13	28	28%	6%	71	-0.8	213/270/337	124	278	12	27	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/282/291	84	275	5	14	25%	8%	65	-1.2	202/286/330	128	273	14	8	29%	9%	76	-0.4	201/298/342	142	277	17	3	32%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→45	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	96	252	8	14	25%	8%	61	-1.5	213/289/334	121	273	12	18	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Cade Gotta 2016 · A	24	41→51	41→45	53→55	43	199/259/302	103	276	7	15	30%	7%	58	-1.7	232/279/331	99	295	6	27	22%	6%	72	-0.7	244/303/339	95	309	5	36	21%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Matt Vierling 2021 · A	24	40→50	40→50	50	40	197/252/286	89	268	7	14	28%	5%	52	-2.2	241/298/355	114	302	11	14	23%	7%	85	+0.2	254/314/393	138	307	13	10	21%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Corey Julks 2021 · AA	25	44→51	40→50	49→55	44	209/275/304	95	291	7	12	29%	8%	65	-1.2	226/283/374	148	293	17	17	28%	7%	84	+0.2	226/286/381	155	284	18	21	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Vinny Capra 2021 · AA	25	42→48	38→45	50	43	203/255/281	78	261	5	13	24%	6%	51	-2.2	243/305/362	119	314	11	10	25%	7%	89	+0.5	250/319/362	111	318	10	9	23%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Max Schuemann 2021 · A	24	44→48	39→45	49→60	42	209/272/300	91	281	5	17	26%	6%	63	-1.4	223/308/330	107	302	9	28	27%	8%	84	+0.2	221/319/328	107	303	11	22	28%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	73	-0.6	199/284/276	77	275	4	12	27%	9%	63	-1.4	176/273/228	52	251	2	11	27%	10%	47	-1.5
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→52	40→45	53→55	40	228/277/321	93	297	7	20	25%	5%	70	-0.9	229/299/337	108	283	9	16	21%	6%	82	+0.0	227/303/337	110	275	9	18	20%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→38	43→55	54→50	49	193/279/308	115	268	10	14	30%	10%	68	-1.0	200/271/341	141	275	15	14	31%	8%	72	-0.7	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A	23	44→42	40→50	53→55	40	211/273/310	98	303	7	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	216/283/342	126	287	11	10	27%	7%	78	-0.3	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	45→50	42→50	53→50	39	221/265/325	104	304	10	11	30%	5%	65	-1.2	233/292/345	112	331	11	9	31%	7%	80	-0.1	238/302/353	114	340	11	8	31%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Trei Cruz 2022 · A	24	36→46	39→45	52→50	53	171/281/262	90	275	5	14	36%	13%	59	-1.6	189/272/295	106	278	9	11	32%	10%	63	-1.4	228/304/337	109	310	9	10	27%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	69	-0.9	252/301/349	97	306	6	17	19%	6%	84	+0.2	269/312/404	135	308	11	10	16%	4%	98	+0.6
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	40→42	41→45	55→50	49	193/281/298	105	287	8	19	33%	10%	67	-1.1	201/284/326	125	320	11	14	37%	10%	74	-0.5	180/277/325	145	297	13	11	40%	11%	71	-0.5
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	43→46	42→50	52→50	46	210/285/321	111	276	8	10	26%	8%	73	-0.6	224/286/345	121	284	10	13	24%	7%	79	-0.2	238/314/366	128	312	14	17	27%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Levi Jordan 2021 · A	25	41→51	37→45	47→50	41	198/247/270	72	266	5	8	27%	6%	46	-2.6	224/283/339	115	295	11	10	27%	6%	76	-0.4	242/308/360	118	302	11	15	22%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2021 · A	23	37→47	41→45	53→65	43	182/258/286	104	274	8	22	34%	8%	55	-1.9	228/299/361	133	324	14	34	32%	8%	87	+0.4	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Tyler Osik 2022 · A	25	40→50	41→50	48→40	38	194/257/295	100	301	8	6	36%	7%	57	-1.8	232/297/341	109	338	10	6	32%	7%	82	-0.0	252/316/367	114	364	14	4	32%	6%	91	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps