Jeyver Manaure

P DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 RHP ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038 peak 1.0 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1027ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	ROKDSL Arizona R…	10	9	49	1.10	1.79	23.9%	4.3%	—	K 16.3% · BB 5.4% · FIP 2.42
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	—	—	0	4.11	4.11	20.4%	6.2%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	4	4	21	4.07	4.03	21.1%	6.3%	0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLB—	6	6	34	3.98	3.90	22.2%	6.1%	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsHyun-il Choi (age 19) · Andrew Hoffmann (age 21) · Chance Kirby (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.11

FIP4.11

K%20.4%

BB%6.2%

K-BB%14.2%

Proj IP29

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	10	9	49	184	44	8	0	90%	4.9	16.3%	5.4%	10.8%	0.0%	1.10	2.42	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	10	9	49	184	44	8	0	90%	4.9	16.3%	5.4%	10.8%	0.0%	1.10	2.42	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	10	9	49	184	44	8	0	90%	4.9	23.9%	4.3%	19.6%	0.0%	1.10	1.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.4%	6.2%	14.2%	2.9%	4.11	4.11	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	8	8	43	183	39	12	5	100%	5.4	21.1%	6.3%	14.8%	2.8%	4.07	4.03	+0.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	9	9	46	196	44	12	5	100%	5.2	22.2%	6.1%	16.1%	2.8%	3.98	3.90	+0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	9	9	48	201	46	12	5	100%	5.3	23.0%	6.0%	17.0%	2.7%	3.87	3.79	+0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	8	8	48	201	47	12	5	100%	6.0	23.5%	5.8%	17.7%	2.7%	3.78	3.71	+1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	8	8	47	197	47	11	5	100%	5.8	23.9%	5.7%	18.2%	2.7%	3.71	3.66	+1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	8	8	47	199	48	11	5	100%	5.9	24.1%	5.7%	18.5%	2.7%	3.67	3.64	+1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	8	8	46	195	47	11	5	100%	5.8	24.1%	5.7%	18.4%	2.7%	3.67	3.67	+1.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	4	4	21	89	19	6	2	100%	5.2	21.1%	6.3%	14.8%	2.8%	4.07	4.03	+0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	6	6	34	144	32	9	4	100%	5.7	22.2%	6.1%	16.1%	2.8%	3.98	3.90	+0.6
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	7	7	40	169	39	10	5	100%	5.7	23.0%	6.0%	17.0%	2.7%	3.87	3.79	+0.8
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	8	8	42	177	42	10	5	100%	5.2	23.5%	5.8%	17.7%	2.7%	3.78	3.71	+0.9
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	7	7	43	182	43	10	5	100%	6.1	23.9%	5.7%	18.2%	2.7%	3.71	3.66	+0.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	7	7	44	186	45	11	5	100%	6.3	24.1%	5.7%	18.5%	2.7%	3.67	3.64	+0.9
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	7	7	44	186	45	11	5	100%	6.3	24.1%	5.7%	18.4%	2.7%	3.67	3.67	+0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		47	47	268	1133	264	66	31	100%	5.7	23.3%	5.9%	17.5%	2.7%	3.79	3.37	+6.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	197	49	23	100%	5.7	23.3%	5.9%	17.5%	2.7%	3.79	3.37	+5.0
Career	—	MLE		10	9	49	184	30	10	0	90%	4.9	16.3%	5.4%	10.8%	0.0%	1.10	2.42	+6.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		41	37	200	751	122	41	0	90%	4.9	16.3%	5.4%	10.8%	0.0%	1.10	2.42	+3.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKDSL Arizona Red · 49 IPFIP 1.63 → 2.42 (+0.78)K% 23.9% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.91%	—	×0.680	16.26%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.35%	—	×1.250	5.43%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 1.63 → 2.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeyver Manaure (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.11	20.4%	6.2%	2.9%	—	3.90	22.1%	16.0%	138	-0.21	—	—	—
Hyun-il Choi R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SP-	3.97	18.4%	5.2%	3.2%	.293	4.26	19.1%	14.1%	106	+0.29	3.97	455	84
Andrew Hoffmann R 2021 · 3.17 FIP	21	SP	3.17	23.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.275	4.89	18.9%	9.1%	311	+1.72	3.17	422	82
Chance Kirby R 2018 · 4.14 FIP	23	SP	4.14	17.8%	5.7%	3.3%	.298	5.61	14.2%	6.7%	166	+1.47	4.14	325	82
Jordan Johnson R 2015 · 2.93 FIP	21	SP	2.93	21.2%	5.7%	1.6%	.347	5.00	15.3%	5.2%	350	+2.07	2.93	443	82
Dylan DeLucia R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	23	SP	3.88	21.6%	7.4%	3.0%	.241	5.29	18.0%	7.2%	197	+1.41	3.88	232	82
Jose Feliz R 2024 · 3.05 FIP	18	SP	3.05	20.4%	7.6%	1.3%	.265	3.15	14.0%	8.0%	61	+0.10	3.05	107	81
Cody Stashak R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	21	SP	4.07	19.7%	7.5%	3.1%	.304	3.55	17.1%	9.8%	261	-0.52	1.99	467	81
Peniel Otano R 2021 · 3.06 FIP	20	SP	3.06	19.3%	7.4%	1.2%	.307	4.67	14.6%	-1.0%	176	+1.61	3.06	232	80
Zack Trageton R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	20	SP	3.23	16.9%	6.3%	1.4%	.314	4.84	17.0%	6.9%	138	+1.61	3.23	283	80
Matt Eckelman R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP	4.30	15.6%	4.7%	3.5%	.265	4.44	16.3%	5.4%	169	+0.14	4.07	386	79
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.42	20.6%	11.4%	217	-0.41	3.07	280	79
Nick Kingham R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	23	SP	3.61	20.7%	5.4%	2.9%	.330	3.95	18.0%	12.1%	276	+0.34	2.31	363	79
Jimmy Joyce R 2021 · 3.78 FIP	22	SP	3.78	25.0%	9.0%	3.0%	.341	4.03	20.4%	9.7%	242	+0.25	3.39	259	79
Juan Cruz R 2001 · 3.60 FIP	22	SP	3.60	21.1%	8.6%	2.2%	.286	4.05	21.3%	10.2%	230	+0.45	3.16	650	79
Geoffrey Bramblett R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	21	SP	3.75	15.1%	5.8%	2.2%	.223	5.35	11.3%	1.5%	81	+1.60	3.75	130	79
Joe Wieland R 2012 · 4.39 FIP	22	SP	4.39	20.2%	5.9%	4.1%	.253	3.62	16.4%	10.7%	125	-0.77	3.38	309	79
Manuel Olivares R 2022 · 3.23 FIP	20	SP	3.23	18.7%	4.9%	2.0%	.359	3.86	14.5%	4.5%	126	+0.63	3.23	354	79
Kyle Drabek R 2010 · 4.14 FIP	22	SP	4.14	17.4%	7.2%	2.9%	.320	5.39	14.4%	-0.6%	150	+1.25	3.88	373	78
Jesus Lugo R 2019 · 3.79 FIP	21	SP-	3.79	17.8%	8.1%	2.1%	.243	6.08	19.8%	10.5%	45	+2.29	3.79	113	78
Elieser Hernández R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	20	SP-	3.52	17.1%	6.5%	1.9%	.302	4.53	17.9%	9.2%	237	+1.01	3.52	792	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	44	22.9%	5.9%	1.06	3.84
Junichi Tazawa ('18)	2.0	49	22.2%	6.5%	1.12	4.12
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Fernando Salas ('19)	2.4	54	23.1%	7.3%	1.05	3.91
Donnie Moore ('75-'88, 7 WAR*)	3.3	60	20.7%*	6.6%*	1.00*	3.83*
Joe Hoerner ('63-'77, 8 WAR*)	2.8	51	23.2%*	7.9%*	1.21*	3.52*
Bob Patterson ('85-'98, 4 WAR*)	3.1	51	23.0%*	6.7%*	1.32*	4.33*