Andrew Hoffmann P Reno Aces
Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 86 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121111vR 102
ERA4.39
FIP4.47
K%21.8%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP86
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 111 IP
K: -1.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -4.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: +1.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+1CONTACTSTAM: +15.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+15STAMTotal WAR: +1.13 (111 IP)+1.1WAR
0.00.0-0.12628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF4550
CTRL2525
CMD3540
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p1019.1%
K%
p3720.3%
xwOBA vs
p290.336
FB+1.6 (52%)
CH (29%)
SL-0.6 (19%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202121AAugusta GreenJackets77301163782100%4.223.6%8.1%15.5%1.6%2.733.03
202121AAugusta GreenJackets77301163782100%4.231.9%6.9%25.0%1.7%2.732.29
202222MIX2 levels24241195021204114100%5.018.6%9.2%9.5%4.1%3.774.94
202222MIX2 levels24241195021204114100%5.023.9%8.2%15.7%2.8%3.773.64
202323MIX2 levels2827125561133582096%4.519.8%11.2%8.5%5.2%5.535.72
202323MIX2 levels2827125561133582096%4.523.7%10.3%13.4%3.6%5.534.44
202424MIX3 levels2915773597735952%2.718.4%10.6%7.7%2.6%6.084.30
202424MIX3 levels2915773597735952%2.721.4%9.7%11.7%2.5%6.083.98
202525MIX2 levels46054241692350%1.225.8%9.8%16.0%2.5%3.813.53+0.6
202525MIX2 levels46054241692350%1.228.6%9.5%19.1%2.1%3.813.03+1.0
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBArizona Diamondbacks20025124231730%1.217.5%14.1%3.4%2.4%6.844.73-0.1
ROS26MLBARI820863637946110%1.021.8%12.7%9.1%2.9%4.394.47+0.6
ROS26MLBARI820863637946110%1.021.8%12.7%9.1%2.9%4.394.47+0.6
2026 TOT26MLBARI111487102631421.0%13.0%8.0%2.8%4.954.53+1.1
2026 FULL26MLBARI98413102631424.8%15.3%9.5%3.3%5.624.76+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBARI136014360413674190%1.122.4%12.3%10.1%3.2%4.864.91+0.8
202828MLBARI132013958613171190%1.122.3%12.1%10.2%3.3%4.894.95+0.7
202727MLBARI130013657412971190%1.022.4%12.3%10.1%3.2%4.864.91+0.8
202828MLBARI126013255712467180%1.022.3%12.1%10.2%3.3%4.894.95+0.7
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career35603781614356202530%1.122.1%12.5%9.5%3.3%4.894.61+3.5
/ 200 IP1890200855189107280%1.122.1%12.5%9.5%3.3%4.894.61+1.8
Career1547343119033821987047%2.820.1%10.4%9.7%3.7%4.814.74+3.3
/ 200 IP7234200884177923247%2.820.1%10.4%9.7%3.7%4.814.74+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Andrew Hoffmann (OGILVIE) 4.77 22.9%12.6%3.0% 4.93 22.4%10.2%282 +0.16
Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 76
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 76
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 74
Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 26 SU 3.72 19.5%12.5%1.3%.265 4.04 19.9%6.7%92 +0.32 3.67 154 73
Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.78 FIP 26 SU 4.78 17.2%12.1%2.9%.316 3.49 300 73
Sean Isaac R 2025 · 4.25 FIP 25 SW 4.25 24.2%16.3%2.1%.292 3.26 155 72
Frankie Scalzo Jr. R 2026 · 5.17 FIP 26 SW 5.17 17.2%13.6%3.3%.344 3.54 237 72
Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 72
Noah Denoyer R 2025 · 5.50 FIP 25 SW 5.50 22.7%16.4%4.1%.306 3.05 181 72
Linder Castro R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 26 SW 4.55 18.9%10.7%3.1%.305 5.45 21.1%6.3%62 +0.90 4.27 279 71
Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 26 SW 4.50 23.0%11.9%3.3%.278 4.53 13.7%3.1%41 +0.03 4.50 119 71
Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 71
Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 71
Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 70
Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 26 SU 4.61 18.2%12.1%2.8%.313 3.53 183 70
Jimmy Joyce R 2025 · 4.56 FIP 25 SW 4.56 17.8%14.2%2.1%.278 3.44 259 70
Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP 25 SU 4.73 19.3%12.6%3.0%.361 3.86 106 70
Trevor Martin R 2025 · 4.57 FIP 25 SU 4.57 18.8%12.0%2.8%.288 4.15 321 69
Ben Sears R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 26 SW 4.60 17.2%9.0%3.3%.321 3.30 240 69
Nick Hull R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 26 SW 3.93 19.3%8.2%2.6%.299 3.93 268 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION312722.5%12.3%1.244.83
James Kaprielian ('23)310520.5%9.6%1.264.58
Tom Koehler ('17)314618.1%10.2%1.244.62
Tyson Ross ('19)410721.3%10.8%0.844.31
Ubaldo Jiménez ('17)315620.8%9.5%1.325.33
Ian Anderson ('22)39122.5%10.4%0.963.97
Nate Karns ('17)39624.2%9.3%1.224.24