Andrew Hoffmann — OGILVIE

Andrew Hoffmann P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 101

ERA4.38

FIP4.45

K%21.1%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL2525

CMD3540

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p1019.1%

p3720.3%

xwOBA vs

p290.336

FB+1.6 (52%)

CH (29%)

SL-0.6 (19%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	7	7	30	116	37	8	2	100%	4.2	23.6%	8.1%	15.5%	1.9%	2.73	3.17	—
2021	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	7	7	30	116	37	8	2	100%	4.2	31.9%	6.9%	25.0%	1.7%	2.73	2.29	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	119	502	120	41	14	100%	5.0	18.6%	9.2%	9.5%	3.7%	3.77	4.74	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	119	502	120	41	14	100%	5.0	23.9%	8.2%	15.7%	2.8%	3.77	3.64	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	125	561	133	58	20	96%	4.5	19.4%	10.8%	8.5%	4.6%	5.53	5.37	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	125	561	133	58	20	96%	4.5	19.4%	10.8%	8.5%	4.6%	5.53	5.37	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	125	561	133	58	20	96%	4.5	23.7%	10.3%	13.4%	3.6%	5.53	4.44	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	15	77	359	77	35	9	52%	2.7	17.3%	9.1%	8.2%	2.8%	6.08	4.34	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	15	77	359	77	35	9	52%	2.7	17.3%	9.1%	8.2%	2.8%	6.08	4.34	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	15	77	359	77	35	9	52%	2.7	21.4%	9.7%	11.7%	2.5%	6.08	3.98	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	54	241	69	23	5	0%	1.2	24.6%	9.0%	15.6%	2.4%	3.81	3.48	+0.7
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	54	241	69	23	5	0%	1.2	24.6%	9.0%	15.6%	2.4%	3.81	3.48	+0.7
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	54	241	69	23	5	0%	1.2	28.6%	9.5%	19.1%	2.1%	3.81	3.03	+1.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			19	0	24	120	24	18	5	0%	1.2	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	4.2%	6.85	6.10	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	22	0	27	132	25	18	3	0%	1.2	17.7%	13.2%	4.5%	2.5%	6.26	4.63	-0.0
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	22	0	27	132	25	18	3	0%	1.2	17.7%	13.2%	4.5%	2.5%	6.26	4.63	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A RAW	ARI	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	ARI	13	0	15	70	13	10	0	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.3%	4.3%	0.0%	5.52	3.34	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	ARI	8	0	12	59	12	8	3	0%	1.5	20.3%	13.6%	6.8%	5.1%	7.71	5.89	-0.2
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	ARI	8	0	12	59	12	8	3	0%	1.5	20.3%	13.6%	6.8%	5.1%	7.71	5.89	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.0%	9.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.45	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	ARI	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.0%	9.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.45	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	33	157	30	21	4	—	—	19.3%	13.4%	5.9%	2.4%	5.92	4.60	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	ARI	—	—	18	74	30	21	4	—	—	40.9%	28.3%	12.5%	5.0%	11.22	6.00	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	136	0	143	604	131	71	19	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.7%	10.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.89	-0.6
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	132	0	139	586	127	68	19	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.5%	10.1%	3.3%	4.88	4.93	-0.6
2029	29	MLB MLE	ARI	126	0	133	560	118	65	19	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.6%	9.5%	3.4%	4.97	5.05	-0.7
2030	30	MLB MLE	ARI	119	0	125	526	107	62	19	0%	1.0	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	3.6%	5.12	5.24	-1.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	130	0	136	574	125	67	18	0%	1.0	21.7%	11.7%	10.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.89	-0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	126	0	132	557	121	64	18	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.5%	10.1%	3.3%	4.88	4.93	-0.6
2029	29	MLB CTX	ARI	120	0	126	532	112	61	18	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.6%	9.5%	3.4%	4.97	5.05	-0.7
2030	30	MLB CTX	ARI	112	0	118	498	102	59	18	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	3.6%	5.12	5.24	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		512	0	542	2307	488	272	79	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	3.4%	5.03	4.69	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		189	0	200	852	180	100	29	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	3.4%	5.03	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		156	73	433	1911	374	188	66	47%	2.8	19.6%	9.8%	9.7%	3.5%	4.78	4.59	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	34	200	883	173	87	30	47%	2.8	19.6%	9.8%	9.7%	3.5%	4.78	4.59	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Hoffmann (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	22.0%	11.8%	3.0%	—	4.95	21.5%	9.9%	414	+0.21	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	78
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	77
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	75
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	74
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	74
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	74
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	74
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	74
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	73
Linder Castro R 2017 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	18.9%	10.7%	3.2%	.305	5.68	21.1%	6.3%	62	+1.05	4.23	279	73
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	72
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	72
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	72
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	71
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	71
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	71
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	71
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.11	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.05	3.84	249	71
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	71
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	135	21.4%	11.7%	1.28	4.89
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97