Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 236 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 93% | 4.0 | 19.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | 3.05 | 3.06 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 236 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 93% | 4.0 | 28.4% | 5.9% | 22.5% | 0.8% | 3.05 | 1.92 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 23 | 14 | 83 | 390 | 68 | 42 | 8 | 61% | 3.6 | 12.9% | 12.7% | 0.2% | 2.4% | 5.86 | 4.92 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 23 | 14 | 83 | 390 | 68 | 42 | 8 | 61% | 3.6 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 5.86 | 4.23 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 39 | 0 | 56 | 260 | 58 | 39 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.2% | 17.2% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 6.91 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 39 | 0 | 56 | 260 | 58 | 39 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.3% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 6.91 | 3.58 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 37 | 178 | 34 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.4% | 19.6% | -5.2% | 0.0% | 4.42 | 4.37 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 37 | 178 | 34 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 4.42 | 3.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.15 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 95 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 27 | 232 | 1064 | 166 | 147 | 15 | 25% | 2.1 | 15.6% | 13.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 5.21 | 4.29 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 23 | 200 | 919 | 143 | 127 | 13 | 25% | 2.1 | 15.6% | 13.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 5.21 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peniel Otano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.53 | 22.1% | 11.2% | 25 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 85 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 81 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 80 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 79 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 79 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 79 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 78 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 78 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.63 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 0.9% | .313 | 4.12 | 14.1% | 1.7% | 50 | +0.49 | 3.63 | 104 | 78 |
| C.J. Culpepper R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.74 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 253 | 78 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 77 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 77 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 77 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 77 |
| Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 18.8% | 12.0% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 321 | 77 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 76 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 76 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 76 |