Peniel Otano P Hillsboro Hops
Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%21.8%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.01 (24 IP)-0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202120ROKDSL D-backs 21413562366714293%4.019.3%7.4%11.9%1.2%3.053.06
202120ROKDSL D-backs 21413562366714293%4.028.4%5.9%22.5%0.8%3.051.92
202221AVisalia Rawhide2314833906842861%3.612.9%12.7%0.2%2.4%5.864.92
202221AVisalia Rawhide2314833906842861%3.617.4%10.8%6.7%2.1%5.864.23
202322A+Hillsboro Hops39056260583920%1.417.2%17.2%-0.1%1.1%6.914.42
202322A+Hillsboro Hops39056260583920%1.422.3%15.0%7.3%0.8%6.913.58
202423MIX2 levels32037178343000%1.114.4%19.6%-5.2%0.0%4.424.37
202423MIX2 levels32037178343000%1.119.1%16.9%2.2%0.0%4.423.70
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBARI24025104231230%1.021.8%11.2%10.6%2.8%4.574.57-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBARI24025104231130%1.022.1%11.0%11.2%2.8%4.544.53+0.0
202726MLBARI100114610510%1.122.1%11.0%11.2%2.8%4.544.53+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career100114510510%1.122.1%11.0%11.2%2.8%4.544.15+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418995190%1.122.1%11.0%11.2%2.8%4.544.15+2.9
Career1082723210641661471525%2.115.6%13.8%1.8%1.4%5.214.29+3.0
/ 200 IP93232009191431271325%2.115.6%13.8%1.8%1.4%5.214.29+2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Peniel Otano (OGILVIE) 4.57 21.8%11.2%2.8% 4.53 22.1%11.2%25 -0.04
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 85
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 18.9%10.2%2.7%.271 4.65 19.5%11.5%99 +0.39 3.81 233 81
Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 25 SW 4.19 19.7%10.6%2.6%.256 4.43 18.4%2.3%111 +0.24 3.87 192 80
Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP 26 SU 3.72 19.5%12.5%1.3%.265 4.04 19.9%6.7%92 +0.32 3.67 154 79
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 79
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 25 SU 4.36 21.7%10.1%3.3%.311 5.39 24.0%10.9%22 +1.03 4.36 152 79
Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 79
Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 79
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 78
Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 25 SU 4.03 16.8%9.3%2.1%.275 8.37 16.9%-3.1%25 +4.34 4.03 161 78
Irving Jimenez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP 25 SW 3.63 18.5%12.8%0.9%.313 4.12 14.1%1.7%50 +0.49 3.63 104 78
C.J. Culpepper R 2025 · 3.74 FIP 24 SW 3.74 21.0%12.8%1.5%.276 3.41 253 78
Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 25 SU 4.73 19.3%12.6%3.0%.361 3.86 106 77
Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 25 SU 4.04 19.9%10.4%2.4%.272 3.57 19.6%9.7%129 -0.47 3.26 386 77
Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 77
Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP 25 SU 3.68 21.3%9.0%2.2%.305 4.77 19.1%9.7%83 +1.09 2.54 309 77
Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 25 SU 4.57 18.8%12.0%2.8%.288 4.15 321 77
Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SU 4.24 21.1%10.6%2.9%.286 6.43 14.1%7.0%24 +2.19 4.09 183 76
Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 76
Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP 23 SU 4.32 19.3%8.8%3.2%.288 2.71 278 76