Joe Wieland
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 36
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION16 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.4%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.5%
IP16
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 24 | 23 | 122 | 528 | 96 | 29 | 9 | 16.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 4.86 | 3.56 | +2.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 27 | 25 | 129 | 582 | 121 | 39 | 16 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 5.64 | 4.50 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 32 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 8 | 3 | 19 | 72 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.93 | 3.57 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 23 | 1 | 32 | 160 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 14.9% | 15.8% | 6.2% | 8.16 | 7.27 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 16 | — | 16 | 69 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 4.78 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 82 | 52 | 302 | 1342 | 234 | 100 | 45 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 5.36 | 4.41 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 34 | 200 | 888 | 155 | 66 | 30 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 5.36 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joe Wieland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | — | 4.93 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 20 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 80 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 77 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 75 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 3.95 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.95 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 132 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 75 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 74 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 74 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 74 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 74 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.35 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 138 | 73 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 73 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 73 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.51 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .347 | 5.90 | 19.1% | 2.3% | 22 | +2.39 | 2.19 | 426 | 72 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 72 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.26 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 212 | 71 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 71 |
| Jason Motte R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 71 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.