Royner Bravo

OF DSL Mets Orange

Age 18 L/L ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	214	.277/.402/.384	0	15	43	—	.165/.266/.223
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	324	.216/.291/.299	2	7	69	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	91	.220/.296/.311	1	2	74	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	188	.224/.301/.323	2	5	78	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%87

Z-Con%82

Whiff%81

Speed75

K%61

wOBA60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCarlos Sanchez (age 18) · Jorge Ruiz (age 18) · Jaison Chourio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 183 proj PA

wRC+69

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .288 / .296

PA183

HR1

K%25

BB%9

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	214	177	49	9	5	0	35	41	2	15	5	277	402	384	786	107	360	19	16	361	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	214	188	31	5	3	0	24	50	2	15	5	165	266	223	490	59	229	23	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	214	188	31	5	3	0	24	50	2	15	5	165	266	223	490	59	225	23	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	214	177	49	9	5	0	35	41	2	15	5	277	402	384	786	107	360	19	16	361	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	214	186	31	5	3	0	24	50	2	15	5	167	266	226	492	59	229	23	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	214	186	31	5	3	0	24	50	2	15	5	167	266	226	492	59	229	23	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	324	290	62	10	4	2	28	82	3	7	1	216	291	299	589	83	290	25	9	269	69	-12	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	265	237	52	9	3	2	23	66	3	6	2	220	296	311	608	92	292	25	9	277	74	-8	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	388	347	77	13	4	4	34	96	4	10	3	224	301	323	624	99	293	25	9	284	78	-10	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	480	429	96	16	5	6	42	117	6	12	3	226	304	332	637	106	294	24	9	289	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	545	485	112	19	6	8	48	132	7	14	4	229	307	341	647	112	295	24	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	589	525	121	21	6	9	52	141	7	15	4	231	309	347	656	116	295	24	9	296	87	-9	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	615	549	127	22	6	10	54	147	7	15	4	232	310	350	660	118	296	24	9	298	88	-9	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	627	559	130	22	7	10	56	150	7	15	5	233	310	351	661	119	296	24	9	298	88	-9	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	634	566	132	22	7	11	56	152	7	15	5	232	310	352	662	119	296	24	9	298	88	-9	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	634	566	131	22	7	10	56	153	7	15	5	231	309	349	658	118	296	24	9	297	87	-10	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	561	129	22	6	10	56	153	7	14	5	229	307	344	651	115	295	24	9	294	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	619	552	125	21	6	9	55	152	7	13	5	227	304	338	642	111	293	25	9	291	83	-13	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	91	82	18	3	1	1	8	23	1	2	1	220	296	311	608	92	292	25	9	277	74	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	188	168	37	6	2	2	16	46	2	5	1	224	301	323	624	99	293	24	9	284	78	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	260	232	53	9	3	3	23	63	3	6	2	226	304	332	637	106	294	24	9	289	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	308	274	63	11	3	4	27	74	4	8	2	229	307	341	647	112	295	24	9	293	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	339	302	70	12	4	5	30	81	4	8	2	231	309	347	656	116	295	24	9	296	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	350	312	73	12	4	6	31	84	4	9	3	232	310	350	660	118	296	24	9	298	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	356	317	74	12	4	6	32	85	4	9	3	233	310	351	661	119	296	24	9	298	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	359	320	75	13	4	6	32	86	4	9	3	232	310	352	662	119	296	24	9	298	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	352	314	73	12	4	6	31	85	4	8	3	231	309	349	658	118	296	24	9	297	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	307	70	12	3	5	31	84	4	8	3	229	307	344	651	115	295	24	9	294	85	-6	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	331	295	67	11	3	5	29	81	4	7	2	227	304	338	642	111	293	24	9	291	83	-7	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3279	2923	673	113	35	49	290	792	38	79	25	230	308	343	651	113	297	24	9	294	83	-58	+6	-1	-20	+71	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	133	22	7	10	57	157	8	16	5	230	307	344	651	114	296	24	9	294	83	-12	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6422	5727	1298	220	68	90	572	1555	73	163	51	227	305	336	641	109	294	24	9	291	83	-116	+11	-2	-37	+135	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	131	22	7	9	58	157	7	16	5	226	304	334	638	109	293	24	9	291	83	-12	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Jack Rothrock'25-'37 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,719 PA	5.6	3,719	28	75	248*	313*	376*	-15	-14	2.5	4.0
/162	664	5	13	-2.7	-2.5	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.2	3,463	51	83	230	304	342	-21	+0	1.8	1.9
/162	664	10	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Royner Bravo (OGILVIE)	18	48→53	28→33	55→60	66	214/288/296	82	290	1	4	25%	9%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	44→52	36→40	52→50	49	201/280/270	69	241	3	17	17%	7%	60	-1.6	235/288/308	73	291	3	12	19%	5%	70	-0.8	236/286/309	73	301	3	13	21%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	45→55	37→40	53→55	62	208/315/286	78	255	3	15	18%	13%	77	-0.3	227/325/310	83	318	4	21	26%	12%	85	+0.2	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Nelson Rada 2023 · A	17	47→57	37→30	56→60	50	219/307/303	84	268	3	23	18%	8%	78	-0.3	238/321/298	60	329	2	31	25%	9%	81	-0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	44→49	36→40	51→65	47	208/275/276	67	273	3	15	24%	8%	59	-1.7	204/271/266	62	260	4	22	21%	8%	55	-2.0	200/270/265	65	257	6	39	23%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	45→55	36→45	50→45	54	206/294/278	71	267	2	9	22%	10%	67	-1.1	203/252/261	58	256	2	6	21%	5%	46	-2.6	279/319/373	94	320	8	6	15%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Yeicok Calderon 2010 · A	18	45	36→40	52→45	51	211/299/277	65	280	4	9	24%	10%	68	-1.0	195/262/299	104	279	9	6	31%	8%	59	-1.6	174/238/294	121	251	12	4	34%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	50→57	39→45	51→45	51	234/299/332	97	275	5	7	16%	8%	80	-0.2	227/296/304	77	285	5	5	20%	9%	73	-0.6	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4

Royner Bravo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps