David Diaz

2B DSL Rangers Red

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers R…	144	.182/.366/.227	0	8	25	—	.119/.268/.144
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	254	.204/.289/.274	1	5	63	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	72	.209/.295/.289	1	2	69	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	167	.214/.300/.302	2	4	73	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%77

BB%73

Speed45

Whiff%44

Z-Con%43

K%37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 18) · Eddys Leonard (age 18) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 120 proj PA

wRC+63

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .287 / .272

PA120

HR1

K%28

BB%9

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	144	110	20	5	0	0	27	35	5	8	2	182	366	227	593	45	260	24	19	295	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	144	118	14	3	0	0	19	43	5	8	2	119	268	144	412	25	175	30	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	144	118	14	3	0	0	19	43	5	8	2	119	268	144	412	25	182	30	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	144	110	20	5	0	0	27	35	5	8	2	182	366	227	593	45	260	24	19	295	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	144	119	14	3	0	0	19	43	5	8	2	118	268	143	410	25	175	30	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	144	119	14	3	0	0	19	43	5	8	2	118	268	143	410	25	175	30	13	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	254	225	45	8	1	1	23	71	4	5	1	204	289	274	563	70	288	28	9	261	63	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	210	186	39	7	1	2	19	58	3	5	1	209	295	289	584	79	290	28	9	270	69	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	345	304	66	12	2	4	32	93	6	8	2	214	300	302	601	88	291	27	9	277	73	-11	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	447	395	86	15	3	6	41	119	8	10	3	217	303	314	617	96	293	27	9	283	77	-12	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.0
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	519	458	101	18	3	8	47	137	9	12	4	220	306	324	629	103	293	26	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	568	501	111	20	3	9	52	148	10	13	4	223	308	332	640	109	294	26	9	292	83	-11	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	600	530	118	21	3	10	55	156	10	14	4	225	309	336	645	112	295	26	9	294	85	-11	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	618	546	123	22	4	11	57	161	10	14	4	225	310	339	649	114	295	26	9	295	86	-11	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	627	555	125	22	4	11	57	163	10	14	4	225	310	341	650	115	295	26	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	628	555	123	22	3	11	58	165	10	14	5	224	309	338	647	114	294	26	9	294	85	-11	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	624	552	123	22	3	11	57	165	10	13	5	222	307	333	640	111	293	26	9	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	615	544	119	21	3	10	56	164	10	13	5	220	304	326	630	107	292	27	9	287	81	-14	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	72	64	13	2	0	1	7	20	1	2	0	209	295	289	584	79	290	28	10	270	69	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	167	147	32	6	1	2	15	45	3	4	1	214	300	302	601	88	291	27	9	277	73	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	242	214	46	8	1	3	22	65	4	6	2	217	303	314	617	96	293	27	9	283	77	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	260	57	10	2	4	27	78	5	7	2	220	306	324	629	103	293	27	9	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	327	288	65	12	2	5	30	85	6	7	2	223	308	332	640	109	294	26	9	292	83	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	342	302	68	12	2	6	31	89	6	8	2	225	309	336	645	112	295	26	9	294	85	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	351	310	69	12	2	6	32	91	6	8	2	225	310	339	649	114	295	26	9	295	86	-6	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	355	313	72	13	2	7	33	92	6	8	3	225	310	341	650	115	295	26	9	295	86	-6	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	348	307	68	12	2	6	32	91	6	8	3	224	309	338	647	114	294	26	9	294	85	-6	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	343	303	68	12	2	6	31	91	6	7	3	222	307	333	640	111	293	27	9	291	83	-7	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	357	315	69	12	2	6	33	95	6	7	3	220	304	326	630	107	292	27	9	287	81	-8	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3198	2823	627	111	18	52	293	842	55	72	23	222	307	329	637	107	295	26	9	290	80	-67	+5	-1	+11	+69	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	129	23	4	11	60	171	11	15	5	225	310	336	646	111	299	26	9	290	80	-14	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6065	5350	1170	209	33	94	561	1605	103	141	43	219	305	323	628	104	292	26	9	287	80	-129	+10	-2	+21	+128	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	125	22	4	10	60	172	11	15	5	218	304	323	627	105	292	26	9	287	80	-14	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,318	53	74	222	304	329	+12	+7	3.9	3.7
/162	664	11	15	+2.4	+1.4	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Jimmy Burke'01-'05 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,093 PA	3.2	2,093	1	86	236*	296*	348*	+7	+4	2.7	2.7
/162	664	0	27	+2.3	+1.4	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Diaz (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	203/287/272	69	288	1	3	28%	9%	63	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Pablo Aliendo 2019 · A	18	41	36→50	54→45	38	190/251/263	73	299	3	12	35%	6%	47	-2.6	179/260/245	66	274	4	11	33%	8%	47	-2.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	36	35→50	46→50	50	171/258/234	63	226	2	8	23%	9%	44	-2.8	181/253/251	70	223	3	7	19%	8%	45	-2.7	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2

David Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps