Rayniel Lache

3B DSL Nationals

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKWSH	106	.183/.368/.280	1	7	26	—	.114/.264/.159
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBWSH	216	.200/.286/.279	2	6	63	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBWSH	63	.204/.291/.288	1	2	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBWSH	157	.208/.295/.300	2	5	73	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed77

BB%73

Chase%67

ISO39

Z-Con%36

wOBA33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJorge Alcantara (age 18) · Cristian Hernández (age 18) · Keiberg Camacaro (age 17)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .284 / .277

PA91

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	106	82	15	3	1	1	20	30	4	7	2	183	368	280	648	98	275	28	19	316	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	88	10	2	1	0	14	37	4	7	2	114	264	159	423	45	178	35	13	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	88	10	2	1	0	14	37	4	7	2	114	264	159	423	45	196	35	13	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	106	82	15	3	1	1	20	30	4	7	2	183	368	280	648	98	275	28	19	316	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	87	10	2	1	0	14	37	4	7	2	115	264	161	425	46	178	35	13	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	106	87	10	2	1	0	14	37	4	7	2	115	264	161	425	46	178	35	13	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	216	191	39	7	2	2	20	64	3	6	1	200	286	279	565	79	289	30	9	262	63	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	183	161	34	6	2	2	17	54	3	6	1	205	292	292	584	87	291	30	9	269	68	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	324	285	60	10	3	4	30	93	6	10	3	209	296	304	600	95	292	29	9	276	73	-11	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	431	380	82	14	4	6	40	122	8	14	4	213	300	314	614	102	293	28	9	281	76	-12	+1	+0	+2	+9	-0.0
2031	22	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	507	446	97	17	4	8	47	142	9	16	4	216	302	323	626	108	294	28	9	286	79	-12	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	WSH	58%	559	493	107	19	4	9	51	154	10	18	5	219	305	331	636	113	295	28	9	289	82	-12	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	592	523	115	20	5	10	54	163	10	19	5	220	306	334	640	115	296	28	9	291	83	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	612	540	119	20	5	11	56	169	11	20	5	220	306	336	643	116	296	28	9	292	84	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	622	549	121	21	5	11	57	172	11	20	5	220	306	338	644	117	296	28	9	292	84	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	623	550	121	21	5	11	57	173	11	20	5	219	305	335	640	116	295	28	9	291	83	-13	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2037	28	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	619	547	119	20	5	11	57	173	10	19	5	217	303	330	633	113	294	28	9	288	81	-14	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	WSH	58%	610	539	116	20	5	10	56	172	10	18	5	214	300	323	623	109	292	28	9	284	78	-16	+2	-1	+2	+13	-0.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	600	531	112	19	4	9	54	171	10	18	6	211	296	315	611	104	290	28	9	279	75	-18	+1	-2	+2	+13	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	63	56	11	2	0	1	6	18	1	2	0	204	291	288	579	84	289	29	10	267	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	157	139	29	5	1	2	14	45	3	5	1	208	295	300	595	92	291	29	9	274	73	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	234	207	44	8	2	3	21	66	4	8	2	212	299	310	609	99	292	28	9	279	76	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	287	254	55	10	2	4	26	80	5	9	2	215	302	320	621	105	293	28	9	284	79	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	WSH	58%	322	283	61	11	2	5	30	89	6	10	3	218	304	328	632	110	294	28	9	288	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	337	297	65	11	2	6	31	93	6	11	3	219	305	331	636	112	294	28	9	290	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	347	306	67	12	2	6	32	96	6	11	3	219	305	333	638	114	294	28	9	290	84	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2035	26	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	352	311	68	12	2	6	32	97	6	11	3	219	305	334	639	115	294	28	9	291	84	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	346	305	67	12	2	6	32	96	6	11	3	218	304	331	635	113	293	28	9	289	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	340	300	65	11	2	6	31	95	6	10	3	216	302	326	628	110	292	28	9	287	81	-8	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	WSH	58%	354	313	67	12	2	6	32	100	6	11	3	214	299	320	619	106	291	28	9	283	78	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.0
2039	30	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	362	320	68	12	2	6	33	103	6	11	3	210	295	312	607	101	288	28	9	278	75	-11	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3501	3091	667	118	21	57	320	978	61	110	29	216	302	323	625	107	294	28	9	285	79	-83	+10	-2	+13	+76	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	124	22	4	11	59	182	11	20	5	216	301	326	627	110	294	28	9	285	79	-15	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6479	5714	1230	212	53	103	598	1822	114	208	55	215	302	325	627	110	295	28	9	285	79	-153	+19	-4	+23	+138	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	122	21	5	10	60	183	11	21	6	213	299	319	619	106	292	28	9	285	79	-16	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,592	58	113	217	300	327	+13	+4	3.7	3.5
/162	664	11	21	+2.4	+0.7	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Desi Relaford'96-'07 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,347 PA	5.0	3,347	40	81	234*	308*	336*	+18	-13	0.2	1.3
/162	664	8	16	+3.7	-2.6	0.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rayniel Lache (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	198/284/277	78	289	1	3	30%	9%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Pablo Aliendo 2019 · A	18	41	36→50	54→45	38	190/251/263	73	299	3	12	35%	6%	47	-2.6	179/260/245	66	274	4	11	33%	8%	47	-2.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	40	36→45	51→60	50	186/273/253	67	253	2	13	25%	9%	54	-2.0	202/271/287	85	305	6	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	41→38	39→45	53→40	44	198/266/282	84	282	6	11	30%	8%	57	-1.8	195/246/322	127	253	14	6	28%	6%	59	-1.7	185/240/312	128	238	14	4	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1

Rayniel Lache

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps