Player 837892 — OGILVIE

Player 8378921B DSL Arizona Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION217 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+80

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .296 / .250

PA27

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP283

ISO42

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	183	40	5	1	2	26	35	3	29	7	219	325	290	615	71	253	16	12	283	78	-6	+3	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	167	49	7	2	2	42	24	3	29	7	293	443	395	839	102	324	11	19	379	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	—	0%	27	24	5	1	0	0	3	6	0	2	0	208	296	250	546	42	283	22	11	287	80	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	—	—	244	207	45	6	1	2	29	41	3	31	7	217	322	285	607	68	256	17	12	283	78	-6	+3	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	339	298	67	10	2	4	35	74	3	12	2	225	312	312	625	87	286	22	10	292	84	-6	+2	+0	-6	+7	-0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	424	374	85	13	3	6	43	92	4	13	3	227	314	326	640	99	286	22	10	296	86	-7	+1	+0	-8	+9	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	481	425	98	16	3	8	48	105	5	14	3	231	316	339	655	108	286	22	10	298	88	-7	+2	+0	-9	+10	-0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	520	458	107	17	4	9	52	113	5	15	3	234	318	347	666	114	286	22	10	299	88	-7	+2	+0	-9	+11	-0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	547	481	112	18	4	9	55	119	6	16	3	233	319	343	662	110	286	22	10	299	89	-7	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	567	499	116	18	4	10	57	124	6	16	3	232	319	345	663	112	286	22	10	300	89	-7	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	582	512	119	19	4	10	59	127	6	16	3	232	319	344	663	111	286	22	10	300	89	-7	+2	+0	-10	+13	-0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	593	522	122	19	4	11	60	129	6	17	3	234	320	349	668	115	285	22	10	301	90	-7	+2	+0	-11	+13	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	286	—	—	292	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	286	—	—	296	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	286	—	—	298	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	286	—	—	299	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	286	—	—	299	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	286	—	—	300	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	286	—	—	300	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	285	—	—	301	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4080	3593	831	131	28	67	412	889	41	121	23	231	317	339	657	108	287	22	10	299	88	-57	+15	+0	-73	+88	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	132	21	4	11	66	142	7	19	4	231	318	339	657	108	287	22	10	299	88	-9	+2	+0	-12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Robbie Grossmanlast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,561 PA	6.9	4,561	93	67	242	345	374	-49	-62	5.0	6.1
/162	664	14	10	-7.1	-9.0	0.7	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,373	70	129	232	314	339	-49	+0	2.9	2.8
/162	664	11	20	-7.5	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837892 (OGILVIE)	25	63	33	66	63	222/311/306	84	283	3	21	22%	10%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Robertson 2011 · A	25	55→58	40	53→55	51	262/319/362	100	293	6	16	13%	7%	94	+0.9	255/310/343	88	294	4	17	14%	6%	86	+0.3	255/312/350	95	291	7	16	14%	6%	86	+0.2
●Fernando Perez 2007 · A	24	54→62	38→45	56→60	47	253/314/335	82	336	4	23	24%	8%	86	+0.3	257/322/360	103	367	6	29	29%	8%	94	+0.9	245/306/342	98	347	6	33	29%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Levi Michael 2016 · AA	25	49→59	40→45	57→55	48	233/301/331	98	299	6	21	23%	8%	81	-0.1	225/289/319	94	310	7	12	28%	6%	74	-0.6	228/294/337	109	315	10	11	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	47→57	40	56→55	48	225/296/321	96	287	6	24	23%	8%	77	-0.3	213/283/315	102	293	7	16	28%	8%	71	-0.8	203/278/305	103	285	7	17	29%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Maikol Gonzalez 2011 · A	25	51→58	37→40	53→60	47	237/297/319	82	306	2	17	22%	7%	76	-0.4	220/290/303	83	307	4	16	27%	8%	70	-0.8	265/333/315	49	315	1	35	15%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Joey Rickard 2016 · AAA	25	53→61	38→45	54→55	52	248/327/341	93	315	4	18	21%	9%	93	+0.8	245/305/350	105	304	8	13	21%	7%	86	+0.3	235/299/363	129	290	12	10	22%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Jared Triolo 2023 · AA	25	50→60	43→45	54→55	47	241/300/353	113	305	10	20	24%	8%	85	+0.2	239/317/352	113	322	10	17	26%	10%	92	+0.7	235/321/349	114	313	11	17	26%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	51→54	43→45	59→55	48	246/306/367	121	297	8	21	20%	7%	91	+0.6	255/316/349	94	318	6	20	20%	7%	90	+0.6	259/323/341	82	327	5	21	21%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Austin Wates 2014 · AAA	25	54→59	40	56→55	44	258/311/353	94	318	6	22	20%	6%	89	+0.5	238/292/312	74	300	3	24	20%	6%	72	-0.7	235/290/298	62	298	2	27	20%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Matt Szczur 2014 · AA	25	53→57	38→45	53→55	48	251/303/340	89	300	5	21	18%	6%	83	+0.1	236/282/326	90	290	7	23	20%	5%	72	-0.7	239/313/365	126	285	12	15	20%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Mike Sansoe 2007 · A	24	53	37→40	54→55	47	246/308/323	77	323	3	17	24%	8%	81	-0.1	223/279/296	73	301	4	14	25%	7%	63	-1.3	209/263/260	51	283	1	14	25%	6%	47	-1.4
✕Mike Freeman 2013 · A	25	54→60	36→45	56→55	48	251/302/318	67	309	3	17	19%	7%	77	-0.3	239/294/311	72	295	3	17	19%	7%	73	-0.6	267/316/348	81	340	4	12	21%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Cutter Dykstra 2014 · A	25	49→56	38→40	52→55	47	229/299/312	83	308	5	16	26%	8%	76	-0.4	229/293/311	82	316	6	11	27%	8%	73	-0.6	223/285/297	74	307	6	9	28%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Alden Carrithers 2010 · A	25	53→60	37→30	54→55	52	250/322/325	75	306	4	16	19%	9%	87	+0.4	266/338/329	63	312	2	15	14%	9%	93	+0.8	278/352/333	55	322	1	17	12%	10%	97	+0.7
✕Sebastien Boucher 2007 · AA	25	54→64	37→40	55	50	252/320/331	79	331	4	21	23%	9%	87	+0.4	232/298/323	91	309	7	16	25%	8%	78	-0.3	227/294/317	91	301	7	15	25%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	50→51	39→40	53→55	50	232/309/319	87	314	6	17	26%	10%	81	-0.1	221/300/314	93	310	7	17	28%	9%	77	-0.3	179/288/250	72	261	5	31	30%	12%	58	-0.3
✕Dairon Blanco 2019 · A	26	51	37→45	61→70	41	236/281/322	85	322	3	20	27%	5%	70	-0.9	217/266/326	109	313	8	27	31%	6%	66	-1.1	267/328/397	130	350	13	90	26%	6%	104	+0.8
✕Tyler Holt 2014 · AA	25	48→58	36→30	56→55	46	225/280/294	69	290	2	20	22%	7%	63	-1.3	249/313/314	65	321	2	24	21%	8%	80	-0.1	258/330/314	56	334	1	27	21%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Daniel Figueroa 2008 · A	25	52→53	35→30	54→55	49	235/316/296	61	322	2	20	25%	9%	78	-0.3	230/316/291	61	318	3	20	26%	9%	78	-0.3	226/319/277	51	311	2	21	25%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Jon Matthews 2015 · A	24	52	37→40	55→60	44	241/301/318	77	324	5	22	26%	6%	77	-0.3	220/291/289	69	301	4	12	26%	8%	68	-1.0	171/266/197	25	238	0	6	25%	10%	36	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps