Leonardo Sevilla

SS DSL Arizona Red

Age 19 S/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#528ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	217	.293/.443/.395	2	29	61	—	.183/.307/.233
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	327	.237/.316/.321	3	10	83	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	20	MLB—	71	.239/.320/.332	1	2	87	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	21	MLB—	167	.242/.323/.341	2	5	90	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%96

K%94

Z-Con%90

Speed83

BB%76

wOBA75

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsXavier Edwards (age 19) · Jaison Chourio (age 19) · Leo Rivas (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 115 proj PA

wRC+83

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .314 / .318

PA115

HR1

K%22

BB%9

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$57M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 72 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT72

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE73

scouting grade only

SPEED71

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$24M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	167	49	7	2	2	42	24	3	29	7	293	443	395	839	102	324	11	19	379	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	180	33	4	1	1	29	29	3	29	7	183	307	233	540	50	206	13	13	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	180	33	4	1	1	29	29	3	29	7	183	307	233	540	50	208	13	13	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	167	49	7	2	2	42	24	3	29	7	293	443	395	839	102	324	11	19	379	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	183	33	4	1	1	29	29	3	29	7	180	307	230	536	49	206	13	13	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	217	183	33	4	1	1	29	29	3	29	7	180	307	230	536	49	206	13	13	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	327	290	69	10	3	3	31	72	3	10	1	237	316	321	637	84	302	22	9	291	83	-7	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	43%	164	145	34	5	1	2	16	36	2	5	1	239	320	332	652	92	303	22	10	297	87	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	61%	274	243	58	9	2	3	26	59	3	9	1	242	323	341	664	100	303	22	9	302	90	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	68%	379	336	81	13	3	5	36	82	4	12	2	244	324	349	673	106	303	22	9	305	93	-3	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	71%	447	397	97	15	4	7	42	96	5	14	2	245	325	356	681	110	304	21	9	308	95	-3	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	71%	489	435	107	17	4	8	46	105	5	15	3	246	326	361	687	115	304	21	9	310	96	-2	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	71%	515	456	113	18	4	9	48	111	6	16	3	246	326	362	688	115	304	22	9	311	96	-2	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	527	466	115	18	4	9	50	113	6	16	3	246	326	362	689	116	304	21	9	311	97	-2	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	69%	530	469	115	18	4	9	50	115	6	16	3	246	326	360	685	114	303	22	9	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	526	466	114	18	4	9	49	115	6	15	3	244	324	355	679	112	303	22	9	307	94	-4	+2	-1	+6	+11	1.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	515	457	110	17	4	8	48	114	5	14	3	242	321	350	671	108	302	22	9	304	92	-5	+2	-1	+6	+11	1.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	72%	502	445	107	17	4	7	47	113	5	13	2	239	318	342	660	103	301	23	9	299	89	-7	+2	-2	+5	+11	0.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	75%	486	433	102	16	3	7	45	111	5	11	3	235	313	333	646	98	299	23	9	294	85	-9	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	—	77%	465	416	95	14	3	6	42	108	4	10	3	230	308	321	629	91	295	23	9	287	80	-11	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	—	79%	430	385	87	13	3	5	38	103	4	9	4	225	301	307	608	83	292	24	9	278	75	-13	+0	-4	+5	+9	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	43%	71	63	15	2	1	1	7	15	1	2	0	239	320	332	652	92	303	21	10	297	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	61%	167	147	36	6	1	2	16	36	2	5	1	242	323	341	664	100	303	22	10	302	90	-2	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	68%	258	229	56	9	2	4	24	56	3	8	1	244	324	349	673	106	303	22	9	305	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	71%	318	281	70	11	3	5	30	68	4	10	2	245	325	356	681	110	304	21	9	308	95	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	71%	347	307	76	12	3	6	33	75	4	11	2	246	326	361	687	115	304	22	10	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	71%	365	324	80	13	3	6	34	78	4	11	2	246	326	362	688	115	304	21	9	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	373	331	81	13	3	6	35	80	4	11	2	246	326	362	689	116	304	21	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	69%	368	326	80	13	3	6	35	80	4	11	2	246	326	360	685	114	303	22	10	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	362	321	78	12	3	6	34	79	4	10	2	244	324	355	679	112	303	22	9	307	94	-3	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	345	306	74	12	3	5	32	76	4	9	2	242	321	350	671	108	302	22	9	304	92	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	72%	360	320	77	12	3	5	33	81	4	9	2	239	318	342	660	103	301	22	9	299	89	-5	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	75%	364	325	77	12	3	5	33	83	3	8	2	235	313	333	646	98	299	23	9	294	85	-6	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	—	77%	359	320	73	11	2	4	33	84	3	8	2	230	308	321	629	91	295	23	9	287	80	-8	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	—	79%	338	302	68	10	2	4	30	81	3	7	3	225	301	307	608	83	292	24	9	278	75	-10	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4395	3902	941	148	35	65	409	972	47	120	25	241	321	347	668	106	303	22	9	302	90	-50	+14	-11	+47	+95	9.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	139	22	5	10	60	144	7	18	4	241	320	348	668	107	302	22	9	302	90	-7	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6581	5831	1393	216	49	96	623	1435	70	208	43	239	320	342	662	103	299	22	9	301	90	-72	+21	-15	+68	+138	14.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	137	21	5	9	62	142	7	21	4	238	320	339	658	101	298	22	10	301	90	-7	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 217 PAwOBA .378 → .259 (−118)K% 11.1% → 13.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.06%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	13.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.35%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	13.55%
HBP% /PA	1.38%	—	×0.700	—	—	0.97%
Singles /BIP	26.57%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.961	—	17.37%
Doubles /BIP	4.90%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.961	—	2.82%
Triples /BIP	1.40%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.961	—	0.81%
Home runs /BIP	1.40%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	0.66%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .378 → .259; ISO .102 → .060; BABIP .324 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Spike Owen'83-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,615 PA	8.5	5,615	46	82	242*	322*	356*	+55	+30	15.6	15.3
/162	664	5	10	+6.5	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	6.8	4,509	67	125	242	317	347	+48	+33	13.5	11.4
/162	664	10	18	+7.1	+4.9	2.0	pk7: 9
#4Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leonardo Sevilla (OGILVIE)	19	67→72	31→36	66→71	73	234/314/318	83	302	1	4	22%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2016 · A	21	52	35→30	60	58	235/338/301	66	307	2	25	21%	12%	88	+0.5	219/281/293	74	322	4	19	30%	7%	64	-1.3	223/263/298	74	316	6	25	30%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Dylan O'Rae 2024 · A	20	58	34→30	59→65	57	262/357/316	53	339	2	32	21%	12%	99	+1.2	229/325/288	59	315	2	41	25%	11%	81	-0.1	228/328/288	59	314	2	53	24%	11%	78	-0.2
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Vidal Bruján 2019 · A	21	56→60	42→45	57→65	51	268/328/382	115	313	8	27	17%	8%	102	+1.5	244/301/352	108	294	8	37	19%	7%	85	+0.2	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	49	38→45	60→65	58	225/314/315	90	253	4	32	13%	10%	82	+0.0	225/310/318	93	284	5	23	21%	9%	82	-0.0	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
●Justin Crawford 2024 · A	20	59→69	39→45	63→60	43	273/321/373	100	362	4	32	25%	6%	97	+1.1	283/327/387	104	364	7	33	23%	6%	102	+1.5	289/335/390	101	364	7	35	21%	6%	103	+1.2
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Keiner Delgado 2023 · A	19	45→49	38→45	57→60	66	205/340/297	92	247	4	26	17%	15%	90	+0.6	205/292/305	100	265	9	25	24%	9%	73	-0.6	209/287/310	101	279	12	22	28%	8%	69	-0.7
●Ozzie Albies 2016 · A	19	59→62	36→60	57→55	47	275/321/355	80	335	2	20	18%	6%	93	+0.8	266/312/393	127	321	9	19	19%	6%	98	+1.2	273/321/453	180	310	18	16	18%	6%	116	+2.9
●Emilio Bonifácio 2006 · A	21	52→62	35→40	57→65	46	242/294/303	61	308	2	26	21%	7%	70	-0.8	268/310/349	81	345	4	30	22%	6%	87	+0.4	272/337/355	83	348	3	41	21%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7

Leonardo Sevilla

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps