Dylan O'Rae — OGILVIE

Dylan O'Rae2B Biloxi Shuckers

Age 22 L/R 5'8" / 160 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION431 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP307

ISO57

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$9M	+$5M
2031	Arb-2	$9M	+1.5	$8M	+$3M
2032	Arb-3	$12M	+1.3	$7M	+$0.0M
Totals		$29M		$41M	+$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	26	8	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	308	438	308	745		400	21	18	346	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	107	88	29	4	0	0	17	14	1	16	4	330	443	375	818	45	387	13	16	377	141	+5	+2	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	178	130	47	4	1	0	40	23	6	28	2	362	528	408	936	46	431	13	22	433	179	+17	+5	—	—	+4	2.6
2024	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	298	246	42	7	0	1	45	71	5	29	7	171	311	211	522	41	234	24	15	258	61	-14	+3	—	—	+6	-0.5
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	284	229	61	7	3	0	42	51	12	33	5	266	406	323	730	57	341	18	15	345	120	+7	+5	—	—	+6	1.8
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	357	128	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	28	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	250	344	250	594		335	30	12	265	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	107	95	27	3	0	0	10	20	1	16	4	284	358	316	674	32	356	19	9	312	97	-0	+2	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	178	145	42	3	1	0	25	34	6	28	2	290	415	324	739	34	363	19	14	337	114	+3	+5	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	20	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	298	260	43	7	0	1	31	87	5	29	7	165	267	204	471	38	234	29	10	218	34	-24	+3	—	—	+6	-1.4
2024	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	284	241	55	6	2	0	30	69	12	33	5	228	343	270	612	41	313	24	11	283	78	-8	+5	—	—	+6	0.3
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	28	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	250	344	250	594		368	30	12	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	26	8	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	308	438	308	745		400	21	18	346	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	285	240	70	7	1	0	35	54	7	44	6	292	397	329	726	37	370	19	12	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	285	218	76	8	1	0	57	37	7	44	6	349	496	394	891	46	413	13	20	412	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	501	97	13	2	1	61	156	17	62	12	194	302	234	536	40	277	27	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	582	475	103	14	3	1	87	122	17	62	12	217	358	265	623	48	288	21	15	301	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL MLE	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL RAW	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	29	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	241	344	241	585		335	30	12	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	285	241	70	7	1	0	35	54	7	44	6	290	397	328	725	37	360	19	12	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	499	97	13	2	1	61	156	17	62	12	194	302	234	537	40	273	27	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	285	241	70	7	1	0	35	54	7	44	6	290	397	328	725	37	360	19	12	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	499	97	13	2	1	61	156	17	62	12	194	302	234	537	40	273	27	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	MIL	—	431	375	96	11	6	2	47	95	5	62	9	256	347	333	680	77	336	22	11	308	95	-3	+9	+0	+2	+9	1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA RAW	MIL	—	431	351	96	12	6	3	69	78	5	62	9	274	398	368	766	94	342	18	16	350	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	MIL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		309	22	11	294	85	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	MIL	—	440	383	97	11	6	2	48	97	5	63	9	253	344	329	673	76	332	22	11	308	94	-3	+9	+0	+2	+10	1.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIL	44%	581	505	121	16	6	4	63	128	8	47	7	240	333	319	652	79	307	22	11	297	87	-9	+7	+0	+2	+13	1.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	58%	609	530	129	17	6	7	66	132	8	44	7	243	336	338	674	94	307	22	11	307	94	-4	+6	+0	+2	+13	1.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	618	538	132	18	6	9	67	133	8	41	6	245	338	351	689	106	306	22	11	313	98	-2	+6	+0	+2	+13	2.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	627	546	134	18	6	10	68	135	8	39	6	245	338	355	693	110	306	22	11	316	100	-0	+5	+0	+2	+14	2.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	629	547	134	18	6	10	69	136	8	36	6	245	338	355	693	110	306	22	11	316	100	+0	+5	+0	+2	+14	2.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	626	544	133	18	5	10	69	136	8	32	5	244	338	351	689	107	306	22	11	315	99	-0	+4	-1	+2	+14	1.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIL	66%	617	535	130	17	5	10	69	136	8	28	4	243	338	350	688	107	305	22	11	313	98	-1	+4	-1	+2	+13	1.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIL	66%	607	526	127	17	5	9	68	135	8	25	4	241	337	344	681	103	304	22	11	311	96	-3	+3	-2	+2	+13	1.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	594	515	122	16	5	8	66	134	8	21	3	237	333	334	667	97	302	23	11	307	94	-4	+3	-3	+2	+13	1.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	576	500	118	15	5	8	64	132	7	18	3	236	331	334	665	98	300	23	11	302	90	-7	+2	-4	+2	+12	0.7
2037	33	MLB MLE	MIL	65%	546	474	108	13	4	7	60	128	7	14	2	228	323	316	640	89	296	23	11	296	86	-9	+2	-4	+2	+12	0.3
2038	34	MLB MLE	MIL	60%	498	434	96	11	4	5	55	120	6	11	2	221	317	300	617	78	292	24	11	288	81	-11	+1	-5	+2	+11	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIL	44%	256	223	53	7	2	2	28	56	3	21	3	238	331	314	645	76	305	22	11	286	87	-4	+3	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	58%	355	308	74	10	3	4	39	77	5	26	4	240	335	331	666	91	305	22	11	297	94	-3	+4	+0	+1	+8	1.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	402	350	85	11	4	6	44	87	5	27	4	243	336	349	684	106	305	22	11	303	98	-1	+4	+0	+1	+9	1.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	427	372	91	12	4	7	46	92	6	26	4	245	337	355	692	110	305	22	11	306	100	-0	+4	+0	+2	+9	1.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	428	372	91	12	4	7	47	93	6	25	4	245	339	355	694	110	304	22	11	307	100	+0	+3	+0	+2	+9	1.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	426	370	90	12	4	7	47	93	6	22	3	243	338	354	692	111	304	22	11	306	99	-0	+3	-0	+2	+9	1.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIL	66%	410	356	86	11	3	7	46	90	5	19	3	242	337	348	685	107	304	22	11	304	98	-1	+3	-1	+1	+9	1.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIL	66%	398	346	83	11	3	6	44	88	5	16	2	240	334	341	675	101	303	22	11	301	96	-2	+2	-1	+1	+9	1.0
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	386	335	79	10	3	6	43	87	5	14	2	236	332	337	669	101	301	23	11	298	94	-3	+2	-2	+1	+8	0.7
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	373	324	76	10	3	5	41	86	5	11	2	235	330	330	660	96	298	23	11	293	90	-4	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	MIL	65%	352	306	71	9	3	5	39	83	4	9	1	232	327	330	657	98	295	24	11	287	86	-6	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.2
2038	34	MLB CTX	MIL	60%	299	260	57	7	2	3	33	72	4	6	1	219	316	296	613	77	290	24	11	279	81	-7	+1	-3	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4512	3922	936	122	38	65	497	1004	59	222	33	239	333	339	672	100	303	22	11	298	90	-30	+31	-13	+16	+98	10.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	134	18	5	9	72	145	8	32	5	237	332	335	666	97	302	22	11	298	90	-4	+4	-2	+2	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8086	7014	1672	218	66	98	890	1822	117	473	75	238	334	330	664	92	307	23	11	302	90	-51	+49	-20	+25	+155	16.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	135	18	5	8	72	146	9	38	6	239	335	332	666	92	308	22	11	302	90	-5	+4	-2	+2	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Chone Figginslast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,348 PA	8.1	5,348	35	339	276	350	363	+16	+13	22.1	22.9
/162	664	4	42	+2.0	+1.6	2.7	pk7: 24
#3Michael Bournlast yr '16 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,312 PA	8.0	5,312	36	340	266	330	358	+17	+56	22.0	21.6
/162	664	4	42	+2.1	+7.0	2.8	pk7: 21
#4Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#5Jason Bartlettlast yr '12 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,503 PA	5.3	3,503	31	121	271	337	368	+38	+56	20.3	20.5
/162	664	6	23	+7.1	+10.7	3.8	pk7: 21
#6Ryan Theriotlast yr '12 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	5.4	3,601	17	121	281	341	350	+30	+25	15.0	15.0
/162	664	3	22	+5.6	+4.7	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.8	4,517	63	222	241	331	341	+46	+24	17.0	14.8
/162	664	9	33	+6.8	+3.5	2.5	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan O'Rae (OGILVIE)	22	45→50	30→35	78→80	63	234/329/301	67	309	1	34	22%	11%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2013 · AA	22	54→61	36→40	76→70	46	248/308/325	78	341	2	72	26%	8%	81	-0.1	236/283/318	82	301	4	67	22%	6%	70	-0.9	241/300/326	84	310	4	55	22%	8%	76	-0.4
●Mallex Smith 2016 · AAA	23	56→62	38→45	65	47	264/321/348	84	337	4	46	22%	7%	91	+0.7	261/320/361	100	335	5	40	22%	8%	94	+0.9	265/331/371	106	338	4	43	21%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Jayce Easley 2022 · A	22	47→46	36→30	64→65	54	213/313/279	66	305	3	44	28%	12%	74	-0.5	193/289/259	66	282	4	32	29%	11%	61	-1.5	165/267/213	48	250	3	32	31%	11%	42	-1.2
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	53→59	40→45	63→60	43	249/298/351	102	329	6	35	25%	6%	83	+0.1	256/301/349	93	330	5	28	23%	6%	84	+0.1	254/299/339	85	328	5	27	23%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2016 · A	21	46→48	38→50	67→65	41	218/267/308	90	300	4	44	28%	6%	62	-1.4	202/246/311	109	292	7	32	32%	5%	55	-2.0	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
●Brett Gardner 2007 · AA	23	55→59	35→55	63→65	51	251/323/319	67	332	1	38	23%	9%	86	+0.3	253/323/339	86	325	3	41	21%	9%	90	+0.6	245/329/415	170	276	19	16	18%	10%	109	+2.0
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→51	39→40	65	43	224/282/312	88	295	6	35	25%	6%	69	-0.9	222/277/311	89	296	6	34	25%	6%	67	-1.1	216/271/303	86	289	6	36	26%	6%	60	-1.3
✕José Peraza 2015 · AA	21	58→65	37→45	65	42	271/299/349	78	316	2	40	15%	3%	82	+0.0	262/290/339	77	300	4	32	14%	3%	77	-0.3	272/310/361	89	305	7	25	13%	4%	87	+0.3
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2012 · MLB	24	57→67	36→40	64→65	43	267/301/335	69	321	2	42	17%	4%	80	-0.2	255/302/328	73	316	2	49	19%	6%	79	-0.2	310/342/386	76	360	3	52	14%	4%	104	+1.6
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48→47	39→40	64→70	41	218/312/303	85	321	6	41	31%	6%	80	-0.1	220/307/306	86	308	5	49	28%	6%	79	-0.2	224/314/320	95	301	5	64	25%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Billy Burns 2014 · AA	24	60→64	34→40	65	53	277/351/335	58	336	1	39	17%	8%	100	+1.3	257/308/329	72	312	3	35	17%	6%	82	-0.0	262/307/330	68	313	2	29	16%	5%	78	-0.2
●Michael Bourn 2007 · AAA	24	52→62	39→45	64→65	45	246/299/335	89	318	5	31	24%	7%	80	-0.2	249/308/338	89	318	5	43	22%	8%	84	+0.1	276/338/379	103	351	5	38	21%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Myles Straw 2019 · AAA	24	57→58	35→40	63→60	50	261/326/322	61	338	2	37	22%	9%	87	+0.4	256/323/323	67	329	3	33	21%	9%	86	+0.3	250/325/314	63	308	2	27	18%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Antoan Richardson 2007 · A	23	54→59	36→40	62→60	49	252/321/316	65	323	3	37	22%	8%	84	+0.2	235/314/307	72	318	4	31	25%	9%	80	-0.1	260/355/321	61	344	1	30	22%	11%	95	+0.7
✕Gabriel Mejia 2015 · A	20	54	34→30	63→70	51	245/315/301	55	327	1	43	24%	9%	78	-0.3	243/301/298	55	311	1	32	20%	7%	72	-0.7	240/290/280	40	302	0	29	19%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Desmond Jennings 2011 · MLB	24	53→59	41→50	65→60	50	253/314/365	112	298	6	37	17%	7%	93	+0.8	245/318/389	144	295	13	29	20%	9%	101	+1.4	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	48→55	42→45	62→65	46	229/300/335	106	305	9	41	26%	8%	82	-0.0	234/309/333	99	313	7	32	25%	9%	84	+0.2	239/318/333	94	320	6	34	25%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Everth Cabrera 2009 · A	22	51→59	39→40	61→65	43	238/293/326	89	318	5	34	26%	6%	76	-0.4	240/307/329	89	313	4	33	22%	8%	82	+0.0	263/328/345	82	334	3	54	21%	8%	90	+0.4
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→42	42→50	65→70	46	209/270/321	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	67	-1.1	209/277/330	121	275	12	50	27%	8%	72	-0.7	226/287/352	126	279	13	56	23%	8%	79	-0.1
●Carl Crawford 2004 · MLB	22	56→65	39→55	64→65	44	269/300/362	93	310	6	38	16%	4%	86	+0.3	289/325/436	147	320	11	44	13%	5%	113	+2.3	302/341/465	163	337	13	47	14%	5%	122	+3.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps