Dylan O'Rae — OGILVIE

Dylan O'RaeSS Biloxi Shuckers

Age 22 L/R 5'8" / 160 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .333 / .294

PA209

HR1

SB19

K%23

BB%11

BABIP310

ISO61

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$13M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$16M	+$16M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$17M	+$17M
2030	Arb-1	$6M	+2.9	$17M	+$13M
2031	Arb-2	$10M	+2.9	$16M	+$10M
2032	Arb-3	$14M	+2.7	$14M	+$6M
Totals		$32M		$94M	+$74M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	28	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	250	344	250	594		368	30	12	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	26	8	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	308	438	308	745		400	21	18	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	285	240	68	6	1	0	35	56	7	44	6	283	390	317	707	33	364	20	12	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	285	218	76	8	1	0	57	37	7	44	6	349	496	394	891	46	413	13	20	412	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	2 teams	—	582	500	96	13	2	1	62	163	17	62	12	192	302	232	534	40	281	28	11	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	2 teams	—	582	475	103	14	3	1	87	122	17	62	12	217	358	265	623	48	288	21	15	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	MIL	—	314	271	74	11	3	2	34	70	5	39	8	273	365	358	722	85	358	22	11	321	104	+1	+5	+0	+3	+9	1.9
YTD	22	AA	MIL	—	314	254	74	12	3	2	49	54	5	39	8	291	413	386	799	94	360	17	16	363	136	+13	+5	+0	+3	+9	3.0
ROS	22	AA	MIL	2%	209	180	42	6	1	1	23	48	4	19	4	233	333	294	627	61	314	23	11	296	85	-4	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.7
ROS	22	MLB	MIL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		312	25	0	282	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	AA	MIL	—	318	275	75	11	3	2	34	71	5	39	8	273	363	356	719	84	358	22	11	321	103	+1	+5	+0	+3	+9	1.9
TOT	22	AA	MIL	—	523	451	116	17	4	3	57	118	9	58	12	257	352	332	684	75	339	23	11	311	96	-2	+7	+0	+6	+15	2.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIL	44%	581	503	119	18	4	3	63	131	10	39	8	237	333	306	639	70	310	23	11	297	86	-9	+5	+0	+6	+16	1.8
2028	24	MLB	MIL	58%	609	529	129	20	4	7	65	136	10	37	7	244	338	336	674	93	310	22	11	307	93	-5	+5	+0	+7	+17	2.4
2029	25	MLB	MIL	65%	618	537	132	20	4	9	66	137	10	35	7	246	339	348	688	102	310	22	11	313	98	-2	+4	+0	+7	+18	2.7
2030	26	MLB	MIL	68%	627	545	134	21	4	10	67	139	10	33	7	246	339	354	693	108	309	22	11	316	100	+0	+4	+0	+7	+18	2.9
2031	27	MLB	MIL	68%	629	546	135	21	4	10	68	139	10	31	6	247	341	355	697	108	309	22	11	316	100	+0	+4	+0	+7	+18	2.9
2032	28	MLB	MIL	68%	626	542	133	20	4	10	69	140	10	28	6	245	341	352	694	107	309	22	11	315	100	-0	+3	-1	+7	+18	2.7
2033	29	MLB	MIL	66%	617	534	131	20	4	10	68	139	10	25	5	245	342	354	695	109	308	23	11	314	98	-1	+3	-1	+7	+17	2.5
2034	30	MLB	MIL	66%	607	526	126	19	3	9	67	138	9	22	4	240	336	338	674	99	308	23	11	311	96	-3	+3	-2	+7	+17	2.2
2035	31	MLB	MIL	65%	594	515	122	19	3	8	65	137	9	19	4	237	333	332	665	95	306	23	11	307	93	-5	+2	-3	+6	+17	1.8
2036	32	MLB	MIL	65%	576	499	117	17	3	8	63	135	9	17	3	234	331	329	660	94	303	23	11	302	89	-7	+2	-4	+6	+16	1.5
2037	33	MLB	MIL	65%	546	473	109	16	3	7	60	131	8	14	3	230	327	321	649	91	299	24	11	296	85	-9	+2	-4	+6	+15	0.9
2038	34	MLB	MIL	60%	498	434	96	13	3	5	54	123	7	11	2	221	317	300	617	78	294	25	11	288	79	-12	+1	-5	+5	+14	0.4
2039	35	MLB	MIL	56%	443	386	83	11	2	4	48	112	6	9	2	215	311	285	596	70	289	25	11	279	72	-14	+1	-6	+5	+13	-0.1
2040	36	MLB	MIL	47%	382	333	70	9	2	3	41	100	5	6	1	210	306	276	582	66	284	26	11	270	65	-15	+1	-6	+4	+11	-0.6
2027	23	MLB	MIL	44%	256	222	53	8	2	2	28	58	4	17	3	239	335	320	654	81	308	23	11	283	75	-7	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2028	24	MLB	MIL	58%	355	308	74	11	2	4	38	79	6	22	4	240	335	328	663	88	308	22	11	293	83	-7	+3	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2029	25	MLB	MIL	65%	402	350	85	13	2	6	43	89	6	23	5	243	336	343	679	100	307	22	11	299	87	-6	+3	+0	+4	+11	1.3
2030	26	MLB	MIL	68%	427	371	91	14	3	7	46	94	7	22	4	245	340	356	695	111	307	22	11	302	90	-5	+3	+0	+5	+12	1.5
2031	27	MLB	MIL	68%	428	371	91	14	3	7	47	95	7	21	4	245	341	356	697	111	307	22	11	302	90	-5	+3	+0	+5	+12	1.5
2032	28	MLB	MIL	68%	426	369	91	14	3	7	47	95	7	19	4	247	343	358	701	111	307	22	11	302	89	-5	+2	-0	+5	+12	1.3
2033	29	MLB	MIL	66%	410	356	85	13	2	6	45	92	6	17	3	239	334	337	671	98	306	22	11	300	88	-6	+2	-1	+4	+12	1.2
2034	30	MLB	MIL	66%	398	345	82	12	2	6	44	91	6	14	3	238	334	336	670	99	305	23	11	298	86	-6	+2	-1	+4	+11	1.0
2035	31	MLB	MIL	65%	386	334	79	12	2	5	43	89	6	13	3	237	334	329	664	93	303	23	11	294	83	-7	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.7
2036	32	MLB	MIL	65%	373	323	75	11	2	5	41	88	6	11	2	232	330	325	655	93	301	24	11	289	79	-9	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.5
2037	33	MLB	MIL	65%	352	305	70	10	2	4	39	84	5	9	2	230	327	315	641	85	297	24	11	283	75	-10	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.2
2038	34	MLB	MIL	60%	299	260	58	8	2	3	33	74	4	6	1	223	320	304	624	81	292	25	11	276	69	-10	+1	-3	+3	+8	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	MIL	56%	246	213	45	6	1	2	27	62	4	5	1	211	311	277	588	66	287	25	11	267	63	-10	+1	-3	+3	+7	-0.3
2040	36	MLB	MIL	47%	178	154	32	4	1	1	19	47	3	3	1	208	307	266	573	58	282	26	11	258	56	-9	+0	-3	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4940	4285	1012	150	29	65	540	1138	77	202	40	236	332	330	663	94	305	23	11	292	81	-104	+24	-19	+53	+140	9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	134	20	4	9	71	150	10	27	5	238	333	335	668	98	306	23	11	292	81	-14	+3	-2	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	9111	7893	1862	273	51	105	993	2129	152	461	89	236	333	323	656	87	308	23	11	299	87	-133	+57	-31	+98	+258	25.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	132	19	4	7	71	152	11	33	6	234	332	320	651	85	307	23	11	299	87	-9	+4	-2	+7	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	26	8	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	308	438	308	745		400	21	18	346	123	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	107	88	29	4	0	0	17	14	1	16	4	330	443	375	818	45	387	13	16	377	147	+6	+2	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	178	130	47	4	1	0	40	23	6	28	2	362	528	408	936	46	431	13	22	433	190	+18	+5	—	—	+5	2.8
2024	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	298	246	42	7	0	1	45	71	5	29	7	171	311	211	522	41	234	24	15	258	56	-15	+3	—	—	+8	-0.4
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	284	229	61	7	3	0	42	51	12	33	5	266	406	323	730	57	341	18	15	345	123	+7	+5	—	—	+8	2.0
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	357	132	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Julio Lugolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA	11	5,290	80	198	270	334	386	+31	+25	23.8	23.1
	/162	664	10	25	270	334	386	+3.9	+3.1	3.0	pk7: 22
#3Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#4Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#5Ryan Theriotlast yr '12 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	17	121	281	341	350	+30	+25	15.0	15.0
	/162	664	3	22	281	341	350	+5.6	+4.7	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,941	66	202	239	330	334	+48	+27	15.9	14.0
	/162	664	9	27	239	330	334	+6.4	+3.6	2.1	pk7: 12
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan O'Rae (OGILVIE)	22	43→48	30→35	75→80	63	257/352/332	75	339	3	58	23%	11%	96	+2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2013 · AA	22	55→63	36→40	76→70	46	252/311/329	77	347	2	72	26%	8%	81	+0.4	237/283/320	83	304	5	67	22%	6%	66	-0.6	240/299/324	84	307	4	55	22%	8%	73	-0.1
●Mallex Smith 2016 · AAA	23	56→61	39→45	65	47	261/320/351	89	336	5	46	23%	8%	91	+1.1	259/318/361	102	332	6	40	22%	8%	92	+1.2	262/328/367	105	334	4	43	21%	8%	96	+1.0
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	52→60	40→45	63→60	44	247/298/348	101	326	6	35	25%	7%	80	+0.4	257/301/351	94	334	6	28	23%	6%	82	+0.5	255/298/342	87	332	5	27	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Jayce Easley 2022 · A	22	46→45	36→30	64→65	53	212/308/277	65	300	3	44	28%	11%	69	-0.4	190/286/255	65	278	4	32	30%	11%	54	-1.4	160/263/207	47	244	3	32	32%	11%	31	-1.3
●Brett Gardner 2007 · AA	23	55→59	35→55	63→65	51	250/322/317	67	333	1	38	24%	9%	83	+0.6	252/322/340	88	324	3	41	21%	9%	89	+0.9	244/328/413	169	275	18	16	18%	10%	109	+2.4
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→48	38→40	65	43	223/280/308	85	293	5	35	25%	6%	63	-0.8	217/271/302	85	297	5	34	27%	6%	58	-1.2	209/263/288	80	288	5	36	28%	6%	48	-1.5
●Michael Bourn 2007 · AAA	24	52→62	39→45	64→65	45	244/297/336	92	320	6	31	25%	7%	76	+0.1	248/307/338	90	318	6	43	22%	8%	82	+0.5	274/337/375	101	350	5	38	21%	8%	101	+2.0
✕José Peraza 2015 · AA	21	57→64	37→45	65	42	271/298/350	80	317	3	40	16%	3%	80	+0.4	262/290/342	80	300	5	32	14%	3%	75	-0.0	272/311/362	90	305	8	25	13%	4%	86	+0.7
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2012 · MLB	24	55→65	35→40	64→65	42	260/294/326	66	315	2	42	18%	4%	72	-0.2	250/296/319	69	312	2	49	19%	6%	72	-0.2	313/345/388	75	364	3	52	14%	4%	106	+2.1
✕Carlos Willoughby 2011 · A	22	50→42	36→40	62→60	49	232/308/311	79	296	2	28	21%	8%	76	+0.0	207/277/276	69	268	2	17	21%	8%	54	-1.4	197/272/260	63	253	1	17	20%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Travis Jankowski 2014 · A	23	54→62	35→40	61→65	46	249/299/311	62	322	2	37	22%	7%	71	-0.3	257/314/330	73	328	3	34	21%	7%	82	+0.5	267/332/343	75	341	3	37	21%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Myles Straw 2019 · AAA	24	56→60	35→40	63→60	50	258/323/319	60	338	2	37	23%	8%	83	+0.6	257/323/324	67	331	3	33	21%	9%	85	+0.7	251/325/314	62	309	2	27	18%	10%	81	+0.4
✕Jace Peterson 2013 · A	23	53→58	37→50	60→55	53	245/312/328	82	292	2	27	16%	8%	82	+0.5	250/317/348	98	305	5	23	18%	9%	89	+0.9	243/319/402	159	297	17	19	23%	9%	101	+1.2
✕Antoan Richardson 2007 · A	23	54→59	36→40	62→60	49	252/321/316	65	323	3	37	22%	8%	82	+0.5	234/313/307	73	319	4	31	25%	9%	78	+0.2	255/350/321	66	341	1	30	22%	11%	93	+0.9
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	47→45	39→40	64→70	40	216/309/302	86	322	7	41	32%	6%	77	+0.1	216/302/305	89	306	6	49	29%	5%	74	-0.1	223/313/324	101	306	6	64	26%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Everth Cabrera 2009 · A	22	51→60	39→40	61→65	43	238/293/326	89	318	5	34	26%	6%	73	-0.1	239/307/330	91	313	4	33	23%	8%	80	+0.4	262/328/346	84	335	4	54	21%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	66	-0.6	250/279/329	79	309	3	23	19%	4%	66	-0.6	280/299/338	58	344	0	29	18%	2%	72	-0.1
✕Rochest Cruz 2019 · A	20	49	37→40	61→65	54	226/303/299	73	269	4	34	16%	9%	71	-0.3	206/274/271	65	290	3	23	28%	7%	52	-1.6	144/214/156	12	235	0	30	35%	6%	-5	-1.2
✕Gabriel Mejia 2015 · A	20	54	34→30	63→70	51	245/315/301	55	327	1	43	24%	9%	76	+0.0	246/304/301	55	315	1	32	20%	7%	70	-0.3	248/299/288	40	312	0	29	19%	6%	62	-0.3
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0