Dylan O'Rae — OGILVIE

Dylan O'RaeSS Biloxi Shuckers

Age 22 L/R 5'8" / 160 lbs AA BB +10%HR +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 2.8 · 2030

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .311 / .279

PA320

HR3

SB32

K%25

BB%11

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

42↗47

PWR

30↗35

SPD

75↗80

EYE

58↗63

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.5	$22M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.8	$25M	+$24M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.8	$26M	+$25M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+2.7	$26M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.5	$25M	+$16M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.2	$22M	+$11M
Totals		$28M		$146M	+$117M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	33	28	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	.250	.344	.250	.594	.000	.368	30	12	.266	62	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	285	239	70	7	1	0	36	55	7	44	6	.293	.401	.331	.731	.038	.374	19	13	.330	111	+3	+6	+0	+3	+8	2.1
2024	20	AA	2 teams	582	501	97	13	2	1	61	158	17	62	12	.194	.302	.234	.536	.040	.279	27	10	.248	48	-34	+8	+0	+6	+16	-0.4
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	.302	.388	.395	.783	.093	.464	31	10	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	82	70	24	4	1	1	10	15	1	14	4	.343	.432	.471	.904	.129	.418	18	12	.380	149	+5	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.9
ROS	22	MLB	MIL	238	205	48	7	1	2	26	56	5	18	4	.234	.335	.307	.642	.073	.308	24	11	.298	86	-4	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.8
TOT	22	MLB	MIL	320	275	72	11	2	3	36	71	6	32	8	.262	.360	.349	.709	.087	.340	22	11	.319	102	+1	+3	+0	+3	+9	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 12%	MIL	445	385	90	13	2	5	49	103	8	29	7	.234	.333	.317	.649	.083	.302	23	11	.298	86	-7	+3	+0	+5	+13	1.4
2028	24	MLB 27%	MIL	527	454	108	15	3	8	59	120	9	31	7	.238	.337	.337	.674	.099	.302	23	11	.307	93	-4	+3	+0	+6	+15	2.0
2029	25	MLB 44%	MIL	580	500	120	17	3	10	65	131	10	31	7	.240	.339	.346	.685	.106	.303	23	11	.312	97	-2	+3	+0	+6	+16	2.5
2030	26	MLB 59%	MIL	612	527	127	18	3	11	69	139	11	30	6	.241	.341	.349	.690	.108	.303	23	11	.316	100	-0	+4	+0	+7	+17	2.8
2031	27	MLB 77%	MIL	628	540	130	19	3	11	72	143	11	28	6	.241	.342	.348	.690	.107	.303	23	11	.316	100	-0	+3	+0	+7	+18	2.8
2032	28	MLB 84%	MIL	634	545	130	19	3	11	73	146	11	26	5	.239	.340	.345	.685	.106	.303	23	12	.314	99	-1	+3	-1	+7	+18	2.7
2033	29	MLB 91%	MIL	630	541	129	19	3	11	73	146	11	24	5	.238	.341	.346	.686	.107	.302	23	12	.312	97	-2	+3	-1	+7	+18	2.5
2034	30	MLB	MIL	624	536	126	18	3	10	72	147	11	23	4	.235	.338	.336	.673	.101	.301	24	12	.309	95	-4	+3	-2	+7	+18	2.2
2035	31	MLB	MIL	613	527	122	17	2	10	71	147	10	20	3	.231	.334	.328	.662	.097	.300	24	12	.305	92	-6	+3	-3	+7	+17	1.9
2036	32	MLB	MIL	596	512	116	16	2	9	69	146	10	18	2	.227	.330	.318	.648	.092	.298	24	12	.301	88	-8	+3	-4	+6	+17	1.5
2037	33	MLB	MIL	568	489	109	15	2	8	65	143	9	17	2	.223	.325	.311	.636	.088	.297	25	11	.296	85	-10	+3	-4	+6	+16	1.1
2038	34	MLB	MIL	520	448	98	13	2	7	59	135	8	15	1	.219	.320	.304	.624	.085	.296	26	11	.290	80	-12	+3	-5	+6	+15	0.6
2039	35	MLB	MIL	464	402	85	11	2	5	52	125	7	14	1	.211	.312	.286	.598	.075	.294	27	11	.283	75	-13	+2	-6	+5	+13	0.2
2040	36	MLB	MIL	402	348	71	9	1	4	45	113	6	12	0	.204	.306	.270	.576	.066	.292	28	11	.275	68	-14	+2	-6	+4	+11	-0.3
2041	37	MLB	MIL	338	293	58	7	1	3	37	98	5	10	0	.198	.299	.259	.558	.061	.288	29	11	.266	62	-15	+2	-7	+4	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9368	8063	1854	257	39	126	1062	2276	167	462	80	.230	.332	.318	.650	.088	.303	24	11	.298	86	-147	+60	-38	+100	+265	24.6
/ 162G	—			650	559	129	18	3	9	74	158	12	32	6	.231	.333	.322	.655	.091	.304	24	11	.298	86	-10	+4	-3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	33	26	8	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	.308	.438	.308	.745	.000	.400	21	18	.346	123	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	107	88	29	4	0	0	17	14	1	16	4	.330	.443	.375	.818	.045	.387	13	16	.377	147	+6	+2	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	178	130	47	4	1	0	40	23	6	28	2	.362	.528	.408	.936	.046	.431	13	22	.433	190	+18	+5	—	—	+5	2.8
2024	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	298	246	42	7	0	1	45	71	5	29	7	.171	.311	.211	.522	.041	.234	24	15	.258	56	-15	+3	—	—	+8	-0.4
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	284	229	61	7	3	0	42	51	12	33	5	.266	.406	.323	.730	.057	.341	18	15	.345	123	+7	+5	—	—	+8	2.0
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	.302	.388	.395	.783	.093	.464	31	10	.357	132	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan O'Rae (OGILVIE)	22	42→47	30→35	75→80	63	.212/.311/.279	.067	.286	3	18	25%	11%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2013 · AA	22	53→60	36→40	75→70	46	.245/.303/.322	.077	.335	2	68	26%	8%	76	+0.0	.240/.287/.323	.083	.309	4	68	22%	6%	69	-0.4	.242/.301/.319	.077	.310	4	55	22%	8%	70	-0.3
●Mallex Smith 2015 · A	22	53→61	39→45	62→65	49	.248/.318/.334	.087	.322	6	43	24%	8%	86	+0.8	.260/.319/.354	.094	.336	5	43	22%	7%	91	+1.1	.265/.331/.373	.108	.337	5	43	21%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Jayce Easley 2022 · A	22	47→46	36→30	64→65	53	.215/.311/.284	.069	.306	3	42	28%	11%	72	-0.2	.192/.284/.260	.068	.275	4	33	28%	10%	54	-1.4	.160/.255/.207	.047	.236	3	32	30%	10%	27	-1.4
✕Carlos Willoughby 2011 · A	22	50→41	36→40	62→60	50	.232/.310/.308	.076	.297	2	28	21%	8%	76	+0.1	.204/.270/.269	.065	.263	2	18	21%	7%	49	-1.8	.190/.258/.245	.055	.244	1	17	21%	7%	35	-1.9
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	46→51	39→40	64→65	43	.219/.275/.306	.087	.286	6	33	25%	6%	60	-1.0	.220/.275/.309	.089	.294	6	34	25%	6%	61	-1.0	.216/.270/.302	.086	.290	6	36	26%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	.213/.261/.318	.105	.268	9	34	24%	5%	58	-1.2	.245/.287/.352	.107	.309	8	37	22%	5%	77	+0.1	.258/.299/.360	.102	.324	7	41	22%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	51→59	40→45	61→60	43	.241/.289/.339	.099	.318	6	33	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.254/.299/.351	.097	.327	6	28	23%	6%	82	+0.5	.254/.299/.343	.089	.327	6	27	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	47→53	42→45	63→65	45	.226/.295/.333	.107	.303	9	42	27%	8%	76	+0.1	.228/.304/.326	.098	.306	7	32	25%	9%	79	+0.3	.226/.309/.316	.089	.304	7	31	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→41	43→50	64→70	45	.209/.271/.325	.116	.275	9	35	26%	8%	63	-0.8	.210/.278/.335	.125	.278	13	49	28%	8%	70	-0.3	.208/.280/.353	.146	.256	18	61	26%	9%	72	-0.1
●Michael Bourn 2007 · AAA	24	53→62	39→45	63→65	45	.248/.301/.341	.092	.326	6	30	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.250/.308/.340	.090	.321	5	42	22%	8%	82	+0.5	.276/.342/.360	.084	.347	2	52	19%	9%	96	+1.6
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48→47	39→40	63→70	41	.218/.312/.303	.085	.321	6	39	31%	6%	78	+0.2	.219/.307/.306	.087	.309	5	48	29%	6%	76	+0.1	.224/.312/.311	.087	.316	5	61	27%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2016 · A	21	44→46	39→50	66→65	41	.212/.261/.302	.090	.288	5	43	27%	6%	53	-1.5	.201/.244/.309	.108	.289	7	32	32%	5%	48	-1.9	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Antoan Richardson 2007 · A	23	53→60	36→40	62→60	48	.244/.312/.308	.064	.312	3	36	22%	8%	76	+0.1	.235/.314/.307	.072	.319	4	32	25%	9%	78	+0.2	.260/.355/.324	.063	.348	1	30	22%	11%	95	+1.0
●Brett Gardner 2007 · AA	23	55→59	35→55	62→65	51	.251/.323/.320	.069	.334	2	36	24%	9%	84	+0.6	.255/.324/.342	.087	.330	3	40	21%	9%	90	+1.0	.248/.332/.422	.175	.280	19	16	18%	10%	111	+2.5
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	47	39→40	63→60	46	.225/.273/.324	.099	.270	5	25	19%	6%	63	-0.8	.246/.276/.328	.082	.304	3	23	19%	4%	65	-0.7	.272/.292/.330	.058	.335	0	29	18%	2%	67	-0.2
✕José Peraza 2016 · MLB	22	54→64	37→45	64→65	42	.257/.280/.337	.080	.292	4	37	14%	3%	69	-0.4	.267/.299/.350	.083	.303	6	28	14%	4%	81	+0.4	.273/.311/.358	.084	.306	7	25	13%	4%	84	+0.6
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2011 · AA	23	54→64	36→40	60→65	43	.255/.294/.328	.073	.311	3	33	19%	4%	73	-0.1	.251/.292/.313	.062	.309	2	45	18%	5%	69	-0.4	.308/.341/.394	.087	.364	3	55	15%	4%	106	+2.0
✕Gabriel Mejia 2017 · A	22	54	34→30	60→70	50	.251/.315/.308	.056	.319	1	38	20%	8%	77	+0.1	.217/.267/.270	.053	.284	1	17	22%	6%	46	-2.0	.214/.261/.251	.037	.273	0	19	20%	6%	37	-0.7
✕Jace Peterson 2014 · A	24	54→57	40→50	62→55	52	.257/.321/.358	.101	.299	5	29	16%	8%	93	+1.3	.242/.313/.341	.099	.297	6	19	19%	9%	85	+0.7	.242/.319/.391	.150	.298	15	19	23%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Dalton Pompey 2015 · MLB	22	52→58	41→45	61→55	47	.244/.306/.355	.111	.320	7	27	25%	8%	86	+0.8	.249/.305/.347	.098	.317	7	24	22%	7%	83	+0.6	.250/.308/.341	.091	.317	7	25	22%	7%	81	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)