Luis Thomas

SS DSL Cubs Blue

Age 18 S/R ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	143	.313/.436/.400	1	20	62	—	.213/.314/.279
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBCHC	253	.228/.300/.302	2	8	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBCHC	72	.234/.308/.320	1	2	78	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBCHC	167	.237/.312/.331	2	5	82	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%95

Z-Con%84

Whiff%82

Speed74

Chase%73

wOBA72

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsVictor Acosta (age 18) · Welbyn Francisca (age 18) · Juan Brito (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .298 / .299

PA119

HR1

K%21

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$40M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$18M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	115	36	5	1	1	23	15	2	20	6	313	436	400	836	87	343	10	16	377	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	122	26	3	1	1	16	18	2	20	6	213	314	279	593	66	225	13	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	122	26	3	1	1	16	18	2	20	6	213	314	279	593	66	236	13	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	115	36	5	1	1	23	15	2	20	6	313	436	400	836	87	343	10	16	377	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	124	26	3	1	1	16	18	2	20	6	210	314	274	588	65	225	13	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	143	124	26	3	1	1	16	18	2	20	6	210	314	274	588	65	225	13	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	253	228	52	8	2	2	21	54	2	8	1	228	300	302	602	74	288	21	8	276	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	209	187	43	6	2	2	18	45	2	7	1	231	306	315	620	83	290	22	9	283	78	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	344	308	73	11	3	4	29	73	4	11	2	235	310	326	636	92	292	21	8	290	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	446	399	94	14	3	6	38	94	6	14	3	237	313	336	649	99	293	21	9	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	519	462	111	17	4	8	45	110	7	16	3	239	315	345	660	106	294	21	9	299	88	-7	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2032	23	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	568	507	122	19	4	10	49	120	7	18	3	241	317	353	669	111	294	21	9	302	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	600	535	130	20	4	11	52	126	8	19	4	242	318	356	674	114	295	21	9	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	618	552	134	21	4	11	53	130	8	19	4	243	319	359	677	116	295	21	9	305	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	627	560	136	21	4	12	54	132	8	20	4	243	319	360	679	117	295	21	9	306	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	628	561	136	21	4	12	54	133	8	19	4	242	318	358	676	116	295	21	9	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	624	557	134	21	4	11	54	134	8	19	4	240	316	353	669	113	294	21	9	302	91	-7	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	615	550	131	20	4	11	53	134	7	18	4	238	313	347	661	109	293	22	9	299	88	-9	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.2
2039	30	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	604	540	127	19	4	10	52	133	7	17	4	235	310	340	650	105	292	22	9	294	85	-11	+2	-2	+6	+13	0.9
2040	31	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	590	529	122	18	4	9	50	132	6	16	4	231	305	330	635	99	289	22	8	289	81	-13	+2	-3	+6	+13	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	572	513	116	17	3	8	48	131	6	15	5	226	299	319	618	92	286	23	8	281	77	-16	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.0
2042	33	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	542	488	108	15	3	7	44	127	5	14	6	220	292	305	597	84	281	23	8	273	71	-19	+0	-4	+6	+12	-0.5
2028	19	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	72	65	15	2	1	1	6	15	1	2	0	234	308	320	627	86	294	21	8	286	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	167	149	35	5	1	2	14	35	2	5	1	237	312	331	643	94	295	21	8	292	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	242	216	51	8	2	3	21	51	3	8	1	239	315	341	655	101	296	21	9	297	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	294	263	63	10	2	4	25	62	4	9	2	241	317	349	666	108	297	21	9	301	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	327	292	71	11	3	5	28	69	4	10	2	243	319	356	675	113	298	21	9	305	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	342	305	75	12	3	6	30	72	4	11	2	245	320	360	680	115	299	21	9	306	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	351	314	77	12	3	6	30	74	4	11	2	245	320	362	683	117	299	21	9	308	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	355	317	77	12	3	6	31	75	4	11	2	245	321	364	684	118	299	21	9	308	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2036	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	348	311	76	12	3	6	30	74	4	11	2	244	320	361	681	117	298	21	9	307	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2037	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	343	306	75	12	3	6	30	74	4	10	2	242	318	357	674	114	297	22	9	304	91	-4	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2038	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	329	294	71	11	3	5	28	71	4	10	2	240	315	351	666	110	296	22	9	301	88	-5	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.7
2039	30	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	345	309	73	11	3	5	29	76	4	10	2	237	312	343	655	106	295	22	8	296	85	-6	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2040	31	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	352	315	73	11	2	5	30	79	4	10	3	233	307	334	640	100	292	22	9	290	81	-8	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	351	315	72	11	2	5	29	80	4	9	3	228	301	322	623	94	289	23	8	283	77	-10	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.0
2042	33	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	339	305	68	10	2	4	28	80	3	9	4	222	294	308	602	86	284	24	8	275	71	-12	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4557	4076	972	150	36	69	389	987	53	136	30	238	313	344	657	105	297	22	9	298	86	-73	+15	-9	+49	+99	8.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	138	21	5	10	55	141	8	19	4	238	312	343	655	105	295	22	8	298	86	-10	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	8368	7477	1768	267	56	134	719	1797	100	266	61	236	312	341	653	104	292	21	9	295	86	-133	+27	-15	+88	+178	14.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	137	21	4	10	56	140	8	21	5	236	312	337	649	102	293	22	9	295	86	-11	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#3Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#4Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,673	75	139	238	309	343	+50	+27	11.6	9.8
/162	664	11	20	+7.1	+3.8	1.6	pk7: 8
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Thomas (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	226/298/299	73	288	1	4	21%	8%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Acosta 2022 · A	18	42→45	39→40	55→50	50	198/293/292	94	262	5	20	25%	9%	70	-0.8	193/277/276	83	277	4	12	29%	8%	61	-1.5	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	41→51	36→40	51→65	48	192/286/264	72	258	2	16	24%	8%	61	-1.5	206/297/278	72	286	3	17	26%	10%	68	-1.0	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	44→53	38→50	57→60	45	209/264/300	92	257	4	19	20%	6%	59	-1.6	242/290/382	140	307	10	20	23%	6%	88	+0.4	250/295/399	149	313	11	21	23%	5%	90	+0.5
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0

Luis Thomas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps