Ray Faria

C DSL Orioles Orange

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Orioles O…	163	.212/.350/.341	3	7	29	—	.129/.238/.186
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	273	.211/.283/.296	3	5	66	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	77	.215/.290/.310	1	1	71	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	172	.219/.295/.321	2	3	76	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO56

BB%50

Z-Con%47

Whiff%44

K%43

Chase%37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsEddys Leonard (age 18) · Jesús Báez (age 18) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+66

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .281 / .294

PA136

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	163	132	28	8	0	3	25	37	3	7	2	212	350	341	691	129	263	23	15	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	163	140	18	5	0	1	17	45	3	7	2	129	237	186	423	57	175	28	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	163	140	18	5	0	1	17	45	3	7	2	129	237	186	423	57	175	28	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	163	132	28	8	0	3	25	37	3	7	2	212	350	341	691	129	263	23	15	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	163	142	18	5	0	1	17	45	3	7	2	127	237	183	421	56	175	28	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	163	142	18	5	0	1	17	45	3	7	2	127	237	183	421	56	175	28	10	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	273	246	52	10	2	3	22	74	3	5	1	211	283	296	580	86	287	27	8	265	66	-11	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	223	200	43	8	1	3	18	59	3	4	1	215	290	310	599	94	289	26	8	273	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	355	318	70	14	2	5	29	93	5	7	2	219	295	321	616	102	291	26	8	280	76	-10	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	455	408	91	18	3	7	38	118	6	8	3	222	298	332	630	109	292	26	8	286	80	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	104	20	3	9	43	134	7	10	3	225	301	341	642	115	293	26	8	290	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	464	106	20	3	10	44	132	7	10	3	228	304	348	652	121	294	25	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	106	20	3	10	44	132	7	9	3	229	305	352	657	123	295	25	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	107	20	3	11	44	132	7	9	3	230	305	354	660	125	295	25	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	464	107	20	3	11	44	132	7	9	3	230	305	356	661	126	294	25	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	464	107	20	3	11	44	133	7	9	4	229	304	353	658	124	294	26	8	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	464	105	20	3	10	44	134	7	9	4	227	302	348	651	122	293	26	8	294	85	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	465	105	20	3	10	43	135	7	9	4	224	299	342	641	118	291	26	8	290	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	466	104	20	3	9	43	137	6	8	5	221	296	334	630	113	289	26	8	285	79	-13	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	452	98	19	2	8	41	135	6	7	7	217	291	324	615	107	286	27	8	279	75	-15	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	52%	489	441	93	17	2	8	39	133	6	7	11	211	285	312	596	100	282	27	8	271	70	-18	-3	-4	+9	+11	-0.5
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	77	70	15	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	215	290	310	599	94	289	27	8	273	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	172	154	34	7	1	2	14	45	2	3	1	219	295	321	616	102	291	26	8	280	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	247	222	49	10	1	4	20	64	3	5	2	222	298	332	630	109	292	26	8	286	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	263	59	11	2	5	25	75	4	5	2	225	301	341	642	115	293	26	9	290	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	268	62	12	2	6	25	76	4	5	2	228	304	348	652	121	294	25	8	294	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	265	61	12	2	6	25	75	4	5	2	229	305	352	657	123	295	25	8	296	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	264	61	12	2	6	25	75	4	5	2	230	305	354	660	125	295	25	8	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	263	61	12	2	6	25	75	4	5	2	230	305	356	661	126	294	26	9	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	259	59	11	2	6	24	74	4	5	2	229	304	353	658	124	294	26	8	296	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	256	59	11	2	6	24	74	4	5	2	227	302	348	651	122	293	26	8	294	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	250	56	11	1	5	23	72	3	5	2	224	299	342	641	118	291	26	8	290	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	246	54	10	1	5	23	72	3	4	3	221	296	334	630	113	289	26	8	285	79	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	236	51	10	1	4	22	70	3	4	3	217	291	324	615	107	286	27	8	279	75	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	52%	254	229	48	9	1	4	20	69	3	4	5	211	285	312	596	100	282	27	8	271	70	-9	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3618	3245	729	141	20	66	301	937	46	61	30	225	300	341	641	117	294	26	8	289	80	-78	+0	-6	+65	+78	6.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	131	25	4	12	54	168	8	11	5	225	299	343	642	118	294	26	8	289	80	-14	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7005	6262	1390	266	38	124	586	1821	92	124	59	222	298	336	634	114	291	26	8	287	80	-152	+1	-10	+122	+148	11.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	130	25	4	12	54	169	9	12	5	224	300	343	642	119	292	26	8	287	80	-14	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,753	67	65	225	297	340	+67	+32	8.9	7.6
/162	664	12	11	+11.9	+5.7	1.6	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ray Faria (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	209/281/294	85	287	1	2	27%	8%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	37→41	41→55	44→45	47	183/257/274	91	240	9	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	199/262/315	116	251	12	9	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	46→45	38→55	48→30	44	218/266/297	79	275	4	4	22%	6%	59	-1.6	211/252/305	94	288	8	2	28%	5%	56	-1.9	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	38→48	41→45	50	43	191/254/292	102	253	8	11	27%	7%	55	-2.0	176/229/262	86	311	8	13	43%	6%	38	-3.2	204/248/323	118	308	13	17	37%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1

Ray Faria

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps