Alejandro Beltran

P DSL Royals Ventura

Age 18 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	11	4	27	5.74	4.90	14.9%	8.8%	—	K 10.1% · BB 11.0% · FIP 6.33
2027PROJ	18	MLBKC	15	0	16	4.86	4.86	19.2%	10.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLBKC	11	0	12	4.71	4.65	20.3%	9.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAlimber Santa (age 18) · Luis Aguilar (age 19) · Leury Tejada (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%19.2%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%8.8%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	4	27	114	17	10	4	36%	2.4	10.1%	11.0%	-0.8%	4.9%	5.74	6.33	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	4	27	114	17	10	4	36%	2.4	10.1%	11.0%	-0.8%	4.9%	5.74	6.33	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	11	4	27	114	17	10	4	36%	2.4	14.9%	8.8%	6.1%	3.5%	5.74	4.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	KC	15	0	16	68	13	7	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	10.4%	8.8%	3.1%	4.86	4.86	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	KC	24	0	25	106	22	10	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.65	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	KC	11	0	12	51	10	5	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	11	5	2	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.27	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	81	32	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		11	4	27	114	12	12	6	36%	2.4	10.1%	11.0%	-0.8%	4.9%	5.74	6.33	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	30	200	855	87	94	42	36%	2.4	10.1%	11.0%	-0.8%	4.9%	5.74	6.33	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alejandro Beltran (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	19.2%	10.4%	3.1%	—	4.65	20.3%	10.5%	25	-0.21	—	—	—
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.30	277	88
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	87
Leury Tejada R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	18	SW	4.03	16.5%	10.1%	1.9%	.286	5.06	17.4%	6.2%	39	+1.03	4.03	183	85
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	85
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	85
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	85
Yorlin Calderon R 2019 · 4.90 FIP	17	SW	4.90	15.4%	8.3%	3.7%	.275	5.02	20.3%	13.1%	84	+0.12	3.43	287	84
Wilmy Sanchez R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	18	SW	3.87	23.0%	12.9%	1.9%	.316	4.24	21.5%	3.8%	148	+0.37	3.31	218	83
Ricardo Brizuela R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SW	4.03	20.1%	11.6%	2.1%	.375	4.39	16.0%	7.1%	208	+0.36	3.20	246	83
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	82
Wuilliams Rodriguez R 2024 · 3.76 FIP	18	SW	3.76	16.3%	11.0%	1.2%	.277	5.39	14.3%	3.9%	120	+1.63	3.76	187	82
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	81
Michael Dominguez R 2019 · 3.82 FIP	18	SW	3.82	20.8%	13.2%	1.5%	.218	4.69	21.1%	10.6%	110	+0.87	3.82	383	81
Carlos Espinosa R 2022 · 3.73 FIP	20	SW	3.73	17.0%	11.2%	1.2%	.260	4.52	22.0%	9.8%	177	+0.79	3.73	274	80
Heisell Baro R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	17	SP-	4.37	19.0%	11.9%	2.5%	.196	5.91	15.8%	-1.4%	61	+1.54	4.25	105	80
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	80
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	80
Samuel Valerio R 2019 · 4.00 FIP	17	SW	4.00	18.2%	14.0%	1.2%	.310	5.95	14.2%	-7.2%	38	+1.95	4.00	117	80
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	79