Yorlin Calderon P Midland RockHounds
Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 155 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 128
ERA5.66
FIP5.66
K%14.1%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%1.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
K: -4.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -3.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -2.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +3.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+4STAMTotal WAR: -0.75 (67 IP)-0.8WAR
-0.2-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL4040
CMD3535
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201917ROKDSL Yankees821675175225%2.015.4%8.3%7.1%3.7%6.614.90
201917ROKDSL Yankees821675175225%2.022.7%6.7%16.0%2.7%6.613.53
202119MIX2 levels10330149358830%3.018.3%5.8%12.5%6.6%9.495.91
202119MIX2 levels10330149358830%3.023.5%5.4%18.1%5.4%9.495.01
202220MIX2 levels146582477516843%4.121.2%7.9%13.3%4.0%3.884.51
202220MIX2 levels146582477516843%4.130.4%6.5%23.9%3.2%3.883.13
202321MIX2 levels395813549826513%2.121.2%8.6%12.7%1.8%3.103.35
202321MIX2 levels395813549826513%2.127.7%7.3%20.3%1.4%3.102.45
202422MIX3 levels35159253582543%1.718.8%11.1%7.7%1.6%2.153.78
202422MIX3 levels35159253582543%1.722.9%9.9%13.0%1.6%2.153.29
202523AAMidland RockHounds451622784929112%1.414.3%11.5%2.8%4.4%5.375.75
202523AAMidland RockHounds451622784929112%1.417.6%10.4%7.2%4.0%5.375.23
▸ 2026 Season
202624MLBOAK64067284403690%1.114.1%12.8%1.3%3.2%5.665.66-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBOAK65068287463590%1.016.0%12.0%3.9%3.1%5.445.38-0.5
202826MLBOAK65068287493490%1.017.0%11.8%5.2%3.1%5.305.26-0.4
202725MLBOAK29030127201540%1.016.0%12.0%3.9%3.1%5.445.38-0.3
202826MLBOAK43045190322260%1.017.0%11.8%5.2%3.1%5.305.26-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career720753185338100%1.016.6%11.9%4.7%3.1%5.364.93-0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844141101270%1.116.6%11.9%4.7%3.1%5.364.93+1.1
Career1511830713562531254512%2.018.7%9.2%9.5%3.3%4.344.50+3.2
/ 200 IP9812200884165812912%2.018.7%9.2%9.5%3.3%4.344.50+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Yorlin Calderon (OGILVIE) 5.66 14.1%12.8%3.2% 5.32 16.5%4.6%136 -0.34
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.40 FIP 24 SU 5.40 15.1%12.9%3.5%.229 4.26 18.7%9.1%150 -1.14 3.63 239 88
Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP 25 SU 4.75 15.7%11.9%2.7%.262 4.62 16.2%1.8%93 -0.13 4.51 151 88
David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 24 SU 4.91 17.7%13.4%2.9%.313 4.44 18.3%4.8%31 -0.47 4.44 100 88
Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 24 SU 4.81 15.4%11.9%2.7%.299 4.74 149 87
Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP 24 SU 5.51 16.2%15.5%3.3%.312 4.61 11.0%-6.3%79 -0.90 4.29 132 87
Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP 24 SU 5.45 11.5%14.0%2.8%.300 4.85 13.9%3.6%164 -0.60 3.93 419 87
Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP 24 SU 5.58 12.8%13.6%3.3%.340 7.24 16.4%4.1%26 +1.66 2.90 115 86
Jake Johansen R 2026 · 5.59 FIP 24 SU 5.59 15.8%12.8%4.0%.351 4.21 13.6%3.0%114 -1.38 3.69 162 86
Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP 24 SU 5.23 16.1%13.9%3.2%.297 4.74 13.6%0.2%52 -0.49 2.08 205 86
Aaron Northcraft R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 25 SW 4.50 13.6%10.2%2.3%.286 4.16 16.1%7.8%91 -0.34 3.28 252 85
Zach Nuding R 2027 · 5.09 FIP 25 SU 5.09 12.5%10.5%3.1%.236 4.99 12.6%3.3%106 -0.10 4.99 146 84
Matthew Gorst R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 24 SU 4.72 16.2%11.3%2.9%.254 3.12 199 84
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 24 SU 4.59 13.6%10.6%2.4%.284 3.85 23.0%12.0%89 -0.74 3.24 172 84
Cade Denton R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 24 SU 4.96 15.9%11.1%3.3%.345 3.36 127 84
Kender Villegas R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 24 SU 4.55 13.3%13.3%1.6%.269 3.18 131 84
Fernando Cruz R 2027 · 5.41 FIP 25 SU 5.41 15.6%12.2%3.8%.284 2.52 356 84
Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 24 SU 4.69 13.6%12.3%2.1%.313 3.16 15.9%6.2%61 -1.53 3.16 266 84
James Pugliese R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 24 SW 4.90 12.5%11.6%2.5%.226 2.52 218 84
Luke Bell R 2026 · 6.00 FIP 24 SU 6.00 14.2%11.7%4.8%.284 5.40 9.9%-2.2%16 -0.60 3.89 110 84
David Reid-Foley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 24 SU 4.89 13.8%8.8%3.4%.308 6.53 16.2%7.6%33 +1.64 4.89 110 83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36815.7%12.2%1.225.47
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82