Wuilliams Rodriguez

Wuilliams Rodriguez P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 199 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 127

ERA5.82

FIP5.82

K%10.7%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%-1.8%

ROS IP32

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL4545

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	10	10	36	147	28	10	4	100%	3.6	13.0%	8.5%	4.4%	4.4%	2.75	5.53	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	10	10	36	147	28	10	4	100%	3.6	13.0%	8.5%	4.4%	4.4%	2.75	5.53	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	10	10	36	147	28	10	4	100%	3.6	19.0%	6.8%	12.2%	2.7%	2.75	3.82	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	4	31	125	30	11	1	33%	2.6	16.3%	11.0%	5.3%	1.2%	3.82	3.76	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	4	31	125	30	11	1	33%	2.6	16.3%	11.0%	5.3%	1.2%	3.82	3.76	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	12	4	31	125	30	11	1	33%	2.6	24.0%	8.8%	15.2%	0.8%	3.82	2.64	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	1	54	241	38	21	5	4%	2.1	10.9%	10.7%	0.2%	3.3%	4.53	5.37	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	1	54	241	38	21	5	4%	2.1	10.9%	10.7%	0.2%	3.3%	4.53	5.37	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	1	54	241	38	21	5	4%	2.1	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	2.1%	4.53	4.07	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	36	0	66	291	67	25	10	0%	1.8	17.0%	10.1%	6.9%	4.5%	4.07	5.40	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	36	0	66	291	67	25	10	0%	1.8	17.0%	10.1%	6.9%	4.5%	4.07	5.40	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	BOS	36	0	66	291	67	25	10	0%	1.8	23.0%	8.6%	14.4%	3.4%	4.07	4.13	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	288	39	34	9	0%	1.0	13.4%	11.8%	1.6%	3.0%	5.55	5.47	-0.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	68	0	72	302	48	34	9	0%	1.1	15.8%	11.2%	4.6%	2.9%	5.28	5.16	-0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	BOS	71	0	74	314	54	34	9	0%	1.0	17.2%	10.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.08	4.97	-0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	BOS	73	0	76	322	58	34	9	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.5%	7.5%	2.8%	4.94	4.85	-0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	74	0	77	326	60	34	9	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.4%	8.0%	2.8%	4.85	4.79	-0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	BOS	74	0	77	326	61	34	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	2.8%	4.80	4.77	-0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	BOS	72	0	76	321	60	33	9	0%	1.1	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	2.9%	4.81	4.81	-0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	BOS	70	0	74	311	57	33	9	0%	1.1	18.5%	10.6%	7.9%	3.0%	4.86	4.89	-0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	BOS	67	0	70	297	54	32	9	0%	1.1	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	3.1%	4.96	5.02	-0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	BOS	63	0	66	280	50	31	9	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.1%	6.8%	3.3%	5.11	5.20	-0.5
2027	21	MLB CTX	BOS	32	0	34	144	19	17	4	0%	1.1	13.4%	11.8%	1.6%	3.0%	5.55	5.47	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	50	0	52	220	35	25	6	0%	1.0	15.8%	11.2%	4.6%	2.9%	5.28	5.16	-0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	BOS	60	0	63	266	46	29	8	0%	1.1	17.2%	10.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.08	4.97	-0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	BOS	65	0	68	287	52	30	8	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.5%	7.5%	2.8%	4.94	4.85	-0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	68	0	71	300	55	31	8	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.4%	8.0%	2.8%	4.85	4.79	-0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	BOS	69	0	72	304	57	31	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	2.8%	4.80	4.77	-0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	BOS	69	0	72	304	57	32	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	2.9%	4.81	4.81	-0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	BOS	67	0	70	296	55	31	9	0%	1.0	18.5%	10.6%	7.9%	3.0%	4.86	4.89	-0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	BOS	64	0	67	283	52	31	9	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	3.1%	4.96	5.02	-0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	BOS	60	0	63	266	48	30	9	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.1%	6.8%	3.3%	5.11	5.20	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		601	0	631	2665	473	286	79	0%	1.1	17.7%	10.7%	7.0%	2.9%	4.98	4.58	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	91	25	0%	1.1	17.7%	10.7%	7.0%	2.9%	4.98	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		84	15	187	804	115	82	29	18%	2.2	14.3%	10.1%	4.2%	3.6%	3.91	5.16	-3.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	16	200	861	124	87	31	18%	2.2	14.3%	10.1%	4.2%	3.6%	3.91	5.16	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wuilliams Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.82	10.7%	12.5%	3.0%	—	5.19	15.5%	4.3%	214	-0.63	—	—	—
Rickey Ramirez R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	20	SU	5.00	11.3%	12.9%	2.2%	.267	3.50	17.7%	6.7%	60	-1.50	3.14	164	90
Johan Montero R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	19	SU	4.89	13.5%	12.8%	2.4%	.292	3.40	16.5%	5.3%	64	-1.49	2.82	106	87
Franly Urena R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	19	SU	6.06	11.2%	12.4%	4.3%	.297	5.67	18.1%	-0.2%	103	-0.39	5.13	122	86
Dailoui Abad R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	20	SU	5.68	11.7%	12.9%	3.5%	.309	2.36	21.2%	12.9%	26	-3.32	2.36	108	86
Sven Schüller R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	20	SU	5.22	10.2%	11.1%	2.9%	.380	4.16	12.1%	1.9%	181	-1.06	3.88	247	85
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	85
Ender Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.63 FIP	20	SU	4.63	13.7%	12.1%	2.1%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.17	101	85
Walker Weickel R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	21	SU	4.92	13.1%	11.7%	2.6%	.357	4.09	15.6%	8.1%	188	-0.83	4.02	273	84
Ismael Maldonado R 2016 · 5.87 FIP	20	SU	5.87	9.8%	16.4%	2.8%	.280	6.60	13.5%	-3.6%	89	+0.73	5.87	119	84
Riskiel Tineo R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	20	SU	5.54	12.1%	10.0%	4.0%	.275	6.46	14.4%	0.8%	56	+0.92	2.51	121	84
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	84
Zac Reininger R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	22	SU	4.92	11.8%	9.8%	2.9%	.286	3.34	21.1%	13.6%	125	-1.58	2.58	259	83
Dariel Polanco R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	17	SU	4.84	6.0%	9.5%	1.9%	.323	5.05	12.6%	6.0%	130	+0.21	3.25	146	83
Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	19	SW	4.84	10.3%	11.1%	2.2%	.315	5.19	13.7%	0.7%	36	+0.35	4.84	223	83
Jose Serrano R 2022 · 5.04 FIP	18	SU	5.04	9.2%	9.6%	2.7%	.300	4.06	16.0%	2.8%	60	-0.98	3.94	113	83
Carlos De Leon R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	20	SU	4.72	13.5%	14.8%	1.6%	.341	4.15	19.5%	7.4%	80	-0.57	4.15	132	82
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	82
Justin Lawrence R 2016 · 4.85 FIP	21	SU	4.85	10.0%	9.7%	2.5%	.341	3.99	19.2%	5.2%	108	-0.86	1.39	469	82
Rogelio Martinez R 2015 · 5.25 FIP	23	SU	5.25	10.0%	9.7%	3.2%	.304	5.20	11.6%	4.4%	73	-0.05	5.20	152	82
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.8	69	17.2%	10.9%	1.14	5.05
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70