Wuilliams Rodriguez P Salem RidgeYaks
Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 199 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133
ERA5.89
FIP5.89
K%10.7%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%-2.1%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
K: -2.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -9.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-10CONTACTSTAM: +6.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+6STAMTotal WAR: -0.81 (76 IP)-0.8WAR
0.00.00.10.20.20.20.20.20.22628303234
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF2525
CTRL4545
CMD3030
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202317ROKDSL Red Sox Red10103614728104100%3.613.0%8.5%4.4%5.3%2.756.02
202317ROKDSL Red Sox Red10103614728104100%3.619.0%6.8%12.2%2.7%2.753.82
202418ROKFCL Red Sox124311253011133%2.616.3%11.0%5.3%1.2%3.823.80
202418ROKFCL Red Sox124311253011133%2.624.0%8.8%15.2%0.8%3.822.64
202519MIX2 levels26154241382154%2.110.9%10.7%0.2%4.1%4.535.81
202519MIX2 levels26154241382154%2.115.8%8.7%7.1%2.1%4.534.07
▸ 2026 Season
202620ASalem RidgeYaks25045198461680%1.817.2%9.5%7.7%5.3%4.635.74-0.6
ROS20MLBBOS30032133141740%1.110.7%12.8%-2.1%3.1%5.895.89-0.5
ROS20MLBBOS010.7%12.8%-2.1%3.1%5.895.89
2026 TOT20MLBBOS7633160331218.2%10.0%8.2%3.7%5.155.80-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721MLBBOS32033140191740%1.013.4%12.0%1.4%3.0%5.615.53-0.4
202822MLBBOS33035147231740%1.115.8%11.4%4.4%3.0%5.345.22-0.3
202923MLBBOS34036152261740%1.117.2%10.9%6.3%2.9%5.135.02-0.2
202721MLBBOS15016689820%1.113.4%12.0%1.4%3.0%5.615.53-0.2
202822MLBBOS24025106171230%1.015.8%11.4%4.4%3.0%5.345.22-0.2
202923MLBBOS29030127221440%1.017.2%10.9%6.3%2.9%5.135.02-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career69072304483590%1.015.8%11.3%4.5%3.0%5.314.82-0.0
/ 200 IP190020084413397250%1.115.8%11.3%4.5%3.0%5.314.82+1.4
Career7315165711100713021%2.314.0%10.0%4.1%4.2%4.045.48-0.2
/ 200 IP8818200862121863621%2.314.0%10.0%4.1%4.2%4.045.48-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Wuilliams Rodriguez (OGILVIE) 5.89 10.7%12.8%3.1% 5.25 15.5%4.1%104 -0.64
Rickey Ramirez R 2026 · 5.00 FIP 20 SU 5.00 11.3%12.9%2.2%.267 3.47 17.7%6.7%60 -1.53 3.12 164 89
Eli Saul R 2027 · 5.49 FIP 21 SW 5.49 12.6%14.2%3.0%.305 5.48 13.8%-2.9%98 -0.01 5.40 157 86
Johan Montero R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 19 SU 4.89 13.5%12.8%2.4%.292 3.42 16.5%5.3%64 -1.47 2.82 106 86
Austin Amaral R 2028 · 5.80 FIP 22 SU 5.80 12.1%14.4%3.4%.254 3.65 17.6%5.7%99 -2.15 3.55 122 86
Ismael Maldonado R 2026 · 5.87 FIP 20 SU 5.87 9.8%16.4%2.8%.280 6.60 13.5%-3.6%89 +0.73 5.87 119 85
Sven Schüller R 2026 · 5.22 FIP 20 SU 5.22 10.2%11.1%2.9%.380 4.13 12.1%1.9%181 -1.09 3.84 247 84
Walker Weickel R 2027 · 5.38 FIP 21 SU 5.38 13.1%11.7%3.5%.357 3.92 15.6%8.1%188 -1.46 3.76 273 84
Alejandro Méndez R 2026 · 5.81 FIP 20 SU 5.81 14.6%14.5%3.9%.321 5.56 15.8%-7.5%91 -0.25 4.70 136 84
Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.84 FIP 19 SW 4.84 10.3%11.1%2.2%.315 5.19 13.7%0.7%36 +0.35 4.84 223 83
Eury Ramos R 2025 · 5.40 FIP 19 SW 5.40 13.0%14.8%2.8%.343 7.57 14.1%0.6%29 +2.17 3.25 176 83
David Landeta R 2026 · 5.11 FIP 20 SU 5.11 14.5%15.3%2.4%.353 3.86 16.8%-0.4%64 -1.25 3.64 111 83
Riskiel Tineo R 2026 · 5.74 FIP 20 SU 5.74 12.1%10.0%4.3%.275 6.52 14.4%0.8%56 +0.78 2.43 121 82
Cole Ayers R 2028 · 5.49 FIP 22 SU 5.49 13.0%15.4%2.8%.305 3.96 21.2%10.1%152 -1.53 3.52 171 82
Rogelio Martinez R 2029 · 5.15 FIP 23 SU 5.15 10.0%9.7%3.0%.304 5.56 11.6%4.4%73 +0.41 5.15 152 81
Zac Reininger R 2028 · 4.79 FIP 22 SU 4.79 11.8%9.8%2.6%.286 3.36 21.1%13.6%125 -1.43 2.46 259 81
Sucre Valdez R 2027 · 5.83 FIP 21 SU 5.83 13.6%10.4%4.7%.280 3.48 18.3%12.1%77 -2.35 2.82 102 81
Jesus Rios R 2027 · 5.41 FIP 21 SU 5.41 10.4%14.8%2.4%.321 4.72 13.9%3.7%124 -0.69 3.85 148 81
Jesse Stallings R 2027 · 6.02 FIP 21 SU 6.02 13.2%15.0%3.9%.296 4.01 11.6%5.0%128 -2.01 3.47 151 81
German Taveras R 2028 · 4.78 FIP 22 SU 4.78 13.6%13.5%2.0%.265 7.24 10.9%-4.8%47 +2.46 4.78 108 81
Jack Jasiak R 2028 · 5.01 FIP 22 SU 5.01 12.1%14.2%2.1%.288 4.05 19.1%11.1%179 -0.96 3.25 248 81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION43414.4%11.7%1.165.48
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Wily Peralta ('22)77116.1%9.8%1.224.66
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20