Douglas Olivo

OF DSL Tigers 1

Age 18 L/R ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Tigers 1	162	.140/.384/.246	1	13	30	—	.087/.277/.151
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBDET	272	.193/.290/.277	2	9	65	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBDET	77	.195/.293/.286	1	3	70	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBDET	172	.200/.298/.299	2	7	75	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%95

Speed94

Chase%85

ISO44

wOBA32

wRC+23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 18) · Alberto Rodriguez (age 18) · Franchy Cordero (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .288 / .275

PA135

HR1

K%31

BB%11

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	162	114	16	5	2	1	41	50	4	13	2	140	384	246	629	105	227	31	25	312	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	162	126	11	3	1	1	29	61	4	13	2	87	277	151	428	63	142	38	18	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	162	126	11	3	1	1	29	61	4	13	2	87	277	151	428	63	149	38	18	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	162	114	16	5	2	1	41	50	4	13	2	140	384	246	629	105	227	31	25	312	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	162	128	11	3	1	1	29	61	4	13	2	86	277	148	425	62	142	38	18	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	162	128	11	3	1	1	29	61	4	13	2	86	277	148	425	62	142	38	18	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	DET	0%	272	238	46	9	3	2	29	85	3	9	1	193	290	277	567	85	287	31	11	264	65	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	DET	34%	223	194	38	7	2	2	24	68	3	8	2	198	296	292	588	94	290	30	11	272	70	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	DET	48%	355	309	62	12	3	4	38	107	5	14	3	203	301	306	606	102	291	30	11	279	75	-11	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	DET	54%	455	397	82	15	4	7	48	135	7	18	4	207	304	317	621	110	293	30	11	285	79	-11	+2	+0	-3	+10	-0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	DET	57%	526	458	97	18	5	9	55	153	8	20	5	211	307	328	634	116	293	29	10	290	82	-11	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	DET	58%	573	500	107	20	5	10	60	165	8	22	5	214	309	336	645	122	294	29	10	294	85	-10	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	DET	57%	604	527	113	21	5	11	63	173	9	23	5	216	310	340	650	124	295	29	10	296	86	-10	+3	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	DET	57%	622	543	118	22	6	12	65	178	9	24	6	216	311	343	653	126	295	29	10	297	87	-10	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	DET	57%	631	551	119	22	6	12	66	181	9	24	6	217	311	345	655	128	295	29	10	297	87	-9	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	632	552	119	22	6	12	66	182	9	24	6	215	310	342	651	126	294	29	10	296	86	-10	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	627	547	117	22	5	12	66	182	9	23	6	213	308	337	645	123	293	29	11	293	85	-11	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	DET	53%	618	540	114	21	5	11	64	181	9	22	6	211	305	330	635	120	292	29	10	290	82	-13	+2	-1	-4	+13	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	DET	34%	77	68	13	2	1	1	8	24	1	3	1	195	293	286	580	91	285	31	10	269	70	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	DET	48%	172	149	31	6	2	2	18	52	3	7	1	200	298	299	597	99	287	30	10	275	75	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	DET	54%	247	215	43	8	2	3	26	73	4	10	2	204	301	311	612	107	288	30	11	281	79	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	DET	57%	298	261	55	10	3	5	31	87	4	12	3	208	304	320	624	113	289	29	10	286	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	DET	58%	330	288	61	11	3	6	34	95	5	13	3	211	306	329	634	118	290	29	10	289	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	DET	57%	344	300	64	12	3	6	36	99	5	13	3	212	307	333	639	121	291	29	10	291	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2034	25	MLB CTX	DET	57%	353	308	65	12	3	6	37	101	5	14	3	213	307	335	642	123	291	29	10	292	87	-5	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2035	26	MLB CTX	DET	57%	357	312	66	12	3	7	37	102	5	14	3	213	307	337	644	124	290	29	10	293	87	-5	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2036	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	351	306	64	12	3	6	37	101	5	13	3	212	306	334	640	122	290	29	11	292	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	344	300	63	12	3	6	36	100	5	13	3	210	304	329	634	120	289	29	10	289	85	-6	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	DET	53%	330	288	60	11	3	6	34	97	5	12	3	207	302	323	625	116	287	29	10	285	82	-7	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3203	2795	585	108	29	54	334	931	47	124	28	209	304	327	631	117	291	29	10	288	82	-62	+14	-1	-19	+69	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	119	22	6	11	68	189	10	25	6	210	305	328	633	118	292	29	10	288	82	-13	+3	-0	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6163	5361	1119	209	54	104	659	1808	91	239	57	209	306	326	632	117	291	29	11	289	82	-121	+23	-2	-36	+130	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	118	22	6	11	70	191	10	25	6	209	307	327	634	119	292	29	11	289	82	-13	+3	-0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,338	57	126	213	304	333	-20	+0	2.0	2.1
/162	664	11	25	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Douglas Olivo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	191/288/275	84	287	1	4	31%	11%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Franchy Cordero 2013 · A	18	41→51	35→55	53→50	45	191/263/257	66	293	2	12	33%	9%	50	-2.3	201/249/273	72	312	4	13	35%	5%	47	-2.5	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Cristian Jauregui 2024 · A	18	43	37→40	55→50	50	198/302/269	70	294	4	18	30%	11%	69	-0.9	190/283/265	75	277	5	18	30%	9%	61	-1.5	175/266/249	75	263	6	20	33%	8%	48	-0.8
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Telmito Agustin 2015 · A	18	43→42	39→45	58→50	51	204/287/303	99	262	4	18	22%	9%	70	-0.9	223/268/319	96	306	6	15	27%	5%	65	-1.2	228/261/337	108	324	10	12	32%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Taylor Trammell 2017 · A	19	47→48	37→55	55	39	218/270/298	80	323	4	18	32%	6%	61	-1.5	216/285/315	99	312	8	20	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/300/386	173	283	21	17	31%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Anthony Scull 2022 · A	18	42→46	37→45	54→45	38	196/262/273	77	310	4	10	36%	6%	53	-2.1	211/272/297	86	320	5	11	33%	6%	62	-1.4	216/274/313	98	300	9	10	30%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0

Douglas Olivo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps