Anthony Scull
CF Tri-City Dust Devils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ASEA | 543 | .263/.347/.378 | 7 | 24 | 66 | — | .222/.293/.312 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+LAA | 465 | .260/.325/.396 | 13 | 5 | 62 | — | .216/.272/.322 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/A+LAA | 376 | .264/.315/.472 | 16 | 1 | 70 | — | .217/.259/.376 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBLAA | 1 | .210/.258/.341 | 0 | 0 | 67 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBLAA | 103 | .214/.264/.350 | 3 | 1 | 71 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 35 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 115 | 242 | 192 | 435 | 77 | 176 | 31 | 9 | 200 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 42 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 297 | 381 | 405 | 786 | 108 | 440 | 29 | 12 | 354 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 192 | 170 | 51 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 300 | 375 | 453 | 828 | 153 | 381 | 21 | 6 | 369 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 543 | 471 | 124 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 108 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 263 | 347 | 378 | 725 | 115 | 323 | 20 | 7 | 326 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 465 | 419 | 109 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 107 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 260 | 325 | 396 | 721 | 136 | 316 | 23 | 6 | 321 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 165 | 154 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 253 | 294 | 409 | 704 | 156 | 324 | 27 | 4 | 308 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 211 | 191 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 272 | 332 | 524 | 855 | 251 | 333 | 28 | 7 | 368 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 35 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 103 | 212 | 172 | 385 | 69 | 122 | 37 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 42 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 238 | 231 | 469 | 51 | 354 | 40 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 192 | 175 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 62 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 229 | 297 | 337 | 634 | 109 | 324 | 32 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 543 | 487 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 154 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 222 | 293 | 312 | 605 | 90 | 296 | 28 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 465 | 426 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 142 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 216 | 272 | 322 | 594 | 106 | 284 | 31 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 165 | 156 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 218 | 252 | 346 | 598 | 128 | 300 | 33 | 3 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 211 | 195 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 80 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 215 | 264 | 400 | 664 | 185 | 303 | 38 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 35 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 103 | 212 | 172 | 385 | 69 | 167 | 37 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 35 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 115 | 242 | 192 | 435 | 77 | 176 | 31 | 9 | 200 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 42 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 238 | 231 | 469 | 51 | 318 | 40 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 42 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 297 | 381 | 405 | 786 | 108 | 440 | 29 | 12 | 354 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 192 | 175 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 62 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 229 | 297 | 337 | 634 | 109 | 342 | 32 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 192 | 170 | 51 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 300 | 375 | 453 | 828 | 153 | 381 | 21 | 6 | 369 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 543 | 487 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 154 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 222 | 293 | 312 | 605 | 90 | 306 | 28 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 543 | 471 | 124 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 108 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 263 | 347 | 378 | 725 | 115 | 323 | 20 | 7 | 326 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 465 | 426 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 142 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 216 | 272 | 322 | 594 | 106 | 294 | 31 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 465 | 419 | 109 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 107 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 260 | 325 | 396 | 721 | 136 | 316 | 23 | 6 | 321 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 351 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 134 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 217 | 259 | 376 | 635 | 160 | 308 | 36 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 376 | 345 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 104 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 264 | 315 | 472 | 788 | 209 | 329 | 28 | 6 | 342 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 35 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 97 | 212 | 161 | 373 | 65 | 122 | 37 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 42 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 238 | 231 | 469 | 51 | 354 | 40 | 7 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 192 | 173 | 40 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 62 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 231 | 297 | 341 | 638 | 110 | 324 | 32 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 543 | 489 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 154 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 221 | 293 | 311 | 604 | 90 | 296 | 28 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 465 | 429 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 142 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 214 | 272 | 319 | 592 | 105 | 284 | 31 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 353 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 134 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 215 | 259 | 374 | 633 | 159 | 302 | 36 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 543 | 489 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 154 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 221 | 293 | 311 | 604 | 90 | 296 | 28 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 465 | 429 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 142 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 214 | 272 | 319 | 592 | 105 | 284 | 31 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 353 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 134 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 215 | 259 | 374 | 633 | 159 | 302 | 36 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAA | 0% | 486 | 453 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 148 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 211 | 259 | 342 | 602 | 131 | 280 | 30 | 5 | 268 | 67 | -19 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAA | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 258 | 341 | 599 | 131 | 278 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 67 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAA | 30% | 341 | 317 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 215 | 265 | 351 | 615 | 136 | 282 | 30 | 5 | 274 | 71 | -12 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAA | 30% | 103 | 95 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 264 | 350 | 613 | 136 | 279 | 30 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 103 | 95 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 275 | 358 | 632 | 137 | 290 | 30 | 5 | 273 | 65 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 132 | 25 | 0 | 19 | 32 | 196 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 220 | 275 | 357 | 632 | 137 | 289 | 30 | 5 | 273 | 65 | -22 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2204 | 2020 | 435 | 75 | 14 | 44 | 102 | 687 | 57 | 49 | 26 | 215 | 273 | 332 | 604 | 116 | 299 | 31 | 5 | 265 | 65 | -20 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 128 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 203 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 215 | 273 | 331 | 603 | 116 | 298 | 31 | 5 | 265 | 65 | -23 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 211 PAwOBA .361 → .285 (−76)K% 28.0% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.96% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 37.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.033 | ×1.012 | 19.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.012 | 8.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.033 | ×1.012 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 7.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .361 → .285; ISO .251 → .192; BABIP .333 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 165 PAwOBA .302 → .256 (−46)K% 27.3% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 3.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×1.042 | 22.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.977 | ×1.042 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.977 | ×1.042 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .302 → .256; ISO .156 → .128; BABIP .324 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 465 PAwOBA .315 → .260 (−55)K% 23.0% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.01% | ÷1.019 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.24% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.37% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 3.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .315 → .260; ISO .136 → .109; BABIP .316 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AInland Empire 66ers · 543 PAwOBA .321 → .266 (−55)K% 19.9% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.89% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.18% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.24% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.52% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.030 | 23.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.34% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.030 | 5.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.139 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.030 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.93% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.80% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 128, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .321 → .266; ISO .115 → .094; BABIP .323 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Angels · 192 PAwOBA .360 → .266 (−93)K% 21.4% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷0.955 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.978 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷0.970 | ×0.820 | ×1.035 | ×1.008 | 24.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | ×1.035 | ×1.008 | 4.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.88% | ÷0.961 | ×0.720 | ×1.035 | ×1.008 | 3.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.01% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 92, K 91, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .360 → .266; ISO .153 → .110; BABIP .381 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Angels · 42 PAwOBA .345 → .235 (−111)K% 28.6% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.011 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.964 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 7.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 29.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 5.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.943 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 109, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .345 → .235; ISO .108 → .067; BABIP .440 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Angels · 35 PAwOBA .207 → .157 (−50)K% 31.4% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.43% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.023 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.71% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 4.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.012 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.022 | 9.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.920 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 4.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.904 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .207 → .157; ISO .077 → .062; BABIP .176 → .122. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).