Luis Mieses — OGILVIE

Luis MiesesOF Frisco RoughRiders

Age 26 L/L 6'3" / 180 lbs AA K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .240 / .340

PA250

HR6

K%28

BB%4

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

45→45

SPD

40→40

EYE

34↗35

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.6peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-12M		$-35M	-$23M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$23M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	263	251	51	6	2	0	6	60	4	3	2	.203	.234	.243	.477	.040	.266	23	2	.206	16	-25	-0	+0	-2	+7	-2.0
2018	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	204	197	32	7	1	1	2	50	0	3	0	.162	.171	.223	.394	.061	.207	25	1	.180	-4	-24	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.9
2021	21	A+	2 teams	459	432	95	24	2	13	15	111	5	0	1	.220	.254	.375	.629	.155	.260	24	3	.270	65	-18	-0	+0	-3	+13	-0.9
2022	22	A+	2 teams	553	528	122	28	0	13	17	126	5	1	0	.231	.262	.358	.620	.127	.278	23	3	.268	63	-23	+0	+0	-3	+16	-1.1
2023	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	485	466	87	22	1	8	9	158	2	1	0	.187	.205	.290	.495	.103	.256	33	2	.212	20	-44	+0	+0	-3	+14	-3.3
2024	24	A+	3 teams	361	338	77	15	3	10	13	86	3	3	1	.228	.263	.379	.641	.151	.269	24	4	.272	66	-14	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
2025	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	428	406	80	12	2	13	19	115	1	1	2	.197	.235	.333	.567	.135	.239	27	4	.244	45	-27	-1	+0	-3	+12	-1.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	TEX	250	238	50	10	1	6	9	69	1	1	1	.210	.242	.336	.578	.126	.266	28	4	.258	55	-13	-0	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	TEX	269	255	54	11	1	7	11	74	1	1	1	.212	.247	.345	.592	.133	.268	28	4	.264	61	-12	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
2028	28	MLB 22%	TEX	319	299	64	13	1	8	15	87	2	1	0	.214	.256	.344	.601	.130	.270	27	5	.268	63	-13	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.7
2029	29	MLB 34%	TEX	344	322	70	14	2	9	17	94	2	1	0	.217	.261	.357	.618	.140	.270	27	5	.269	64	-14	+0	-1	-2	+10	-0.8
2030	30	MLB 44%	TEX	359	336	72	14	2	9	18	99	2	0	0	.214	.258	.348	.607	.134	.269	28	5	.267	62	-15	+0	-2	-2	+10	-1.0
2031	31	MLB 53%	TEX	357	334	70	14	1	9	18	100	2	0	0	.210	.254	.338	.593	.129	.268	28	5	.263	60	-16	+0	-3	-2	+10	-1.1
2032	32	MLB 71%	TEX	347	325	66	13	1	8	17	99	2	0	0	.203	.247	.323	.570	.120	.266	29	5	.258	56	-17	+0	-4	-2	+10	-1.3
2033	33	MLB 88%	TEX	322	302	61	12	1	7	16	94	1	0	0	.202	.245	.318	.562	.116	.265	29	5	.253	52	-18	+0	-4	-2	+9	-1.5
2034	34	MLB	TEX	281	264	52	10	1	6	14	84	1	0	0	.197	.240	.311	.551	.114	.263	30	5	.246	47	-17	+0	-5	-2	+8	-1.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5601	5293	1103	225	22	127	216	1506	34	16	8	.208	.244	.331	.575	.123	.263	27	4	.252	51	-309	+0	-20	-34	+159	-20.8
/ 162G	—			650	614	129	26	3	15	25	175	4	2	1	.210	.245	.336	.581	.125	.266	27	4	.252	51	-36	+0	-2	-4	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	263	247	65	8	3	0	10	42	4	3	2	.263	.303	.320	.623	.057	.316	16	4	.281	73	-8	-0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2018	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	204	195	44	10	2	2	4	35	0	3	0	.226	.241	.328	.569	.103	.259	17	2	.246	46	-12	+1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2021	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	234	220	52	19	2	9	11	48	2	0	1	.236	.279	.464	.743	.227	.262	21	5	.322	105	+1	-0	—	—	+7	0.8
2021	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	225	203	62	12	1	6	13	33	3	0	0	.305	.356	.463	.819	.158	.329	15	6	.354	129	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2022	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	102	97	29	5	0	3	4	20	1	1	0	.299	.333	.443	.777	.144	.351	20	4	.345	122	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	451	420	118	34	0	12	24	72	4	0	0	.281	.326	.448	.774	.167	.313	16	5	.340	119	+9	+0	—	—	+13	2.3
2023	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	485	458	108	26	1	9	14	113	2	1	0	.236	.260	.356	.616	.120	.288	23	3	.268	64	-20	+0	—	—	+14	-0.6
2024	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	136	128	36	5	0	6	4	31	1	0	0	.281	.306	.461	.767	.180	.323	23	3	.331	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	204	189	51	14	3	6	9	35	1	3	1	.270	.307	.471	.777	.201	.294	17	4	.332	112	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2024	24	ROK	ACL Rangers	21	13	5	0	1	0	7	0	1	0	0	.385	.619	.538	1.158	.154	.385	0	33	.517	254	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	428	394	92	15	2	14	31	85	1	1	2	.234	.291	.388	.679	.155	.263	20	7	.302	89	-5	-1	—	—	+12	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Mieses (OGILVIE)	26	45	45	40	35	.208/.240/.340	.131	.266	6	1	28%	4%	55	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Tendler 2018 · AA	26	41→44	46→50	39→40	41	.208/.262/.338	.130	.270	14	3	28%	6%	64	-0.8	.210/.261/.331	.121	.282	14	4	30%	6%	62	-0.9	.203/.253/.318	.115	.270	15	3	30%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	47→45	45→40	41	.208/.272/.337	.129	.274	15	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.214/.278/.342	.128	.278	13	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.177/.265/.331	.155	.216	16	6	26%	8%	60	-0.2
✕Ricky Oropesa 2016 · AA	26	43→44	47→45	44→30	38	.219/.264/.346	.127	.299	15	2	32%	5%	66	-0.6	.214/.267/.344	.130	.298	16	4	32%	6%	68	-0.5	.184/.245/.297	.113	.254	16	0	33%	6%	43	-1.1
✕Keury De La Cruz 2017 · AA	25	45→46	44→50	41→50	37	.225/.257/.337	.113	.294	12	6	28%	4%	60	-1.0	.215/.254/.303	.088	.288	7	12	27%	5%	50	-1.8	.203/.224/.232	.029	.274	0	18	25%	3%	14	-0.9
✕Aldrem Corredor 2022 · AA	26	45→52	43→45	45→40	40	.223/.268/.333	.110	.297	11	4	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.223/.284/.339	.116	.297	14	4	28%	8%	74	-0.1	.216/.284/.324	.108	.283	15	0	28%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Blake Rutherford 2023 · AAA	26	44→52	43→45	46→50	36	.220/.250/.332	.112	.285	10	8	27%	3%	56	-1.3	.246/.286/.384	.138	.309	14	10	24%	5%	85	+0.7	.276/.322/.439	.163	.339	16	10	23%	5%	112	+1.5
✕Paul Hoenecke 2016 · AA	26	42→44	45→50	47→40	42	.210/.254/.335	.124	.258	12	5	24%	5%	59	-1.1	.214/.248/.348	.134	.267	15	5	26%	4%	60	-1.0	.200/.222/.342	.142	.237	19	2	26%	2%	45	-0.7
✕Bligh Madris 2022 · AAA	26	45→47	43→50	39→50	44	.224/.277/.337	.114	.282	11	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.281/.358	.140	.285	15	10	28%	8%	77	+0.1	.202/.273/.357	.154	.262	18	14	29%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Fernando Perez 2019 · AA	25	39→44	49→50	42→30	36	.208/.250/.349	.141	.277	18	4	32%	4%	62	-0.9	.241/.284/.393	.152	.300	19	5	26%	5%	88	+0.9	.252/.292/.417	.165	.303	22	1	25%	4%	97	+1.0
✕Lee Cruz 2009 · AA	26	42→46	45→50	40	38	.213/.244/.343	.130	.256	12	3	23%	3%	57	-1.2	.224/.255/.369	.145	.278	16	4	25%	3%	69	-0.4	.240/.268/.417	.177	.283	22	2	24%	3%	87	+0.4
✕Eric Duncan 2011 · AAA	26	41→43	42→50	44→45	38	.204/.242/.303	.099	.269	9	6	28%	4%	46	-2.0	.222/.259/.365	.143	.283	18	6	28%	4%	70	-0.3	.222/.258/.386	.164	.271	22	5	27%	4%	73	-0.1
✕Alex Destino 2021 · A	25	42→43	48→50	44→30	38	.217/.261/.352	.136	.293	16	3	31%	5%	67	-0.5	.201/.266/.342	.141	.317	18	3	39%	8%	67	-0.5	.180/.254/.318	.138	.286	18	1	41%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Carlos Franco 2018 · AAA	26	44→48	45	41→45	40	.218/.272/.333	.115	.310	13	4	33%	7%	67	-0.5	.216/.265/.347	.131	.329	16	4	37%	6%	67	-0.5	.204/.251/.331	.127	.318	16	1	39%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A	26	41→37	47→50	45→40	42	.208/.270/.338	.131	.276	15	5	30%	7%	68	-0.5	.211/.284/.355	.144	.299	15	8	32%	8%	79	+0.3	.173/.267/.342	.169	.235	18	7	34%	10%	65	-0.2
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	45	43→45	48→45	38	.223/.263/.334	.111	.295	10	8	28%	4%	63	-0.9	.215/.266/.332	.117	.321	12	5	35%	6%	64	-0.8	.208/.261/.325	.117	.315	13	2	36%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	42→46	45	47→50	43	.214/.266/.338	.124	.259	13	10	23%	6%	66	-0.6	.210/.265/.331	.121	.256	14	10	23%	6%	63	-0.8	.198/.257/.310	.112	.238	13	9	23%	6%	51	-0.6
✕John Urick 2008 · A	26	41→45	45	41→30	42	.207/.271/.331	.125	.281	12	2	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.215/.280/.336	.121	.311	11	3	32%	7%	71	-0.3	.213/.281/.335	.121	.306	10	0	32%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Preston Palmeiro 2021 · AA	26	41→47	41→45	44→40	39	.203/.244/.298	.095	.272	9	4	29%	5%	45	-2.1	.209/.259/.323	.114	.272	11	5	27%	6%	59	-1.1	.201/.257/.315	.113	.257	11	3	26%	6%	52	-0.9
✕Mark Sobolewski 2013 · AAA	26	46→51	46→45	42→40	38	.230/.263/.356	.126	.295	14	3	27%	4%	69	-0.4	.208/.251/.325	.117	.282	13	5	30%	5%	56	-1.3	.146/.196/.219	.073	.215	9	0	35%	5%	3	-1.5
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	45→50	44→45	38	.214/.258/.334	.120	.292	12	9	31%	5%	61	-1.0	.222/.274/.341	.119	.283	11	8	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.224/.282/.338	.114	.277	10	7	22%	7%	71	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)