Danny Ortiz

PosRF

B/TL/L

Born1990-01-05

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	33	INTLPuerto Rico	189	.237/.306/.314	3	1	77	—
2024	34	INTLPuerto Rico	249	.242/.313/.390	8	0	97	—
2025	35	INTLIndios de May…	147	.200/.283/.246	0	2	53	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	205	186	51	11	5	2	11	30	5	4	0	274	332	419	751	145	314	15	5	330	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	261	239	62	16	4	11	14	60	2	1	0	259	306	498	804	238	293	23	5	342	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	34	30	3	0	0	1	2	7	0	0	1	100	156	200	356	100	91	21	6	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A	Beloit Snappers	—	514	468	112	33	4	10	37	96	2	7	5	239	298	391	689	152	277	19	7	303	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	61	57	14	6	0	1	1	15	0	0	1	246	259	404	662	158	295	25	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	405	375	101	24	5	8	22	67	3	4	4	269	315	424	739	155	308	17	5	323	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A	Beloit Snappers	—	94	87	26	4	0	2	4	15	1	3	4	299	337	414	751	115	343	16	4	329	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	166	149	48	11	0	1	10	25	2	1	0	322	373	416	789	94	376	15	6	345	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	520	483	125	27	4	12	27	87	4	1	4	259	304	406	709	147	291	17	5	312	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	151	143	31	4	0	1	7	25	0	1	4	217	253	266	519	49	254	17	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	254	242	62	13	3	8	9	51	1	0	0	256	286	434	720	178	292	20	4	313	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	189	182	59	16	2	4	4	34	1	3	1	324	342	500	842	176	379	18	2	366	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	165	156	43	13	2	5	4	35	1	0	1	276	298	481	779	205	322	21	2	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	526	484	120	31	3	17	33	105	2	4	1	248	299	430	728	182	280	20	6	317	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	171	151	35	6	2	0	16	24	2	2	1	232	314	298	612	66	273	14	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	470	436	103	19	4	17	25	91	1	6	8	236	279	415	694	179	257	19	5	301	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	157	144	49	3	2	2	11	12	0	0	3	340	387	431	818	90	356	8	7	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	441	411	111	30	1	15	19	80	3	5	2	270	307	457	765	187	298	18	4	330	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	86	79	8	2	0	0	5	13	1	0	0	101	165	127	291	25	119	15	6	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	418	392	91	20	0	15	19	101	3	0	1	232	273	398	671	166	271	24	5	294	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	125	115	25	6	0	3	7	25	0	0	0	217	262	348	610	130	244	20	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	530	462	144	30	1	42	51	104	8	1	3	312	390	654	1.043	342	314	20	10	440	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	122	110	25	7	0	1	9	10	2	0	0	227	298	318	616	91	240	8	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	143	116	37	9	0	5	23	14	2	0	0	319	440	526	966	207	323	10	16	422	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	250	228	61	20	0	14	17	59	3	3	2	268	327	539	866	272	299	24	7	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	287	262	65	16	0	7	18	64	1	1	1	248	299	389	688	141	294	22	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	189	169	40	4	0	3	15	40	2	1	0	237	306	314	620	77	287	21	8	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	249	223	54	9	0	8	23	61	0	0	0	242	313	390	703	148	295	24	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	147	130	26	6	0	0	13	29	2	2	2	200	283	246	529	46	255	20	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	205	191	41	8	4	2	6	43	5	4	0	215	257	330	587	115	250	21	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	261	244	44	10	3	8	9	85	2	1	0	180	216	344	560	164	220	33	3	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	514	479	94	24	4	7	26	130	2	7	5	196	241	307	548	111	243	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	405	381	83	21	4	7	16	100	3	4	4	218	255	349	604	131	269	25	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	94	88	24	3	0	1	3	20	1	3	4	273	304	341	645	68	336	21	3	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	520	491	117	24	4	11	19	104	4	1	4	238	272	371	643	132	273	20	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	254	245	55	10	3	6	6	61	1	0	0	224	246	363	609	139	270	24	2	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	189	184	53	13	2	3	2	42	1	3	1	288	299	429	729	141	348	22	1	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	526	494	108	26	3	15	23	123	2	4	1	219	256	374	631	156	252	23	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	470	447	94	16	4	16	14	108	1	6	8	210	236	371	607	161	231	23	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	441	420	101	23	1	15	10	93	3	5	2	240	263	407	670	167	266	21	2	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	418	398	75	16	0	12	13	126	3	0	1	188	220	319	539	131	235	30	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	530	482	113	24	1	26	31	129	8	1	3	234	292	450	742	216	252	24	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	205	191	41	8	4	2	6	43	5	4	0	215	257	330	587	115	264	21	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	—	205	186	51	11	5	2	11	30	5	4	0	274	332	419	751	145	314	15	5	330	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	295	275	50	12	3	9	10	96	2	1	1	182	216	345	561	164	233	33	3	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	295	269	65	16	4	12	16	67	2	1	1	242	289	465	754	223	270	23	5	320	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	575	534	105	27	4	8	29	145	2	7	6	197	241	307	548	110	249	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	575	525	126	39	4	11	38	111	2	7	6	240	294	392	686	152	279	19	7	300	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	665	622	143	33	5	11	25	160	6	8	8	230	266	352	619	122	290	24	4	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	665	611	175	39	5	11	36	107	6	8	8	286	332	421	753	134	330	16	5	330	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	671	636	150	30	5	14	24	134	4	2	8	236	268	365	633	129	276	20	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	671	626	156	31	4	13	34	112	4	2	8	249	292	374	666	125	283	17	5	295	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	608	586	148	32	7	13	11	141	3	3	2	253	270	398	668	145	309	23	2	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	608	580	164	42	7	17	17	120	3	3	2	283	307	467	774	184	328	20	3	334	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	697	653	143	34	4	20	31	162	4	6	2	219	259	375	634	156	257	23	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	697	635	155	37	5	17	49	129	4	6	2	244	302	398	701	154	278	19	7	308	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	627	597	126	21	6	21	19	144	1	6	11	211	237	372	608	161	238	23	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	627	580	152	22	6	19	36	103	1	6	11	262	306	419	725	157	285	16	6	316	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	502	122	28	1	18	12	111	4	5	2	243	266	410	677	167	274	21	2	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	527	490	119	32	1	15	24	93	4	5	2	243	284	404	688	161	267	18	5	300	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	543	516	97	20	0	16	17	163	3	0	1	188	218	320	538	132	235	30	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	543	507	116	26	0	18	26	126	3	0	1	229	271	387	657	158	265	23	5	288	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	652	594	139	30	1	32	38	158	10	1	3	234	291	449	741	215	258	24	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	652	572	169	37	1	43	60	114	10	1	3	295	372	589	961	294	296	17	9	410	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL MLE	Indios de Mayaguez	—	143	116	37	9	0	5	23	14	2	0	0	319	440	526	966	207	323	10	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL RAW	Indios de Mayaguez	—	143	116	37	9	0	5	23	14	2	0	0	319	440	526	966	207	323	10	16	422	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	250	228	61	20	0	14	17	59	3	3	2	268	327	539	866	272	299	24	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	250	228	61	20	0	14	17	59	3	3	2	268	327	539	866	272	299	24	7	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	287	262	65	16	0	7	18	64	1	1	1	248	299	389	688	141	294	22	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	287	262	65	16	0	7	18	64	1	1	1	248	299	389	688	141	294	22	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	189	169	40	4	0	3	15	40	2	1	0	237	306	314	620	77	287	21	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	189	169	40	4	0	3	15	40	2	1	0	237	306	314	620	77	287	21	8	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	249	223	54	9	0	8	23	61	0	0	0	242	313	390	703	148	295	24	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	249	223	54	9	0	8	23	61	0	0	0	242	313	390	703	148	295	24	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	INTL MLE	Indios de Mayaguez	—	147	130	26	6	0	0	13	29	2	2	2	200	283	246	529	46	255	20	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	INTL RAW	Indios de Mayaguez	—	147	130	26	6	0	0	13	29	2	2	2	200	283	246	529	46	255	20	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	205	192	41	8	4	2	6	43	5	4	0	214	257	328	586	115	250	21	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	295	281	50	12	3	9	10	96	2	1	1	178	216	338	554	160	220	33	3	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	575	539	105	27	4	8	29	145	2	7	6	195	241	304	545	109	243	25	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	665	629	143	33	5	11	25	160	6	8	8	227	266	348	615	121	282	24	4	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	671	638	150	30	5	14	24	134	4	2	8	235	268	364	632	129	273	20	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	608	589	148	32	7	13	11	141	3	3	2	251	270	396	666	144	303	23	2	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	697	657	143	34	4	20	31	162	4	6	2	218	259	373	632	155	252	23	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	627	602	126	21	6	21	19	144	1	6	11	209	237	369	605	159	231	23	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	527	506	122	28	1	18	12	111	4	5	2	241	266	407	674	166	266	21	2	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	543	518	97	20	0	16	17	163	3	0	1	187	218	319	537	131	235	30	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	652	599	139	30	1	32	38	158	10	1	3	232	291	446	737	214	252	24	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	7330	6834	1547	339	40	201	331	1724	54	50	49	226	268	376	644	150	269	24	5	222	37	-554	-10	-0	-79	+159	-49.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	138	30	4	18	29	153	5	4	4	228	269	380	648	152	271	24	4	222	37	-49	-1	-0	-7	+14	-4.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAPericos de Puebla · 530 PAwOBA .433 → .317 (−116)K% 19.6% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.62%	÷0.970	×1.200	—	—	24.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.87%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.76%
HBP% /PA	1.51%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.39%
Singles /BIP	19.83%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.950	×0.982	17.06%
Doubles /BIP	8.38%	÷0.964	×0.830	×0.950	×0.982	6.73%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.982	0.21%
Home runs /BIP	11.73%	÷1.144	×0.700	—	×0.982	7.05%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .433 → .317; ISO .342 → .223; BABIP .314 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 418 PAwOBA .288 → .235 (−53)K% 24.2% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.16%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	30.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.31%	÷0.932	×0.690	—	×0.992	3.16%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.67%
Singles /BIP	19.24%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.965	×0.992	17.13%
Doubles /BIP	6.87%	÷0.971	×0.830	×0.965	×0.992	5.62%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.965	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.15%	÷0.954	×0.840	—	×0.992	4.50%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .288 → .235; ISO .166 → .135; BABIP .271 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 441 PAwOBA .321 → .289 (−31)K% 18.1% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.14%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	21.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.17%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	×1.003	2.31%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.64%
Singles /BIP	19.64%	÷0.950	×0.930	×0.966	×1.003	18.64%
Doubles /BIP	9.06%	÷1.046	×0.830	×0.966	×1.003	6.97%
Triples /BIP	0.30%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.966	×1.003	0.25%
Home runs /BIP	4.53%	÷0.850	×0.840	—	×1.003	4.49%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 90, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 106, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .321 → .289; ISO .187 → .171; BABIP .298 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 470 PAwOBA .293 → .260 (−34)K% 19.4% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.36%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	22.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.47%	÷1.054	×0.690	—	×1.018	2.98%
HBP% /PA	0.21%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.20%
Singles /BIP	18.26%	÷0.998	×0.930	×0.969	×1.018	16.80%
Doubles /BIP	5.51%	÷1.010	×0.830	×0.969	×1.018	4.47%
Triples /BIP	1.16%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.969	×1.018	1.23%
Home runs /BIP	4.93%	÷0.933	×0.840	—	×1.018	4.52%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .293 → .260; ISO .179 → .163; BABIP .257 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 526 PAwOBA .311 → .273 (−39)K% 20.0% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.96%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	23.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.08%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.42%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.37%
Singles /BIP	18.21%	÷0.979	×0.930	×0.950	×1.033	16.97%
Doubles /BIP	8.18%	÷0.987	×0.830	×0.950	×1.033	6.75%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷0.932	×0.970	×0.950	×1.033	0.81%
Home runs /BIP	4.49%	÷0.956	×0.840	—	×1.033	4.07%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .311 → .273; ISO .182 → .161; BABIP .280 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARochester Red Wings · 254 PAwOBA .307 → .265 (−42)K% 20.1% → 24.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.08%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	24.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.54%	÷1.125	×0.690	—	×1.048	2.28%
HBP% /PA	0.39%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.39%
Singles /BIP	19.90%	÷1.010	×0.930	×0.994	×1.048	19.09%
Doubles /BIP	6.81%	÷1.059	×0.830	×0.994	×1.048	5.56%
Triples /BIP	1.57%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.994	×1.048	1.76%
Home runs /BIP	4.19%	÷1.075	×0.840	—	×1.048	3.43%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .307 → .265; ISO .178 → .149; BABIP .292 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 189 PAwOBA .357 → .309 (−48)K% 18.0% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.99%	÷0.989	×1.220	—	—	22.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.12%	÷1.155	×0.700	—	×1.012	1.30%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.46%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.967	×0.970	×0.950	×1.012	24.12%
Doubles /BIP	10.81%	÷0.999	×0.860	×0.950	×1.012	8.95%
Triples /BIP	1.35%	÷1.011	×0.950	×0.950	×1.012	1.22%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷0.956	×0.780	—	×1.012	2.23%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 98, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .357 → .309; ISO .176 → .143; BABIP .379 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 520 PAwOBA .305 → .274 (−31)K% 16.7% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.73%	÷1.020	×1.220	—	—	20.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×1.027	3.56%
HBP% /PA	0.77%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.67%
Singles /BIP	20.71%	÷0.995	×0.970	×0.955	×1.027	19.79%
Doubles /BIP	6.82%	÷0.963	×0.860	×0.955	×1.027	5.97%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.955	×1.027	1.05%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷0.897	×0.780	—	×1.027	2.71%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .305 → .274; ISO .147 → .132; BABIP .291 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .