Mike Gonzales
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | A+/A/ROK3 orgs | 216 | .253/.349/.473 | 10 | 1 | 71 | — | .196/.273/.349 |
| 2014 | 26 | AA/A+2 orgs | 437 | .271/.350/.439 | 12 | 0 | 75 | — | .222/.283/.353 |
| 2015 | 27 | AACIN | 260 | .218/.306/.328 | 5 | 0 | 38 | — | .181/.244/.256 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 150 | 133 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 331 | 395 | 489 | 883 | 158 | 423 | 24 | 7 | 385 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 239 | 214 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 304 | 369 | 477 | 845 | 173 | 393 | 27 | 9 | 370 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 370 | 326 | 77 | 27 | 0 | 13 | 36 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 202 | 308 | 29 | 10 | 337 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 477 | 412 | 119 | 27 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 105 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 289 | 377 | 468 | 845 | 180 | 348 | 22 | 11 | 371 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 266 | 225 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 346 | 378 | 724 | 133 | 316 | 26 | 11 | 323 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 77 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 351 | 476 | 828 | 238 | 244 | 22 | 13 | 352 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 120 | 103 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 336 | 466 | 802 | 214 | 263 | 18 | 6 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 19 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 421 | 500 | 921 | 188 | 444 | 32 | 16 | 410 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 118 | 106 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 339 | 415 | 754 | 151 | 325 | 22 | 8 | 339 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 319 | 281 | 77 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 354 | 448 | 803 | 174 | 319 | 19 | 9 | 355 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 260 | 229 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 306 | 328 | 634 | 109 | 273 | 23 | 10 | 290 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 150 | 137 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 293 | 350 | 643 | 109 | 332 | 35 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 239 | 222 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 263 | 338 | 601 | 122 | 324 | 38 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 370 | 337 | 60 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 247 | 326 | 574 | 148 | 265 | 39 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 477 | 428 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 142 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 300 | 350 | 650 | 119 | 306 | 30 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 266 | 234 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 102 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 258 | 282 | 540 | 107 | 260 | 38 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 77 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 270 | 364 | 634 | 182 | 208 | 32 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 120 | 106 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 267 | 330 | 597 | 132 | 226 | 26 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 412 | 728 | 176 | 335 | 47 | 11 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 118 | 110 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 288 | 345 | 634 | 109 | 310 | 27 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 319 | 290 | 63 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 282 | 355 | 637 | 138 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 260 | 238 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 244 | 256 | 500 | 76 | 243 | 29 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 150 | 137 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 293 | 350 | 643 | 109 | 360 | 35 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 150 | 133 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 331 | 395 | 489 | 883 | 158 | 423 | 24 | 7 | 385 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 239 | 222 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 263 | 338 | 601 | 122 | 328 | 38 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 239 | 214 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 304 | 369 | 477 | 845 | 173 | 393 | 27 | 9 | 370 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 370 | 337 | 60 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 247 | 326 | 574 | 148 | 270 | 39 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | Beloit Snappers | — | 370 | 326 | 77 | 27 | 0 | 13 | 36 | 107 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 202 | 308 | 29 | 10 | 337 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 477 | 428 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 142 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 300 | 350 | 650 | 119 | 314 | 30 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A RAW | Beloit Snappers | — | 477 | 412 | 119 | 27 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 105 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 289 | 377 | 468 | 845 | 180 | 348 | 22 | 11 | 371 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 266 | 234 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 102 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 258 | 282 | 540 | 107 | 273 | 38 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 266 | 225 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 346 | 378 | 724 | 133 | 316 | 26 | 11 | 323 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 216 | 189 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 273 | 349 | 622 | 153 | 242 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 216 | 182 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 253 | 349 | 473 | 822 | 220 | 269 | 21 | 9 | 353 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 400 | 89 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 120 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 283 | 360 | 643 | 137 | 289 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 387 | 105 | 29 | 0 | 12 | 39 | 88 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 350 | 439 | 790 | 168 | 321 | 20 | 9 | 351 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 260 | 238 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 244 | 256 | 500 | 76 | 247 | 29 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 260 | 229 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 306 | 328 | 634 | 109 | 273 | 23 | 10 | 290 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 150 | 139 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 293 | 345 | 638 | 108 | 332 | 35 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 239 | 223 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 263 | 336 | 599 | 121 | 324 | 38 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 370 | 336 | 60 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 247 | 327 | 575 | 149 | 265 | 39 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 477 | 432 | 99 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 142 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 229 | 300 | 347 | 647 | 118 | 306 | 30 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 266 | 238 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 102 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 258 | 277 | 535 | 105 | 260 | 38 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 216 | 194 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 273 | 340 | 613 | 149 | 229 | 30 | 6 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 400 | 89 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 120 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 283 | 360 | 643 | 137 | 284 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 260 | 238 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 244 | 256 | 500 | 76 | 243 | 29 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2415 | 2185 | 450 | 103 | 4 | 53 | 157 | 791 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 206 | 272 | 330 | 601 | 124 | 289 | 33 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -104 | +0 | +0 | -43 | +52 | -9.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 121 | 28 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 213 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 271 | 328 | 600 | 122 | 289 | 33 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -28 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 260 PAwOBA .285 → .224 (−60)K% 23.5% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.46% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.62% | ÷1.059 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×0.978 | 18.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | ×0.987 | ×0.978 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.880 | ×0.987 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.98% | ÷1.232 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 104, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .285 → .224; ISO .109 → .079; BABIP .273 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 319 PAwOBA .348 → .278 (−70)K% 19.4% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.44% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.968 | 17.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.05% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | ×0.968 | 9.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×0.982 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.11% | ÷0.995 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 3.52% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 86, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .348 → .278; ISO .174 → .144; BABIP .319 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 118 PAwOBA .330 → .280 (−50)K% 22.0% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.63% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷0.967 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 22.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.75% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 7.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.950 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷0.956 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 98, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .330 → .280; ISO .151 → .122; BABIP .325 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 120 PAwOBA .347 → .268 (−79)K% 18.3% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.33% | ÷0.954 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.83% | ÷1.074 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 3.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.28% | ÷0.928 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.970 | 15.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×0.970 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.132 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 4.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 86, 2B 94, 3B 105, K 91, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .347 → .268; ISO .214 → .152; BABIP .263 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 77 PAwOBA .356 → .287 (−69)K% 22.1% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.08% | ÷0.977 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.99% | ÷1.009 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 16.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.105 | ×0.960 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 1.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.906 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 1.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.70% | ÷0.993 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 7.53% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 108, 2B 121, 3B 81, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .356 → .287; ISO .238 → .198; BABIP .244 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Twins · 19 PAwOBA .400 → .254 (−145)K% 31.6% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 9.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 31.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 7.37% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .400 → .254; ISO .188 → .119; BABIP .444 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 266 PAwOBA .318 → .242 (−76)K% 25.9% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.94% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.977 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.72% | ÷1.095 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 19.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.022 | ×0.960 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.810 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 110, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .318 → .242; ISO .133 → .108; BABIP .316 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ABeloit Snappers · 477 PAwOBA .366 → .286 (−79)K% 22.0% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.01% | ÷1.007 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.76% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.990 | 23.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.79% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.990 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.990 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.89% | ÷1.144 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 3.38% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 94, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 101, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .366 → .286; ISO .180 → .124; BABIP .348 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).