Cristian Jauregui

OF Bradenton Marauders
Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Pirates G…167.274/.410/.39331751—.177/.301/.248
202519ROKPIT121.214/.364/.29601034—.162/.273/.229
202620APIT324.233/.331/.35161552—.192/.275/.279
2027PROJMLE21MLBPIT434.212/.282/.3126969-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBPIT90.216/.287/.3241274-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBPIT170.219/.291/.3333478-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed65
Whiff%54
Z-Con%53
Max EV49
K%36
BB%26
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsCole Roederer (age 21) · Iverson Leonardo (age 21) · Carlos Jimenez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .280 / .309
PA210
HR3
K%29
BB%7
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT29
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED59
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 12495 23311 23306 152 242419326746 84344 2419 357 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 167135 37323 23368 176 274410393802 119351 2214 368 51 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Pirates — 12198 21420 18255 101 214364296660 82288 2115 315 34 — — — — — —
202620 ABradenton Marauders — 324279 65936 298912 1513 233331351683 118316 279 310 52 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Black — 124102 16210 16376 152 157306196503 39232 3013 243 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 167141 25212 17438 176 177301248549 71224 2610 243 51 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 121105 17320 11365 101 162273229501 67228 309 219 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 324287 55734 2112112 1513 192275279554 87294 376 245 52 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Black — 124102 16210 16376 152 157306196503 39246 3013 243 51 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Pirates Black — 12495 23311 23306 152 242419326746 84344 2419 357 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 167141 25212 17438 176 177301248549 71237 2610 243 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Pirates Gold — 167135 37323 23368 176 274410393802 119351 2214 368 51 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 121105 17320 11365 101 162273229501 67246 309 219 34 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 12198 21420 18255 101 214364296660 82288 2115 315 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 324287 55734 2112112 1513 192275279554 87309 376 245 52 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWBradenton Marauders — 324279 65936 298912 1513 233331351683 118316 279 310 52 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Black — 124101 16210 16376 152 158306198504 40232 3013 243 51 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 167140 25212 17438 176 179301250551 71224 2610 243 51 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 121104 17320 11365 101 163273231503 67228 309 219 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 324288 55734 2112112 1513 191275278553 87294 376 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 167140 25212 17438 176 179301250551 71224 2610 243 51 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 121104 17320 11365 101 163273231503 67228 309 219 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 324288 55734 2112112 1513 191275278553 87294 376 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPIT 0% 434392 841636 301269 94 212282312594 101292 297 270 69 -16 +0 +0 -3 +9 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPIT 34% 261236 50924 18745 62 216287327614 110293 287 278 74 -8 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.4
202923 MLB MLEPIT 48% 351316 701327 25987 83 220291337628 117293 287 284 78 -9 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.3
203024 MLB MLEPIT 53% 408367 811528 301128 94 222294344638 121294 277 288 81 -9 +0 +0 -2 +9 -0.3
203125 MLB MLEPIT 55% 440396 891739 331208 94 224296348644 124294 278 290 83 -9 +0 +0 -3 +10 -0.2
203226 MLB MLEPIT 56% 456411 9317310 341238 104 225297351648 126294 277 292 84 -9 +0 +0 -3 +10 -0.1
203327 MLB MLEPIT 55% 461415 9317310 351258 94 224296348644 124293 278 290 83 -10 +0 +0 -3 +10 -0.2
203428 MLB MLEPIT 55% 459414 921739 341268 84 222294343637 121292 277 287 81 -11 +0 -1 -3 +10 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXPIT 34% 9082 17311 6262 21 216287324611 108294 297 277 74 -3 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXPIT 48% 170153 34713 12483 42 219291333624 114294 287 282 78 -4 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
203024 MLB CTXPIT 53% 215193 42814 16594 52 222294340633 118295 277 286 81 -5 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXPIT 55% 241217 48915 18664 52 223295344639 121295 277 288 83 -5 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.1
203226 MLB CTXPIT 56% 254229 511015 19694 52 224296346643 122294 277 290 84 -5 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.1
203327 MLB CTXPIT 55% 254229 511015 19694 52 223295344639 121294 277 288 83 -5 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.1
203428 MLB CTXPIT 55% 251226 501015 19694 42 221293339633 118293 278 286 81 -6 +0 -0 -2 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14751329 29357728 10940625 3013 220292337629 117294 287 286 74 -33 +1 -0 -9 +32 -1.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 12925312 4817911 136 220292334626 114294 287 286 74 -15 +0 -0 -4 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 37823380 7211272666 288107687 12049 213292325617 112290 288 277 74 -72 +2 -1 -18 +66 -2.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 12322411 4918515 218 212290320610 108289 288 277 74 -15 +0 -0 -4 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 324 PAwOBA .305 → .245 (−60)K% 27.5% → 37.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.47%÷1.000×1.360——37.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.95%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0306.36%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.780—×1.0302.98%
Singles /BIP24.74%÷1.000×0.920×1.004×1.03023.55%
Doubles /BIP4.74%÷1.000×0.830×1.004×1.0304.07%
Triples /BIP1.58%÷1.000×0.910×1.004×1.0301.49%
Home runs /BIP3.16%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0302.60%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .305 → .245; ISO .118 → .092; BABIP .316 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 121 PAwOBA .309 → .219 (−90)K% 20.7% → 29.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.66%÷1.006×1.440——29.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.88%÷0.998×0.620—×1.0089.31%
HBP% /PA4.13%—×0.720—×1.0083.00%
Singles /BIP20.55%÷1.022×0.820×1.024×1.00817.02%
Doubles /BIP5.48%÷1.119×0.720×1.024×1.0083.64%
Triples /BIP2.74%÷0.950×0.720×1.024×1.0082.14%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .309 → .219; ISO .082 → .057; BABIP .288 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 167 PAwOBA .362 → .243 (−119)K% 21.6% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.56%÷1.011×1.220——26.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.77%÷0.971×0.700—×1.00810.00%
HBP% /PA4.79%—×0.700—×1.0083.38%
Singles /BIP29.29%÷1.024×0.680×0.987×1.00819.34%
Doubles /BIP3.03%÷1.084×0.600×0.987×1.0081.67%
Triples /BIP2.02%÷0.989×0.600×0.987×1.0081.22%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷0.847×0.470—×1.0081.69%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .362 → .243; ISO .119 → .069; BABIP .351 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 124 PAwOBA .350 → .243 (−107)K% 24.2% → 29.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.19%÷1.000×1.220——29.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.55%÷1.000×0.700—×1.02213.28%
HBP% /PA4.84%—×0.700—×1.0223.46%
Singles /BIP27.69%÷1.000×0.680×1.001×1.02219.27%
Doubles /BIP4.62%÷1.000×0.600×1.001×1.0222.83%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷1.000×0.600×1.001×1.0220.94%
Home runs /BIP1.54%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0220.74%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .350 → .243; ISO .084 → .049; BABIP .344 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).