Helvin Mendoza

OF DSL LAD Mega

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL LAD Mega	206	.329/.500/.474	4	17	84	—	.207/.363/.287
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	316	.232/.321/.321	3	8	86	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	88	.235/.326/.331	1	2	90	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	185	.238/.328/.341	3	5	93	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA94

wRC+90

K%83

Z-Con%82

Whiff%75

BB%74

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · L.J. Hoes (age 19) · Rubén Tejada (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 175 proj PA

wRC+86

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .319 / .318

PA175

HR2

K%23

BB%9

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 64 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT64

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE72

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	206	152	50	8	1	4	39	30	13	17	7	329	500	474	974	145	383	15	19	439	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	206	164	34	5	1	2	27	37	13	17	7	207	363	287	649	79	238	18	13	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	206	164	34	5	1	2	27	37	13	17	7	207	363	287	649	79	252	18	13	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	206	152	50	8	1	4	39	30	13	17	7	329	500	474	974	145	383	15	19	439	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	206	164	34	5	1	2	27	37	13	17	7	207	363	287	649	79	238	18	13	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	206	164	34	5	1	2	27	37	13	17	7	207	363	287	649	79	238	18	13	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	316	276	64	10	2	3	30	74	7	8	1	232	321	321	642	89	301	23	9	295	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	257	225	53	8	2	3	24	59	6	6	1	235	326	331	657	96	302	23	9	301	90	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	382	334	80	13	3	5	36	87	9	10	3	238	328	341	669	103	303	23	9	306	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	476	417	100	16	3	8	45	108	11	12	3	240	330	349	679	109	304	23	9	309	95	-3	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	542	473	115	19	4	9	51	122	13	14	4	242	331	356	687	114	304	23	9	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	586	513	126	21	4	11	55	132	13	15	4	243	332	361	693	118	304	23	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	615	538	131	22	4	11	58	138	14	16	4	244	333	363	696	119	305	22	9	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	626	548	134	22	4	12	59	140	14	16	4	244	333	364	696	119	305	22	9	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-4	+14	1.1
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	634	555	135	22	4	12	60	142	14	16	5	244	333	363	696	119	304	22	9	315	100	-0	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.1
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	634	555	135	22	4	12	60	143	14	16	5	243	332	361	692	118	304	23	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	551	133	22	4	11	59	143	14	15	4	241	330	356	686	115	303	23	9	311	97	-2	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	619	543	130	21	4	11	58	143	13	14	4	239	327	349	676	111	302	23	9	308	94	-4	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.5
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	609	534	126	20	3	10	57	143	13	13	5	236	324	341	665	106	300	23	9	303	91	-6	+1	-2	-4	+13	0.2
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	57%	594	522	121	19	3	9	55	141	12	11	5	232	319	331	650	100	297	24	9	297	87	-9	+0	-3	-4	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	88	78	19	3	1	1	8	20	2	2	1	235	326	331	657	96	302	23	9	301	90	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	185	162	38	6	1	3	17	42	4	5	1	238	328	341	669	103	303	23	9	306	93	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	258	226	55	9	2	4	24	59	6	7	2	240	330	349	679	109	304	23	9	309	95	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	307	268	65	11	2	5	29	69	7	8	2	242	331	356	687	114	304	22	9	312	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	337	294	72	12	2	6	32	76	8	9	2	243	332	361	693	118	304	23	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	350	306	74	12	2	6	33	79	8	9	2	244	333	363	696	119	305	23	9	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	355	311	76	12	2	7	33	80	8	9	3	244	333	364	696	119	305	23	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	359	314	77	13	2	7	34	81	8	9	3	244	333	363	696	119	304	23	9	315	100	-0	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	352	308	74	12	2	6	33	79	8	9	3	243	332	361	692	118	304	22	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	302	73	12	2	6	32	79	8	8	2	241	330	356	686	115	303	23	9	311	97	-1	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	331	290	69	11	2	6	31	76	7	7	2	239	327	349	676	111	302	23	9	308	94	-2	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	321	281	67	11	2	5	30	75	7	7	2	236	324	341	665	106	300	23	9	303	91	-3	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	57%	336	295	69	11	2	5	31	80	7	6	3	232	319	331	650	100	297	24	9	297	87	-5	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3924	3435	828	135	24	67	367	895	88	95	28	241	330	353	683	112	305	23	9	310	95	-18	+8	-4	-24	+85	4.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	137	22	4	11	61	148	15	16	5	241	331	351	682	111	304	23	9	310	95	-3	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7584	6625	1589	258	48	128	720	1719	177	195	59	240	330	351	682	111	303	23	9	309	95	-38	+15	-7	-44	+160	8.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	136	22	4	11	62	147	15	17	5	239	330	350	681	111	303	23	10	309	95	-3	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.2	4,100	69	99	241	326	353	-25	+0	7.7	6.7
/162	664	11	16	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 6
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Helvin Mendoza (OGILVIE)	18	59→64	35→40	57→62	72	230/319/318	88	301	2	4	23%	9%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	54→62	41→45	51→55	44	257/313/356	99	323	8	16	22%	6%	91	+0.6	271/321/361	90	336	7	14	20%	5%	95	+0.9	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	47→55	35→40	53→50	61	215/316/281	66	255	2	19	15%	12%	76	-0.4	225/306/299	74	281	5	14	20%	10%	76	-0.4	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	50→57	39→45	51→45	51	234/299/332	97	275	5	7	16%	8%	80	-0.2	227/296/304	77	285	5	5	20%	9%	73	-0.6	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	51→58	44→50	53→50	45	249/309/372	124	290	10	14	18%	5%	94	+0.9	242/288/368	126	279	13	13	18%	5%	84	+0.2	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	48→54	41→50	55→60	46	230/305/334	104	275	7	21	18%	6%	84	+0.1	249/317/371	122	312	8	23	22%	5%	97	+1.1	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8

Helvin Mendoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps