Jack Valbrune

OF DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 L/R ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	168	.291/.431/.358	1	3	62	—	.210/.323/.266
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBHOU	278	.229/.306/.300	2	3	74	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBHOU	77	.235/.312/.317	1	1	79	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBHOU	171	.238/.316/.329	2	2	83	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%98

Whiff%98

Z-Con%95

Chase%81

BB%71

wOBA69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsHector Osorio (age 18) · Victor Mesa Jr. (age 19) · Ramón Flores (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 140 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .303 / .297

PA140

HR1

K%21

BB%9

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	134	39	4	1	1	31	14	2	3	6	291	431	358	789	67	317	8	18	368	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	143	30	3	1	1	22	17	2	3	6	210	323	266	589	56	222	10	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	143	30	3	1	1	22	17	2	3	6	210	323	266	589	56	230	10	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	134	39	4	1	1	31	14	2	3	6	291	431	358	789	67	317	8	18	368	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	142	30	3	1	1	22	17	2	3	6	211	323	268	591	56	222	10	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	168	142	30	3	1	1	22	17	2	3	6	211	323	268	591	56	222	10	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	278	249	57	8	2	2	25	57	2	3	1	229	306	300	606	71	287	21	9	278	74	-8	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	225	201	46	6	2	2	20	46	2	3	1	232	310	314	624	81	289	20	9	285	79	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	352	313	74	10	3	4	32	72	4	5	2	235	313	325	639	90	290	20	9	291	83	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	443	395	93	13	3	6	40	91	5	6	2	238	316	336	651	98	291	21	9	296	86	-7	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	504	448	109	16	4	8	46	104	5	7	3	240	318	344	662	104	292	21	9	300	89	-6	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	543	483	118	17	4	10	49	112	6	7	3	242	319	352	671	110	293	21	9	303	91	-6	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	566	504	122	18	4	10	51	117	6	7	3	242	320	355	674	112	293	21	9	305	92	-5	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	579	516	125	18	4	11	52	119	6	8	3	243	320	357	677	114	293	21	9	305	93	-5	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	582	518	125	18	4	11	53	121	6	7	3	242	319	354	673	112	292	21	9	304	92	-6	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	579	516	124	18	4	10	52	121	6	7	4	240	317	349	666	109	291	21	9	301	90	-7	-0	-1	-3	+13	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	570	508	121	17	4	10	51	121	6	7	4	237	314	343	656	106	290	21	9	297	87	-9	-0	-1	-3	+12	-0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	560	500	117	17	3	9	50	121	5	6	5	234	310	334	645	101	288	22	9	293	84	-10	-1	-2	-3	+12	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	77	69	17	2	1	1	7	16	1	1	0	235	312	317	630	82	292	21	9	288	79	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	171	152	36	5	1	2	15	35	2	2	1	238	316	329	645	91	294	20	9	294	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	240	213	52	8	2	3	22	49	3	3	1	240	318	339	657	99	295	20	9	298	86	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	285	254	61	9	2	4	26	59	3	4	2	243	320	348	667	105	296	21	9	302	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	307	273	66	10	2	5	28	63	3	4	2	244	321	355	676	111	297	21	9	306	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	320	285	70	11	2	6	29	66	3	4	2	245	322	358	680	113	297	21	9	307	92	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	327	291	71	11	2	6	30	67	3	4	2	245	322	360	682	115	297	20	9	308	93	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	323	288	71	11	2	6	29	67	3	4	2	244	321	357	678	113	296	21	9	306	92	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	318	283	69	10	2	6	29	67	3	4	2	242	319	352	671	110	295	21	9	303	90	-4	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	331	295	72	11	2	6	30	70	3	4	2	239	316	346	662	106	294	21	9	300	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	310	276	66	10	2	5	28	67	3	4	3	236	312	338	650	101	292	22	9	295	84	-6	-0	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3009	2679	651	98	20	50	273	626	30	38	19	243	320	351	670	108	298	21	9	302	88	-39	+0	-2	-18	+65	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	140	21	4	11	59	135	6	8	4	242	318	349	667	107	295	21	9	302	88	-8	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5811	5170	1233	175	41	93	531	1191	60	75	40	238	317	342	659	104	291	20	9	298	88	-78	+1	-4	-34	+122	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	138	20	5	10	59	133	7	8	4	239	316	343	659	104	292	20	9	298	88	-9	+0	-0	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#4Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#5Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,149	52	40	240	313	345	-19	+0	2.6	2.6
/162	664	11	8	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 3
#6Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Valbrune (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	227/303/297	71	287	1	2	21%	9%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Ramón Flores 2011 · A	19	45→55	37→45	48→50	47	211/276/288	77	274	4	7	23%	8%	61	-1.5	238/295/334	96	303	7	9	22%	7%	78	-0.3	255/328/354	99	304	9	8	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Cornelius Randolph 2016 · A	19	48→51	38→45	46→45	50	224/305/314	90	293	3	8	23%	9%	79	-0.2	226/294/317	91	317	7	6	28%	8%	75	-0.5	226/294/313	87	317	7	5	29%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	48→57	38→45	42→45	53	224/303/299	75	281	5	6	21%	10%	75	-0.5	238/304/328	90	293	7	5	20%	8%	81	-0.1	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	42	38→45	46→50	48	198/278/293	95	270	4	9	26%	8%	64	-1.3	187/263/295	108	293	10	8	37%	8%	59	-1.6	153/242/259	106	250	10	8	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Ismael Munguia 2018 · A	19	47→55	36→45	48→55	51	219/272/292	74	248	2	10	13%	7%	60	-1.6	233/273/310	77	276	2	8	16%	4%	64	-1.3	266/321/371	105	293	10	20	12%	5%	95	+0.6
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Emmanuel Avila 2008 · A	19	41→51	35→45	50→45	47	194/267/256	62	260	2	8	24%	8%	51	-2.2	210/248/272	62	257	4	6	19%	4%	47	-2.6	279/319/373	94	320	8	6	15%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Kelvin Alcantara 2024 · A	18	43	36→50	44→40	56	202/293/272	70	258	3	5	21%	11%	65	-1.2	208/281/309	101	286	9	4	28%	8%	69	-0.9	203/276/316	112	270	13	2	28%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jason Martin 2015 · A	19	45→52	36→60	50	49	210/274/290	80	273	1	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	222/277/351	129	295	12	12	27%	7%	76	-0.4	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Carlos Vidal 2015 · A	19	50	36→45	47→50	55	231/318/310	79	276	2	11	16%	9%	83	+0.1	232/294/332	100	288	8	11	21%	7%	78	-0.3	230/282/333	103	291	7	9	23%	6%	70	-0.4
●Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	51→57	38→50	51→50	45	241/287/329	88	302	4	10	21%	6%	74	-0.6	251/307/379	128	337	10	10	27%	7%	93	+0.8	255/313/401	146	322	13	11	24%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Yanquiel Fernández 2022 · A	19	44→48	41→55	47→30	49	213/270/311	99	247	7	4	17%	7%	65	-1.2	231/273/384	153	303	17	3	29%	5%	82	+0.0	231/272/387	155	301	18	2	29%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Brian Sanchez 2024 · A	20	43→42	36→50	50→55	50	202/282/280	78	270	2	12	24%	9%	62	-1.4	211/280/327	116	302	8	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	209/280/344	135	298	11	18	31%	8%	74	-0.3

Jack Valbrune

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps