Yanquiel Fernández
RF Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 604 | .246/.314/.382 | 14 | 1 | 70 | — | .235/.275/.349 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAACOL | 271 | .284/.351/.502 | 13 | 0 | 90 | — | .240/.291/.396 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBCOL | 147 | .225/.267/.348 | 4 | 0 | 64 | -0.8 | |
| 2026 | 23 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 535 | .258/.317/.469 | 27 | 3 | 75 | — | .222/.268/.375 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 24 | MLBNYY | 16 | .220/.266/.379 | 1 | 0 | 76 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ28% MLB | 25 | MLBNYY | 89 | .224/.272/.390 | 3 | 0 | 80 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ38% MLB | 26 | MLBNYY | 132 | .226/.275/.397 | 5 | 0 | 83 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 202 | 177 | 59 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 410 | 531 | 941 | 198 | 361 | 13 | 11 | 411 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 523 | 475 | 135 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 114 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 284 | 344 | 507 | 851 | 223 | 330 | 22 | 7 | 369 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 237 | 218 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 264 | 362 | 626 | 156 | 276 | 33 | 6 | 278 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 268 | 248 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 319 | 360 | 605 | 965 | 286 | 332 | 18 | 5 | 411 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 375 | 308 | 683 | 77 | 429 | 38 | 19 | 324 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 96 | 89 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 274 | 270 | 543 | 45 | 306 | 28 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 138 | 128 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 312 | 581 | 102 | 255 | 20 | 7 | 264 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 346 | 314 | 89 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 66 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 341 | 439 | 781 | 156 | 328 | 19 | 8 | 344 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 120 | 102 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 176 | 288 | 294 | 582 | 118 | 219 | 24 | 11 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 147 | 138 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 267 | 348 | 615 | 123 | 297 | 30 | 5 | 274 | 64 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 271 | 243 | 69 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 284 | 351 | 502 | 853 | 218 | 287 | 14 | 8 | 371 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 535 | 488 | 126 | 20 | 1 | 27 | 41 | 117 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 258 | 317 | 469 | 786 | 211 | 284 | 22 | 8 | 343 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 147 | 138 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 267 | 348 | 615 | 123 | 297 | 30 | 5 | 274 | 71 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +3 | -0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 202 | 184 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 270 | 315 | 585 | 109 | 227 | 15 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 523 | 486 | 118 | 27 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 162 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 290 | 424 | 713 | 181 | 318 | 31 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 237 | 222 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 91 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 226 | 302 | 527 | 122 | 260 | 38 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 268 | 254 | 68 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 66 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 295 | 500 | 795 | 232 | 297 | 25 | 3 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 16 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 312 | 286 | 598 | 71 | 403 | 50 | 12 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 138 | 131 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 232 | 260 | 491 | 69 | 250 | 25 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 346 | 325 | 82 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 82 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 292 | 385 | 676 | 132 | 302 | 24 | 5 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 147 | 138 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 260 | 341 | 601 | 123 | 297 | 30 | 5 | 262 | 64 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 271 | 250 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 291 | 396 | 687 | 156 | 257 | 18 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 535 | 499 | 111 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 140 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 268 | 375 | 643 | 152 | 263 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 202 | 184 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 270 | 315 | 585 | 109 | 229 | 15 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 202 | 177 | 59 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 410 | 531 | 941 | 198 | 361 | 13 | 11 | 411 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 523 | 486 | 118 | 27 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 162 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 290 | 424 | 713 | 181 | 324 | 31 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 523 | 475 | 135 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 114 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 284 | 344 | 507 | 851 | 223 | 330 | 22 | 7 | 369 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 617 | 582 | 130 | 25 | 3 | 23 | 24 | 195 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 259 | 395 | 654 | 172 | 288 | 32 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 617 | 568 | 147 | 26 | 3 | 26 | 38 | 159 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 259 | 310 | 452 | 762 | 194 | 310 | 26 | 6 | 332 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 604 | 565 | 133 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 145 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 117 | 291 | 24 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 604 | 544 | 134 | 30 | 1 | 14 | 48 | 123 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 314 | 382 | 696 | 136 | 291 | 20 | 8 | 311 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 388 | 90 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 92 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 280 | 376 | 656 | 144 | 268 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 418 | 381 | 100 | 19 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 82 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 321 | 446 | 767 | 184 | 290 | 20 | 7 | 337 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 535 | 499 | 111 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 140 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 268 | 375 | 643 | 152 | 267 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 535 | 488 | 126 | 20 | 1 | 27 | 41 | 117 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 258 | 317 | 469 | 786 | 211 | 284 | 22 | 8 | 343 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 202 | 184 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 270 | 315 | 585 | 109 | 227 | 15 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 523 | 486 | 118 | 27 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 162 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 290 | 424 | 713 | 181 | 318 | 31 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 617 | 584 | 130 | 25 | 3 | 23 | 24 | 195 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 259 | 394 | 653 | 171 | 283 | 32 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 604 | 565 | 133 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 145 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 117 | 287 | 24 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 389 | 90 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 92 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 280 | 375 | 656 | 144 | 271 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 535 | 499 | 111 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 140 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 268 | 375 | 643 | 152 | 263 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 604 | 565 | 133 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 145 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 279 | 352 | 631 | 117 | 287 | 24 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 389 | 90 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 92 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 280 | 375 | 656 | 144 | 271 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 535 | 499 | 111 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 140 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 268 | 375 | 643 | 152 | 263 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYY | 10% | 380 | 355 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 88 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 264 | 370 | 634 | 152 | 251 | 23 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -11 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYY | 10% | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 266 | 379 | 645 | 159 | 251 | 25 | 6 | 284 | 76 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYY | 28% | 321 | 299 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 270 | 381 | 651 | 159 | 253 | 23 | 6 | 287 | 80 | -7 | -0 | +1 | -3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 38% | 349 | 323 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 273 | 387 | 660 | 163 | 255 | 23 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -7 | -0 | +1 | -4 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYY | 28% | 89 | 84 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 272 | 390 | 662 | 167 | 254 | 24 | 6 | 292 | 80 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 38% | 132 | 122 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 275 | 397 | 672 | 171 | 255 | 23 | 6 | 296 | 83 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 368 | 344 | 77 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 270 | 366 | 637 | 142 | 272 | 26 | 6 | 286 | 79 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 608 | 136 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 37 | 168 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 271 | 365 | 636 | 141 | 272 | 26 | 6 | 286 | 79 | -17 | +0 | +1 | -12 | +14 | -1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3724 | 3470 | 790 | 150 | 12 | 118 | 197 | 954 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 228 | 274 | 380 | 653 | 152 | 276 | 26 | 5 | 284 | 79 | -24 | -0 | +3 | -13 | +21 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 138 | 26 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 167 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 228 | 273 | 381 | 654 | 153 | 276 | 26 | 5 | 284 | 79 | -16 | -0 | +2 | -9 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 535 PAwOBA .336 → .279 (−57)K% 21.9% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 20.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 5.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .336 → .279; ISO .211 → .158; BABIP .284 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 271 PAwOBA .365 → .301 (−64)K% 14.0% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.02% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.49% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.49% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 19.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.83% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.34% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.58% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .365 → .301; ISO .218 → .164; BABIP .287 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 346 PAwOBA .335 → .293 (−41)K% 19.1% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.08% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.65% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.60% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×1.050 | 23.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.102 | ×0.860 | ×0.977 | ×1.050 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.977 | ×1.050 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.03% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .335 → .293; ISO .156 → .135; BABIP .328 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 138 PAwOBA .257 → .224 (−33)K% 20.3% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.29% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.52% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 18.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .257 → .224; ISO .102 → .078; BABIP .255 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Spokane Indians · 268 PAwOBA .402 → .335 (−67)K% 17.9% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.91% | ÷0.983 | ×1.350 | — | — | 24.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.10% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 2.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.042 | 20.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.042 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.50% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×1.000 | ×1.042 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.50% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 7.02% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .402 → .335; ISO .286 → .231; BABIP .332 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 237 PAwOBA .272 → .229 (−44)K% 32.9% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.91% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.33% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.29% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 18.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .272 → .229; ISO .156 → .123; BABIP .276 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFresno Grizzlies · 16 PAwOBA .317 → .235 (−83)K% 37.5% → 51.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 51.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 13.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 27.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.946 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 12.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.186 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 97, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .317 → .235; ISO .077 → .055; BABIP .429 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFresno Grizzlies · 523 PAwOBA .362 → .305 (−57)K% 21.8% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷0.961 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.14% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 8.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.82% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 5.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .362 → .305; ISO .223 → .185; BABIP .330 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .