Yanquiel Fernández

Yanquiel FernándezRF Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 23 L/L 6'2" / 198 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION327 act + 218 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .255 / .376

PA218

HR8

K%24

BB%5

BABIP247

ISO161

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1215.3%

xwOBA

100.243

POWER60

Barrel%

528.4

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

8074.5

EYE30

Chase%

1638.3%

SPEED40

Sprint

1025.5

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.2M
2030	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	202	185	45	13	0	4	14	34	1	0	0	243	300	378	678	135	275	17	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	202	177	59	17	0	6	22	26	1	0	0	333	410	531	941	198	361	13	11	411	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	523	487	116	26	4	20	27	166	4	5	1	238	284	431	715	193	314	32	5	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	523	475	135	33	5	21	39	114	4	5	1	284	344	507	851	223	330	22	7	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	4 teams	—	617	584	117	22	3	22	22	200	4	3	2	200	234	361	596	161	257	32	4	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	4 teams	—	617	568	147	26	3	26	38	159	4	3	2	259	310	452	762	194	310	26	6	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	3 teams	—	604	568	121	22	1	15	25	156	6	1	2	213	254	335	588	121	264	26	4	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	3 teams	—	604	544	134	30	1	14	48	123	6	1	2	246	314	382	696	136	291	20	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	—	418	388	80	14	0	13	24	99	2	0	1	206	256	343	599	137	239	24	6	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	—	418	381	100	19	0	17	31	82	2	0	1	262	321	446	767	184	290	20	7	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	NYY	—	327	309	69	8	1	15	15	86	1	1	2	223	262	401	663	178	257	26	5	282	74	-10	-1	+0	-4	+9	-0.5
YTD	23	AAA	NYY	—	327	302	79	10	1	18	22	72	1	1	2	262	314	480	794	219	285	22	7	346	123	+9	-1	+0	-4	+9	1.4
ROS	23	AAA	NYY	10%	218	205	44	7	1	8	10	52	1	1	1	215	255	376	630	161	244	24	5	277	70	-7	-0	+1	-2	+6	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	NYY	10%	22	21	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	238	273	429	701	190	245	23	5	278	71	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
FULL	23	AAA	NYY	—	349	330	74	9	1	16	16	91	1	1	2	224	262	403	665	179	258	26	5	282	74	-10	-1	+0	-4	+10	-0.5
TOT	23	AAA	NYY	—	545	514	113	15	2	23	25	138	2	2	3	220	259	391	650	171	253	25	5	280	73	-17	-1	+1	-6	+15	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	NYY	28%	577	538	119	18	2	23	31	136	3	2	2	221	267	390	658	169	251	24	5	288	79	-14	-0	+3	-6	+16	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	NYY	38%	565	525	119	19	2	23	32	132	3	2	2	227	275	402	677	175	254	23	6	295	84	-10	-0	+3	-6	+16	0.2
2029	26	MLB	NYY	44%	554	513	117	18	2	23	33	129	3	2	2	228	279	405	684	177	256	23	6	298	87	-8	-0	+3	-6	+16	0.4
2030	27	MLB	NYY	46%	547	506	115	18	2	22	33	128	3	2	2	227	279	401	680	174	256	23	6	299	87	-8	-0	+3	-6	+15	0.4
2031	28	MLB	NYY	47%	539	498	112	18	1	22	33	127	3	2	2	225	277	398	675	173	256	24	6	298	86	-8	-0	+2	-6	+15	0.3
2027	24	MLB	NYY	28%	159	149	33	5	0	7	8	38	1	0	0	221	266	396	662	174	252	24	5	288	79	-4	+0	+1	-2	+5	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	NYY	38%	213	198	45	7	1	9	12	50	1	1	1	227	275	409	684	182	255	23	6	295	84	-4	-0	+1	-2	+6	0.1
2029	26	MLB	NYY	44%	242	225	51	8	1	10	14	56	1	1	1	227	275	404	679	178	257	23	6	298	86	-4	-0	+1	-3	+7	0.2
2030	27	MLB	NYY	46%	250	232	53	8	1	11	15	58	1	1	1	228	278	414	692	185	258	23	6	299	87	-4	-0	+1	-3	+7	0.2
2031	28	MLB	NYY	47%	254	235	55	9	1	11	16	60	1	1	1	234	286	421	707	187	257	24	6	298	86	-4	-0	+1	-3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1287	1198	273	43	4	53	74	311	5	4	4	228	276	403	679	175	262	24	6	293	83	-25	-1	+6	-17	+36	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	138	22	2	27	37	157	3	2	2	228	276	405	681	177	262	24	6	293	83	-13	-0	+3	-8	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	5364	4997	1105	195	18	195	284	1359	33	20	17	221	268	384	652	163	261	25	5	284	76	-147	-3	+15	-57	+152	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	134	24	2	24	34	165	4	2	2	221	267	386	653	165	261	25	5	284	76	-18	-0	+2	-7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	202	177	59	17	0	6	22	26	1	0	0	333	410	531	941	198	361	13	11	411	172	+17	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2022	19	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	523	475	135	33	5	21	39	114	4	5	1	284	344	507	851	223	330	22	7	369	141	+24	+1	—	—	+15	4.0
2023	20	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	237	218	45	10	0	8	15	78	2	0	0	206	264	362	626	156	276	33	6	278	71	-8	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2023	20	A+	Spokane Indians	—	268	248	79	14	3	17	14	48	2	1	1	319	360	605	965	286	332	18	5	411	173	+22	-0	—	—	+8	3.0
2023	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	16	13	3	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	231	375	308	683	77	429	38	19	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	20	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	96	89	20	1	0	1	6	27	0	2	1	225	274	270	543	45	306	28	6	248	48	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	21	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	138	128	27	7	0	2	9	28	1	0	0	211	268	312	581	102	255	20	7	264	60	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	346	314	89	17	1	10	26	66	2	1	0	283	341	439	781	156	328	19	8	344	122	+8	+0	—	—	+10	1.9
2024	21	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	120	102	18	6	0	2	13	29	3	0	2	176	288	294	582	118	219	24	11	268	63	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	147	138	31	5	0	4	8	44	0	0	0	225	267	348	615	123	297	30	5	274	68	-5	+0	-0	-4	+4	-0.6
2025	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	271	243	69	14	0	13	23	38	2	0	1	284	351	502	853	218	287	14	8	371	142	+13	-0	—	—	+8	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	147	138	31	5	0	4	8	44	0	0	0	225	267	348	615	123	297	30	5	274	68	-5	+0	-0	-4	+4	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,291	50	3	226	272	393	-14	+1	-0.4	-0.3
	/162	664	26	2	226	272	393	-7.1	+0.5	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yanquiel Fernández (OGILVIE)	23	45	60	40	30	220/259/391	171	253	23	2	25%	5%	73	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lewin Díaz 2021 · MLB	24	41→44	51→60	45→30	38	216/253/376	160	262	18	3	26%	4%	70	-0.3	217/273/414	197	251	27	3	26%	6%	90	+1.0	207/272/394	187	238	26	2	26%	7%	81	+0.4
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2022 · AA	23	35→44	51→55	45	40	196/249/350	154	246	20	7	30%	6%	62	-0.9	224/284/402	178	274	23	8	27%	8%	91	+1.1	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Cal Mitchell 2022 · AAA	23	44→51	47→50	40→50	38	225/266/354	129	288	15	6	27%	4%	70	-0.3	231/281/366	135	295	15	11	26%	6%	79	+0.3	220/276/356	136	284	15	12	27%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Mark Shorey 2008 · AA	23	43→53	50	40→30	38	223/265/372	150	278	18	2	28%	4%	75	-0.0	238/276/358	120	321	12	4	29%	4%	74	-0.1	245/279/351	107	335	10	3	29%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Fernando Martinez 2012 · MLB	23	44→54	47→50	45	39	224/275/360	136	281	15	4	26%	4%	76	+0.0	244/291/394	150	314	17	4	27%	4%	91	+1.1	250/297/407	157	321	18	1	27%	4%	95	+0.9
✕Jesus Cota 2006 · AAA	24	45→53	48→50	43→50	43	228/266/361	132	250	17	4	18%	4%	72	-0.2	225/260/351	126	259	16	7	20%	4%	66	-0.6	254/291/403	149	278	19	7	16%	4%	92	+0.8
●Willie Calhoun 2018 · MLB	23	44→52	54→55	46→40	47	232/276/406	174	238	22	4	15%	6%	88	+0.9	244/296/401	157	262	19	4	15%	6%	95	+1.4	244/310/419	176	255	23	1	15%	8%	103	+1.0
✕Adam Bailey 2012 · AA	24	46	50→55	41→45	38	238/267/388	151	280	19	3	24%	3%	79	+0.3	224/258/359	135	284	15	6	26%	4%	68	-0.5	209/239/339	130	266	14	5	27%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Chris Shaw 2017 · AA	23	44→43	51→60	47→30	39	225/272/389	164	296	18	3	30%	5%	82	+0.5	228/274/412	184	313	23	2	34%	5%	89	+1.0	224/272/415	192	304	26	1	35%	5%	85	+0.6
●Jonathan Schoop 2015 · MLB	23	41→51	48→60	44→45	39	215/258/351	135	259	17	4	25%	4%	66	-0.6	250/286/423	173	294	23	3	23%	4%	97	+1.5	265/304/452	186	306	25	1	22%	4%	111	+2.3
✕Edwin Rios 2018 · AAA	24	45→47	52→60	41→30	35	234/269/398	164	308	21	3	31%	4%	83	+0.6	221/271/393	172	331	22	3	38%	5%	83	+0.6	218/288/401	183	314	23	1	36%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→43	48→55	41→40	43	207/273/350	142	258	17	3	27%	6%	72	-0.2	207/268/376	169	282	22	3	34%	7%	77	+0.1	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Beau Mills 2010 · AA	23	46→47	48→50	39→30	40	234/275/375	141	286	15	2	24%	4%	79	+0.3	231/274/372	141	274	16	3	22%	5%	78	+0.2	226/272/369	143	264	16	1	21%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Chris Lubanski 2008 · AAA	23	46→49	50→55	44→45	44	232/284/390	158	288	17	7	26%	7%	86	+0.8	209/260/351	142	289	15	8	31%	7%	66	-0.6	195/248/338	143	274	15	8	34%	7%	56	-0.7
●Neftali Soto 2012 · AAA	23	41→51	55	41→40	36	224/262/404	180	275	24	2	29%	4%	82	+0.5	221/259/351	130	285	15	3	28%	4%	66	-0.6	248/290/372	125	308	13	1	23%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Billy McKinney 2019 · MLB	24	42→52	49→55	46→45	44	217/274/370	153	268	16	4	26%	7%	77	+0.1	217/284/396	179	267	20	4	26%	8%	89	+0.9	214/296/366	152	268	19	6	27%	9%	83	+0.3
●Josh Reddick 2011 · MLB	24	42→52	53→60	44→50	41	223/255/397	174	250	21	7	22%	4%	76	+0.1	235/292/430	195	264	24	8	21%	7%	101	+1.8	282/342/440	158	302	17	9	13%	8%	119	+2.7
✕Andy Wilkins 2013 · AA	24	41→46	54→55	43→45	47	221/280/398	176	257	22	5	24%	8%	88	+0.9	226/273/392	166	277	20	4	26%	6%	83	+0.6	221/264/385	164	268	21	1	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Preston Tucker 2014 · AA	24	44→46	48→55	46→40	44	225/274/366	140	263	17	4	22%	6%	76	+0.1	231/280/395	164	279	20	3	25%	6%	87	+0.8	232/310/385	153	274	16	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Elehuris Montero 2022 · AAA	23	40→50	56→55	45→30	42	218/277/400	182	268	25	3	29%	7%	87	+0.8	218/279/380	162	283	20	3	30%	6%	82	+0.5	210/272/358	148	277	18	2	30%	7%	73	-0.1