Ismael Munguia — OGILVIE

Ismael MunguiaLF Buffalo Bisons

Age 27 L/L 5'8" / 158 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION171 act + 114 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.272 / .336 / .379

PA114

HR2

K%12

BB%6

BABIP295

ISO107

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Giants	—	273	248	55	10	3	0	19	22	2	8	8	222	283	286	569	65	242	8	7	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Giants	—	273	237	65	13	4	0	30	15	2	8	8	274	361	363	723	89	291	5	11	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	164	150	40	5	3	1	9	26	0	8	4	267	308	360	668	93	312	16	5	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	164	142	47	7	4	1	17	18	0	8	4	331	403	458	860	127	368	11	10	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	2 teams	—	210	195	44	5	4	1	6	39	2	2	1	226	256	308	564	82	274	19	3	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	2 teams	—	210	191	50	7	6	1	10	28	2	2	1	262	305	377	682	115	299	13	5	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	397	105	15	6	1	15	55	10	13	5	264	308	340	648	76	304	13	4	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	388	111	22	5	1	24	41	10	13	5	286	344	376	720	90	317	10	6	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	357	335	95	15	2	7	11	31	5	15	5	284	316	403	719	119	292	9	3	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	357	333	112	22	3	9	13	27	5	15	5	336	370	502	872	165	342	8	4	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	379	339	91	14	0	7	19	65	13	18	5	268	332	372	703	103	310	17	5	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	379	330	93	16	0	7	28	50	13	18	5	282	361	394	755	112	310	13	7	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	513	447	114	19	1	8	34	59	21	31	7	255	337	356	692	101	276	12	7	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	513	432	124	21	4	7	49	48	21	31	7	287	386	403	789	116	307	9	10	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	483	440	98	14	3	5	20	48	13	26	11	223	277	302	579	80	238	10	4	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	483	417	119	16	4	4	43	33	13	26	11	285	370	372	742	86	299	7	9	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	TOR	—	171	145	46	9	0	2	14	19	2	2	5	317	385	421	806	103	341	11	8	337	116	+3	-2	+0	-2	+5	0.5
YTD	27	AAA	TOR	—	171	139	44	9	0	2	20	15	2	2	5	317	410	424	834	108	331	9	12	357	131	+6	-2	+0	-2	+5	0.8
ROS	27	AAA	TOR	10%	114	103	28	5	0	2	7	14	3	4	2	272	336	379	715	107	294	12	6	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	10%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		295	9	9	297	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	AAA	TOR	—	182	155	48	9	0	2	15	20	2	2	5	310	378	406	784	97	333	11	8	334	114	+3	-2	+0	-2	+5	0.5
TOT	27	AAA	TOR	—	285	248	74	14	0	4	21	33	5	6	7	298	365	403	768	105	323	12	7	327	108	+3	-2	+0	-3	+8	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TOR	31%	325	295	77	13	1	5	21	45	6	10	5	261	323	363	686	102	292	14	6	309	95	-2	+0	-1	-3	+9	0.3
2028	29	MLB	TOR	40%	345	312	80	14	1	5	23	51	7	10	5	256	322	356	677	99	291	15	7	308	94	-2	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.2
2027	28	MLB	TOR	31%	101	91	23	4	0	1	7	14	2	3	2	253	320	330	650	77	293	14	7	296	84	-2	-0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	29	MLB	TOR	40%	137	124	32	6	0	2	9	20	3	4	2	258	324	355	678	97	292	15	7	295	84	-2	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	249	225	57	10	0	3	17	35	5	7	4	253	320	338	658	84	286	14	7	296	84	-4	-0	-1	-3	+7	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	149	26	0	8	44	91	13	18	10	254	319	339	658	85	286	14	7	296	84	-12	-0	-2	-7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3590	3261	827	129	24	42	184	455	82	145	58	254	310	347	656	93	281	13	5	287	78	-90	+6	-2	-38	+102	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	149	23	4	8	33	82	15	26	11	253	309	346	655	93	279	13	5	287	78	-16	+1	-0	-7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Giants	—	273	237	65	13	4	0	30	15	2	8	8	274	361	363	723	89	291	5	11	326	108	+2	-2	—	—	+8	0.9
2017	18	ROK	AZL Giants	—	164	142	47	7	4	1	17	18	0	8	4	331	403	458	860	127	368	11	10	372	143	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2018	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	133	30	1	3	1	6	22	1	2	0	226	264	301	565	75	259	15	4	243	44	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2018	19	ROK	AZL Giants Orange	—	63	58	20	6	3	0	4	6	1	0	1	345	397	552	949	207	385	10	6	413	174	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2019	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	427	388	111	22	5	1	24	41	10	13	5	286	344	376	720	90	317	10	6	322	105	+2	+1	—	—	+12	1.5
2021	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	357	333	112	22	3	9	13	27	5	15	5	336	370	502	872	165	342	8	4	379	148	+19	+1	—	—	+10	3.1
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	335	294	83	14	0	6	24	45	11	16	4	282	359	391	750	109	314	13	7	335	115	+6	+2	—	—	+9	1.7
2023	24	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	44	36	10	2	0	1	4	5	2	2	1	278	381	417	798	139	281	11	9	346	123	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	178	144	36	9	1	2	22	23	6	7	4	250	372	368	740	118	281	13	12	330	111	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	194	167	53	9	0	5	15	14	10	11	3	317	406	461	867	144	322	7	8	387	154	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	141	121	35	3	3	0	12	11	5	13	0	289	377	364	740	74	315	8	9	333	113	+2	+3	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	26	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	315	281	69	11	2	4	22	25	7	23	7	246	316	342	658	96	255	8	7	296	85	-5	+2	—	—	+9	0.5
2025	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	168	136	50	5	2	0	21	8	6	3	4	368	472	434	906	66	388	5	12	403	166	+13	-1	—	—	+5	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Shane Spencerlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,568 PA	5	1,568	41	13	261	325	410	-12	-6	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	17	6	261	325	410	-5.3	-2.7	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#3Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	6	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
	/162	664	9	20	275	319	389	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Timo Perezlast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,790 PA	7	1,790	25	23	270	308	383	-15	-9	0.6	0.6
#6Timo Perezlast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,790 PA	/162	664	9	9	270	308	383	-5.7	-3.2	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	262	4	8	260	320	362	-3	-1	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	10	20	260	320	362	-7.1	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ismael Munguia (OGILVIE)	27	60	35	60	35	298/365/403	105	323	4	6	12%	7%	108	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Roberts 2012 · AAA	27	54→57	38→40	53→55	44	258/307/336	78	308	5	23	18%	5%	82	+0.5	231/285/311	80	279	5	20	18%	6%	66	-0.6	224/283/282	58	268	0	25	15%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Endy Chavez 2005 · MLB	27	55→63	40→45	58→55	50	259/301/362	103	276	7	26	9%	6%	85	+0.7	262/306/366	104	286	6	20	10%	6%	89	+0.9	281/323/374	93	307	4	16	9%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Julio Borbon 2013 · MLB	27	55→62	41→45	55→60	46	266/305/371	106	299	8	22	14%	5%	89	+1.0	249/291/329	80	295	6	27	17%	5%	72	-0.2	272/304/342	70	319	5	28	16%	4%	78	+0.2
●Michael Spidale 2009 · AAA	27	54→64	40	58→55	46	259/302/353	93	290	7	20	13%	5%	83	+0.6	275/312/354	79	317	5	20	14%	4%	88	+0.9	301/338/368	67	347	3	21	14%	4%	98	+1.3
✕Tim Locastro 2019 · AAA	27	50→53	40→45	56→60	43	238/309/334	96	284	6	23	18%	4%	83	+0.6	232/322/348	116	280	9	26	20%	6%	94	+1.3	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Chris Getz 2011 · MLB	27	53→56	39→40	58→60	52	250/311/335	85	281	5	27	13%	7%	83	+0.6	246/300/312	66	275	3	26	11%	7%	72	-0.2	247/293/314	66	276	2	31	10%	6%	65	-0.3
✕David Lough 2013 · MLB	27	53→63	42→50	58→50	43	254/289/370	116	286	8	18	15%	4%	82	+0.5	253/291/372	119	294	10	15	17%	4%	84	+0.6	257/296/373	115	302	10	13	18%	4%	84	+0.3
✕Matt Young 2010 · AAA	27	55→60	39→40	57→60	55	258/334/353	94	300	4	25	15%	9%	97	+1.5	252/322/337	85	300	3	26	16%	9%	89	+0.9	250/322/322	72	304	2	26	17%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Craig Gentry 2011 · MLB	27	51→56	40	57→60	45	245/303/334	89	294	7	25	19%	6%	80	+0.4	253/320/341	88	306	5	32	18%	7%	89	+0.9	272/345/345	73	330	2	40	17%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Xavier Paul 2012 · MLB	27	49→58	42→45	55	42	238/280/351	113	297	9	23	23%	5%	74	-0.1	240/295/371	131	305	13	13	24%	7%	86	+0.8	224/284/351	127	290	14	8	27%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jason Bourgeois 2009 · AAA	27	54→58	42→45	57→65	45	258/298/365	107	293	8	27	15%	5%	85	+0.7	264/301/348	84	299	6	37	13%	5%	82	+0.5	275/312/347	72	310	4	47	12%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Mike Rodriguez 2008 · AAA	27	50→53	39→40	56→55	48	235/286/329	94	271	6	22	16%	6%	70	-0.3	224/265/319	95	278	7	14	21%	5%	59	-1.1	220/255/305	85	275	5	11	22%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Raimel Tapia 2021 · MLB	27	51→61	42→45	55	44	247/291/358	111	306	8	17	22%	6%	80	+0.4	246/295/344	98	291	8	18	18%	7%	79	+0.3	243/295/337	95	287	8	21	18%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Rey Fuentes 2018 · MLB	27	53→63	38→40	57→60	41	251/293/330	79	327	5	25	24%	5%	73	-0.1	223/274/320	97	290	9	17	25%	6%	63	-0.8	199/255/281	82	258	7	15	25%	6%	43	-1.2
✕Charlie Tilson 2018 · AAA	25	54→60	40	57→55	46	256/301/356	100	303	6	22	18%	6%	83	+0.6	227/272/295	68	289	4	13	22%	5%	56	-1.3	233/279/295	62	302	2	16	22%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Kerry Robinson 2002 · MLB	28	54→62	40	55→60	51	256/310/346	90	279	7	23	12%	7%	85	+0.7	250/295/341	91	283	6	22	13%	6%	77	+0.1	283/317/345	62	317	2	32	11%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Vic Buttler 2007 · AAA	26	55→58	41→45	59→55	44	262/300/370	108	305	6	19	16%	4%	87	+0.8	249/299/351	102	284	7	22	14%	6%	82	+0.5	258/313/342	84	283	5	31	11%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Ben Copeland 2011 · AAA	27	51→55	41→45	56→55	47	242/295/347	105	300	7	22	21%	7%	79	+0.3	224/271/342	118	285	10	19	24%	6%	68	-0.5	207/249/331	124	260	11	20	24%	5%	52	-0.6
✕Will Rhymes 2010 · AAA	27	53→60	38→40	54→55	47	251/295/330	79	291	4	18	15%	6%	74	-0.1	259/311/347	88	292	4	15	12%	7%	85	+0.7	264/321/350	86	293	4	13	11%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Brian Miller 2023 · AAA	27	51→58	41→40	61→60	43	244/288/349	105	311	6	30	23%	6%	76	+0.1	226/280/326	100	292	7	24	24%	6%	67	-0.5	208/271/276	68	272	3	29	23%	7%	49	-0.9