Ismael Munguia
CF Buffalo Bisons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 513 | .287/.386/.403 | 7 | 31 | 101 | — | .263/.346/.371 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 483 | .285/.370/.372 | 4 | 26 | 93 | — | .221/.274/.298 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA/AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 348 | .338/.439/.433 | 3 | 6 | 124 | — | .312/.383/.386 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBTOR | 16 | .261/.327/.345 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBTOR | 56 | .258/.323/.341 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants | — | 273 | 237 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 274 | 361 | 363 | 723 | 89 | 291 | 5 | 11 | 326 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 164 | 142 | 47 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 331 | 403 | 458 | 860 | 127 | 368 | 11 | 10 | 372 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 147 | 133 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 226 | 264 | 301 | 565 | 75 | 259 | 15 | 4 | 243 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | — | 63 | 58 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 345 | 397 | 552 | 949 | 207 | 385 | 10 | 6 | 413 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 388 | 111 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 41 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 286 | 344 | 376 | 720 | 90 | 317 | 10 | 6 | 322 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 357 | 333 | 112 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 336 | 370 | 502 | 872 | 165 | 342 | 8 | 4 | 379 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 335 | 294 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 45 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 282 | 359 | 391 | 750 | 109 | 314 | 13 | 7 | 335 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 44 | 36 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 278 | 381 | 417 | 798 | 139 | 281 | 11 | 9 | 346 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 178 | 144 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 250 | 372 | 368 | 740 | 118 | 281 | 13 | 12 | 330 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 194 | 167 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 317 | 406 | 461 | 867 | 144 | 322 | 7 | 8 | 387 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 141 | 121 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 289 | 377 | 364 | 740 | 74 | 315 | 8 | 9 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 315 | 281 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 25 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 246 | 316 | 342 | 658 | 96 | 255 | 8 | 7 | 296 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 168 | 136 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 368 | 472 | 434 | 906 | 66 | 388 | 5 | 12 | 403 | 159 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 235 | 196 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 321 | 417 | 408 | 825 | 87 | 353 | 9 | 13 | 366 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 68 | 55 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 345 | 429 | 455 | 883 | 109 | 360 | 10 | 12 | 369 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 533 | 400 | 933 | 100 | 375 | 19 | 19 | 416 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 478 | 586 | 609 | 1.195 | 130 | 478 | 0 | 17 | 528 | 244 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 273 | 246 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 187 | 257 | 244 | 500 | 57 | 196 | 7 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 164 | 150 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 267 | 308 | 360 | 668 | 93 | 305 | 16 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 147 | 135 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 257 | 304 | 561 | 74 | 256 | 20 | 3 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants Orange | — | 63 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 286 | 383 | 669 | 133 | 294 | 14 | 3 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 397 | 104 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 55 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 306 | 338 | 643 | 76 | 294 | 13 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 357 | 336 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 286 | 316 | 408 | 724 | 122 | 295 | 10 | 3 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 335 | 301 | 83 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 55 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 276 | 337 | 369 | 706 | 93 | 311 | 16 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 44 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 286 | 316 | 602 | 105 | 205 | 16 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 178 | 151 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 245 | 337 | 351 | 688 | 106 | 268 | 14 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 194 | 172 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 279 | 354 | 390 | 744 | 110 | 282 | 9 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 315 | 289 | 64 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 221 | 274 | 298 | 572 | 76 | 234 | 10 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 235 | 206 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 306 | 373 | 369 | 742 | 63 | 334 | 11 | 9 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 68 | 58 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 345 | 397 | 448 | 845 | 103 | 341 | 13 | 7 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 16 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 467 | 364 | 830 | 91 | 284 | 25 | 12 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 273 | 246 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 187 | 257 | 244 | 500 | 57 | 201 | 7 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants | — | 273 | 237 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 274 | 361 | 363 | 723 | 89 | 291 | 5 | 11 | 326 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 164 | 150 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 267 | 308 | 360 | 668 | 93 | 312 | 16 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 164 | 142 | 47 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 331 | 403 | 458 | 860 | 127 | 368 | 11 | 10 | 372 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 210 | 195 | 45 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 261 | 323 | 584 | 92 | 278 | 18 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 210 | 191 | 50 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 305 | 377 | 682 | 115 | 299 | 13 | 5 | 294 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 397 | 104 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 55 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 306 | 338 | 643 | 76 | 301 | 13 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 388 | 111 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 41 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 286 | 344 | 376 | 720 | 90 | 317 | 10 | 6 | 322 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 357 | 336 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 286 | 316 | 408 | 724 | 122 | 298 | 10 | 3 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | Eugene Emeralds | — | 357 | 333 | 112 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 336 | 370 | 502 | 872 | 165 | 342 | 8 | 4 | 379 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 339 | 91 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 62 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 268 | 332 | 363 | 694 | 94 | 309 | 16 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 379 | 330 | 93 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 50 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 282 | 361 | 394 | 755 | 112 | 310 | 13 | 7 | 337 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 513 | 447 | 117 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 58 | 21 | 31 | 7 | 262 | 343 | 360 | 703 | 98 | 285 | 11 | 7 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 513 | 432 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 49 | 48 | 21 | 31 | 7 | 287 | 386 | 403 | 789 | 116 | 307 | 9 | 10 | 353 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 438 | 98 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 47 | 13 | 26 | 11 | 224 | 281 | 297 | 578 | 73 | 240 | 10 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 417 | 119 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 33 | 13 | 26 | 11 | 285 | 370 | 372 | 742 | 86 | 299 | 7 | 9 | 333 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 348 | 300 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 313 | 385 | 393 | 778 | 80 | 351 | 12 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 348 | 284 | 96 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 46 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 338 | 439 | 433 | 872 | 95 | 366 | 9 | 13 | 382 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 273 | 248 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 185 | 257 | 242 | 498 | 56 | 196 | 7 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 164 | 154 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 260 | 308 | 351 | 659 | 91 | 305 | 16 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 210 | 200 | 45 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 261 | 315 | 576 | 90 | 267 | 18 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 427 | 399 | 104 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 55 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 261 | 306 | 336 | 642 | 75 | 294 | 13 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 357 | 339 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 283 | 316 | 404 | 720 | 121 | 295 | 10 | 3 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 344 | 91 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 62 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 265 | 332 | 358 | 689 | 93 | 299 | 16 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 513 | 453 | 117 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 58 | 21 | 31 | 7 | 258 | 343 | 355 | 698 | 97 | 275 | 11 | 7 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 445 | 98 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 47 | 13 | 26 | 11 | 220 | 281 | 292 | 573 | 72 | 234 | 10 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 348 | 310 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 303 | 385 | 381 | 766 | 77 | 333 | 12 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 513 | 453 | 117 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 58 | 21 | 31 | 7 | 258 | 343 | 355 | 698 | 97 | 275 | 11 | 7 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 445 | 98 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 47 | 13 | 26 | 11 | 220 | 281 | 292 | 573 | 72 | 234 | 10 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 348 | 310 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 303 | 385 | 381 | 766 | 77 | 333 | 12 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 10% | 369 | 333 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 48 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 260 | 326 | 344 | 669 | 84 | 292 | 13 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 10% | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 327 | 345 | 671 | 84 | 294 | 12 | 6 | 305 | 92 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | TOR | 27% | 206 | 186 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 257 | 322 | 340 | 663 | 83 | 291 | 14 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -3 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | TOR | 27% | 56 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 323 | 341 | 665 | 83 | 292 | 14 | 7 | 302 | 90 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 56 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 255 | 321 | 353 | 674 | 98 | 286 | 14 | 7 | 302 | 81 | -1 | -0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 151 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 93 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 255 | 322 | 355 | 676 | 100 | 285 | 14 | 7 | 302 | 81 | -8 | -2 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3515 | 3174 | 815 | 129 | 24 | 33 | 191 | 429 | 78 | 137 | 59 | 257 | 315 | 344 | 659 | 87 | 285 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 150 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 79 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 256 | 312 | 341 | 653 | 85 | 284 | 12 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAABuffalo Bisons · 235 PAwOBA .358 → .328 (−30)K% 9.4% → 11.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 27.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .358 → .328; ISO .087 → .075; BABIP .353 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 68 PAwOBA .376 → .360 (−17)K% 10.3% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 30.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .376 → .360; ISO .109 → .099; BABIP .360 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 16 PAwOBA .435 → .325 (−109)K% 18.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 10.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 12.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 8.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 9.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .435 → .325; ISO .100 → .083; BABIP .375 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 315 PAwOBA .291 → .254 (−37)K% 7.9% → 9.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.94% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 19.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.30% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.944 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.070 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 89, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .291 → .254; ISO .096 → .078; BABIP .255 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 194 PAwOBA .377 → .322 (−56)K% 7.2% → 8.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.22% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 8.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.15% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 4.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.49% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 23.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.110 | ×0.860 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷1.062 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .377 → .322; ISO .144 → .109; BABIP .322 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASacramento River Cats · 178 PAwOBA .326 → .298 (−28)K% 12.9% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.92% | ÷1.081 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.36% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.83% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×1.018 | 19.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.44% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.018 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.091 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×1.018 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 118, K 116, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .326 → .298; ISO .118 → .103; BABIP .281 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 335 PAwOBA .329 → .306 (−22)K% 13.4% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.43% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.16% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.30% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 25.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.003 | ×0.860 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.906 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.07% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .329 → .306; ISO .109 → .096; BABIP .314 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Orange · 44 PAwOBA .354 → .250 (−104)K% 11.4% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.36% | ÷1.036 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.022 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 3.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 17.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.107 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.377 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 1.73% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 175, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .354 → .250; ISO .139 → .085; BABIP .281 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .