Brian Sanchez

LF Beloit Sky Carp
Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 170 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ROKNYY198.306/.394/.51441666—.209/.273/.346
202521ANYY286.281/.376/.43842476—.217/.294/.350
202622A+MIA412.256/.347/.448131076—.211/.283/.358
2027PROJMLE23MLBMIA1.186/.260/.3060066-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBMIA109.190/.265/.3152369-0.3
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed67
ISO63
Z-Con%56
Chase%51
wOBA49
wRC+45
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 2.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 89%
CompsRiver Town (age 24) · Tyler Callihan (age 23) · Ramiro Rodriguez (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .260 / .306
PA1
HR0
K%29
BB%8
BABIP248
ISO127
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.32728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202319 ROKDSL Brewers 1 — 128101 30740 20233 84 297427446873 149366 1816 381 59 — — — — — —
202420 ROKFCL Yankees — 198173 531644 23412 163 306394514908 208383 2112 399 66 — — — — — —
202521 ATampa Tarpons — 286242 681654 36672 244 281376438814 157366 2313 358 76 — — — — — —
202622 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 412355 9123313 451025 107 256347448795 192317 2511 348 76 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202319 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 128108 19420 13283 84 176282250532 74224 2210 255 59 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 198182 381033 14612 163 209273346619 137296 317 266 66 — — — — — —
202521 A MLETampa Tarpons — 286254 551254 26912 244 217294350645 134304 329 280 76 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 412369 7818310 321295 107 211283358641 146281 318 281 76 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 128108 19420 13283 84 176282250532 74226 2210 255 59 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 1 — 128101 30740 20233 84 297427446873 149366 1816 381 59 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 198182 381033 14612 163 209273346619 137297 317 266 66 — — — — — —
202420 ROK RAWFCL Yankees — 198173 531644 23412 163 306394514908 208383 2112 399 66 — — — — — —
202521 A MLETampa Tarpons — 286254 551254 26912 244 217294350645 134313 329 280 76 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 286242 681654 36672 244 281376438814 157366 2313 358 76 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 412369 7818310 321295 107 211283358641 146288 318 281 76 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAWBeloit Sky Carp — 412355 9123313 451025 107 256347448795 192317 2511 348 76 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 128111 19420 13283 84 171282243526 72224 2210 255 59 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 198180 381033 14612 163 211273350623 139296 317 266 66 — — — — — —
202521 A MLETampa Tarpons — 286256 551254 26912 244 215294348642 133304 329 280 76 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 412372 7818310 321295 107 210283355638 145281 318 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 198180 381033 14612 163 211273350623 139296 317 266 66 — — — — — —
202521 A MLETampa Tarpons — 286256 551254 26912 244 215294348642 133304 329 280 76 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 412372 7818310 321295 107 210283355638 145281 318 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEMIA 0% 515463 9020411 421505 135 193267321588 128257 298 265 66 -21 +1 +0 -6 +11 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 186260306566 120248 00 257 66 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEMIA 30% 358323 641438 291023 93 198271330602 133260 288 271 69 -13 +1 +0 -4 +8 -0.9
202824 MLB CTXMIA 30% 10998 19412 9311 31 190265315579 124250 288 262 69 -4 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 10998 19412 9311 31 194269316585 122258 288 262 71 -4 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 11424612 541856 186 195270318589 123260 288 262 71 -24 +1 +0 -7 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 15921425 291661829 13147217 7223 204279337616 133278 308 273 71 -22 +1 +0 -6 +12 -1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 11927712 531937 299 204279337616 132279 308 273 71 -25 +1 +0 -7 +14 -1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 412 PAwOBA .344 → .281 (−64)K% 24.8% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.76%÷1.000×1.270——31.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.92%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0127.85%
HBP% /PA1.21%—×0.790—×1.0120.97%
Singles /BIP20.55%÷1.000×0.920×1.001×1.01219.16%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.810×1.001×1.0127.46%
Triples /BIP1.19%÷1.000×0.850×1.001×1.0121.02%
Home runs /BIP5.14%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.16%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .344 → .281; ISO .192 → .152; BABIP .317 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ATampa Tarpons · 286 PAwOBA .354 → .280 (−74)K% 23.4% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.43%÷1.000×1.360——31.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.59%÷0.971×0.690—×1.0159.08%
HBP% /PA0.70%—×0.780—×1.0150.55%
Singles /BIP24.57%÷1.119×0.920×0.991×1.01520.31%
Doubles /BIP9.14%÷1.046×0.830×0.991×1.0157.30%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷0.913×0.910×0.991×1.0152.86%
Home runs /BIP2.29%÷0.842×0.800—×1.0152.21%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 124, 2B 109, 3B 83, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .354 → .280; ISO .157 → .136; BABIP .366 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Yankees · 198 PAwOBA .389 → .266 (−124)K% 20.7% → 30.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.71%÷0.972×1.440——30.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.62%÷0.988×0.620—×0.9957.25%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.720—×0.9950.72%
Singles /BIP21.97%÷1.002×0.820×1.032×0.99518.47%
Doubles /BIP12.12%÷1.087×0.720×1.032×0.9958.25%
Triples /BIP3.03%÷0.970×0.720×1.032×0.9952.31%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷1.142×0.780—×0.9952.06%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 94, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .389 → .266; ISO .208 → .134; BABIP .383 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 128 PAwOBA .382 → .255 (−127)K% 18.0% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.97%÷0.992×1.220——22.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.84%÷0.991×0.700—×0.99510.43%
HBP% /PA2.34%—×0.700—×0.9951.63%
Singles /BIP24.36%÷1.015×0.680×0.956×0.99515.53%
Doubles /BIP8.97%÷0.988×0.600×0.956×0.9955.19%
Triples /BIP5.13%÷1.052×0.600×0.956×0.9952.78%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.026×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .382 → .255; ISO .149 → .090; BABIP .366 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).