Sebastian Toro

SS DSL Mets Orange

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	215	.250/.352/.337	1	10	28	—	.156/.239/.198
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	325	.208/.274/.284	2	6	59	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	91	.212/.281/.297	1	2	65	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	188	.216/.286/.309	2	4	69	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%73

Speed64

Chase%59

Whiff%48

K%47

ISO33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJosé Mejía (age 18) · Gilberto Celestino (age 18) · Jorge Alcantara (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 184 proj PA

wRC+59

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .272 / .281

PA184

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	215	184	46	7	3	1	25	47	4	10	7	250	352	337	689	87	326	22	12	316	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	215	192	30	4	2	0	17	57	4	10	7	156	239	198	437	42	220	27	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	215	192	30	4	2	0	17	57	4	10	7	156	239	198	437	42	219	27	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	215	184	46	7	3	1	25	47	4	10	7	250	352	337	689	87	326	22	12	316	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	215	192	30	4	2	0	17	57	4	10	7	156	239	198	437	42	220	27	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	215	192	30	4	2	0	17	57	4	10	7	156	239	198	437	42	220	27	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	325	295	61	10	3	2	24	87	3	6	1	208	274	284	558	76	283	27	7	255	59	-16	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	265	240	51	8	2	3	20	70	3	6	2	212	281	297	578	85	285	26	8	264	65	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	389	352	76	12	3	5	29	101	5	9	3	216	286	309	595	92	287	26	7	271	69	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	480	433	94	15	4	6	37	123	7	11	4	220	290	319	609	99	288	26	8	277	73	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	545	490	110	18	5	8	42	138	8	12	4	222	293	327	621	105	289	25	8	281	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	590	531	119	19	5	10	46	148	8	13	5	225	296	334	630	110	290	25	8	285	79	-15	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	615	554	124	20	5	10	48	154	8	14	5	226	297	337	634	111	291	25	8	286	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	627	565	128	21	5	11	49	157	8	14	5	226	297	338	635	112	291	25	8	287	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	634	572	129	21	5	11	49	159	8	14	5	226	297	339	636	113	291	25	8	287	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	634	571	129	21	5	11	50	160	8	14	5	225	296	336	632	111	290	25	8	286	80	-15	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	567	126	20	5	10	49	160	8	13	5	223	294	332	626	108	290	25	8	283	78	-17	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	619	558	124	20	5	10	48	159	8	12	5	221	292	326	617	105	288	26	8	280	75	-18	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	60%	609	550	120	19	5	9	47	159	7	11	6	218	288	318	607	100	287	26	8	275	73	-20	-0	-2	+7	+13	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	91	83	18	3	1	1	7	24	1	2	1	212	281	297	578	85	285	26	8	264	65	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	188	169	37	6	2	2	14	49	3	4	1	216	286	309	595	92	287	26	7	271	69	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	260	234	51	8	2	4	20	67	4	6	2	220	290	319	609	99	288	26	8	277	73	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	308	277	63	10	3	5	24	78	4	7	2	222	293	327	621	105	289	25	8	281	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	340	306	69	11	3	6	26	85	5	8	3	225	296	334	630	110	290	25	8	285	79	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	350	315	72	12	3	6	27	88	5	8	3	226	297	337	634	111	291	25	8	286	80	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	356	320	73	12	3	6	28	89	5	8	3	226	297	338	635	112	291	25	8	287	80	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	359	323	73	12	3	6	28	90	5	8	3	226	297	339	636	113	291	25	8	287	80	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	352	316	71	11	3	6	28	89	5	8	3	225	296	336	632	111	290	25	8	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	311	70	11	3	6	27	88	4	7	3	223	294	332	626	108	290	26	8	283	78	-9	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	360	324	72	11	3	6	28	93	5	7	3	221	292	326	617	105	288	26	8	280	75	-11	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	60%	367	332	73	12	3	5	28	96	4	7	3	218	288	318	607	100	287	26	8	275	73	-12	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3676	3310	742	119	32	59	285	936	50	80	30	224	295	333	628	109	293	25	8	282	75	-101	+4	-2	+39	+80	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	131	21	6	10	50	166	9	14	5	224	295	332	627	108	293	26	8	282	75	-18	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7035	6342	1394	223	58	105	544	1794	92	156	62	220	291	323	614	103	288	26	8	279	75	-194	+7	-4	+73	+148	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	129	21	5	10	50	166	9	14	6	220	291	324	616	104	288	26	8	279	75	-18	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.8	3,861	59	82	223	290	328	+41	+24	4.3	4.0
/162	664	10	14	+7.1	+4.1	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Toro (OGILVIE)	18	41→46	29→34	51→56	55	206/272/281	75	283	1	3	27%	7%	59	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2017 · A	18	48	35→40	49→65	44	221/284/279	59	300	2	15	26%	7%	62	-1.4	204/264/269	65	302	4	11	31%	6%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Edgleen Perez 2024 · A	18	43→40	35→30	51→40	54	197/288/255	58	263	2	8	24%	11%	59	-1.6	211/310/262	51	287	2	5	24%	11%	70	-0.9	218/319/256	38	293	2	3	23%	12%	69	-0.5
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	42→45	37→40	55→60	49	196/284/271	75	254	4	13	23%	8%	62	-1.4	189/256/252	63	311	4	20	37%	6%	47	-2.6	200/271/277	77	308	7	32	35%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Luis De La Cruz 2007 · A	18	44	35→30	49→30	44	207/264/268	60	275	2	10	24%	6%	52	-2.2	200/240/265	65	258	3	7	23%	5%	42	-2.9	247/269/327	80	297	3	3	18%	3%	63	-0.4
✕Alberth Palma 2024 · A	18	40→46	36→30	44→55	43	192/242/254	63	253	3	7	25%	6%	40	-3.0	209/283/254	45	257	1	19	17%	8%	57	-1.8	213/298/242	29	264	0	25	17%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Daniel Castro 2011 · A	18	41→51	36→40	48→50	50	193/266/261	68	233	3	8	18%	8%	52	-2.2	205/252/277	72	239	4	9	16%	5%	49	-2.4	269/290/370	102	300	8	8	13%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	43→52	37→45	47→55	46	202/270/270	68	253	4	9	21%	7%	56	-1.9	202/263/280	78	298	5	15	32%	6%	55	-2.0	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4

Sebastian Toro

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps