Alberth Palma — OGILVIE

Alberth PalmaSS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION483 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP284

ISO39

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$34M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	49	8	0	0	0	4	9	0	1	2	163	226	163	390		195	16	7	182	10	-6	-1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	126	34	5	0	0	16	15	4	18	4	270	370	310	679	40	296	10	10	306	93	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	87	80	18	2	0	0	6	12	1	1	0	225	287	250	537	25	265	14	7	253	57	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	171	129	41	1	4	0	33	17	4	15	9	318	470	388	857	70	357	10	19	388	148	+10	-1	—	—	+4	1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	51	7	0	0	0	2	13	0	1	2	137	170	137	307		167	24	4	141	-18	-8	-1	—	—	+1	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	132	30	4	0	0	10	22	4	18	4	227	301	258	559	30	250	14	7	250	55	-8	+2	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	87	82	17	2	0	0	4	17	1	1	0	207	253	232	485	24	259	20	5	217	33	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	171	141	37	1	3	0	21	25	4	15	9	262	373	312	686	50	295	15	12	305	93	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	51	7	0	0	0	2	13	0	1	2	137	170	137	307		179	24	4	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	49	8	0	0	0	4	9	0	1	2	163	226	163	390		195	16	7	182	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	132	30	4	0	0	10	22	4	18	4	227	301	258	559	30	263	14	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	126	34	5	0	0	16	15	4	18	4	270	370	310	679	40	296	10	10	306	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	258	223	54	3	3	0	25	42	5	16	9	242	332	283	615	40	293	16	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	258	209	59	3	4	0	39	29	5	16	9	282	407	335	742	53	322	11	15	342	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	53	7	0	0	0	2	13	0	1	2	132	170	132	302		167	24	4	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	138	30	4	0	0	10	22	4	18	4	217	301	246	548	29	250	14	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	258	226	54	3	3	0	25	42	5	16	9	239	332	279	611	40	283	16	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	53	7	0	0	0	2	13	0	1	2	132	170	132	302		167	24	4	141	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	138	30	4	0	0	10	22	4	18	4	217	301	246	548	29	250	14	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	258	226	54	3	3	0	25	42	5	16	9	239	332	279	611	40	283	16	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	TB	—	483	428	89	11	0	0	43	99	6	41	8	208	289	234	523	26	268	20	9	240	49	-30	+5	+0	+5	+10	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	TB	—	483	401	90	12	0	0	69	70	6	41	8	224	346	254	600	30	269	14	14	287	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	TB	0%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		277	20	10	258	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	TB	—	493	437	91	11	0	0	44	101	6	42	8	208	290	233	523	25	268	20	9	240	49	-30	+5	+0	+5	+11	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	34%	418	372	85	11	1	3	38	80	5	15	4	228	308	288	596	59	279	19	9	277	74	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	48%	488	434	102	13	1	7	45	93	6	16	4	235	315	318	633	83	281	19	9	290	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	54%	527	467	112	15	1	9	48	99	7	16	4	240	320	334	654	94	283	19	9	297	87	-8	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	55%	600	532	129	17	2	11	56	112	7	18	4	242	323	344	667	102	284	19	9	302	91	-7	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	56%	595	527	128	17	2	11	56	110	7	17	4	243	324	345	669	102	284	18	9	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	588	521	127	17	2	12	55	109	7	16	4	244	324	353	677	109	284	19	9	305	93	-5	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	579	512	124	16	2	11	55	108	7	15	4	242	324	346	670	104	284	19	9	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	569	502	122	16	2	11	55	107	7	14	3	243	326	349	675	106	284	19	10	305	92	-5	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	559	493	119	16	1	11	54	106	7	13	3	241	325	345	670	103	283	19	10	303	91	-6	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	57%	548	483	115	15	1	10	53	105	7	12	3	238	322	335	658	97	282	19	10	301	90	-7	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.0
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	60%	522	461	108	14	1	9	50	102	6	11	2	234	317	328	645	93	280	20	10	297	87	-8	+1	-3	+6	+11	0.8
2038	32	MLB MLE	TB	61%	503	444	103	13	1	8	48	100	6	10	2	232	315	320	635	88	278	20	10	292	84	-10	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	TB	62%	474	420	94	11	1	7	45	97	6	8	2	224	308	305	613	81	275	20	9	286	79	-12	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	TB	58%	427	378	84	10	1	6	41	90	5	7	2	222	307	302	608	79	271	21	10	278	74	-13	+1	-5	+5	+9	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	TB	34%	144	128	29	4	0	1	13	28	2	5	1	227	308	281	589	55	287	19	9	274	74	-5	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	48%	236	209	51	7	1	3	22	45	3	8	2	244	325	330	655	86	289	19	9	286	82	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	54%	286	254	63	9	1	5	26	54	4	9	2	248	327	350	678	102	290	19	9	294	87	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	55%	333	295	73	10	1	6	31	62	4	10	2	247	327	349	676	102	291	19	9	299	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	56%	333	295	74	10	1	7	31	62	4	9	2	251	330	363	693	112	291	19	9	302	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	331	293	73	10	1	7	31	61	4	9	2	249	329	362	691	113	291	18	9	303	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	320	283	70	10	1	6	30	60	4	9	2	247	328	353	681	106	291	19	9	303	93	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	312	275	68	9	1	6	30	59	4	8	2	247	330	353	683	105	291	19	10	302	92	-3	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	299	264	66	9	1	6	29	57	4	7	2	250	333	360	693	110	291	19	10	300	91	-3	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	57%	313	276	68	9	1	6	30	60	4	7	2	246	329	351	680	105	290	19	10	298	90	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	60%	311	274	67	9	1	6	30	61	4	6	1	245	328	350	678	106	288	20	10	294	87	-5	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	TB	61%	308	271	64	8	1	5	30	61	4	6	1	236	321	328	650	92	285	20	10	289	84	-6	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2039	33	MLB CTX	TB	62%	296	263	62	8	1	5	28	60	3	5	1	236	316	331	647	95	282	20	9	283	79	-7	+1	-3	+3	+6	0.0
2040	34	MLB CTX	TB	58%	247	218	49	6	0	4	24	52	3	4	1	225	310	307	618	83	278	21	10	275	74	-8	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4069	3598	877	118	12	73	385	782	51	102	23	244	325	344	670	100	291	19	9	294	85	-62	+11	-12	+44	+88	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	141	19	2	12	62	125	8	16	4	245	328	348	675	103	292	19	10	294	85	-10	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7873	6961	1645	208	22	126	737	1497	99	224	60	236	318	327	645	91	282	19	9	294	85	-114	+20	-20	+79	+160	12.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	135	17	2	10	61	124	8	18	5	235	317	323	640	89	281	19	9	294	85	-10	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,389	71	113	238	316	329	+45	+27	10.4	8.8
/162	664	11	17	+6.8	+4.1	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberth Palma (OGILVIE)	20	60	20	60	60	217/296/249	32	277	0	20	19%	9%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	46→56	34→30	54→60	54	211/290/266	56	248	1	20	15%	9%	62	-1.4	233/312/287	54	296	1	25	20%	9%	75	-0.5	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Francisco Aponte 2011 · A	20	51	34→30	52→60	53	234/311/288	54	289	2	20	18%	9%	75	-0.5	218/283/281	63	275	2	15	19%	8%	62	-1.4	205/243/263	58	255	0	10	19%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Ayendy Perez 2014 · A	20	50	34→30	57→60	52	231/306/289	58	287	1	25	19%	8%	73	-0.6	227/281/286	59	303	1	23	23%	7%	61	-1.5	227/274/278	51	320	0	27	27%	6%	55	-0.9
✕D'Marcus Ingram 2008 · A	20	51→54	35→40	52→50	50	237/304/293	57	290	2	19	18%	8%	73	-0.6	222/283/294	72	282	4	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	234/297/323	89	306	4	20	23%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Omar Garcia 2014 · A	20	51→50	34→30	54→60	48	232/308/279	46	309	1	21	23%	8%	72	-0.7	223/278/266	43	296	1	30	23%	6%	57	-1.8	218/271/252	34	288	1	35	23%	5%	48	-1.6
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2010 · A	20	49→59	36→40	60	48	227/275/295	68	267	2	31	16%	6%	61	-1.5	246/293/337	91	288	6	24	16%	6%	78	-0.3	268/307/357	89	308	6	16	14%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Erlin Cerda 2015 · A	21	47	36→40	56→55	51	218/295/297	79	272	1	16	19%	8%	71	-0.8	204/263/276	72	283	2	11	27%	6%	54	-2.0	164/206/209	45	238	0	7	29%	3%	13	-1.1
✕Jamal Austin 2012 · A	21	54→55	34→30	51→55	49	251/302/306	55	294	2	17	15%	6%	74	-0.5	246/286/303	57	299	2	22	17%	5%	67	-1.1	249/287/306	57	300	2	26	17%	4%	65	-0.9
✕Randy Ventura 2017 · A	20	50→54	35→30	58→60	49	234/291/292	58	287	2	26	19%	7%	68	-1.0	231/275/273	42	322	1	19	27%	5%	56	-1.9	226/270/255	28	324	1	19	29%	5%	47	-1.7
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→55	37→40	56→55	45	223/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	203/262/257	54	276	1	18	25%	7%	49	-2.4	246/309/315	68	310	3	11	20%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	70	-0.8	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	74	-0.6	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Isaias Velasquez 2007 · A	19	49→57	34→40	53→55	49	229/289/281	52	278	1	16	18%	7%	64	-1.3	225/280/288	63	289	2	17	21%	6%	62	-1.4	250/301/335	86	311	2	19	19%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Alberto Robles 2012 · A	21	52	34→30	49→55	52	241/312/291	50	278	1	15	13%	8%	76	-0.4	238/288/298	60	284	3	14	16%	5%	68	-1.0	237/274/295	58	280	3	17	16%	4%	59	-0.5
●Emilio Bonifácio 2006 · A	21	51→61	35→40	57→65	46	237/287/297	60	301	2	26	21%	6%	67	-1.1	261/303/340	79	336	3	30	22%	5%	82	-0.0	270/336/350	80	345	3	41	21%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Randy Romero 2021 · A	21	50	37→40	60	46	236/278/312	77	269	3	22	14%	5%	67	-1.1	202/245/267	65	275	3	17	26%	5%	45	-2.7	178/216/225	47	246	1	22	27%	4%	22	-1.1
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	53→57	36→40	54→55	45	246/295/312	67	314	2	17	22%	6%	73	-0.6	248/301/338	90	321	4	24	22%	7%	81	-0.1	233/289/317	84	304	4	25	23%	7%	68	-0.8
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2007 · A	20	52→62	34→40	48→50	46	240/295/288	48	310	2	10	22%	7%	68	-1.0	265/327/342	77	326	5	10	19%	8%	92	+0.7	266/320/345	79	322	5	9	18%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Luis Terrero 2015 · A	19	51	35→30	53→50	47	236/294/301	64	278	1	17	15%	6%	71	-0.8	222/280/295	73	267	3	11	17%	6%	64	-1.3	203/263/267	64	235	2	8	14%	5%	51	-0.8
●Xavier Edwards 2021 · A	21	53→63	35→40	55→60	47	248/292/313	65	289	2	19	15%	6%	72	-0.7	250/302/321	71	301	4	20	17%	7%	78	-0.3	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps