Alberth Palma — OGILVIE

Alberth PalmaSS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.8 · 2032

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .308 / .333

PA245

HR3

SB6

K%21

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

20→20

SPD

60→60

EYE

49↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.7	$25M	+$24M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.8	$27M	+$26M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.8	$28M	+$27M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+2.7	$27M	+$22M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+2.5	$26M	+$18M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.2	$24M	+$12M
Totals		$28M		$156M	+$128M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	55	51	7	0	0	0	2	13	0	1	2	.137	.170	.137	.307	.000	.179	24	4	.145	-31	-8	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	153	132	31	4	0	0	10	23	4	18	4	.235	.308	.265	.573	.030	.274	15	7	.256	54	-8	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	258	223	53	3	2	0	25	42	5	16	9	.238	.328	.269	.597	.031	.288	16	10	.268	64	-11	-0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	56	51	7	2	0	0	3	11	2	2	1	.137	.214	.176	.391	.039	.175	20	5	.165	-15	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
ROS	20	MLB	TB	189	169	37	7	1	2	15	39	3	4	1	.219	.294	.308	.602	.089	.276	21	8	.282	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
TOT	20	MLB	TB	245	220	44	9	1	2	18	50	5	6	2	.200	.276	.277	.553	.077	.249	20	7	.255	53	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	TB	317	280	66	12	2	6	29	56	5	8	3	.236	.318	.357	.676	.121	.271	18	9	.301	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.9
2028	22	MLB 28%	TB	414	366	87	16	2	9	39	72	6	11	3	.238	.321	.366	.687	.128	.273	17	9	.310	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.5
2029	23	MLB 48%	TB	477	421	101	19	2	11	46	82	7	12	4	.240	.325	.373	.698	.133	.274	17	10	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+5	+14	2.0
2030	24	MLB 62%	TB	518	453	111	21	3	12	52	88	8	13	4	.245	.333	.384	.717	.139	.275	17	10	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.4
2031	25	MLB 80%	TB	541	473	116	22	3	13	55	91	8	14	4	.245	.334	.387	.721	.142	.275	17	10	.324	106	+4	+1	+0	+6	+15	2.7
2032	26	MLB 94%	TB	553	483	119	22	3	14	57	93	8	14	4	.246	.336	.391	.727	.145	.276	17	10	.326	108	+5	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.8
2033	27	MLB	TB	556	485	119	22	3	14	58	94	8	14	4	.245	.336	.390	.725	.144	.276	17	10	.326	108	+5	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.8
2034	28	MLB	TB	553	482	119	22	3	14	58	95	8	13	3	.247	.338	.392	.730	.145	.276	17	10	.325	107	+4	+1	-1	+6	+16	2.7
2035	29	MLB	TB	544	473	115	21	3	13	58	95	8	12	3	.243	.336	.383	.718	.140	.275	17	11	.323	105	+3	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.5
2036	30	MLB	TB	534	464	112	21	2	13	57	95	8	12	3	.241	.335	.379	.714	.138	.274	18	11	.320	103	+2	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.2
2037	31	MLB	TB	521	453	108	20	2	12	55	95	8	10	2	.238	.331	.371	.702	.132	.273	18	11	.317	101	+0	+1	-3	+6	+15	1.9
2038	32	MLB	TB	503	438	103	19	2	11	53	94	7	10	1	.235	.327	.363	.690	.128	.272	19	11	.312	97	-2	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.7
2039	33	MLB	TB	473	413	95	17	2	10	50	92	7	9	1	.230	.323	.354	.677	.123	.271	19	11	.307	93	-4	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.2
2040	34	MLB	TB	426	372	84	15	2	8	45	86	6	8	0	.226	.319	.341	.661	.116	.270	20	11	.301	89	-5	+2	-5	+5	+12	0.8
2041	35	MLB	TB	372	325	73	13	2	7	39	79	5	7	0	.225	.317	.342	.659	.117	.269	21	10	.294	83	-7	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.3
2042	36	MLB	TB	313	274	59	10	1	5	32	70	4	7	0	.215	.306	.314	.620	.099	.267	22	10	.286	77	-8	+1	-6	+3	+9	-0.1
2043	37	MLB	TB	249	219	46	8	1	4	25	58	3	5	0	.210	.300	.311	.610	.100	.265	23	10	.277	70	-8	+1	-7	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8519	7449	1761	314	41	178	860	1552	126	218	55	.236	.326	.361	.687	.125	.274	18	10	.310	95	-46	+22	-38	+91	+241	27.5
/ 162G	—			650	568	135	24	3	14	66	118	10	17	4	.238	.328	.364	.693	.127	.275	18	10	.310	95	-4	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	55	49	8	0	0	4	9	0	1	2	.163	.226	.163	.390	.000	.195	16	7	.182	-2	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	153	126	34	5	0	16	15	4	18	4	.270	.370	.310	.679	.040	.296	10	10	.306	92	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	87	80	18	2	0	6	12	1	1	0	.225	.287	.250	.537	.025	.265	14	7	.253	51	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	171	129	41	1	4	33	17	4	15	9	.318	.470	.388	.857	.070	.357	10	19	.388	155	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberth Palma (OGILVIE)	20	60	20	60	60	.234/.308/.333	.100	.290	3	5	21%	9%	83	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	49→51	39→40	54→50	55	.233/.320/.324	.091	.289	6	13	20%	10%	85	+0.7	.236/.309/.326	.090	.301	8	14	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.235/.310/.323	.088	.300	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	54	37→30	47→55	51	.255/.324/.328	.073	.292	4	17	14%	7%	88	+0.9	.220/.280/.282	.062	.264	3	18	17%	6%	56	-1.3	.214/.266/.287	.073	.260	7	19	20%	6%	47	-0.6
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	50	.254/.323/.352	.098	.288	6	10	14%	7%	93	+1.3	.228/.295/.318	.090	.283	7	8	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.267/.344	.132	.272	16	8	27%	5%	64	-0.4
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
✕Henry Henry 2007 · A	20	53	39→40	48→60	51	.247/.325/.335	.088	.311	5	14	21%	9%	90	+1.0	.246/.316/.332	.086	.284	6	20	15%	8%	85	+0.7	.250/.305/.317	.067	.277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	55→65	53	.217/.311/.293	.076	.288	3	19	24%	10%	74	-0.1	.194/.278/.275	.081	.289	5	10	31%	10%	55	-1.4	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	.241/.316/.320	.079	.276	7	9	15%	6%	82	+0.5	.218/.285/.305	.087	.262	7	7	19%	7%	66	-0.6	.189/.251/.275	.086	.232	6	6	21%	6%	42	-0.7
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	51→61	38→45	55→50	44	.241/.283/.325	.084	.294	5	14	20%	5%	68	-0.5	.258/.302/.361	.103	.312	5	15	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.259/.304/.363	.104	.312	6	15	18%	5%	84	+0.5
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	52→62	38→40	54→65	47	.246/.309/.324	.078	.304	6	19	20%	7%	79	+0.3	.261/.294/.324	.063	.322	3	33	19%	4%	72	-0.2	.287/.318/.359	.072	.348	4	37	18%	2%	86	+0.6
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	53→60	38→40	52→50	46	.248/.317/.331	.084	.322	5	16	23%	7%	85	+0.7	.249/.309/.332	.083	.321	5	14	23%	6%	82	+0.5	.261/.325/.349	.088	.318	8	11	19%	6%	91	+0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Ronald Torreyes 2013 · A	20	56→57	40→45	50	48	.263/.308/.362	.100	.279	6	12	9%	4%	89	+0.9	.244/.286/.326	.082	.265	4	9	9%	4%	69	-0.4	.268/.299/.348	.080	.304	3	3	13%	4%	77	+0.1
●Starlin Castro 2010 · AA	20	53→63	38→50	52→50	44	.249/.287/.333	.084	.293	4	16	17%	5%	72	-0.2	.283/.323/.395	.112	.327	6	16	15%	5%	103	+1.9	.292/.333/.416	.124	.331	8	18	14%	5%	106	+2.4
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	51	40→45	50	56	.242/.330/.341	.100	.294	6	9	19%	11%	93	+1.3	.219/.290/.298	.079	.284	3	7	22%	8%	65	-0.7	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Jasson Atondo 2016 · AAA	20	50→60	40→30	49→50	44	.238/.274/.335	.097	.276	7	10	17%	5%	67	-0.5	.221/.259/.307	.086	.258	6	11	16%	5%	53	-1.5	.285/.313/.342	.057	.315	3	12	10%	4%	79	+0.1
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.233/.286/.325	.092	.282	7	15	20%	5%	70	-0.3	.247/.305/.363	.116	.288	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.9	.277/.338/.426	.150	.303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	.223/.290/.300	.076	.303	3	16	26%	7%	66	-0.6	.200/.258/.254	.054	.270	1	18	24%	7%	40	-2.4	.249/.312/.317	.069	.316	3	11	20%	7%	75	+0.0
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	49→56	38→45	51→55	52	.228/.309/.308	.080	.281	4	17	19%	9%	76	+0.1	.205/.295/.293	.088	.269	6	12	24%	10%	67	-0.5	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)