Alberth Palma — OGILVIE

Alberth PalmaSS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION325 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .298 / .263

PA216

HR0

SB11

K%21

BB%8

BABIP287

ISO41

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$18M		$46M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	51	7	0	0	0	2	13	0	1	2	137	170	137	307		179	24	4	145	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	49	8	0	0	0	4	9	0	1	2	163	226	163	390		195	16	7	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	132	31	4	0	0	10	23	4	18	4	235	308	265	573	30	274	15	7	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	126	34	5	0	0	16	15	4	18	4	270	370	310	679	40	296	10	10	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	258	223	53	3	3	0	25	42	5	16	9	238	328	278	606	40	288	16	10	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	258	209	59	3	4	0	39	29	5	16	9	282	407	335	742	53	322	11	15	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TB	—	325	290	59	8	0	0	26	74	5	26	4	203	280	231	511	28	271	23	8	234	37	-23	+4	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
YTD	20	A	TB	—	325	274	61	9	0	0	42	52	5	26	4	223	336	255	592	33	272	16	13	282	74	-10	+4	+0	+3	+9	0.7
ROS	20	A	TB	0%	216	193	43	6	1	0	18	45	3	11	2	222	298	263	561	41	282	21	8	257	55	-11	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	249	49	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TB	—	325	291	59	8	0	0	26	74	5	26	4	203	280	230	511	27	269	23	8	234	37	-23	+4	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
TOT	20	A	TB	—	541	483	102	14	1	0	44	119	8	37	6	211	287	244	531	33	277	22	8	243	44	-34	+5	+0	+6	+15	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	418	374	84	11	1	3	35	85	6	14	3	225	301	283	585	59	283	20	8	275	69	-15	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	488	436	102	14	2	6	42	98	7	15	3	234	311	317	628	83	285	20	9	287	78	-12	+2	+0	+5	+14	0.9
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	527	469	112	16	2	8	46	105	7	15	3	239	316	333	649	94	286	20	9	295	84	-10	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	551	490	119	17	2	10	48	109	8	15	3	243	321	347	667	104	287	20	9	299	87	-8	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.6
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	613	545	131	18	2	11	54	121	9	16	4	240	319	341	660	101	287	20	9	302	89	-8	+2	+0	+7	+17	1.8
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	606	539	130	18	2	12	54	119	8	16	4	241	319	349	668	108	287	20	9	303	90	-7	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.9
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	596	530	128	18	2	11	53	118	8	15	4	242	320	345	665	104	287	20	9	303	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.8
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	586	520	125	17	2	11	53	117	8	14	3	240	320	344	664	104	287	20	9	302	89	-7	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.7
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	576	511	123	17	2	11	52	116	8	13	3	241	320	346	667	106	287	20	9	300	88	-8	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.5
2036	30	MLB	TB	57%	537	476	113	15	2	10	49	109	7	12	3	237	318	340	658	103	286	20	9	298	86	-8	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.2
2037	31	MLB	TB	60%	522	463	108	15	1	9	47	108	7	11	3	233	313	328	642	95	284	21	9	294	83	-10	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.9
2038	32	MLB	TB	61%	503	445	103	14	1	8	46	106	7	10	2	231	313	321	635	90	282	21	9	289	79	-12	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.6
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	144	129	30	4	1	1	12	29	2	5	1	233	308	302	610	70	288	20	8	267	63	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	236	211	50	7	1	3	20	48	3	7	2	237	312	322	634	85	289	20	8	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	286	255	60	8	1	4	25	57	4	8	2	235	313	322	635	86	290	20	9	286	77	-7	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	305	271	66	9	1	5	27	60	4	8	2	244	321	339	661	96	291	20	9	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	343	305	74	10	1	6	30	68	5	9	2	243	321	341	662	98	292	20	9	293	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2032	26	MLB	TB	56%	341	303	73	10	1	6	30	67	5	9	2	241	320	340	659	99	291	20	9	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2033	27	MLB	TB	55%	330	292	72	10	1	6	30	65	5	8	2	247	327	349	677	103	291	20	9	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.8
2034	28	MLB	TB	55%	321	285	69	9	1	6	29	64	4	8	2	242	321	344	665	102	291	20	9	293	83	-6	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.7
2035	29	MLB	TB	53%	308	273	67	9	1	6	28	62	4	7	2	245	325	352	676	106	291	20	9	292	81	-6	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2036	30	MLB	TB	57%	306	271	65	9	1	5	28	62	4	7	2	240	320	336	656	96	290	20	9	289	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2037	31	MLB	TB	60%	311	276	66	9	1	5	28	64	4	6	1	239	318	333	652	94	288	21	9	286	77	-8	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2038	32	MLB	TB	61%	308	273	64	8	1	5	28	65	4	6	1	234	315	326	641	92	286	21	9	281	73	-9	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3539	3145	756	102	12	58	315	711	48	88	21	240	319	336	655	95	291	20	9	288	79	-84	+9	-6	+38	+100	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	139	19	2	11	58	131	9	16	4	240	320	337	657	97	291	20	9	288	79	-16	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	7205	6397	1512	203	25	110	634	1434	102	212	55	236	315	327	643	91	286	20	9	292	82	-147	+20	-10	+77	+204	14.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	136	18	2	10	57	129	9	19	5	236	314	326	640	90	285	20	9	292	82	-13	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	55	49	8	0	0	4	9	0	1	2	163	226	163	390		195	16	7	182	-2	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	153	126	34	5	0	16	15	4	18	4	270	370	310	679	40	296	10	10	306	92	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	87	80	18	2	0	6	12	1	1	0	225	287	250	537	25	265	14	7	253	51	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	171	129	41	1	4	33	17	4	15	9	318	470	388	857	70	357	10	19	388	155	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,860	61	99	238	313	332	+41	+21	8.8	7.6
	/162	664	10	17	238	313	332	+7.1	+3.6	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberth Palma (OGILVIE)	20	60	20	60	60	211/287/244	33	277	0	37	22%	8%	44	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	46→56	34→30	54→60	54	211/290/266	56	248	1	20	15%	9%	57	-1.2	233/312/289	56	299	1	25	20%	9%	72	-0.2	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Francisco Aponte 2011 · A	20	51	34→30	52→60	53	234/311/288	54	289	2	20	18%	9%	72	-0.2	217/282/279	62	272	2	15	19%	8%	56	-1.3	200/241/256	56	246	0	10	18%	5%	30	-1.1
✕D'Marcus Ingram 2008 · A	20	51→54	35→40	52→50	50	237/304/293	57	290	2	19	18%	8%	69	-0.4	222/283/294	72	283	4	13	22%	7%	61	-1.0	234/298/325	90	308	4	20	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Isaias Velasquez 2007 · A	19	49→59	34→40	53→55	49	229/289/281	52	278	1	16	18%	7%	59	-1.1	225/280/288	63	289	2	17	21%	6%	57	-1.2	253/305/339	85	317	2	19	19%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Ayendy Perez 2014 · A	20	50	34→30	57→60	52	231/306/289	58	287	1	25	19%	8%	69	-0.4	226/280/283	57	301	1	23	23%	7%	56	-1.3	225/274/275	49	316	0	27	27%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Erlin Cerda 2015 · A	21	47	36→40	56→55	51	218/295/297	79	272	1	16	19%	8%	67	-0.5	204/264/277	73	282	2	11	26%	6%	48	-1.9	164/205/208	44	235	0	7	29%	3%	1	-1.1
✕Omar Garcia 2014 · A	20	51→49	34→30	54→60	48	232/308/279	46	309	1	21	23%	8%	68	-0.5	219/273/263	44	291	1	30	23%	5%	48	-1.9	212/264/247	35	281	1	35	23%	5%	37	-1.7
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	53→60	36→40	54→55	44	248/296/316	68	317	2	17	22%	6%	71	-0.3	250/302/341	91	323	4	24	22%	7%	80	+0.4	235/292/322	87	306	4	25	23%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→54	37→40	56→55	45	223/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	66	-0.6	200/260/251	51	275	1	18	26%	7%	40	-2.4	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Luis Terrero 2015 · A	19	51	35→30	53→50	47	236/294/301	64	278	1	17	15%	6%	67	-0.5	222/280/295	73	267	3	11	17%	6%	59	-1.1	203/263/267	64	235	2	8	14%	5%	44	-0.7
✕Alberto Robles 2012 · A	21	52	34→30	49→55	52	241/312/291	50	278	1	15	13%	8%	72	-0.2	239/289/300	61	284	3	14	16%	5%	64	-0.8	238/276/299	61	280	4	17	16%	4%	55	-0.4
✕Jamal Austin 2012 · A	21	54	34→30	51→55	49	251/302/306	55	294	2	17	15%	6%	71	-0.3	242/283/300	58	298	2	22	18%	5%	61	-1.0	243/282/300	57	297	2	26	18%	4%	57	-0.9
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2007 · A	20	52→62	34→40	48→50	46	240/295/288	48	310	2	10	22%	7%	63	-0.8	264/326/343	79	326	5	10	19%	8%	91	+1.1	263/314/359	97	350	5	4	25%	6%	88	+0.6
✕Randy Ventura 2017 · A	20	50→54	35→30	58→60	49	234/291/292	58	287	2	26	19%	7%	63	-0.8	229/272/270	41	320	1	19	27%	5%	49	-1.8	223/266/250	27	321	1	19	29%	5%	38	-1.7
✕Luis Nunez 2007 · A	20	50→55	35→30	52→50	48	234/290/301	67	282	2	18	17%	6%	65	-0.7	218/257/272	54	286	1	12	23%	4%	43	-2.2	231/256/260	29	306	0	14	24%	3%	35	-1.5
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	66	-0.6	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	70	-0.3	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	70	-0.1
✕Osleivis Basabe 2021 · A	20	49→59	36→45	51→50	44	228/272/300	72	280	2	10	19%	5%	57	-1.2	259/303/352	93	319	4	15	19%	6%	83	+0.6	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→56	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	66	-0.6	237/342/307	70	303	3	14	20%	12%	91	+1.1	245/334/339	93	298	8	19	19%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	48→56	34→40	50→55	44	224/275/274	50	289	2	11	22%	6%	52	-1.6	243/293/292	49	296	2	9	17%	5%	64	-0.8	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3