Alberth Palma

SS Charleston RiverDogs
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP40OGV rank#279ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Tampa Bay153.270/.370/.31001840—.191/.274/.214
202519A/ROKTB258.282/.407/.33501676—.249/.337/.290
202620ATB483.224/.346/.25404155—.211/.302/.237
2027PROJMLE21MLBTB579.226/.312/.265020690.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBTB154.235/.321/.29315770.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBTB240.240/.325/.31427840.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%90
Whiff%87
Chase%77
Z-Con%77
BB%68
Speed53
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 8.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 86%
CompsRicardo Ferreira (age 21) · Yonny Hernández (age 21) · Isaias Velasquez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .310 / .262
PA210
HR0
SB7
K%19
BB%10
ISO39
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.60.80.90.80.70.50.30.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT60
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.7$2M+$1M
2035Arb-1$3M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-2$4M+0.3$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$3M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $3M $8M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 5549 8000 490 12 163226163390 195 167 182 -24 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 153126 34500 16154 184 270370310679 40296 1010 306 40 — — — — — —
202519 ACharleston RiverDogs — 8780 18200 6121 10 225287250537 25265 147 253 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Rays — 171129 41140 33174 159 318470388857 70357 1019 388 94 — — — — — —
202620 ACharleston RiverDogs — 483401 901200 69706 418 224346254600 30269 1414 287 55 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 5550 6000 3110 12 120170120290 141 205 133 -24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 153131 25300 11194 184 191274214488 23209 127 227 40 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 8782 17200 4161 10 207253232485 24266 185 227 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 171141 38130 21254 159 270380319699 50297 1512 307 94 — — — — — —
202620 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 483422 891100 49956 418 211302237539 26264 2010 249 55 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 5550 6000 3110 12 120170120290 150 205 133 -24 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 5549 8000 490 12 163226163390 195 167 182 -24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 153131 25300 11194 184 191274214488 23216 127 227 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 153126 34500 16154 184 270370310679 40296 1010 306 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 258223 55330 25415 169 247336287623 40297 1610 280 76 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 258209 59340 39295 169 282407335742 53322 1115 342 76 — — — — — —
202620 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 483422 891100 49956 418 211302237539 26270 2010 249 55 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 483401 901200 69706 418 224346254600 30269 1414 287 55 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 5552 6000 3110 12 115170115285 141 205 133 -24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 153137 25300 11194 184 182274204478 22209 127 227 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 258226 55330 25415 169 243336283619 40287 1610 280 76 — — — — — —
202620 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 483425 891100 49956 418 209302235537 26264 2010 249 55 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 153137 25300 11194 184 182274204478 22209 127 227 40 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 258226 55330 25415 169 243336283619 40287 1610 280 76 — — — — — —
202620 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 483425 891100 49956 418 209302235537 26264 2010 249 55 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETB 0% 579509 1151520 581097 205 226312265577 39284 1910 271 69 -21 +2 +0 +6 +13 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETB 34% 447394 921223 45835 144 232318291609 59285 1910 283 77 -12 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.4
202923 MLB MLETB 48% 495437 1041425 49916 154 237323313635 75286 1810 292 84 -9 +1 +0 +5 +11 0.8
203024 MLB MLETB 53% 551485 1171627 551026 164 241326328654 87288 1910 299 89 -7 +2 +0 +6 +12 1.2
203125 MLB MLETB 55% 576508 1231729 571076 164 242327338665 96288 1910 303 91 -6 +2 +0 +6 +12 1.5
203226 MLB MLETB 56% 589519 12618210 581117 164 243327344671 101288 1910 305 93 -5 +2 +0 +6 +13 1.6
203327 MLB MLETB 55% 589519 12517210 591126 154 242326341668 99288 1910 304 92 -6 +1 +0 +6 +13 1.5
203428 MLB MLETB 55% 580511 1231729 581116 134 240324337661 96287 1910 302 90 -7 +1 -1 +6 +13 1.3
203529 MLB MLETB 53% 564497 1191629 561106 113 238322331653 93286 2010 298 88 -8 +1 -1 +6 +12 1.0
203630 MLB MLETB 53% 551487 1151628 541095 103 235319323642 88285 2010 294 85 -10 +1 -2 +6 +12 0.7
203731 MLB MLETB 52% 533471 1101527 521085 74 231314314628 82283 2010 288 81 -12 -0 -3 +6 +12 0.2
203832 MLB MLETB 52% 510451 1021316 491055 65 227308302610 76280 2110 281 76 -14 -1 -4 +5 +11 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXTB 34% 154136 32411 15292 51 235321293614 58289 1910 285 77 -4 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202923 MLB CTXTB 48% 240211 50612 24443 72 240325314640 74290 1810 294 84 -5 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.4
203024 MLB CTXTB 53% 291257 62814 29543 82 244328329658 86292 1910 301 89 -4 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.6
203125 MLB CTXTB 55% 315277 68915 31594 92 245329339668 94292 1910 305 91 -3 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.8
203226 MLB CTXTB 56% 328288 711015 33624 92 246330345674 99292 1910 307 93 -3 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.9
203327 MLB CTXTB 55% 324285 69915 32624 82 245329342671 97292 1910 306 92 -3 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.8
203428 MLB CTXTB 55% 317280 68915 31613 72 243327338665 95291 1910 303 90 -4 +1 -0 +3 +7 0.7
203529 MLB CTXTB 53% 301265 64815 30593 62 241324332656 91290 2010 300 88 -4 +0 -1 +3 +7 0.5
203630 MLB CTXTB 53% 290257 61814 28573 52 238321324645 86289 2010 296 85 -5 +0 -1 +3 +6 0.3
203731 MLB CTXTB 52% 278246 58714 27563 42 234316315631 81287 2010 290 81 -6 +0 -1 +3 +6 0.1
203832 MLB CTXTB 52% 264235 54713 25552 32 229311304614 74283 219 283 76 -7 -0 -2 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 31022737 657851143 30559834 7121 240324326650 86291 1910 298 82 -48 +6 -6 +33 +67 5.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 1381829 641257 154 240324326650 85291 1910 298 82 -10 +1 -1 +7 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 71446290 14731932583 701135480 22268 234319312631 78284 1910 289 82 -104 +11 -10 +66 +134 10.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 1351828 641237 206 236320316637 80285 1910 289 82 -11 +1 -1 +7 +14 1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 483 PAwOBA .282 → .249 (−33)K% 14.5% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.49%÷1.000×1.360——19.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03010.15%
HBP% /PA1.24%—×0.780—×1.0301.00%
Singles /BIP23.56%÷1.000×0.920×1.047×1.03023.38%
Doubles /BIP3.63%÷1.000×0.830×1.047×1.0303.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.047×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .282 → .249; ISO .030 → .027; BABIP .269 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Rays · 171 PAwOBA .386 → .307 (−79)K% 9.9% → 14.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.94%÷0.985×1.440——14.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.30%÷0.991×0.620—×1.00812.17%
HBP% /PA2.34%—×0.720—×1.0081.70%
Singles /BIP32.14%÷1.018×0.820×1.050×1.00827.38%
Doubles /BIP0.89%÷1.026×0.720×1.050×1.0080.66%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.150×0.720×1.050×1.0082.37%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.809×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .386 → .307; ISO .070 → .051; BABIP .357 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 87 PAwOBA .246 → .227 (−20)K% 13.8% → 18.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.79%÷1.006×1.360——18.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0455.05%
HBP% /PA1.15%—×0.780—×1.0450.94%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.013×0.920×1.050×1.04523.45%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷0.850×0.830×1.050×1.0453.15%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.121×0.910×1.050×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.159×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .246 → .227; ISO .025 → .026; BABIP .265 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 153 PAwOBA .307 → .227 (−79)K% 9.8% → 12.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.80%÷0.975×1.220——12.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.46%÷1.011×0.700—×1.0087.30%
HBP% /PA2.61%—×0.700—×1.0081.84%
Singles /BIP26.13%÷0.963×0.680×1.006×1.00818.70%
Doubles /BIP4.50%÷0.945×0.600×1.006×1.0082.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×1.006×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.982×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 93, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .307 → .227; ISO .040 → .028; BABIP .296 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 55 PAwOBA .181 → .133 (−49)K% 16.4% → 20.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.36%÷0.999×1.220——19.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.27%÷1.025×0.700—×1.0225.08%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.963×0.680×1.003×1.02214.48%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.600×1.003×1.0220.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.061×0.600×1.003×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.121×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 121, 3B 112, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .181 → .133; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .195 → .141. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).