Nate Furman — OGILVIE

Nate Furman2B Sacramento River Cats

Age 25 L/R 5'8" / 173 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION387 act + 258 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .328 / .349

PA258

HR4

SB9

K%17

BB%9

BABIP293

ISO100

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 59 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT59

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$8M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$7M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$1M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$6M		$38M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	441	376	90	11	2	0	44	73	16	37	5	239	344	279	623	40	293	17	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	441	353	93	11	2	0	65	54	16	37	5	263	399	306	705	42	307	12	15	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	227	202	52	3	2	4	19	51	5	10	2	257	336	351	688	94	327	22	8	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	227	194	57	3	2	7	26	39	5	10	2	294	389	438	828	144	338	17	11	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	3 teams	—	150	127	42	5	1	6	17	22	4	3	0	331	426	528	953	197	364	15	11	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	3 teams	—	150	120	45	6	1	7	24	17	4	3	0	375	493	617	1.110	242	396	11	16	477	224	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	SF	—	387	340	86	16	1	5	33	65	4	16	5	253	326	350	676	97	296	17	9	293	82	-8	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.6
YTD	25	AAA	SF	—	387	327	91	18	1	6	46	50	4	16	5	278	374	394	769	116	309	13	12	341	119	+8	+1	+0	+1	+11	2.2
ROS	25	AAA	SF	10%	258	229	57	9	1	4	23	45	4	9	2	249	328	349	677	100	290	17	9	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.7
ROS	25	MLB	SF	10%	26	24	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	208	269	250	519	42	285	19	8	292	81	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	25	AAA	SF	—	413	364	91	17	1	5	35	70	4	17	5	250	323	343	666	93	294	17	8	293	82	-8	+1	+0	+1	+12	0.6
TOT	25	AAA	SF	—	645	569	143	25	2	9	56	110	8	25	7	251	327	350	677	98	295	17	9	298	87	-10	+2	+0	+2	+18	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SF	42%	581	517	128	21	2	10	51	102	8	18	5	248	325	354	679	106	287	18	9	305	92	-5	+2	+0	+2	+16	1.5
2028	27	MLB	SF	55%	609	542	133	22	2	11	54	110	8	19	5	245	323	354	677	109	287	18	9	307	93	-5	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.7
2029	28	MLB	SF	61%	622	553	135	23	2	11	56	115	8	18	5	244	323	353	675	108	287	18	9	307	93	-5	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.6
2030	29	MLB	SF	62%	621	552	133	22	2	11	56	116	8	17	5	241	320	348	668	107	286	19	9	305	92	-6	+1	-1	+2	+18	1.4
2031	30	MLB	SF	63%	616	547	132	22	2	11	56	117	8	15	4	241	321	349	670	108	285	19	9	302	90	-7	+1	-2	+2	+17	1.2
2032	31	MLB	SF	64%	364	323	77	13	1	6	33	70	5	8	2	238	319	341	659	102	283	19	9	298	86	-6	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.4
2027	26	MLB	SF	42%	246	219	53	9	1	4	22	43	3	8	2	242	320	347	667	105	282	17	9	291	81	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2028	27	MLB	SF	55%	332	295	72	12	1	6	30	60	4	10	3	244	322	353	675	108	282	18	9	292	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.5
2029	28	MLB	SF	61%	379	337	81	13	1	7	34	70	5	11	3	240	319	347	666	107	282	18	9	292	82	-8	+1	-0	+1	+11	0.5
2030	29	MLB	SF	62%	387	344	82	14	1	7	35	73	5	11	3	238	318	346	664	108	281	19	9	291	81	-8	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.4
2031	30	MLB	SF	63%	389	346	83	14	1	7	35	74	5	10	3	240	319	347	665	107	280	19	9	288	79	-9	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.3
2032	31	MLB	SF	64%	232	206	49	8	1	4	21	45	3	5	1	238	317	345	662	107	278	19	9	284	76	-6	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1991	1771	425	71	6	35	179	370	25	56	15	240	318	346	665	106	283	19	9	290	80	-44	+5	-4	+7	+56	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	138	23	2	11	58	121	8	18	5	239	316	343	659	104	283	19	9	290	80	-15	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	4489	3968	979	151	17	74	409	821	74	154	35	247	328	349	678	103	292	18	9	305	92	-42	+17	-7	+16	+127	11.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	142	22	2	11	59	119	11	22	5	247	329	350	678	103	292	18	9	305	92	-6	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	266	225	51	7	1	0	30	35	9	10	2	227	341	267	608	40	267	13	11	290	80	-6	+1	—	—	+8	0.3
2023	22	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	175	128	42	4	1	0	35	19	7	27	3	328	488	375	863	47	375	11	20	399	163	+13	+4	—	—	+5	2.2
2024	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	51	40	5	1	1	0	8	8	2	2	0	125	300	200	500	75	156	16	16	248	48	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	176	154	52	2	1	7	18	31	3	8	2	338	415	500	915	162	388	18	10	406	169	+14	+1	—	—	+5	2.0
2025	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	39	31	12	1	1	0	6	8	0	0	0	387	486	484	970	97	522	21	15	414	175	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	96	77	28	4	0	6	15	7	4	3	0	364	490	649	1.139	286	344	7	16	493	235	+15	+1	—	—	+3	1.8
2025	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	15	12	5	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	417	533	750	1.283	333	444	13	20	545	275	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Kazuo Matsuilast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,555 PA	7	2,555	32	102	267	321	380	+13	+5	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	8	27	267	321	380	+3.3	+1.2	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#5Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,983	35	55	244	319	352	+7	+4	4.6	4.6
	/162	664	12	18	244	319	352	+2.4	+1.3	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nate Furman (OGILVIE)	25	59	41	55	52	251/327/350	98	295	9	25	17%	9%	87	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Smith 2023 · MLB	25	48→52	45	52→50	51	232/323/359	127	290	12	17	23%	9%	96	+1.5	233/322/361	128	285	12	11	21%	9%	96	+1.5	238/326/362	125	285	12	10	20%	9%	95	+1.1
✕Russ Adams 2006 · MLB	25	52→53	46→45	54→45	57	253/323/389	136	267	12	12	11%	9%	102	+1.9	236/295/353	117	267	10	8	15%	7%	81	+0.4	220/274/346	126	257	14	7	20%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Brad Boyer 2009 · AA	25	53→58	40→45	54→50	46	253/308/353	100	312	7	17	21%	6%	86	+0.8	244/300/350	106	313	6	10	22%	7%	82	+0.5	244/290/334	91	306	3	12	20%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Boog Powell 2018 · MLB	25	56→57	43→45	48→50	49	272/326/384	112	321	11	15	19%	7%	102	+1.8	229/298/330	101	306	9	16	26%	9%	77	+0.1	202/280/282	80	285	6	17	29%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Cole Figueroa 2012 · AA	25	56→59	40→45	50	55	263/332/364	101	295	6	12	13%	9%	99	+1.7	253/309/342	89	275	5	8	9%	7%	83	+0.6	253/308/334	81	272	4	7	8%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Lastings Milledge 2010 · MLB	25	54→59	44→50	50→55	46	263/320/383	120	307	12	21	18%	6%	100	+1.7	260/314/369	109	298	10	18	15%	6%	93	+1.3	264/318/366	103	299	9	18	14%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Sergio Perez 2015 · AAA	25	57	41→40	52→50	43	273/320/378	105	338	7	13	21%	5%	97	+1.5	246/291/323	77	307	5	7	20%	5%	71	-0.3	250/285/320	70	308	4	6	20%	4%	66	-0.2
✕Chris Getz 2009 · AAA	25	53→56	41→40	49→60	50	258/306/357	100	285	9	14	13%	6%	86	+0.8	251/310/330	79	285	5	27	13%	7%	81	+0.4	250/313/303	53	285	1	34	12%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jemile Weeks 2012 · MLB	25	56→63	42→45	55	48	266/319/382	115	312	7	22	17%	7%	98	+1.6	248/319/344	96	298	4	18	17%	9%	89	+0.9	242/321/331	89	292	2	16	16%	9%	83	+0.5
●Eric Sogard 2011 · AAA	25	54→57	40→45	47→55	53	258/316/359	102	289	6	11	13%	8%	92	+1.2	255/311/363	108	286	8	15	13%	7%	90	+1.0	250/336/373	123	285	11	10	15%	11%	100	+1.1
✕Brett Nommensen 2012 · AA	25	52→46	41→40	55	50	247/324/353	106	295	7	20	18%	8%	94	+1.3	233/304/327	94	294	6	14	21%	8%	79	+0.3	205/279/280	75	263	5	9	23%	9%	55	-0.6
✕Cory Sullivan 2006 · MLB	26	56→60	41→45	53→50	48	270/324/371	101	328	8	15	20%	7%	98	+1.6	255/306/364	109	322	6	13	21%	7%	88	+0.9	252/301/360	108	318	5	13	21%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Matt Long 2012 · AA	25	49→53	46→50	54→55	48	240/300/378	138	285	12	17	20%	7%	90	+1.0	225/283/356	131	287	12	19	25%	7%	77	+0.1	215/273/336	121	280	11	21	26%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Carl Loadenthal 2007 · AA	25	54→61	41→40	53→60	48	256/317/351	95	316	8	22	21%	8%	89	+1.0	255/311/317	62	327	3	26	21%	7%	78	+0.2	258/314/303	45	332	1	30	21%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Adron Chambers 2012 · AAA	25	52→62	42→45	53→55	46	246/315/361	114	319	9	19	24%	7%	92	+1.2	252/314/351	99	329	8	16	24%	7%	89	+0.9	256/317/345	89	335	7	15	24%	7%	86	+0.5
✕Will Brennan 2023 · MLB	25	56→62	44→45	53→50	49	273/326/402	128	314	10	16	16%	6%	106	+2.2	265/306/379	114	300	10	14	15%	5%	92	+1.2	266/304/368	102	300	10	10	14%	4%	85	+0.3
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→53	47→50	53→50	47	245/311/383	138	313	14	15	25%	8%	96	+1.5	241/303/381	140	314	13	15	26%	8%	92	+1.2	242/305/389	147	315	13	16	26%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Logan Schafer 2012 · AAA	25	54→56	40→45	50	49	255/310/356	101	292	6	14	15%	6%	88	+0.9	229/284/347	118	271	8	14	18%	6%	75	-0.0	218/276/342	124	261	8	13	19%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Richie Palacios 2022 · AAA	25	51→52	46→50	56→55	52	245/324/385	140	302	11	20	22%	9%	102	+1.9	240/321/368	128	287	11	18	19%	10%	97	+1.5	232/324/354	122	273	11	20	18%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Lou Marson 2011 · MLB	25	47→54	40	51→50	52	224/299/323	99	276	7	11	21%	9%	76	+0.0	218/303/304	86	282	5	11	22%	10%	72	-0.2	224/319/287	63	297	1	9	22%	12%	73	-0.1