Eiker Lothar

SS DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	98	.207/.296/.253	0	1	-3	—	.122/.194/.144
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTOR	208	.217/.277/.287	1	3	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTOR	61	.222/.284/.301	0	1	66	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBTOR	155	.225/.289/.312	2	2	70	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%70

Chase%39

Whiff%38

Z-Con%25

Speed25

BB%22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 18) · Rodolfo Castro (age 18) · Jorge Alcantara (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .275 / .284

PA85

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	98	87	18	4	0	0	11	17	0	1	0	207	296	253	549	46	257	17	11	260	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	98	90	11	2	0	0	8	21	0	1	0	122	194	144	338	22	162	21	8	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	98	90	11	2	0	0	8	21	0	1	0	122	194	144	338	22	159	21	8	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	98	87	18	4	0	0	11	17	0	1	0	207	296	253	549	46	257	17	11	260	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	98	90	11	2	0	0	8	21	0	1	0	122	194	144	338	22	162	21	8	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	98	90	11	2	0	0	8	21	0	1	0	122	194	144	338	22	162	21	8	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	208	190	41	7	1	1	15	52	1	3	1	217	277	287	564	70	288	25	7	258	60	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	178	162	35	6	1	1	13	44	1	3	1	221	284	299	583	78	290	25	7	265	66	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	320	291	65	11	2	3	23	78	3	5	2	224	289	310	599	86	292	24	7	272	70	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	428	389	89	16	3	5	32	103	4	7	3	227	292	320	613	93	293	24	7	278	74	-13	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	505	457	106	19	3	7	38	121	5	8	4	230	296	329	624	99	294	24	8	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	557	505	118	21	3	9	42	132	5	9	4	232	298	336	635	105	294	24	8	286	80	-13	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	592	536	125	22	4	9	45	140	6	10	5	233	299	340	639	107	295	24	8	288	81	-13	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	612	554	130	23	4	10	47	145	6	10	5	233	300	342	641	108	295	24	8	289	82	-13	+0	+0	+7	+13	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	622	564	131	23	4	10	47	147	6	10	5	234	300	343	643	109	295	24	8	290	82	-13	+0	+0	+7	+13	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	623	564	131	23	4	10	48	149	6	10	5	233	299	340	639	108	295	24	8	288	81	-14	+0	+0	+7	+13	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	619	561	130	23	3	10	47	149	6	9	6	231	297	336	633	105	294	24	8	286	79	-15	-1	-1	+7	+13	0.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	610	554	126	22	3	9	46	148	5	9	6	229	294	330	624	101	293	24	8	282	77	-17	-1	-1	+7	+13	0.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	600	545	122	21	3	8	45	148	5	8	7	226	291	323	614	97	291	25	8	278	74	-18	-1	-2	+6	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	61	57	11	2	0	0	4	15	0	1	0	222	284	301	585	79	291	25	7	266	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	155	142	33	6	1	2	11	38	1	2	1	225	289	312	601	86	293	25	7	273	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	232	211	47	8	1	3	17	56	2	4	2	228	293	321	615	93	294	24	7	279	74	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	286	260	60	10	2	4	21	68	3	5	2	231	296	330	627	100	295	24	7	283	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	321	291	68	12	2	5	24	76	3	5	3	233	299	338	637	105	296	24	7	287	80	-8	-0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	337	305	71	12	2	5	26	80	3	5	3	234	300	341	641	107	297	24	8	289	81	-8	-0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	347	315	74	13	2	6	26	82	3	6	3	234	301	343	643	109	297	24	7	290	82	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	352	319	75	13	2	6	27	83	3	6	3	234	301	344	645	110	296	24	8	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	346	314	74	13	2	6	26	82	3	5	3	233	300	342	641	108	296	24	8	289	81	-8	-0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	340	308	71	12	2	5	26	82	3	5	3	232	298	337	635	105	295	24	8	287	79	-8	-0	-0	+4	+7	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	326	295	68	12	2	5	25	79	3	5	3	229	295	331	626	102	294	24	8	283	77	-9	-0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	343	311	71	12	2	5	26	85	3	5	4	227	292	324	616	97	293	25	8	279	74	-11	-1	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3446	3128	723	125	20	52	259	826	30	54	30	231	296	334	630	103	296	24	8	285	77	-88	-1	-2	+37	+75	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	137	24	4	10	49	156	6	10	6	232	298	337	635	105	297	24	8	285	77	-17	-0	-0	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6449	5851	1336	235	38	91	487	1546	58	100	53	228	294	328	622	100	293	24	8	282	77	-166	-1	-4	+68	+138	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	135	24	4	9	49	156	6	10	5	229	295	329	623	100	294	24	8	282	77	-17	-0	-0	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.3	3,531	52	55	231	293	333	+38	+21	4.2	3.9
/162	664	10	10	+7.1	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eiker Lothar (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	215/275/284	69	288	0	1	25%	7%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	36	35→50	46→50	50	171/258/234	63	226	2	8	23%	9%	44	-2.8	181/253/251	70	223	3	7	19%	8%	45	-2.7	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	40	36→50	45	37	191/233/259	68	269	3	6	30%	5%	38	-3.2	213/252/332	119	284	13	5	29%	5%	62	-1.4	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→44	36→50	50→45	44	203/264/273	70	257	3	6	22%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/332	105	258	10	5	16%	5%	71	-0.8	232/277/359	127	262	15	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	35	36→55	47→40	42	171/238/236	65	267	3	6	35%	8%	36	-3.4	187/255/285	98	291	9	5	36%	8%	53	-2.1	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Jesus Galiz 2022 · A	18	39	35→45	51→40	43	183/237/246	63	234	2	7	22%	5%	37	-3.3	199/256/302	103	288	9	4	32%	6%	57	-1.8	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2018 · A	18	44→41	37→45	48→40	42	209/253/286	77	268	4	4	23%	5%	51	-2.2	219/265/293	74	276	5	4	22%	5%	58	-1.7	232/296/314	82	290	6	2	21%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Freuddy Batista 2018 · A	18	42	37→50	47→40	43	199/266/272	73	284	3	5	29%	7%	55	-2.0	179/240/265	86	269	7	4	34%	6%	43	-2.8	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Alberth Palma 2024 · A	18	40→46	36→30	44→55	43	192/242/254	63	253	3	7	25%	6%	40	-3.0	209/283/254	45	257	1	19	17%	8%	57	-1.8	213/298/242	29	264	0	25	17%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	37→47	39→45	47→50	49	179/246/266	87	218	6	13	20%	8%	46	-2.6	190/247/278	88	283	7	8	33%	7%	48	-2.5	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3

Eiker Lothar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps