Adrian Martinez

P DSL Twins

Age 18 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKMIN	11	10	30	6.67	4.89	23.6%	18.9%	—	K 16.1% · BB 23.6% · FIP 6.30
2027PROJ	18	MLBMIN	3	3	18	5.91	5.91	20.7%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLBMIN	3	3	14	5.55	5.42	21.4%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRandry De Leon (age 18) · Edgar Isea (age 19) · Omar Gonzalez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.91

FIP5.91

K%20.7%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.7%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	10	30	148	35	28	3	91%	2.7	16.1%	23.6%	-7.6%	2.8%	6.67	6.30	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	10	30	148	35	28	3	91%	2.7	16.1%	23.6%	-7.6%	2.8%	6.67	6.30	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	11	10	30	148	35	28	3	91%	2.7	23.6%	18.9%	4.7%	2.0%	6.67	4.89	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	MIN	3	3	18	76	16	15	2	100%	6.0	20.7%	20.0%	0.7%	3.0%	5.91	5.91	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	MIN	5	5	28	118	25	20	3	100%	5.6	21.4%	16.8%	4.5%	2.9%	5.55	5.42	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	MIN	3	3	14	59	13	10	2	100%	4.7	21.4%	16.8%	4.5%	2.9%	5.55	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	14	58	12	10	2	100%	4.6	21.4%	16.8%	4.5%	2.9%	5.55	5.04	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	174	145	29	100%	4.3	21.4%	16.8%	4.5%	2.9%	5.55	5.04	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		11	10	30	148	24	35	4	91%	2.7	16.1%	23.6%	-7.6%	2.8%	6.67	6.30	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	67	200	998	160	236	28	91%	2.7	16.1%	23.6%	-7.6%	2.8%	6.67	6.30	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adrian Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.91	20.7%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.42	21.4%	4.5%	28	-0.49	—	—	—
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	86
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	81
Omar Gonzalez R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	18	SP	5.10	24.3%	24.6%	1.7%	.375	5.69	15.1%	-2.0%	106	+0.59	2.25	137	80
Yerlin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	19	SP-	5.73	20.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.378	4.63	19.9%	0.7%	112	-1.10	3.84	244	80
Jean Munoz R 2021 · 4.96 FIP	18	SP	4.96	16.1%	16.1%	2.2%	.292	3.91	17.3%	2.4%	82	-1.05	3.23	215	80
Jose Pena Jr. R 2022 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP-	5.48	15.0%	18.7%	2.3%	.269	4.62	19.2%	3.1%	124	-0.86	3.48	176	80
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	80
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	80
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	79
Jeter Martinez R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	18	SP	4.72	18.1%	21.1%	0.9%	.282	4.90	15.6%	-0.4%	129	+0.18	3.52	216	79
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	79
Alexander Almonte R 2024 · 5.69 FIP	17	SP	5.69	16.2%	13.8%	4.0%	.250	4.82	12.6%	-2.8%	75	-0.87	4.27	100	78
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	78
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	78
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.81	21.3%	8.0%	253	-0.15	3.82	323	78
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	78
Michell Miliano R 2018 · 4.93 FIP	18	SP	4.93	16.3%	16.7%	2.0%	.379	5.90	24.3%	-1.8%	71	+0.97	4.42	205	78
Chen-Wei Lin R 2023 · 6.48 FIP	21	SP	6.48	21.3%	22.0%	4.4%	.379	3.81	20.5%	8.4%	257	-2.67	3.05	269	78
Jared Kelley R 2021 · 5.33 FIP	19	SP	5.33	16.5%	23.2%	1.2%	.312	5.14	16.5%	-1.2%	174	-0.19	4.25	250	78
Waylin Santana R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP	5.12	15.1%	15.0%	2.5%	.377	6.18	13.5%	1.0%	94	+1.06	4.88	117	78