Omar Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Omar Gonzalez P FCL Yankees

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 160151vR 143

ERA6.66

FIP6.66

K%15.4%

BB%22.8%

K-BB%-7.3%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	6	5	20	76	36	9	0	83%	3.4	32.2%	14.8%	17.4%	0.0%	0.44	2.25	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	6	5	20	76	36	9	0	83%	3.4	47.4%	11.8%	35.5%	0.0%	0.44	0.89	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	4	4	11	56	20	11	1	100%	2.8	24.3%	24.6%	-0.3%	1.7%	8.18	5.10	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	4	4	11	56	20	11	1	100%	2.8	24.3%	24.6%	-0.3%	1.7%	8.18	5.10	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	4	4	11	56	20	11	1	100%	2.8	35.7%	19.6%	16.1%	1.8%	8.18	3.65	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	10	4	23	103	21	19	2	40%	2.3	13.9%	23.1%	-9.2%	2.4%	6.94	6.16	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	10	4	23	103	21	19	2	40%	2.3	13.9%	23.1%	-9.2%	2.4%	6.94	6.16	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	10	4	23	103	21	19	2	40%	2.3	20.4%	18.4%	1.9%	1.9%	6.94	4.86	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	11	10	47	197	44	31	5	91%	4.2	15.2%	19.7%	-4.5%	1.7%	3.86	5.26	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	11	10	47	197	44	31	5	91%	4.2	15.2%	19.7%	-4.5%	1.7%	3.86	5.26	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	11	10	47	197	44	31	5	91%	4.2	22.3%	15.7%	6.6%	2.5%	3.86	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	9	7	36	156	36	12	6	78%	4.0	15.7%	9.6%	6.1%	5.4%	5.30	5.95	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	9	7	36	156	36	12	6	78%	4.0	15.7%	9.6%	6.1%	5.4%	5.30	5.95	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	NYY	9	7	36	156	36	12	6	78%	4.0	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	3.8%	5.30	4.24	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	9	9	44	186	32	36	5	100%	4.9	17.4%	19.4%	-1.9%	2.9%	6.19	6.03	-0.5
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYY	4	4	22	93	16	18	3	100%	5.5	17.4%	19.4%	-1.9%	2.9%	6.19	6.03	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	22	92	16	18	3	100%	5.4	17.4%	19.4%	-1.9%	2.9%	6.19	5.65	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	148	166	28	100%	5.1	17.4%	19.4%	-1.9%	2.9%	6.19	5.65	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		40	30	137	588	107	102	15	75%	3.4	18.2%	17.4%	0.7%	2.6%	4.60	5.19	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	44	200	858	156	150	22	75%	3.4	18.2%	17.4%	0.7%	2.6%	4.60	5.19	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Omar Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.66	15.4%	22.8%	2.9%	—	6.03	17.4%	-1.9%	44	-0.63	—	—	—
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	87
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	85
Felix Cepeda R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	21	SP	5.96	17.0%	21.6%	2.8%	.276	4.78	17.6%	0.9%	144	-1.18	3.58	204	83
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	83
Camilo Sanchez R 2023 · 6.65 FIP	20	SP-	6.65	10.0%	18.5%	3.8%	.317	5.84	14.8%	0.8%	62	-0.81	3.57	117	82
Mason McGwire R 2023 · 6.54 FIP	19	SP	6.54	13.2%	19.6%	3.8%	.374	4.91	18.1%	3.8%	120	-1.63	4.11	155	81
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	3.37	241	80
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	80
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	80
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	79
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	79
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	79
Edrick Agosto R 2017 · 6.67 FIP	20	SP-	6.67	11.4%	17.1%	4.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.30	113	78
Irv Carter R 2023 · 7.11 FIP	20	SP-	7.11	11.4%	18.9%	4.7%	.266	5.51	18.8%	6.1%	150	-1.60	4.81	236	78
Edinxon Arias R 2017 · 7.03 FIP	19	SP	7.03	7.6%	19.9%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	127	77
Tyler Gough R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP	5.48	13.4%	13.3%	3.3%	.297	3.58	20.0%	6.5%	158	-1.90	3.12	188	77
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	76
Eudry Alcantara R 2023 · 6.03 FIP	18	SP	6.03	11.4%	19.2%	2.7%	.278	6.45	15.3%	-9.0%	71	+0.42	4.83	114	76
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	76
Rafael Martinez R 2021 · 5.68 FIP	21	SP-	5.68	15.3%	14.3%	3.8%	.366	2.50	19.4%	11.2%	18	-3.18	2.50	104	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	16.5%	20.9%	1.12	6.40
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77