Omar Gonzalez
P
FCL Yankees
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 175 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157148vR 139
ERA6.19
FIP6.19
K%15.4%
BB%19.1%
K-BB%-3.7%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 6 | 5 | 20 | 76 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 83% | 3.4 | 32.2% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.44 | 2.25 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 6 | 5 | 20 | 76 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 83% | 3.4 | 47.4% | 11.8% | 35.5% | 0.0% | 0.44 | 0.89 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 4 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 24.3% | 24.6% | -0.3% | 1.3% | 8.18 | 4.87 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 4 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 35.7% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 1.8% | 8.18 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 10 | 4 | 23 | 103 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 40% | 2.3 | 13.9% | 23.1% | -9.2% | 2.1% | 6.94 | 6.01 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 10 | 4 | 23 | 103 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 40% | 2.3 | 20.4% | 18.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 6.94 | 4.86 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 10 | 47 | 197 | 44 | 31 | 5 | 91% | 4.2 | 15.2% | 19.7% | -4.5% | 1.1% | 3.86 | 4.93 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 10 | 47 | 197 | 44 | 31 | 5 | 91% | 4.2 | 22.3% | 15.7% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 4.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 9 | 7 | 36 | 156 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 78% | 4.0 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.30 | 5.95 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 36 | 151 | 23 | 29 | 4 | 100% | 5.1 | 15.4% | 19.1% | -3.7% | 2.9% | 6.19 | 6.19 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.4% | 19.1% | -3.7% | 2.9% | 6.19 | 6.19 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 71 | 307 | 59 | 41 | 10 | — | — | 19.3% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.74 | 6.07 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 38 | 158 | 28 | 26 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.81 | 5.68 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 39 | 164 | 31 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.6% | 15.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.4% | 14.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.27 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.1% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 39 | 163 | 33 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 20.0% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 18 | 76 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.81 | 5.68 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 22 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.6% | 15.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 27 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.4% | 14.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.27 | 5.16 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 21 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 5.12 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 31 | 21 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 31 | 21 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.1% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 21 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.0% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 39 | 225 | 952 | 186 | 134 | 27 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 4.78 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 165 | 119 | 24 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 4.78 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 30 | 137 | 588 | 107 | 102 | 14 | 75% | 3.4 | 18.2% | 17.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.60 | 5.04 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 44 | 200 | 858 | 156 | 150 | 20 | 75% | 3.4 | 18.2% | 17.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.60 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Omar Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.19 | 15.4% | 19.1% | 2.9% | — | 5.39 | 18.5% | 3.2% | 116 | -0.80 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larsen R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.8% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .274 | 5.00 | 20.2% | 6.7% | 77 | -0.50 | 4.71 | 137 | 88 |
| Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .296 | 6.74 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 21 | +1.24 | 5.50 | 102 | 84 |
| Trey Riley R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.03 | 10.6% | 19.0% | 2.6% | .344 | 6.14 | 17.4% | 5.2% | 74 | +0.11 | 4.48 | 227 | 83 |
| Jackson Fristoe R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.78 | 17.0% | 24.2% | 1.9% | .258 | 6.42 | 15.6% | -2.0% | 110 | +0.64 | 4.79 | 138 | 83 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 6.04 | 17.0% | 21.6% | 3.0% | .276 | 4.84 | 17.6% | 0.9% | 144 | -1.20 | 3.61 | 204 | 83 |
| Orlando Suarez R 2024 · 6.57 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.57 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 3.4% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 113 | 82 |
| Jose M. Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.01 | 16.6% | 18.1% | 1.8% | .250 | 4.38 | 23.6% | 5.6% | 34 | -0.63 | 4.38 | 106 | 82 |
| Luis Mateo R 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .315 | 5.67 | 15.0% | -1.3% | 55 | +0.50 | 4.52 | 112 | 82 |
| Zander Mueth R 2026 · 6.97 FIP | 21 | SP | 6.97 | 11.9% | 20.3% | 4.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 114 | 82 |
| Steven Brooks R 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.61 | 16.6% | 17.9% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.80 | 25.0% | 9.8% | 40 | -0.81 | 4.80 | 103 | 81 |
| Luis Mora R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.78 | 16.3% | 15.4% | 3.8% | .303 | 5.55 | 23.9% | 1.2% | 43 | -0.23 | 3.95 | 119 | 80 |
| Ismael Cabral R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.11 | 11.6% | 15.6% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.40 | 19.5% | 4.1% | 33 | -1.71 | 3.40 | 146 | 80 |
| Irwin Ramirez R 2024 · 7.04 FIP | 19 | SP- | 7.04 | 12.8% | 22.6% | 3.9% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.88 | 106 | 80 |
| Kevin Gowdy R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.62 | 11.1% | 17.0% | 2.4% | .321 | 5.82 | 16.3% | 6.0% | 130 | +0.20 | 3.31 | 333 | 80 |
| Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.32 | 13.9% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .237 | 4.05 | 20.5% | 4.7% | 73 | -1.27 | 3.79 | 101 | 80 |
| Chad Bryant R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.8% | 20.7% | 2.9% | .337 | 5.67 | 16.0% | -3.4% | 81 | -0.37 | 3.93 | 136 | 80 |
| Wilmer Blanco R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.93 | 14.9% | 16.3% | 3.7% | .364 | 5.18 | 15.1% | 6.8% | 30 | -0.75 | 3.99 | 145 | 80 |
| Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.31 | 15.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .289 | 7.22 | 13.9% | -0.3% | 19 | +1.91 | 3.66 | 117 | 80 |
| Jose Diaz R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.40 | 16.5% | 17.5% | 2.7% | .357 | 4.96 | 17.6% | 0.9% | 89 | -0.44 | 3.95 | 189 | 79 |
| Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 5.19 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.19 | 12.2% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 126 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 39 | 18.9% | 14.9% | 1.09 | 5.38 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |