Mason Pelio
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%21.0%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.10 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 25 | 20 | 96 | 428 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 80% | 3.8 | 13.3% | 17.4% | -4.1% | 3.8% | 5.06 | 6.26 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 25 | 20 | 96 | 428 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 80% | 3.8 | 18.0% | 14.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 5.36 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 31 | 156 | 20 | 29 | 2 | 91% | 2.8 | 9.0% | 21.8% | -12.8% | 1.2% | 7.26 | 5.74 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 31 | 156 | 20 | 29 | 2 | 91% | 2.8 | 12.8% | 18.6% | -5.8% | 1.3% | 7.26 | 5.45 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 17.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.00 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 17.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.00 | 3.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 26 | 109 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 26 | 108 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.4 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.37 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 173 | 86 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 36 | 138 | 631 | 80 | 117 | 18 | 86% | 3.3 | 12.7% | 18.6% | -5.9% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.96 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 52 | 200 | 914 | 116 | 170 | 26 | 86% | 3.3 | 12.7% | 18.6% | -5.9% | 2.9% | 5.41 | 5.96 | -1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Pelio (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.75 | 21.2% | 10.0% | 26 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 77 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 76 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 76 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .362 | 5.50 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.94 | 2.78 | 181 | 76 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 76 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 74 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 73 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 72 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 72 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 72 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 71 |
| Henderson Alvarez R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.98 | 15.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .306 | 5.46 | 12.4% | 4.7% | 121 | +0.48 | 3.67 | 176 | 71 |
| Tony Dibrell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.18 | 23.8% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .314 | 8.89 | 13.5% | -3.3% | 29 | +3.71 | 4.21 | 347 | 71 |
| Mason Adams R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 254 | 69 |
| Chris Clarke R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.28 | 15.1% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 291 | 68 |
| Riley Thompson R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.29 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .289 | 5.20 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 189 | -0.09 | 4.52 | 340 | 68 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 68 |
| Jimmy Endersby R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.93 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .257 | 2.73 | 17.2% | 12.8% | 36 | -2.20 | 2.73 | 357 | 68 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 68 |
| Jimmy Lambert R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.46 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .276 | 4.95 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 114 | +0.49 | 3.44 | 526 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 1.15 | 4.74 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |