Tony Gonsolin
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION35 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.97
FIP5.21
xFIP4.57
SIERA4.40
K%21.8%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.6%
IP35
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
FB Velo
p3693.5
Whiff%
p8230.3%
K%
p6124.2%
xwOBA vs
p170.351
CU (17%)
FB-1.9 (40%)
SL-3.2 (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A | Great Lakes Loons | 19 | 0 | 31 | 127 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 13.9% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 3.77 | 3.51 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 42 | 0 | 70 | 292 | 85 | 18 | 7 | 21.7% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 3.86 | 3.41 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 26 | 26 | 128 | 527 | 155 | 41 | 8 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 2.60 | 3.14 | +3.4 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 24 | 19 | 81 | 354 | 87 | 36 | 8 | 22.9% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 3.65 | 3.75 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9 | 8 | 47 | 176 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 26.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 2.31 | 2.06 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 17 | 68 | 290 | 75 | 38 | 10 | 27.2% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 3.29 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 25 | 25 | 132 | 504 | 121 | 34 | 11 | 23.9% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 2.11 | 3.23 | +3.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 21 | 21 | 106 | 447 | 89 | 41 | 20 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 5.01 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 3 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 36.4% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 0.80 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 11 | 11 | 50 | 215 | 54 | 24 | 11 | 24.2% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 4.50 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 4.97 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 5.28 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 20.1% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 5.59 | 5.79 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 199 | 130 | 721 | 2965 | 677 | 266 | 81 | 22.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 3.33 | 3.80 | +13.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 36 | 200 | 822 | 188 | 74 | 22 | 22.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 3.33 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tony Gonsolin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% | — | 5.63 | 20.6% | 9.6% | 58 | +0.42 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 80 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 77 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 77 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 76 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 75 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 75 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.79 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .265 | 3.93 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.86 | 2.85 | 227 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 72 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 71 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 71 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 5.30 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.30 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 200 | 71 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 71 |
| Jeff Manship R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.88 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 114 | 71 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 71 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.45 | 23.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | .353 | 5.61 | 17.5% | 9.2% | 120 | +0.16 | 4.35 | 138 | 71 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.49 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 4.9% | .273 | 2.50 | 25.7% | 19.8% | 112 | -2.99 | 2.40 | 617 | 69 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.06 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.48 | 17.6% | 3.6% | 14 | +0.42 | 3.03 | 256 | 69 |
| Alex Wilson R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.01 | 19.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 326 | 69 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.