Alexander Almonte

Alexander Almonte P FCL Yankees

Age 19 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.0 · 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%18.3%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%5.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4055

CMD2540

K†4560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	9	9	26	109	26	12	3	100%	2.9	16.2%	13.8%	2.5%	4.0%	3.51	5.69	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	9	9	26	109	26	12	3	100%	2.9	16.2%	13.8%	2.5%	4.0%	3.51	5.69	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	9	9	26	109	26	12	3	100%	2.9	23.9%	11.0%	12.8%	2.8%	3.51	4.00	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	10	52	229	48	21	3	91%	4.7	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	1.7%	3.29	4.27	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	11	10	52	229	48	21	3	91%	4.7	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	1.7%	3.29	4.27	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	11	10	52	229	48	21	3	91%	4.7	21.0%	9.2%	11.8%	1.3%	3.29	3.22	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	12	1	23	119	15	23	1	8%	1.9	8.6%	24.2%	-15.6%	1.2%	7.15	6.08	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	12	1	23	119	15	23	1	8%	1.9	8.6%	24.2%	-15.6%	1.2%	7.15	6.08	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	NYY	12	1	23	119	15	23	1	8%	1.9	12.6%	19.3%	-6.7%	0.8%	7.15	4.95	—
ROS	19	MLB MLE	NYY	6	0	6	27	5	3	1	0%	1.1	18.3%	12.5%	5.8%	2.9%	5.13	5.13	-0.0
2026 TOT	19	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	29	146	20	26	2	—	—	13.6%	18.1%	-4.4%	1.2%	6.71	5.88	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYY	102	0	107	451	84	55	13	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	2.9%	5.04	5.03	-0.6
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYY	139	0	146	617	124	70	17	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.3%	8.8%	2.8%	4.85	4.77	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYY	167	0	175	739	161	78	21	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.5%	11.2%	2.8%	4.63	4.50	+0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYY	171	0	180	760	173	76	21	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	2.7%	4.45	4.33	+0.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYY	171	0	180	760	178	75	21	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.8%	13.6%	2.7%	4.32	4.23	+0.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYY	171	0	180	760	181	74	20	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.7%	14.1%	2.7%	4.23	4.18	+0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYY	171	0	180	760	183	73	20	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.7%	14.4%	2.7%	4.18	4.15	+0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYY	169	0	177	749	180	73	21	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.7%	14.3%	2.7%	4.19	4.19	+0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYY	164	0	172	726	173	72	21	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.9%	14.0%	2.8%	4.24	4.28	+0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYY	156	0	164	694	164	70	21	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.0%	4.34	4.41	+0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYY	147	0	154	652	152	68	21	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.4%	12.9%	3.2%	4.49	4.59	-0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYY	137	0	144	608	139	65	21	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.8%	12.1%	3.4%	4.67	4.79	-0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	NYY	127	0	133	562	126	63	21	0%	1.0	22.4%	11.2%	11.3%	3.7%	4.88	5.01	-0.7
2027	20	MLB CTX	NYY	50	0	53	224	42	27	7	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	3.1%	5.15	5.14	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYY	102	0	107	452	91	51	14	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.3%	8.8%	3.0%	4.95	4.87	-0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYY	141	0	148	625	136	66	19	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.5%	11.2%	3.0%	4.73	4.60	+0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYY	154	0	162	684	156	69	20	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	2.9%	4.55	4.43	+0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYY	158	0	166	701	164	69	20	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.8%	13.6%	2.9%	4.42	4.33	+0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYY	160	0	168	709	169	69	20	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.7%	14.1%	2.9%	4.33	4.28	+0.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYY	163	0	171	722	173	70	21	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.7%	14.4%	2.9%	4.28	4.25	+0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYY	160	0	168	709	170	69	21	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.7%	14.3%	2.9%	4.29	4.29	+0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYY	155	0	163	688	164	68	21	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.9%	14.0%	3.0%	4.35	4.39	+0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYY	149	0	156	659	156	67	21	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.2%	4.45	4.52	+0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYY	140	0	147	621	145	65	21	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.4%	12.9%	3.4%	4.61	4.71	-0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYY	130	0	137	578	132	62	21	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.8%	12.1%	3.7%	4.80	4.92	-0.4
2039	32	MLB CTX	NYY	121	0	127	536	120	60	21	0%	1.0	22.4%	11.2%	11.3%	3.9%	5.02	5.15	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1782	0	1871	7902	1817	810	246	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.3%	12.7%	3.1%	4.55	4.17	+8.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	87	26	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.3%	12.7%	3.1%	4.55	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		32	20	100	457	61	70	10	62%	3.1	13.2%	15.3%	-2.1%	2.1%	4.22	5.08	+10.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	40	200	911	121	140	19	62%	3.1	13.2%	15.3%	-2.1%	2.1%	4.22	5.08	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Almonte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	18.3%	12.5%	2.9%	—	4.72	20.4%	9.2%	428	-0.41	—	—	—
Edward Escoboza R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	19	SP-	4.73	15.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.345	4.05	17.4%	9.9%	157	-0.68	3.44	213	87
Ruben Galindo R 2021 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	15.9%	11.1%	2.8%	.345	3.51	19.0%	7.7%	149	-1.17	2.84	239	87
Luis Garcia R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	21	SP-	4.30	17.9%	13.4%	1.8%	.295	3.65	27.4%	17.5%	264	-0.65	3.40	535	85
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	85
Ryan Long R 2022 · 4.33 FIP	22	SW	4.33	17.1%	11.6%	2.2%	.263	4.69	16.6%	7.3%	292	+0.36	4.20	430	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	83
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	83
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	83
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	82
Joel Díaz R 2022 · 5.45 FIP	18	SP-	5.45	15.3%	11.9%	3.9%	.335	4.86	16.2%	8.2%	174	-0.59	1.98	328	82
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	82
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.1%	265	+0.44	3.31	408	82
Reese Olson R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	20	SP-	4.83	14.6%	13.0%	2.4%	.336	4.05	23.7%	13.2%	224	-0.78	3.03	640	82
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	81
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.62	298	81
Shane Davis R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	21	SP-	5.21	17.3%	9.8%	4.2%	.313	4.19	20.9%	6.7%	55	-1.02	4.19	129	81
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	81
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	80
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	80
Alix Hernandez R 2023 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	21.7%	15.6%	2.8%	.254	4.91	22.5%	10.2%	119	+0.11	3.55	170	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	10.8	155	22.7%	10.4%	1.13	4.49
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17