Manuel Perez — OGILVIE

Manuel Perez P ACL Athletics

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.88

FIP5.88

K%11.7%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%-3.1%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	7	38	170	29	15	1	64%	3.4	11.6%	11.0%	0.6%	0.9%	3.58	4.02	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	7	38	170	29	15	1	64%	3.4	17.1%	8.8%	8.2%	0.6%	3.58	3.10	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	6	33	159	41	15	2	60%	3.3	17.5%	11.8%	5.7%	1.7%	5.13	4.04	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	6	33	159	41	15	2	60%	3.3	17.5%	11.8%	5.7%	1.7%	5.13	4.04	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	10	6	33	159	41	15	2	60%	3.3	25.8%	9.4%	16.4%	1.3%	5.13	2.77	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	13	6	39	189	38	30	2	46%	3.0	13.7%	19.8%	-6.2%	1.7%	6.64	5.41	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	13	6	39	189	38	30	2	46%	3.0	13.7%	19.8%	-6.2%	1.7%	6.64	5.41	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	13	6	39	189	38	30	2	46%	3.0	20.1%	15.9%	4.2%	1.1%	6.64	4.12	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	14	11	56	262	47	22	0	79%	4.0	12.2%	10.5%	1.7%	0.0%	6.14	3.40	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	14	11	56	262	47	22	0	79%	4.0	12.2%	10.5%	1.7%	0.0%	6.14	3.40	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	14	11	56	262	47	22	0	79%	4.0	17.9%	8.4%	9.5%	0.0%	6.14	2.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	16	1	22	107	27	14	7	6%	1.4	17.2%	16.4%	0.8%	9.2%	6.04	8.75	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	16	1	22	107	27	14	7	6%	1.4	17.2%	16.4%	0.8%	9.2%	6.04	8.75	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	OAK	16	1	22	107	27	14	7	6%	1.4	25.2%	13.1%	12.1%	6.5%	6.04	6.22	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	OAK	50	0	53	222	31	30	6	0%	1.1	14.2%	13.5%	0.6%	2.7%	5.58	5.49	-0.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	OAK	53	0	55	233	38	29	6	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.5%	3.8%	2.7%	5.29	5.16	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	OAK	25	0	26	110	16	15	3	0%	1.0	14.2%	13.5%	0.6%	2.7%	5.58	5.49	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	OAK	38	0	40	169	28	21	5	0%	1.1	16.3%	12.5%	3.8%	2.7%	5.29	5.16	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	66	279	43	36	8	0%	1.0	15.5%	12.9%	2.6%	2.7%	5.40	4.91	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	130	109	24	0%	1.1	15.5%	12.9%	2.6%	2.7%	5.40	4.91	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		64	31	188	887	124	120	17	48%	2.9	14.0%	13.5%	0.4%	2.0%	5.54	4.71	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	33	200	942	131	127	18	48%	2.9	14.0%	13.5%	0.4%	2.0%	5.54	4.71	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.88	11.7%	14.8%	2.8%	—	5.32	15.3%	2.3%	108	-0.56	—	—	—
Edward Vasquez R 2017 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	9.1%	15.0%	1.0%	.286	3.86	12.4%	1.9%	79	-0.91	3.64	111	85
Daury Cabrera R 2021 · 5.97 FIP	20	SW	5.97	9.7%	14.3%	3.4%	.290	4.15	15.1%	5.0%	44	-1.82	2.86	191	85
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	85
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	85
Jorge Cespedes R 2016 · 4.88 FIP	20	SW	4.88	11.2%	12.2%	2.1%	.284	4.14	12.9%	5.6%	107	-0.74	3.47	153	85
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	84
Jhon Vergara R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	19	SW	5.75	11.1%	13.1%	3.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	106	84
Xavier Moore R 2019 · 4.93 FIP	20	SW	4.93	12.5%	15.8%	1.6%	.288	4.35	27.6%	13.0%	71	-0.58	2.31	135	84
Vitico Valdez R 2023 · 5.68 FIP	19	SW	5.68	11.3%	19.8%	1.9%	.260	4.04	14.7%	-2.5%	43	-1.64	4.04	132	83
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	83
Eury Ramos R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	19	SW	5.40	13.0%	14.8%	2.8%	.343	7.19	14.1%	0.6%	29	+1.79	3.33	176	83
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	83
Andres German R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	20	SW	4.97	8.7%	10.4%	2.3%	.302	3.04	13.4%	7.0%	73	-1.93	3.04	116	83
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	82
Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	19	SW	4.84	10.3%	11.1%	2.2%	.315	5.19	13.7%	0.7%	36	+0.35	4.84	223	82
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	82
Alain Pena R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	20	SP-	5.48	14.2%	13.9%	3.3%	.222	5.68	15.6%	3.5%	191	+0.20	3.66	266	81
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	81
Mason Denaburg R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	19	SP-	4.98	12.8%	17.3%	1.4%	.328	4.95	16.3%	-0.1%	39	-0.03	4.48	151	81
Samuel Vásquez R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	19	SW	5.15	13.3%	17.2%	1.8%	.220	6.13	12.7%	-8.3%	49	+0.98	4.01	273	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	14.4%	13.4%	1.05	5.54
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14