Manuel Perez
P
ACL Athletics
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 34 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 131
ERA5.80
FIP5.80
K%11.7%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%-2.4%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 7 | 38 | 170 | 29 | 15 | 1 | 64% | 3.4 | 11.6% | 11.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.58 | 4.08 | — |
| 2022 | 16 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 7 | 38 | 170 | 29 | 15 | 1 | 64% | 3.4 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 0.6% | 3.58 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 10 | 6 | 33 | 159 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 60% | 3.3 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 5.13 | 4.01 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 10 | 6 | 33 | 159 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 60% | 3.3 | 25.8% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 1.3% | 5.13 | 2.77 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 13 | 6 | 39 | 189 | 38 | 30 | 2 | 46% | 3.0 | 13.7% | 19.8% | -6.2% | 2.1% | 6.64 | 5.61 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 13 | 6 | 39 | 189 | 38 | 30 | 2 | 46% | 3.0 | 20.1% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 6.64 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 14 | 11 | 56 | 262 | 47 | 22 | 0 | 79% | 4.0 | 12.2% | 10.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 6.14 | 3.40 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 14 | 11 | 56 | 262 | 47 | 22 | 0 | 79% | 4.0 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 6.14 | 2.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 15 | 1 | 20 | 97 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 7% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 1.5% | 10.1% | 5.75 | 9.23 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.7% | 14.1% | -2.4% | 2.8% | 5.80 | 5.80 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.7% | 14.1% | -2.4% | 2.8% | 5.80 | 5.80 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 54 | 241 | 43 | 33 | 11 | — | — | 17.8% | 13.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.78 | 7.08 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 13.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.52 | 5.43 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 29 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 13.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.52 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 5.03 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 74 | 0 | 78 | 328 | 54 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.4% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 4.72 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 139 | 103 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.4% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 63 | 31 | 186 | 877 | 123 | 119 | 18 | 49% | 3.0 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 5.51 | 4.76 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 33 | 200 | 941 | 132 | 127 | 19 | 49% | 3.0 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 5.51 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Manuel Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.80 | 11.7% | 14.1% | 2.8% | — | 5.15 | 16.1% | 3.9% | 112 | -0.65 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cespedes R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.88 | 11.2% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.14 | 12.9% | 5.6% | 107 | -0.74 | 3.47 | 153 | 86 |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 86 |
| Lisander Brito R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.60 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 18.9% | 5.3% | 21 | -2.37 | 3.23 | 101 | 85 |
| Daury Cabrera R 2026 · 5.97 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.97 | 9.7% | 14.3% | 3.4% | .290 | 4.12 | 15.1% | 5.0% | 44 | -1.85 | 2.86 | 191 | 85 |
| Andres German R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.97 | 8.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.04 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 73 | -1.93 | 3.04 | 116 | 85 |
| Jhon Vergara R 2025 · 5.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.75 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 3.5% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 106 | 85 |
| Edward Vasquez R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.77 | 9.1% | 15.0% | 1.0% | .286 | 3.86 | 12.4% | 1.9% | 79 | -0.91 | 3.64 | 111 | 84 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.50 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 52 | -3.15 | 3.50 | 128 | 83 |
| Xavier Moore R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.93 | 12.5% | 15.8% | 1.6% | .288 | 4.29 | 27.6% | 13.0% | 71 | -0.64 | 2.30 | 135 | 83 |
| Alain Pena R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.09 | 14.2% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .222 | 5.50 | 15.6% | 3.5% | 190 | +0.41 | 3.66 | 265 | 83 |
| Erick Reynoso R 2026 · 6.52 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.52 | 10.7% | 20.4% | 3.2% | .305 | 6.42 | 14.7% | -7.7% | 135 | -0.10 | 5.76 | 168 | 83 |
| Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.84 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 2.2% | .315 | 5.19 | 13.7% | 0.7% | 36 | +0.35 | 4.84 | 223 | 83 |
| Eury Ramos R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.40 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 2.8% | .343 | 7.57 | 14.1% | 0.6% | 29 | +2.17 | 3.25 | 176 | 82 |
| Angel Peralta R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.90 | 15.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 105 | 82 |
| Gillian Wernet R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.46 | 11.2% | 16.6% | 2.2% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 107 | 82 |
| Mayky Perez R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.34 | 8.6% | 11.6% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.49 | 22.9% | 7.0% | 84 | -0.85 | 3.49 | 160 | 82 |
| Tyler Driver R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.29 | 15.0% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 5.91 | 14.5% | 1.4% | 88 | +0.62 | 5.29 | 180 | 82 |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.65 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | .252 | 4.79 | 16.3% | -1.2% | 66 | -0.86 | 3.94 | 216 | 81 |
| Juan Gomez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 81 |
| Weskendry Espinosa R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.01 | 11.6% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .368 | 4.11 | 15.6% | 3.6% | 78 | -0.90 | 2.98 | 147 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 37 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 1.05 | 5.38 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |