Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 12 | 12 | 53 | 243 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 100% | 4.4 | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 5.30 | 4.06 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 12 | 12 | 53 | 243 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 100% | 4.4 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 0.8% | 5.30 | 3.12 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 12 | 9 | 52 | 216 | 54 | 13 | 5 | 75% | 4.3 | 17.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 3.81 | 4.40 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 12 | 9 | 52 | 216 | 54 | 13 | 5 | 75% | 4.3 | 25.0% | 6.0% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 3.81 | 3.02 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 8 | 2 | 28 | 123 | 21 | 15 | 1 | 25% | 3.5 | 11.6% | 15.2% | -3.6% | 1.1% | 3.81 | 4.68 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 8 | 2 | 28 | 123 | 21 | 15 | 1 | 25% | 3.5 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 3.81 | 3.66 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 6 | 43 | 215 | 43 | 28 | 4 | 30% | 2.1 | 13.9% | 16.0% | -2.1% | 2.2% | 6.70 | 5.15 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 6 | 43 | 215 | 43 | 28 | 4 | 30% | 2.1 | 20.0% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 6.70 | 4.26 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 36 | 165 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 9.8% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 5.05 | 4.24 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 36 | 165 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 13.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 5.05 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 34 | 0 | 73 | 319 | 50 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.32 | 4.40 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 34 | 0 | 73 | 319 | 50 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 1.6% | 4.32 | 3.44 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 44 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 0 | 80 | 336 | 76 | 32 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 4.12 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 80 | 28 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 107 | 29 | 285 | 1281 | 164 | 133 | 27 | 27% | 2.7 | 12.8% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.81 | 4.47 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 20 | 200 | 900 | 115 | 93 | 19 | 27% | 2.7 | 12.8% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.81 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro González (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.48 | 22.6% | 13.3% | 146 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 82 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 81 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 81 |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.17 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | .313 | 5.36 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 42 | +2.19 | 3.17 | 211 | 81 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 79 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 79 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 78 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 77 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .300 | 4.91 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.00 | 3.91 | 223 | 77 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 77 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.63 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | .317 | 3.95 | 22.5% | 14.7% | 87 | -0.68 | 3.36 | 432 | 77 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 77 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 77 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 76 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 76 |
| Ryan Eades R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.21 | 22.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% | .352 | 4.50 | 23.9% | 15.3% | 64 | +1.29 | 3.21 | 451 | 76 |
| Carlos Navas R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.08 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% | .271 | 6.98 | 19.3% | 10.0% | 44 | +2.90 | 2.94 | 385 | 76 |
| Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 75 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 1.20 | 4.42 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |