Pedro González P Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%22.6%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +2.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.11 (51 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.10.00.0262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201717ROKDSL Nationals12125324344212100%4.412.3%10.8%1.5%1.2%5.304.06
201717ROKDSL Nationals12125324344212100%4.418.1%8.6%9.5%0.8%5.303.12
201818ROKGCL Nationals129522165413575%4.317.0%7.5%9.5%3.2%3.814.40
201818ROKGCL Nationals129522165413575%4.325.0%6.0%19.0%2.3%3.813.02
201919ROKGCL Nationals82281232115125%3.511.6%15.2%-3.6%1.1%3.814.68
201919ROKGCL Nationals82281232115125%3.517.1%12.2%4.9%0.8%3.813.66
202121MIX2 levels206432154328430%2.113.9%16.0%-2.1%2.2%6.705.15
202121MIX2 levels206432154328430%2.120.0%13.0%7.0%1.9%6.704.26
202222MIX2 levels21036165231120%1.79.8%8.0%1.7%1.7%5.054.24
202222MIX2 levels21036165231120%1.713.9%6.7%7.3%1.2%5.053.46
202323AFredericksburg Nationals34073319502050%2.111.6%7.4%4.2%2.4%4.324.40
202323AFredericksburg Nationals34073319502050%2.115.7%6.3%9.4%1.6%4.323.44
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBWSH49051216492060%1.022.6%9.1%13.6%3.0%4.364.36+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBWSH48050212481960%1.022.7%9.2%13.5%3.0%4.384.39+0.1
202828MLBWSH46049206471960%1.122.6%9.3%13.3%3.1%4.434.47+0.0
202929MLBWSH44047197441960%1.122.4%9.5%12.9%3.3%4.524.59-0.0
202727MLBWSH170187617720%1.122.7%9.2%13.5%3.0%4.384.39+0.0
202828MLBWSH28029122281140%1.022.6%9.3%13.3%3.1%4.434.47+0.0
202929MLBWSH31033139311350%1.122.4%9.5%12.9%3.3%4.524.59-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career760803367632110%1.022.6%9.4%13.2%3.2%4.464.12+0.8
/ 200 IP190020084419180280%1.022.6%9.4%13.2%3.2%4.464.12+3.0
Career1072928512811641332727%2.712.8%10.3%2.4%2.1%4.814.47+3.1
/ 200 IP7520200900115931927%2.712.8%10.3%2.4%2.1%4.814.47+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Pedro González (OGILVIE) 4.36 22.6%9.1%3.0% 4.48 22.6%13.3%146 +0.12
Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 82
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 82
Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 81
Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 26 SW 3.41 22.7%8.4%2.1%.314 3.41 368 81
Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP 26 SW 3.17 21.3%8.2%1.5%.313 5.36 11.8%5.9%42 +2.19 3.17 211 81
Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 79
Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 79
Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 78
R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP 26 SU 3.78 20.7%8.9%2.4%.318 3.31 23.8%15.0%96 -0.47 2.46 362 77
Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SW 3.91 21.3%9.5%2.6%.300 4.91 19.9%5.6%92 +1.00 3.91 223 77
Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 77
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP 26 SW 4.63 23.7%8.7%4.4%.317 3.95 22.5%14.7%87 -0.68 3.36 432 77
Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 77
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 77
Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 76
Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 4.28 121 76
Ryan Eades R 2026 · 3.21 FIP 26 SW 3.21 22.4%7.4%1.9%.352 4.50 23.9%15.3%64 +1.29 3.21 451 76
Carlos Navas R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 26 SW 4.08 20.7%7.0%3.4%.271 6.98 19.3%10.0%44 +2.90 2.94 385 76
Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 75
Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 26 SW 4.65 20.5%7.8%4.2%.319 4.96 18.4%6.6%242 +0.31 4.39 353 75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44922.6%9.3%1.204.42
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07