Jaycob Deese
P
Altoona Curve
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%19.7%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.3% | 6.7% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.13 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 33.3% | 6.7% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.35 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 32 | 3 | 68 | 287 | 65 | 17 | 11 | 9% | 2.1 | 17.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 5.29 | 4.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 32 | 3 | 68 | 287 | 65 | 17 | 11 | 9% | 2.1 | 22.6% | 5.9% | 16.7% | 3.8% | 5.29 | 4.04 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 2 | 51 | 231 | 31 | 17 | 9 | 6% | 1.5 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.31 | 5.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 2 | 51 | 231 | 31 | 17 | 9 | 6% | 1.5 | 13.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.31 | 5.16 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 33 | 0 | 39 | 167 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 3.72 | 3.27 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 33 | 0 | 39 | 167 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.0% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 0.6% | 3.72 | 2.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Altoona Curve | 24 | 0 | 39 | 195 | 32 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.4% | 13.9% | -0.5% | 4.0% | 9.54 | 5.90 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PIT | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 64 | 302 | 53 | 33 | 10 | — | — | 17.6% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 7.53 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.08 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.10 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 127 | 5 | 201 | 895 | 131 | 79 | 29 | 4% | 1.6 | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.97 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 5 | 200 | 892 | 130 | 78 | 29 | 4% | 1.6 | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.97 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jaycob Deese (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.48 | 20.0% | 11.3% | 25 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 87 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 87 |
| Cole Johnson R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.56 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .311 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | -0.08 | 3.48 | 101 | 86 |
| Rob Scahill R 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 85 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 85 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 85 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 85 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 85 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 84 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .266 | 4.15 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.27 | 3.73 | 154 | 84 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 84 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.82 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .313 | 4.72 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 84 | -0.10 | 4.36 | 194 | 84 |
| Seth Frankoff R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | .312 | 4.49 | 20.0% | 11.3% | 177 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 263 | 84 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .289 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 181 | 83 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.58 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 50 | -0.70 | 3.50 | 219 | 83 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 83 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 83 |
| Ryan Halstead R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.38 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | .296 | 3.31 | 16.1% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.07 | 3.31 | 222 | 83 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 83 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .255 | 4.64 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 100 | +0.67 | 3.97 | 248 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 1.11 | 4.46 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |