Jaycob Deese — OGILVIE

Jaycob Deese P Altoona Curve

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%15.7%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	3	0	4	15	5	1	0	0%	1.3	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.13	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	3	0	4	15	5	1	0	0%	1.3	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.35	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	32	3	68	287	65	17	11	9%	2.1	17.4%	6.8%	10.6%	4.0%	5.29	4.68	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	32	3	68	287	65	17	11	9%	2.1	17.4%	6.8%	10.6%	4.0%	5.29	4.68	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	32	3	68	287	65	17	11	9%	2.1	22.6%	5.9%	16.7%	3.8%	5.29	4.04	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	2	51	231	31	17	9	6%	1.5	11.4%	7.9%	3.5%	4.8%	6.31	5.77	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	2	51	231	31	17	9	6%	1.5	11.4%	7.9%	3.5%	4.8%	6.31	5.77	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	2	51	231	31	17	9	6%	1.5	13.4%	7.4%	6.1%	3.9%	6.31	5.16	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	33	0	39	167	30	11	1	0%	1.2	13.8%	7.6%	6.3%	0.7%	3.72	3.28	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	33	0	39	167	30	11	1	0%	1.2	13.8%	7.6%	6.3%	0.7%	3.72	3.28	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	33	0	39	167	30	11	1	0%	1.2	18.0%	6.6%	11.4%	0.6%	3.72	2.74	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	39	0	62	288	53	29	9	0%	1.6	15.0%	11.2%	3.8%	3.5%	7.15	5.17	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	39	0	62	288	53	29	9	0%	1.6	15.0%	11.2%	3.8%	3.5%	7.15	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	PIT	2	0	2	13	2	1	1	0%	1.0	15.4%	7.7%	7.7%	7.7%	9.00	7.00	—
2026	26	AA RAW	PIT	37	0	60	275	51	28	8	0%	1.6	18.5%	10.2%	8.4%	2.9%	7.09	4.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	57	0	60	251	41	20	7	0%	1.0	16.5%	8.0%	8.5%	2.9%	4.71	4.72	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	58	244	41	20	7	0%	1.0	16.9%	8.2%	8.6%	3.1%	4.74	4.77	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	21	0	22	93	15	7	3	0%	1.0	16.5%	8.0%	8.5%	2.9%	4.71	4.72	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	PIT	32	0	34	144	24	12	4	0%	1.1	16.9%	8.2%	8.6%	3.1%	4.74	4.77	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	239	40	20	7	0%	1.1	16.7%	8.1%	8.6%	3.0%	4.73	4.37	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	71	25	0%	1.1	16.7%	8.1%	8.6%	3.0%	4.73	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		142	5	224	988	148	84	34	4%	1.6	15.0%	8.5%	6.5%	3.4%	5.67	4.78	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	4	200	883	132	75	30	4%	1.6	15.0%	8.5%	6.5%	3.4%	5.67	4.78	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaycob Deese (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	15.7%	7.8%	2.9%	—	4.74	16.7%	8.6%	117	+0.02	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	88
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	88
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	87
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	86
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	86
Derek Self R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	15.1%	8.1%	1.8%	.331	4.73	13.7%	9.0%	189	+0.89	3.82	302	85
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	85
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	84
Ronnie Shaban R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	26	SU	4.32	14.1%	5.3%	3.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	104	84
Tyler Higgins R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	15.5%	7.2%	2.9%	.312	5.24	23.0%	16.1%	81	+0.96	3.53	290	83
Carlos Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.2%	8.7%	2.0%	.266	4.37	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.59	3.75	154	83
Ryan Halstead R 2018 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	18.0%	6.7%	3.0%	.296	3.24	16.1%	8.7%	64	-0.84	3.12	222	83
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	83
David Martinez R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	14.2%	8.3%	1.8%	.284	4.76	15.0%	7.9%	230	+0.84	3.92	297	83
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	83
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	82
Raul Fernandez R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	13.6%	9.3%	2.2%	.270	5.54	20.4%	6.2%	38	+1.19	4.03	165	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	82
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	82
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	16.5%	8.1%	1.15	4.72
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43