Johan Moreno
P
San Antonio Missions
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%18.2%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%4.3%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | 15 | 10 | 49 | 197 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 67% | 3.3 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 0.9% | 2.92 | 3.13 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | 15 | 10 | 49 | 197 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 67% | 3.3 | 25.9% | 6.6% | 19.3% | 0.5% | 2.92 | 2.09 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 5 | 52 | 250 | 45 | 35 | 7 | 24% | 2.5 | 13.2% | 16.7% | -3.6% | 4.2% | 5.40 | 6.39 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 5 | 52 | 250 | 45 | 35 | 7 | 24% | 2.5 | 18.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.40 | 5.15 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 2 | 79 | 355 | 99 | 40 | 7 | 5% | 2.1 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 5.01 | 4.14 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 2 | 79 | 355 | 99 | 40 | 7 | 5% | 2.1 | 27.9% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 2.0% | 5.01 | 3.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 28 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 45 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 47 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 100 | 421 | 92 | 51 | 12 | — | — | 21.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.90 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.2% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 51 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 54 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 68 | 0 | 72 | 302 | 60 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 4.53 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 101 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 101 | 17 | 218 | 963 | 174 | 121 | 24 | 17% | 2.2 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 16 | 200 | 882 | 159 | 111 | 22 | 17% | 2.2 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Johan Moreno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 18.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.92 | 19.6% | 7.6% | 127 | -0.38 | — | — | — |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 95 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 91 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 90 |
| Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 89 |
| Tayler Scott R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 89 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 89 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.55 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 58 | +0.01 | 4.55 | 155 | 89 |
| Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.83 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .301 | 3.88 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 104 | -0.95 | 3.31 | 207 | 89 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.42 | 19.0% | 13.3% | 4.1% | .319 | 4.82 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 51 | -0.60 | 4.82 | 120 | 88 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 87 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 87 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 87 |
| Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.13 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% | .273 | 4.66 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 76 | -0.47 | 3.77 | 215 | 86 |
| Austin Strickland R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.83 | 19.6% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .252 | 6.61 | 15.0% | -5.2% | 30 | +1.78 | 4.21 | 140 | 86 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.52 | 18.5% | 13.5% | 4.1% | .266 | 5.71 | 17.1% | -4.2% | 51 | +0.19 | 5.52 | 107 | 86 |
| Jhondaniel Medina R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.54 | 19.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .261 | 5.50 | 19.3% | 4.4% | 35 | +0.96 | 4.45 | 167 | 86 |
| Jayson McKinley R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .308 | 3.66 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 134 | -0.75 | 2.33 | 173 | 86 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 86 |
| Kyle Roche R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.64 | 15.5% | 13.3% | 2.1% | .349 | 4.98 | 16.5% | 5.8% | 47 | +0.34 | 4.64 | 110 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 19.2% | 12.7% | 1.12 | 5.10 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |