Kamdyn Perry
P
Hickory Crawdads
+0.0
WAR
Age 20
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2032
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.9%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%10.7%
IP43
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2032
K†5060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 12 | 5 | 31 | 145 | 26 | 21 | 3 | 12.3% | 18.4% | 2.2% | 6.97 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 14 | 13 | 54 | 241 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 14.0% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 6.04 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | TEX | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TEX | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 45 | 18 | 6 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.30 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 49 | — | 49 | 209 | 49 | 18 | 6 | 23.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.17 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 51 | 18 | 6 | 23.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.08 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 53 | 18 | 6 | 24.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 4.02 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 53 | 18 | 6 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.03 | 4.00 | +0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 53 | 18 | 6 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 4.01 | +0.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 52 | 18 | 6 | 24.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.03 | 4.03 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 50 | 17 | 6 | 24.4% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 4.08 | +0.5 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 48 | 17 | 6 | 24.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 4.14 | +0.4 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.17 | 4.22 | +0.4 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.25 | 4.30 | +0.3 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 41 | 16 | 6 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 26 | 18 | 85 | 386 | 51 | 57 | 11 | 13.3% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 6.38 | 5.40 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 43 | 200 | 912 | 120 | 135 | 26 | 13.3% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 6.38 | 5.40 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kamdyn Perry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.32 | 22.6% | 13.5% | 142 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.74 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .327 | 4.93 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.19 | 3.03 | 538 | 94 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.34 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.01 | 14.2% | 3.6% | 122 | -0.33 | 3.99 | 157 | 94 |
| Tyler Gray R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.49 | 18.2% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 11.9% | 3.6% | 72 | -0.10 | 4.39 | 119 | 92 |
| Austin Mason R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.41 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .289 | 4.06 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 151 | -0.35 | 3.60 | 179 | 91 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.1% | .258 | 5.28 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.20 | 3.92 | 116 | 90 |
| Aneudy Duarte R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.79 | 17.1% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 102 | 90 |
| Bryan Polanco R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.27 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 3.5% | .248 | 5.60 | 13.0% | 1.2% | 243 | +0.33 | 5.27 | 284 | 90 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.90 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 5.68 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +0.78 | 4.10 | 109 | 89 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.19 | 16.1% | 7.1% | 239 | -0.23 | 4.15 | 337 | 89 |
| Logan Lombana R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 4.01 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.62 | 3.80 | 155 | 89 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.93 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.58 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.65 | 4.46 | 190 | 89 |
| Audry Lugo R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.05 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .247 | 5.31 | 15.6% | -0.4% | 77 | +1.26 | 4.05 | 113 | 89 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.38 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .293 | 4.30 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 35 | -0.08 | 3.53 | 116 | 89 |
| Alec Kisena R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.01 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 1.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 248 | 88 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.49 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.17 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.32 | 3.05 | 195 | 88 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.60 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.37 | 12.0% | 1.0% | 65 | +0.77 | 4.11 | 153 | 88 |
| Darlin Saladin R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.98 | 16.2% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .280 | 3.87 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 218 | -1.11 | 2.91 | 351 | 88 |
| Gerson Moreno R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.48 | 18.6% | 14.8% | 2.0% | .278 | 4.13 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 67 | -0.35 | 3.66 | 349 | 88 |
| Francis Hernandez R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.18 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 3.7% | .280 | 5.40 | 13.3% | -0.8% | 92 | +0.22 | 3.08 | 180 | 88 |
| Josnier Parra R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.53 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 4.37 | 9.8% | 1.9% | 70 | -0.16 | 3.79 | 102 | 88 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.5 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.5 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $4M | $13M | +$9M | ||