Kamdyn Perry

P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2031

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	MIX2 levels	12	5	31	6.97	4.71	17.9%	14.5%	—	K 12.3% · BB 18.4% · FIP 5.61
2025	19	MIX2 levels	14	13	54	6.04	4.29	17.8%	10.0%	—	K 14.0% · BB 12.4% · FIP 5.31
2026	20	MIX2 levels	20	15	64	7.41	4.83	20.6%	13.1%	—	K 15.6% · BB 15.1% · FIP 5.74
2027PROJ	21	MLBTEX	—	—	0	6.18	6.18	12.8%	16.3%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTEX	4	4	22	5.81	5.68	15.5%	14.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBTEX	6	6	32	5.50	5.37	17.2%	13.3%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control40Command30

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 1.9, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%

CompsDanny Flatt (age 20) · Kyle Larsen (age 21) · Luis Mateo (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 134

ERA6.18

FIP6.18

K%12.8%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%-3.6%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	31	145	26	21	3	42%	2.6	12.3%	18.4%	-6.2%	2.2%	6.97	5.61	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	31	145	26	21	3	42%	2.6	12.3%	18.4%	-6.2%	2.2%	6.97	5.61	—
2024	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	31	145	26	21	3	42%	2.6	17.9%	14.5%	3.4%	2.1%	6.97	4.71	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	54	241	43	24	6	93%	3.8	14.0%	12.4%	1.5%	3.3%	6.04	5.31	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	54	241	43	24	6	93%	3.8	14.0%	12.4%	1.5%	3.3%	6.04	5.31	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	54	241	43	24	6	93%	3.8	17.8%	10.0%	7.9%	2.5%	6.04	4.29	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	15	64	306	63	40	9	75%	3.2	15.6%	15.1%	0.5%	3.7%	7.41	5.74	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	15	64	306	63	40	9	75%	3.2	15.6%	15.1%	0.5%	3.7%	7.41	5.74	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	15	64	306	63	40	9	75%	3.2	20.6%	13.1%	7.5%	2.9%	7.41	4.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TEX	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	12.8%	16.3%	-3.6%	3.1%	6.18	6.18	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	44	186	29	27	6	100%	4.9	15.5%	14.5%	1.0%	3.1%	5.81	5.68	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	8	8	44	186	32	25	6	100%	5.5	17.2%	13.3%	3.9%	3.0%	5.50	5.37	+0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	8	8	44	186	34	23	6	100%	5.5	18.1%	12.6%	5.5%	3.0%	5.28	5.18	+0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	7	7	39	166	31	20	5	100%	5.6	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	3.0%	5.15	5.08	+0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	7	7	39	165	31	20	5	100%	5.6	18.8%	12.2%	6.7%	3.0%	5.09	5.06	+0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	6	6	38	161	30	20	5	100%	6.4	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	3.0%	5.09	5.09	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	4	4	22	93	14	13	3	100%	5.5	15.5%	14.5%	1.0%	3.1%	5.81	5.68	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	32	135	23	18	4	100%	5.3	17.2%	13.3%	3.9%	3.0%	5.50	5.37	+0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	36	152	28	19	5	100%	6.0	18.1%	12.6%	5.5%	3.0%	5.28	5.18	+0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	35	148	28	18	4	100%	5.8	18.6%	12.2%	6.4%	3.0%	5.15	5.08	+0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	36	152	29	18	5	100%	6.0	18.8%	12.2%	6.7%	3.0%	5.09	5.06	+0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	35	148	28	18	4	100%	5.8	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	3.0%	5.09	5.09	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		35	35	196	828	149	105	25	100%	5.6	18.0%	12.7%	5.3%	3.0%	5.28	4.83	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	152	107	25	100%	5.7	18.0%	12.7%	5.3%	3.0%	5.28	4.83	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		46	33	149	692	99	103	23	72%	3.2	14.3%	14.9%	-0.5%	3.3%	6.83	5.56	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	44	200	929	133	138	30	72%	3.2	14.3%	14.9%	-0.5%	3.3%	6.83	5.56	+0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 42 IPFIP 5.33 → 6.33 (+1.00)K% 16.2% → 12.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.22%	—	×0.770	12.49%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.67%	—	×1.150	19.17%
HR / BF /BF	2.70%	÷1.000	×1.250	3.38%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.33 → 6.33, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 22 IPFIP 2.80 → 4.17 (+1.38)K% 32.1% → 23.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	32.14%	—	×0.740	23.79%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	3.57%	—	×1.180	4.21%
HR / BF /BF	3.57%	÷1.000	×1.300	4.64%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.80 → 4.17, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 52 IPFIP 4.29 → 5.31 (+1.02)K% 18.9% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.86%	—	×0.740	13.96%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.53%	—	×1.180	12.42%
HR / BF /BF	2.63%	÷1.037	×1.300	3.30%

Result: FIP 4.29 → 5.31, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Rangers · 26 IPFIP 4.35 → 5.61 (+1.27)K% 18.0% → 12.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.03%	—	×0.680	12.26%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.75%	—	×1.250	18.44%
HR / BF /BF	1.64%	÷1.040	×1.400	2.21%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 108).

Result: FIP 4.35 → 5.61, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 5 IPFIP 5.67 → 7.04 (+1.37)K% 17.4% → 12.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	17.39%	—	×0.740	12.87%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.04%	—	×1.180	15.39%
HR / BF /BF	4.35%	÷1.008	×1.300	5.61%

Result: FIP 5.67 → 7.04, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kamdyn Perry (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.18	12.8%	16.3%	3.1%	—	5.41	16.9%	3.5%	132	-0.77	—	—	—
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	90
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	88
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	86
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	86
Kevin Gowdy R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP-	5.31	11.1%	17.0%	1.8%	.321	5.50	16.3%	6.0%	130	+0.19	3.11	333	84
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	83
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	82
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	82
Erick Reynoso R 2024 · 7.34 FIP	21	SP-	7.34	13.1%	22.6%	4.5%	.226	6.10	15.5%	-7.0%	107	-1.24	6.06	180	82
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	82
Edrick Agosto R 2017 · 6.67 FIP	20	SP-	6.67	11.4%	17.1%	4.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.30	113	82
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	82
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	81
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	81
Edelvis Perez R 2024 · 5.19 FIP	19	SP	5.19	11.9%	13.8%	2.4%	.267	5.56	17.9%	-1.9%	62	+0.37	5.19	103	80
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	80
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	80
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	80
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	80
Jhonly Taveras R 2024 · 6.59 FIP	19	SP	6.59	13.0%	27.1%	2.1%	.311	5.00	12.1%	-11.0%	34	-1.59	5.00	133	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	42	17.1%	13.4%	1.17	5.46
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*