Kamdyn Perry — OGILVIE

Kamdyn Perry P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.0 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.02

FIP6.02

K%12.7%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%-2.7%

ROS IP32

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	31	145	26	21	3	42%	2.6	12.3%	18.4%	-6.2%	2.2%	6.97	5.61	—
2024	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	31	145	26	21	3	42%	2.6	12.3%	18.4%	-6.2%	2.2%	6.97	5.61	—
2024	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	31	145	26	21	3	42%	2.6	17.9%	14.5%	3.4%	2.1%	6.97	4.71	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	54	241	43	24	6	93%	3.8	14.0%	12.4%	1.5%	3.3%	6.04	5.31	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	54	241	43	24	6	93%	3.8	14.0%	12.4%	1.5%	3.3%	6.04	5.31	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	54	241	43	24	6	93%	3.8	17.8%	10.0%	7.9%	2.5%	6.04	4.29	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	20	15	64	306	63	40	9	75%	3.2	15.6%	15.1%	0.5%	3.7%	7.41	5.74	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	20	15	64	306	63	40	9	75%	3.2	15.6%	15.1%	0.5%	3.7%	7.41	5.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	TEX	6	5	22	84	27	3	3	83%	3.7	32.1%	3.6%	28.6%	3.6%	2.82	2.80	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	TEX	14	10	42	222	36	37	6	71%	3.0	16.2%	16.7%	-0.5%	2.7%	9.86	5.33	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	66	280	42	39	8	100%	4.7	14.9%	14.0%	0.9%	3.0%	5.71	5.62	-0.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	70	293	50	38	9	100%	5.0	16.9%	12.9%	4.0%	2.9%	5.41	5.28	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	13	13	72	304	55	37	9	100%	5.5	18.1%	12.2%	5.9%	2.9%	5.18	5.06	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	13	13	74	312	59	37	9	100%	5.7	18.8%	11.8%	7.0%	2.8%	5.03	4.94	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	13	13	75	316	60	37	9	100%	5.8	19.1%	11.6%	7.6%	2.8%	4.94	4.88	+0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	TEX	12	12	75	316	61	36	9	100%	6.2	19.4%	11.5%	7.8%	2.8%	4.89	4.86	+0.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	TEX	12	12	74	311	60	36	9	100%	6.1	19.3%	11.6%	7.7%	2.9%	4.89	4.89	+0.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	TEX	12	12	72	302	58	36	9	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.8%	7.4%	3.0%	4.94	4.98	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	TEX	11	11	68	288	55	35	9	100%	6.2	19.0%	12.0%	7.0%	3.1%	5.04	5.11	-0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	TEX	11	11	64	271	50	33	9	100%	5.8	18.6%	12.3%	6.3%	3.3%	5.19	5.29	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	7	7	33	139	21	20	4	100%	4.7	14.9%	14.0%	0.9%	3.2%	5.83	5.74	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	10	10	51	215	36	28	7	100%	5.1	16.9%	12.9%	4.0%	3.1%	5.53	5.40	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	61	258	47	31	8	100%	5.5	18.1%	12.2%	5.9%	3.1%	5.30	5.18	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	12	12	66	279	52	33	8	100%	5.5	18.8%	11.8%	7.0%	3.0%	5.15	5.06	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	12	12	69	291	56	34	9	100%	5.8	19.1%	11.6%	7.6%	3.0%	5.06	5.00	+0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	TEX	12	12	70	296	57	34	9	100%	5.8	19.4%	11.5%	7.8%	3.0%	5.01	4.98	+0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	TEX	12	12	70	296	57	34	9	100%	5.8	19.3%	11.6%	7.7%	3.1%	5.01	5.01	+0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	68	287	55	34	9	100%	6.2	19.2%	11.8%	7.4%	3.2%	5.06	5.10	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	65	274	52	33	9	100%	5.9	19.0%	12.0%	7.0%	3.4%	5.17	5.24	-0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TEX	10	10	61	258	48	32	9	100%	6.1	18.6%	12.3%	6.3%	3.6%	5.33	5.43	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		107	107	612	2586	480	311	82	100%	5.7	18.6%	12.0%	6.5%	3.2%	5.20	4.79	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	157	102	27	100%	5.7	18.6%	12.0%	6.5%	3.2%	5.20	4.79	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		46	33	149	692	99	103	23	72%	3.2	14.3%	14.9%	-0.5%	3.3%	6.83	5.56	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	44	200	929	133	138	30	72%	3.2	14.3%	14.9%	-0.5%	3.3%	6.83	5.56	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kamdyn Perry (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.02	12.7%	15.4%	3.0%	—	5.31	16.7%	3.7%	208	-0.71	—	—	—
Felix Cepeda R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	19	SP-	5.78	11.5%	14.6%	3.3%	.297	5.81	17.0%	-6.4%	71	+0.03	3.58	204	90
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	90
Josh Swales R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	11.8%	14.6%	2.9%	.356	5.64	15.1%	1.4%	66	+0.13	5.51	129	86
Camilo Sanchez R 2023 · 6.65 FIP	20	SP-	6.65	10.0%	18.5%	3.8%	.317	5.84	14.8%	0.8%	62	-0.81	3.57	117	85
Darlin Alcántara R 2022 · 6.23 FIP	20	SP-	6.23	12.3%	22.2%	2.5%	.320	4.64	12.3%	2.5%	31	-1.59	3.61	118	85
Tyler Gough R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP	5.48	13.4%	13.3%	3.3%	.297	3.58	20.0%	6.5%	158	-1.90	3.12	188	85
Jorge Bautista R 2021 · 6.09 FIP	20	SP	6.09	13.1%	16.5%	3.6%	.297	4.86	16.8%	7.5%	231	-1.23	3.80	336	85
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	85
Ramon Santos R 2015 · 6.07 FIP	20	SP	6.07	7.2%	14.3%	3.2%	.352	4.52	13.3%	3.4%	191	-1.55	3.74	355	85
Harold Chirino R 2017 · 6.05 FIP	19	SP-	6.05	13.2%	16.0%	3.7%	.327	3.11	19.0%	6.2%	34	-2.94	3.11	321	84
Yovanny Cabrera R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP	5.18	14.5%	13.7%	2.9%	.238	5.21	18.5%	1.6%	149	+0.03	4.39	243	84
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	84
Eliezer Pena R 2023 · 6.54 FIP	17	SP	6.54	10.5%	18.5%	3.6%	.265	4.47	18.1%	1.2%	114	-2.07	3.26	150	84
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	83
Miguel Vinicio R 2019 · 5.69 FIP	19	SP-	5.69	13.8%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	3.99	16.9%	1.4%	47	-1.70	3.63	164	83
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	83
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	83
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	83
Enrique Segura R 2023 · 6.44 FIP	18	SP	6.44	13.2%	21.3%	3.2%	.269	5.60	16.4%	2.4%	234	-0.84	4.12	313	82
Edrick Agosto R 2017 · 6.67 FIP	20	SP-	6.67	11.4%	17.1%	4.3%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.30	113	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	67	18.1%	12.3%	1.14	5.15
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04