Edelvis Perez — OGILVIE

Edelvis Perez P ACL Guardians

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.68

FIP5.68

K%19.2%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%1.7%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	10	41	172	30	19	3	91%	3.8	11.9%	13.8%	-1.9%	2.4%	3.92	5.19	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	10	41	172	30	19	3	91%	3.8	11.9%	13.8%	-1.9%	2.4%	3.92	5.19	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	10	41	172	30	19	3	91%	3.8	17.4%	11.0%	6.4%	1.7%	3.92	3.97	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	12	12	38	174	43	30	3	100%	3.2	16.8%	21.6%	-4.7%	1.8%	5.45	5.42	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	12	12	38	174	43	30	3	100%	3.2	16.8%	21.6%	-4.7%	1.8%	5.45	5.42	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	12	12	38	174	43	30	3	100%	3.2	24.7%	17.2%	7.5%	1.7%	5.45	4.23	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	6	5	24	104	30	14	3	83%	4.0	19.6%	16.8%	2.8%	4.0%	2.62	5.79	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	6	5	24	104	30	14	3	83%	4.0	19.6%	16.8%	2.8%	4.0%	2.62	5.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	CLE	6	5	24	104	30	14	3	83%	4.0	28.8%	13.5%	15.4%	2.9%	2.62	3.95	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	7	7	39	165	34	24	5	100%	5.6	20.8%	14.8%	6.0%	2.9%	5.33	5.18	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	CLE	3	3	19	80	17	12	2	100%	6.3	20.8%	14.8%	6.0%	2.9%	5.33	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	81	17	12	2	100%	4.8	20.8%	14.8%	6.0%	2.9%	5.33	4.80	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	177	125	21	100%	5.1	20.8%	14.8%	6.0%	2.9%	5.33	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		29	27	103	450	70	79	12	93%	3.6	15.6%	17.5%	-1.9%	2.6%	4.18	5.42	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	52	200	871	136	152	22	93%	3.6	15.6%	17.5%	-1.9%	2.6%	4.18	5.42	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edelvis Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.68	19.2%	17.5%	2.9%	—	5.18	20.8%	6.0%	39	-0.50	—	—	—
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	84
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.86	21.2%	7.8%	249	-0.10	3.82	319	83
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	82
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.41	20.0%	8.4%	215	-1.19	4.34	257	82
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	3.37	241	81
Luke Albright R 2021 · 5.77 FIP	21	SP	5.77	16.8%	13.4%	4.4%	.295	5.10	19.4%	5.5%	269	-0.67	4.02	329	81
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	80
Chen-Wei Lin R 2023 · 6.48 FIP	21	SP	6.48	21.3%	22.0%	4.4%	.379	3.81	20.5%	8.4%	257	-2.67	3.05	269	80
Jose Diaz R 2021 · 5.27 FIP	21	SP	5.27	16.5%	17.5%	2.5%	.357	5.01	17.6%	0.9%	89	-0.26	3.91	189	80
Felix Cepeda R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	21	SP	5.96	17.0%	21.6%	2.8%	.276	4.78	17.6%	0.9%	144	-1.18	3.58	204	80
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	80
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.68	198	79
Henry Williams R 2023 · 5.59 FIP	21	SP	5.59	16.5%	14.2%	3.8%	.271	4.67	16.8%	7.0%	338	-0.92	4.16	404	79
Reid Schaller R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	22	SP	5.18	16.3%	13.8%	3.1%	.241	4.40	19.9%	7.9%	87	-0.78	3.61	186	78
Darlin Saladin R 2023 · 4.98 FIP	20	SP	4.98	16.2%	13.3%	2.8%	.280	3.79	19.3%	8.0%	274	-1.19	2.91	407	78
Peyton Pallette R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	15.1%	3.8%	.254	4.00	23.2%	11.3%	197	-1.56	3.60	269	78
Mason Denaburg R 2022 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	16.3%	16.4%	2.1%	.278	5.84	13.1%	-7.7%	92	+0.89	4.48	151	78
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	20.2%	15.8%	1.12	5.46
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41