Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 11 | 10 | 41 | 172 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 91% | 3.8 | 11.9% | 13.8% | -1.9% | 2.4% | 3.92 | 5.19 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 11 | 10 | 41 | 172 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 91% | 3.8 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 3.92 | 3.97 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL CLE Goryl | 12 | 12 | 38 | 174 | 43 | 30 | 3 | 100% | 3.2 | 16.8% | 21.6% | -4.7% | 1.5% | 5.45 | 5.22 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL CLE Goryl | 12 | 12 | 38 | 174 | 43 | 30 | 3 | 100% | 3.2 | 24.7% | 17.2% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 5.45 | 4.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 6 | 5 | 24 | 104 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 83% | 4.0 | 19.6% | 16.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.62 | 5.79 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CLE | 5 | 5 | 23 | 98 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.57 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 47 | 202 | 52 | 25 | 6 | — | — | 25.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 3.58 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CLE | 4 | 4 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CLE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 3.95 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 83 | 17 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 29 | 27 | 103 | 450 | 70 | 79 | 11 | 93% | 3.6 | 15.6% | 17.5% | -1.9% | 2.4% | 4.18 | 5.34 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 52 | 200 | 871 | 136 | 152 | 21 | 93% | 3.6 | 15.6% | 17.5% | -1.9% | 2.4% | 4.18 | 5.34 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edelvis Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 13.4% | 24 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 86 |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 85 |
| José López R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 85 |
| Chad Patrick R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 84 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 84 |
| Juan Nuñez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.48 | 19.6% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.44 | 22.8% | 8.3% | 148 | -0.04 | 2.88 | 245 | 83 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 83 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 82 |
| Logan Gragg R 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 82 |
| Jaxon Wiggins R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.61 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .286 | 3.29 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 79 | -0.32 | 3.12 | 132 | 82 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2028 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 82 |
| Regi Grace R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.98 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 4.0% | .227 | 4.02 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 173 | -0.96 | 3.30 | 224 | 82 |
| Christian Roa R 2027 · 5.02 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.02 | 19.6% | 12.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.92 | 22.7% | 6.2% | 260 | -0.10 | 4.38 | 406 | 82 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2029 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 81 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 81 |
| Mike Vasil R 2027 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 81 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 81 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 80 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 80 |
| Tanner Burns R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 80 |