Sebastian Espinoza

OF DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 18 L/L ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	167	.205/.380/.299	2	11	36	—	.131/.270/.182
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBPIT	277	.214/.296/.294	2	7	70	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBPIT	78	.219/.302/.307	1	2	75	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBPIT	173	.222/.306/.318	2	5	80	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%85

BB%82

Whiff%76

Z-Con%76

K%61

Speed57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAngel Guzman (age 18) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19) · Hector Osorio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 139 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .294 / .291

PA139

HR1

K%25

BB%10

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	167	127	26	6	0	2	34	32	2	11	0	205	380	299	680	94	247	19	20	319	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	167	137	18	4	0	1	24	39	2	11	0	131	270	182	452	51	162	23	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	167	137	18	4	0	1	24	39	2	11	0	131	270	182	452	51	168	23	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	167	127	26	6	0	2	34	32	2	11	0	205	380	299	680	94	247	19	20	319	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	167	139	18	4	0	1	24	39	2	11	0	129	270	180	450	50	162	23	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	167	139	18	4	0	1	24	39	2	11	0	129	270	180	450	50	162	23	14	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	277	247	52	9	2	2	26	70	2	7	1	214	296	294	590	80	287	25	9	272	70	-10	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	227	201	43	8	1	2	22	57	2	6	1	219	302	308	610	89	289	25	10	280	75	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	358	317	71	13	2	5	34	89	4	9	2	222	306	320	627	98	291	25	9	286	80	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	457	404	91	16	3	7	44	112	6	12	3	226	310	331	641	105	292	25	10	292	84	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	527	466	106	19	3	9	50	128	6	14	4	229	312	340	652	112	293	24	9	296	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	574	508	117	21	3	11	54	138	7	15	4	231	314	348	662	117	293	24	9	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	605	536	125	22	4	12	57	146	7	16	4	232	315	352	667	120	294	24	9	302	90	-7	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	623	552	129	23	4	12	59	150	7	16	5	233	316	355	670	122	294	24	9	303	91	-7	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	631	558	131	23	4	13	60	152	8	16	5	233	316	356	672	123	294	24	10	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	632	560	130	23	4	13	60	153	7	16	5	232	315	353	668	122	294	24	9	302	91	-7	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	PIT	59%	627	555	127	23	3	12	60	153	7	15	5	230	313	349	661	119	293	24	10	299	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	618	547	124	22	3	11	59	153	7	15	5	227	310	342	652	115	291	25	10	296	86	-10	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	78	70	15	3	0	1	7	20	1	2	0	219	302	307	609	88	290	26	9	279	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	173	153	34	6	1	2	16	43	2	5	1	222	306	318	624	96	291	25	9	286	80	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	248	219	48	9	1	3	24	61	3	7	2	225	309	329	638	103	292	25	10	291	84	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	298	264	60	11	2	5	28	72	4	8	2	228	312	337	649	109	293	24	9	295	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	330	292	68	13	2	6	31	80	4	9	2	230	313	345	658	114	294	24	9	298	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	345	305	70	13	2	6	33	83	4	9	3	232	315	348	663	117	295	24	10	300	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	353	312	72	14	2	6	34	85	4	9	3	232	315	351	666	119	295	24	10	301	91	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2035	26	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	357	316	74	14	2	7	34	86	4	9	3	232	315	352	667	120	295	24	10	302	92	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	351	311	71	13	2	6	33	85	4	9	3	231	314	349	664	118	294	24	9	300	91	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	PIT	59%	371	329	76	14	2	7	35	91	4	9	3	229	312	345	657	115	293	25	9	298	89	-5	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	377	334	75	14	2	6	36	93	4	9	3	227	309	338	648	112	292	25	10	294	86	-6	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3281	2905	663	124	18	55	311	799	38	85	25	228	311	340	651	112	294	24	9	297	86	-47	+7	-1	-20	+71	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	132	25	4	11	62	158	8	17	5	229	313	344	657	115	295	24	10	297	86	-9	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6185	5465	1239	222	35	109	596	1505	71	164	44	227	311	340	651	113	291	24	10	295	86	-90	+13	-2	-36	+130	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	130	23	4	11	63	158	7	17	5	226	311	338	649	111	291	24	10	295	86	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.2	3,421	61	88	230	310	345	-21	+0	3.2	3.1
/162	664	12	17	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Espinoza (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	212/294/291	79	287	1	3	25%	10%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	39	41→45	47→30	46	193/268/298	105	252	7	6	26%	8%	61	-1.5	208/273/298	90	262	5	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	229/293/323	94	294	8	2	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	45→52	36→60	49→50	49	208/274/278	70	270	2	11	22%	8%	58	-1.7	218/278/323	105	286	7	11	25%	8%	70	-0.8	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Alexander Ovalles 2019 · A	18	46→41	36→50	47→50	51	216/289/281	65	279	3	13	22%	9%	65	-1.2	229/289/333	104	297	6	8	23%	7%	76	-0.4	220/284/353	133	282	13	7	26%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	39→49	35→45	51→50	49	181/267/242	60	233	1	15	21%	8%	49	-2.4	230/301/328	98	278	6	10	19%	7%	80	-0.1	252/334/373	121	281	11	9	14%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Anthony Huezo 2024 · A	18	43→36	39→55	50→60	46	203/278/285	82	291	6	7	30%	9%	62	-1.4	177/252/293	116	322	12	17	45%	7%	55	-1.9	169/246/315	146	284	17	26	44%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Franchy Cordero 2014 · A	19	44→54	38→55	58→50	41	207/265/293	86	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	208/250/287	79	323	5	13	35%	5%	51	-2.3	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Daniel Lopez 2024 · A	18	43	39→45	50→65	46	205/281/293	89	290	5	10	29%	8%	65	-1.2	192/256/279	87	261	5	17	27%	7%	52	-2.2	182/247/268	86	249	5	28	27%	6%	43	-1.0
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2

Sebastian Espinoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps