Daniel Lopez — OGILVIE

Daniel LopezOF Columbia Fireflies

Age 20 L/L 6'2" / 165 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION256 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP285

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	145	45	7	5	3	23	40	4	8	4	310	419	490	908	179	404	23	13	399	156	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	149	40	10	2	2	20	31	3	11	5	268	366	403	769	134	322	18	11	342	118	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	212	193	46	10	4	4	15	39	0	13	0	238	293	394	687	155	278	18	7	299	89	-3	+3	—	—	+5	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	154	32	4	3	2	14	59	4	8	4	208	291	312	602	104	312	34	8	273	71	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	157	31	7	1	2	12	45	3	11	5	197	267	293	560	96	250	26	7	244	51	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	199	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	176	212	286	498	111	220	27	4	213	30	-18	+3	—	—	+5	-1.1
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	154	32	4	3	2	14	59	4	8	4	208	291	312	602	104	316	34	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	145	45	7	5	3	23	40	4	8	4	310	419	490	908	179	404	23	13	399	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	157	31	7	1	2	12	45	3	11	5	197	267	293	560	96	259	26	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	149	40	10	2	2	20	31	3	11	5	268	366	403	769	134	322	18	11	342	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	199	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	176	212	286	498	111	229	27	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	212	193	46	10	4	4	15	39	0	13	0	238	293	394	687	155	278	18	7	299	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	154	32	4	3	2	14	59	4	8	4	208	291	312	602	104	312	34	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	158	31	7	1	2	12	45	3	11	5	196	267	291	559	95	250	26	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	201	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	174	212	284	495	109	220	27	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	154	32	4	3	2	14	59	4	8	4	208	291	312	602	104	312	34	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	158	31	7	1	2	12	45	3	11	5	196	267	291	559	95	250	26	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	201	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	174	212	284	495	109	220	27	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	KC	—	256	226	47	9	3	1	18	81	10	36	7	208	295	288	583	80	319	32	7	253	58	-13	+4	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	KC	—	70	56	19	3	1	0	11	10	3	10	3	339	471	429	900	89	413	14	16	413	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	KC	—	186	160	36	8	3	1	17	47	7	26	4	225	326	331	657	106	312	25	9	301	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	KC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		287	33	11	258	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	KC	—	265	234	48	9	3	1	19	84	10	37	7	205	293	282	575	77	315	32	7	253	58	-13	+5	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	34%	314	285	60	12	3	4	20	89	6	12	2	211	277	316	592	105	286	28	6	270	69	-12	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	48%	411	373	81	16	4	7	28	113	7	14	3	217	284	338	622	121	287	27	7	280	75	-12	+2	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	54%	473	429	94	18	4	9	33	128	8	14	3	219	287	343	630	124	288	27	7	286	80	-12	+2	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	55%	512	462	103	20	5	10	36	137	9	14	3	223	292	353	645	130	289	27	7	289	82	-11	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	56%	534	482	108	21	5	11	38	142	9	14	3	224	293	357	650	133	289	27	7	291	83	-11	+2	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	545	491	109	21	5	11	39	145	10	13	3	222	293	352	645	130	289	27	7	291	83	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	547	492	110	21	5	12	40	146	10	13	3	224	295	360	655	136	289	27	7	291	83	-11	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	544	489	109	21	5	11	40	146	10	12	2	223	295	354	649	131	288	27	7	290	82	-11	+2	-1	-3	+12	-0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	535	482	106	20	5	11	39	145	9	11	2	220	291	351	641	131	288	27	7	288	81	-12	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	KC	57%	525	472	104	20	5	10	39	143	9	10	2	220	292	347	640	127	286	27	7	285	79	-13	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.6
2027	21	MLB CTX	KC	34%	108	98	20	4	1	1	7	31	2	4	1	204	271	296	567	92	284	29	6	253	69	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	48%	199	180	38	7	2	3	13	55	4	7	1	211	279	322	601	111	285	28	7	263	75	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	54%	257	232	52	10	3	5	18	69	5	8	2	224	294	358	652	134	286	27	7	269	80	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	55%	284	257	56	11	3	5	20	76	5	8	2	218	287	342	630	125	287	27	7	272	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	56%	299	271	59	11	3	6	21	80	5	8	2	218	286	347	633	129	287	27	7	273	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	307	277	61	12	3	6	22	82	5	8	1	220	289	350	640	130	286	27	7	274	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	303	273	60	11	3	6	22	81	5	7	1	220	290	348	638	128	286	27	7	274	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	298	269	59	11	3	6	22	80	5	7	1	219	291	349	640	130	286	27	7	273	82	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	286	258	56	11	3	5	21	77	5	6	1	217	289	341	630	124	285	27	7	271	81	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	KC	57%	300	270	58	11	3	5	22	82	5	6	1	215	286	333	620	119	284	27	7	268	79	-7	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2641	2385	519	99	27	48	188	713	46	69	13	218	288	342	630	125	288	27	7	270	77	-61	+9	-2	-16	+57	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	128	24	7	12	46	175	11	17	3	218	287	344	631	126	288	27	7	270	77	-15	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5510	4975	1083	208	53	103	388	1498	94	160	35	218	287	343	630	125	288	27	7	282	77	-116	+15	-4	-30	+107	-2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	128	25	6	12	46	177	11	19	4	218	287	342	630	124	289	27	7	282	77	-15	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.3	2,861	55	74	220	285	347	-17	+0	-0.1	0.3
/162	664	13	17	-4.0	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Lopez (OGILVIE)	20	35	35	55	25	202/268/295	93	287	2	16	29%	6%	61	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	44	-2.8	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	43	-2.8	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	18	-1.5
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	59	-1.6	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	76	-0.4	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	65	-1.2	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	43	-0.7
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	270	4	13	33%	7%	42	-2.9	209/260/327	118	304	9	6	32%	7%	64	-1.3	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→45	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	45	-2.7	197/251/260	63	283	3	13	29%	6%	45	-2.7	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Juan Silva 2011 · A	20	40→46	39→45	52→55	40	190/249/284	95	293	5	8	35%	7%	50	-2.3	212/282/311	99	311	8	13	32%	9%	70	-0.9	229/311/332	104	311	8	29	27%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Omar Lebron 2019 · A	20	39	41→40	49→55	45	192/265/289	97	247	9	15	26%	7%	59	-1.7	194/266/285	91	272	6	9	29%	7%	58	-1.7	150/240/231	81	213	3	9	28%	8%	35	-0.9
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	43→52	39→45	52→50	43	208/260/292	85	279	6	14	27%	6%	56	-1.9	222/281/343	121	321	10	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A	20	39→49	41→50	50→65	37	194/233/299	104	272	8	12	31%	5%	47	-2.5	233/286/369	136	325	11	13	30%	7%	84	+0.1	238/300/383	144	331	12	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	41	38→40	52→50	40	196/255/280	84	286	5	15	32%	6%	52	-2.2	205/246/273	68	304	3	11	32%	5%	46	-2.6	199/242/261	61	294	2	11	31%	4%	39	-1.6
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→40	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/278	79	276	4	13	28%	5%	48	-2.5	198/248/267	69	278	4	8	29%	5%	46	-2.6	190/242/254	64	264	4	7	28%	5%	39	-1.6
✕Daryl Jones 2007 · A	20	41→51	41→45	49→50	41	200/266/295	96	265	8	10	27%	5%	60	-1.6	221/285/315	94	296	7	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/305/342	104	309	8	14	24%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	43	38→40	49→55	44	200/281/273	73	300	6	17	33%	8%	61	-1.5	202/260/282	80	343	6	8	40%	6%	54	-2.0	175/223/243	68	314	7	2	44%	5%	29	-1.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→55	52→50	40	212/257/310	97	289	6	9	28%	5%	59	-1.7	208/259/315	107	277	10	9	27%	6%	61	-1.5	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Edison Lantigua 2017 · A	20	42	37→45	52→50	41	197/251/275	77	283	3	6	30%	6%	48	-2.5	201/261/293	92	331	6	8	38%	7%	57	-1.8	179/241/275	96	304	8	7	41%	7%	43	-0.8
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps