Daniel Lopez — OGILVIE

Daniel LopezOF Columbia Fireflies

Age 20 L/L 6'2" / 165 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION160 act + 106 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .256 / .287

PA106

HR1

SB6

K%32

BB%6

BABIP283

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	154	33	4	3	3	14	60	4	8	4	214	297	338	634	123	323	34	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	145	45	7	5	3	23	40	4	8	4	310	419	490	908	179	404	23	13	399	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	157	30	7	1	2	12	45	3	11	5	191	262	287	548	96	250	26	7	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	149	40	10	2	2	20	31	3	11	5	268	366	403	769	134	322	18	11	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	212	199	33	7	2	3	9	58	0	13	0	166	202	266	468	101	216	27	4	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	212	193	46	10	4	4	15	39	0	13	0	238	293	394	687	155	278	18	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	KC	—	160	142	25	5	1	1	10	60	6	20	4	176	259	246	506	70	296	38	6	226	32	-12	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
YTD	20	A	KC	—	160	136	31	7	2	1	16	42	6	20	4	228	335	331	666	103	323	26	10	305	92	-1	+2	+0	-1	+5	0.5
ROS	20	A	KC	0%	106	97	19	4	1	1	6	34	2	6	1	195	256	287	542	92	276	32	6	243	45	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	229	33	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	KC	—	160	143	25	5	1	1	10	60	6	20	4	175	259	245	504	70	293	38	6	226	32	-12	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
TOT	20	A	KC	—	266	239	44	9	2	2	16	94	8	26	5	184	258	263	521	79	290	35	6	233	37	-19	+3	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	KC	34%	308	281	57	12	3	5	19	95	5	10	2	203	266	320	586	117	278	31	6	258	56	-15	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.8
2028	22	MLB	KC	48%	407	372	77	16	3	8	26	122	6	12	2	207	270	331	600	124	280	30	6	268	63	-17	+2	+0	-2	+12	-0.6
2029	23	MLB	KC	54%	470	429	89	18	4	9	31	138	7	12	3	207	272	331	603	124	282	29	7	274	68	-17	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.6
2030	24	MLB	KC	55%	510	464	99	20	4	11	34	148	7	13	3	213	277	345	622	131	283	29	7	277	70	-17	+1	+0	-3	+14	-0.4
2031	25	MLB	KC	56%	532	483	103	21	4	11	36	154	8	13	3	213	279	342	621	128	283	29	7	278	71	-17	+1	+0	-3	+15	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	KC	34%	106	97	20	4	1	2	6	33	2	3	1	206	267	330	597	124	275	31	6	244	45	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	KC	48%	197	179	37	7	2	4	13	59	3	6	1	207	272	335	607	128	277	30	7	254	52	-11	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
2029	23	MLB	KC	54%	255	232	48	10	2	5	17	75	4	7	1	207	273	332	605	125	278	29	7	259	57	-12	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
2030	24	MLB	KC	55%	283	258	54	11	2	6	19	82	4	7	1	209	274	337	611	128	279	29	7	263	59	-13	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
2031	25	MLB	KC	56%	298	272	56	11	2	6	20	86	4	7	1	206	270	327	597	121	280	29	7	264	60	-13	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1139	1039	215	43	9	23	75	335	17	30	5	207	272	332	604	125	280	29	7	259	56	-56	+4	+0	-7	+32	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	123	25	5	13	43	191	10	17	3	207	273	332	605	125	281	29	7	259	56	-32	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	2894	2636	540	109	25	53	187	854	42	98	23	205	268	325	594	121	279	30	6	265	61	-128	+10	+0	-17	+82	-5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	121	24	6	12	42	192	9	22	5	204	267	326	593	122	278	30	6	265	61	-29	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	145	45	7	5	3	23	40	4	8	4	310	419	490	908	179	404	23	13	399	164	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	149	40	10	2	2	20	31	3	11	5	268	366	403	769	134	322	18	11	342	120	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	212	193	46	10	4	4	15	39	0	13	0	238	293	394	687	155	278	18	7	299	87	-3	+3	—	—	+6	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,356	26	35	208	267	331	-8	+0	-2.1	-1.1
	/162	664	13	17	208	267	331	-4.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Lopez (OGILVIE)	20	35	35	55	25	184/258/263	79	290	2	26	35%	6%	37	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	56	-1.3	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	61	-1.0	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	54	-1.4	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Kentrell Dewitt 2011 · A	20	39	39→45	50→45	37	186/251/272	87	310	7	13	40%	7%	43	-2.2	206/267/288	82	330	5	10	36%	7%	53	-1.5	224/279/336	112	327	7	9	32%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Omar Lebron 2019 · A	20	39	41→40	49→55	45	192/265/289	97	247	9	15	26%	7%	53	-1.5	194/266/285	91	272	6	9	29%	7%	53	-1.5	150/240/231	81	213	3	9	28%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Brian Pointer 2012 · A	20	41→43	44→45	56→50	38	203/257/327	124	300	11	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	192/263/308	116	299	11	12	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/281/329	128	296	13	13	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	41→40	38→40	52→50	40	196/255/280	84	286	5	15	32%	6%	46	-2.0	205/245/272	67	306	3	11	32%	4%	38	-2.6	199/240/260	61	295	2	11	32%	4%	29	-1.6
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→39	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/278	79	276	4	13	28%	5%	41	-2.3	196/245/264	68	276	4	8	29%	5%	37	-2.6	187/239/249	62	261	3	7	28%	5%	28	-1.7
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	39	40	48→50	38	191/241/288	97	267	7	9	30%	5%	42	-2.3	214/267/304	90	282	5	10	24%	6%	56	-1.3	223/275/315	92	285	5	14	22%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	39	204/264/292	88	314	7	13	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/259/315	98	324	6	13	33%	5%	56	-1.3	213/255/307	94	313	5	14	32%	5%	48	-1.1
✕Edison Lantigua 2017 · A	20	42	37→45	52→50	41	197/251/275	77	283	3	6	30%	6%	41	-2.3	201/261/294	93	330	6	8	38%	7%	52	-1.6	179/241/276	97	303	8	7	41%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→50	52→50	40	213/257/311	98	286	6	9	27%	5%	53	-1.5	209/259/322	113	277	11	9	27%	6%	59	-1.1	227/286/389	162	266	21	9	23%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	39	39→40	52→45	41	191/262/272	80	279	8	7	32%	7%	47	-1.9	179/257/278	99	298	9	5	40%	7%	48	-1.9	155/238/255	100	269	11	4	43%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	30	-3.1	203/247/310	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	50	-1.8	192/231/308	116	248	9	14	26%	5%	40	-0.9
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Luis Mendez 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	48→50	37	191/246/297	106	283	10	10	35%	6%	46	-2.0	188/254/269	81	273	6	11	31%	8%	43	-2.2	188/248/267	80	251	6	13	26%	7%	37	-1.1