Connor Scott — OGILVIE

Connor ScottLF Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 26 L/L 6'3" / 208 lbs AA HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .262 / .319

PA136

HR2

K%29

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

24→24

PWR

36→36

SPD

43→43

EYE

39→39

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-12M		$-34M	-$22M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$22M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	2 teams	208	188	31	2	3	1	15	78	1	9	8	.165	.230	.223	.454	.059	.268	38	7	.204	14	-20	-1	+0	-2	+6	-1.8
2019	19	A	2 teams	524	489	94	21	4	4	30	150	2	23	10	.192	.242	.276	.518	.084	.267	29	6	.229	34	-39	+1	+0	-6	+15	-3.0
2021	21	A+	Beloit Snappers	435	408	91	21	5	8	21	120	4	14	6	.223	.268	.358	.626	.135	.294	28	5	.268	63	-18	+0	+0	-5	+12	-1.0
2022	22	AA	Altoona Curve	424	394	82	23	2	5	23	122	2	10	6	.208	.255	.315	.570	.107	.284	29	5	.252	51	-23	-0	+0	-5	+12	-1.7
2023	23	AA	Altoona Curve	289	268	42	10	4	2	17	83	0	10	4	.157	.207	.246	.453	.090	.214	29	6	.202	13	-28	+0	+0	-3	+8	-2.3
2024	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	241	226	38	12	0	3	11	81	2	0	3	.168	.213	.261	.474	.093	.243	34	5	.212	20	-22	-1	+0	-3	+7	-1.9
2025	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	30	28	8	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	.286	.310	.357	.667	.071	.320	13	3	.303	90	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	59	55	8	1	0	1	3	24	1	1	0	.145	.203	.218	.422	.073	.233	41	5	.186	1	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
ROS	26	MLB	KC	77	71	13	3	0	1	5	23	1	1	0	.183	.247	.268	.514	.085	.272	30	6	.256	54	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
TOT	26	MLB	KC	136	126	21	4	0	2	8	47	2	2	0	.167	.228	.246	.474	.079	.247	35	6	.225	31	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	KC	209	190	39	8	1	4	15	52	2	3	1	.205	.271	.321	.592	.116	.259	25	7	.267	63	-9	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2028	28	MLB 22%	KC	276	252	52	11	1	5	20	69	2	4	1	.206	.270	.317	.588	.111	.261	25	7	.270	65	-11	+0	-1	-3	+8	-0.6
2029	29	MLB 34%	KC	310	281	58	12	1	6	23	78	3	4	1	.206	.274	.320	.594	.114	.262	25	7	.271	66	-12	+0	-1	-3	+9	-0.8
2030	30	MLB 44%	KC	333	302	63	13	1	7	25	84	3	3	1	.209	.276	.328	.604	.119	.261	25	8	.269	64	-13	+0	-2	-4	+9	-1.0
2031	31	MLB 58%	KC	330	299	61	13	1	6	25	85	3	2	0	.204	.272	.314	.587	.110	.260	26	8	.265	61	-14	+0	-3	-4	+9	-1.1
2032	32	MLB 76%	KC	319	290	58	12	1	6	24	84	2	0	0	.200	.266	.310	.576	.110	.258	26	8	.261	58	-15	+0	-4	-3	+9	-1.3
2033	33	MLB 93%	KC	294	268	53	11	1	5	22	79	2	0	0	.198	.264	.302	.566	.104	.256	27	7	.255	54	-15	+0	-4	-3	+8	-1.5
2034	34	MLB	KC	254	231	44	9	1	4	19	71	2	0	0	.190	.258	.290	.548	.100	.254	28	7	.249	49	-15	+0	-5	-3	+7	-1.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4553	4185	827	183	26	67	296	1263	31	83	41	.198	.256	.302	.558	.104	.263	28	7	.250	49	-261	+0	-20	-49	+129	-20.4
/ 162G	—			650	597	119	26	4	10	42	180	4	12	6	.199	.256	.307	.563	.107	.265	28	6	.250	49	-37	+0	-3	-7	+18	-2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	89	76	16	2	0	1	10	27	0	1	3	.211	.302	.276	.579	.066	.300	30	11	.263	59	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2018	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	119	103	23	1	4	0	14	29	1	8	5	.223	.322	.311	.633	.087	.307	24	12	.290	80	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2019	19	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	111	98	23	4	1	1	11	26	0	2	1	.235	.312	.327	.638	.092	.301	23	10	.287	78	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2019	19	A	Clinton LumberKings	413	378	95	24	4	4	31	91	2	21	9	.251	.311	.368	.678	.116	.322	22	8	.304	91	-4	+1	—	—	+12	0.8
2021	21	A+	Beloit Snappers	435	395	109	25	6	10	31	92	4	14	6	.276	.333	.446	.778	.170	.336	21	7	.342	120	+10	+0	—	—	+12	2.3
2022	22	AA	Altoona Curve	424	380	94	25	4	7	33	92	2	10	6	.247	.308	.389	.697	.142	.305	22	8	.307	93	-3	-0	—	—	+12	0.8
2023	23	AA	Altoona Curve	289	260	51	14	4	3	25	65	0	10	4	.196	.267	.315	.582	.119	.245	22	9	.260	58	-14	+0	—	—	+8	-0.5
2024	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	241	221	47	15	0	4	16	62	2	0	3	.213	.272	.335	.607	.122	.274	26	7	.272	66	-9	-1	—	—	+7	-0.4
2025	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	30	27	9	2	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	.333	.379	.407	.787	.074	.360	10	7	.343	121	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Scott (OGILVIE)	26	24	36	43	39	.204/.262/.319	.115	.275	2	2	29%	7%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	44→50	47→55	38	.183/.247/.298	.115	.269	11	13	35%	6%	48	-1.9	.201/.262/.346	.145	.292	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.199/.260/.339	.140	.286	17	24	35%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	38→35	42→45	43→30	40	.191/.259/.288	.097	.275	10	2	33%	7%	50	-1.7	.184/.241/.291	.107	.277	11	4	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.158/.206/.269	.111	.240	13	1	39%	5%	20	-2.8
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	.190/.284/.298	.108	.293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	.190/.283/.309	.119	.284	13	11	35%	10%	66	-0.6	.126/.240/.244	.118	.172	15	9	35%	12%	32	-1.0
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	38→42	43→45	47→50	39	.187/.250/.294	.107	.292	11	6	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.201/.285/.328	.127	.324	14	9	38%	10%	72	-0.2	.191/.281/.316	.125	.300	14	9	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→31	39→40	43→50	39	.185/.242/.267	.083	.288	7	7	37%	7%	37	-2.7	.221/.294/.329	.108	.299	11	19	28%	8%	76	+0.0	.239/.321/.353	.114	.297	13	25	23%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	47→45	45→40	41	.208/.272/.337	.129	.274	15	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.214/.278/.342	.128	.278	13	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.177/.265/.331	.155	.216	16	6	26%	8%	60	-0.2
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	40→37	46→45	48→45	44	.205/.275/.336	.132	.274	14	11	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.284/.329	.117	.274	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.282/.265	.072	.245	6	0	22%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	42→38	38→45	45	46	.199/.289/.280	.081	.281	5	6	29%	8%	62	-0.9	.195/.288/.287	.092	.268	8	6	28%	9%	63	-0.8	.139/.248/.216	.077	.189	7	4	28%	9%	28	-1.4
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→36	41→45	42→45	41	.194/.264/.293	.099	.285	9	6	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.196/.261/.298	.102	.295	10	5	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.262/.311	.111	.288	11	4	33%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A	26	41→37	47→50	45→40	42	.208/.270/.338	.131	.276	15	5	30%	7%	68	-0.5	.211/.284/.355	.144	.299	15	8	32%	8%	79	+0.3	.173/.267/.342	.169	.235	18	7	34%	10%	65	-0.2
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	40	.191/.255/.290	.099	.266	9	14	31%	6%	49	-1.8	.203/.269/.317	.114	.286	10	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	.179/.252/.313	.134	.265	12	20	35%	6%	50	-0.4
✕Preston Beck 2017 · AAA	26	44→43	43→45	49→45	46	.216/.275/.333	.117	.266	10	7	23%	7%	68	-0.5	.213/.265/.316	.103	.272	9	5	24%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.261/.304	.099	.266	9	2	26%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40→41	42→45	49→50	41	.190/.265/.290	.099	.310	9	8	39%	8%	53	-1.5	.191/.282/.312	.121	.320	14	13	41%	10%	67	-0.5	.176/.277/.309	.133	.286	16	14	41%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	45	43→45	48→45	38	.223/.263/.334	.111	.295	10	8	28%	4%	63	-0.9	.215/.266/.332	.117	.321	12	5	35%	6%	64	-0.8	.208/.261/.325	.117	.315	13	2	36%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	42→46	45	47→50	43	.214/.266/.338	.124	.259	13	10	23%	6%	66	-0.6	.210/.265/.331	.121	.256	14	10	23%	6%	63	-0.8	.198/.257/.310	.112	.238	13	9	23%	6%	51	-0.6
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	45→36	46→50	45→30	49	.226/.295/.355	.129	.282	14	6	24%	8%	82	+0.5	.222/.287/.335	.113	.289	10	5	25%	8%	73	-0.1	.219/.282/.320	.101	.286	8	0	25%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	44→45	51→50	42	.188/.261/.308	.120	.276	12	10	35%	8%	56	-1.3	.189/.254/.290	.101	.308	7	9	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.160/.216/.252	.092	.300	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Jerry Downs 2019 · A	25	38→33	45	42→40	38	.197/.271/.318	.121	.262	14	4	30%	5%	64	-0.8	.180/.249/.275	.095	.265	9	4	34%	5%	43	-2.2	.121/.191/.177	.057	.198	4	0	38%	5%	-9	-2.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)