Jaden Rudd — OGILVIE

Jaden RuddOF Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .259 / .276

PA5

HR0

K%30

BB%9

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	71	55	12	4	0	1	11	14	4	5	1	218	380	345	726	127	275	20	15	340	116	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	162	128	26	5	2	2	28	31	4	8	4	203	360	320	681	117	253	19	17	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	426	328	66	13	3	2	71	109	22	21	4	201	377	277	654	76	292	26	17	317	100	+0	+3	—	—	+9	1.2
2024	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	84	73	17	2	1	0	11	26	0	4	0	233	333	288	621	55	362	31	13	292	84	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	69	54	7	2	0	1	10	16	5	2	1	130	319	222	541	93	162	23	14	274	72	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	15	12	3	0	0	0	3	2	0	2	0	250	400	250	650		300	13	20	321	103	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	15	4	2	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	267	389	400	789	133	444	33	17	360	129	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	71	60	10	3	0	1	7	20	4	5	1	167	296	267	562	100	214	28	10	240	49	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	162	140	22	4	2	2	17	44	4	8	4	157	267	257	524	100	201	27	10	229	41	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	426	350	55	11	2	1	50	152	22	21	4	157	301	209	510	51	268	36	12	249	55	-23	+3	—	—	+9	-1.1
2024	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	84	77	13	1	1	0	7	37	0	4	0	169	238	208	446	39	327	44	8	206	26	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	69	56	7	2	0	1	8	22	5	2	1	125	290	214	504	89	163	32	12	230	42	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	15	13	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	231	333	231	564		242	20	13	229	41	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	1	125	222	188	410	62	407	50	11	253	57	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	71	60	10	3	0	1	7	20	4	5	1	167	296	267	562	100	231	28	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	71	55	12	4	0	1	11	14	4	5	1	218	380	345	726	127	275	20	15	340	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	162	140	22	4	2	2	17	44	4	8	4	157	267	257	524	100	213	27	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	162	128	26	5	2	2	28	31	4	8	4	203	360	320	681	117	253	19	17	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	426	350	55	11	2	1	50	152	22	21	4	157	301	209	510	51	271	36	12	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	426	328	66	13	3	2	71	109	22	21	4	201	377	277	654	76	292	26	17	317	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	168	146	22	3	1	1	17	62	5	8	1	151	262	205	467	55	253	37	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	168	139	27	4	1	1	24	44	5	8	1	194	333	259	592	65	277	26	14	287	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	1	125	222	188	410	62	286	50	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	15	4	2	0	0	3	6	0	1	1	267	389	400	789	133	444	33	17	360	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	71	60	10	3	0	1	7	20	4	5	1	167	296	267	562	100	214	28	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	162	140	22	4	2	2	17	44	4	8	4	157	267	257	524	100	201	27	10	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	426	351	55	11	2	1	50	152	22	21	4	157	301	208	509	51	268	36	12	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	168	144	22	3	1	1	17	62	5	8	1	153	262	208	470	56	252	37	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	1	125	222	188	410	62	407	50	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	426	351	55	11	2	1	50	152	22	21	4	157	301	208	509	51	268	36	12	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	168	144	22	3	1	1	17	62	5	8	1	153	262	208	470	56	252	37	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	1	125	222	188	410	62	407	50	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						230	40	0	249	55	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	148	131	23	4	1	3	13	43	3	3	1	176	265	290	555	115	238	29	9	263	64	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	45	40	7	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	175	267	275	542	100	239	29	9	249	64	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	45	40	7	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	175	267	275	542	100	231	29	9	249	50	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	100	14	0	14	58	188	14	14	0	173	265	270	535	97	229	29	9	249	50	-28	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	998	848	134	26	6	8	106	332	38	46	12	158	280	231	511	73	247	33	11	242	50	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	87	17	4	5	69	216	25	30	8	158	280	230	510	72	246	33	11	242	50	-28	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaden Rudd (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	168/259/276	107	230	1	1	30%	9%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	49→50	45	195/276/305	110	270	12	10	31%	8%	67	-1.1	191/265/303	112	284	10	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	178/252/295	117	273	8	16	35%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	260	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	202/266/319	117	280	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	154/224/207	53	220	4	5	30%	8%	23	-0.9
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	38→35	47→50	42→40	39	197/247/339	142	273	14	6	33%	6%	63	-1.4	201/266/339	138	261	15	4	28%	7%	70	-0.8	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	42→39	44→50	50→45	45	207/273/328	121	277	11	7	28%	8%	70	-0.8	210/268/335	125	296	14	5	32%	7%	70	-0.9	191/245/320	130	262	17	1	34%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/263/305	106	283	9	12	32%	6%	61	-1.5	183/253/275	92	279	7	13	35%	7%	51	-2.2	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	42→32	44→45	47→50	40	208/266/323	115	299	12	12	33%	7%	66	-1.1	195/267/305	110	290	11	11	34%	8%	63	-1.4	174/256/276	103	258	11	11	35%	9%	51	-1.4
✕Agustin Ruiz 2023 · AA	23	36→35	48→50	46→40	40	192/262/329	137	265	17	5	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/254/312	129	260	15	4	34%	7%	60	-1.6	159/233/285	126	225	15	1	35%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Cody Morissette 2023 · A	23	37→30	46→45	45→55	41	194/258/316	122	265	14	5	32%	7%	62	-1.4	182/235/295	113	244	13	11	30%	6%	49	-2.4	182/237/299	117	239	14	19	29%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	43→41	43→45	53→55	41	211/260/321	109	279	10	14	28%	6%	63	-1.4	215/272/326	111	306	10	21	31%	7%	69	-0.9	206/274/320	114	295	13	23	33%	8%	66	-0.6
✕Francisco Del Valle 2022 · A	23	35→28	44→45	44→40	43	181/258/299	118	261	12	5	34%	8%	59	-1.7	199/255/302	103	281	10	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	162/182/213	51	217	6	4	28%	2%	5	-0.9
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→38	43→55	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	61	-1.5	190/272/302	112	268	10	14	30%	10%	64	-1.3	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Daniel Cabrera 2022 · AA	23	39→42	45	48→45	38	201/244/327	126	274	13	8	31%	5%	59	-1.7	210/268/309	99	272	8	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	209/275/295	86	265	6	7	22%	8%	61	-1.0
✕Brandon Dulin 2016 · A	23	37→30	44→45	49→40	36	191/241/311	120	263	12	5	32%	4%	54	-2.0	198/249/317	119	281	14	3	34%	5%	59	-1.7	186/239/304	118	261	16	0	34%	5%	49	-1.5
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	37→31	40→50	49→50	36	182/234/272	91	293	8	13	39%	6%	42	-2.9	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	70	-0.9	212/254/349	137	373	14	14	45%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	39→50	51→55	42	207/267/295	88	301	7	9	32%	8%	60	-1.6	197/263/307	110	285	9	16	32%	7%	61	-1.5	172/251/288	116	240	10	18	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Steele Walker 2019 · A	23	38→47	43→45	49→50	38	193/244/299	106	256	12	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	217/270/334	117	270	11	10	23%	6%	70	-0.8	214/268/334	120	258	12	10	22%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	37→35	43→45	48→50	48	187/270/293	106	259	11	14	30%	10%	61	-1.5	189/270/286	97	275	9	13	32%	9%	59	-1.6	143/232/224	81	211	7	12	33%	10%	31	-1.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3