Jaden Rudd

OF Dunedin Blue Jays
Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202320ATOR426.201/.377/.27722151—.164/.301/.212
202421A+/A/ROKTOR168.194/.333/.2591836—.156/.268/.212
202522ATOR18.267/.389/.4000151—.188/.278/.250
2027PROJMLE24MLBTOR200.195/.270/.2913460-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBTOR24.199/.274/.3030064-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 A+
Chase%91
Speed83
BB%78
Z-Con%50
wOBA40
wRC+39
CompsJacob Wetzel (age 24) · Jonny Butler (age 24) · Jackson Cluff (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .268 / .289
PA47
HR1
K%33
BB%8
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 7155 12401 11144 51 218380345726 127275 2015 340 49 — — — — — —
202219 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 162128 26522 28314 84 203360320681 117253 1917 319 40 — — — — — —
202320 ADunedin Blue Jays — 426328 661332 7110922 214 201377277654 76292 2617 317 51 — — — — — —
202421 A+Vancouver Canadians — 8473 17210 11260 40 233333288621 55362 3113 292 38 — — — — — —
202421 ADunedin Blue Jays — 6954 7201 10165 21 130319222541 93162 2314 274 32 — — — — — —
202421 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 1512 3000 320 20 250400250650 300 1320 321 38 — — — — — —
202522 ADunedin Blue Jays — 1815 4200 360 11 267389400789 133444 3317 360 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 7160 10301 7204 51 167296267562 100216 2810 241 49 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 162140 22422 17444 84 157267257524 100200 2710 228 40 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 426353 581021 4714622 214 164301212513 48266 3411 244 51 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 8476 14110 8360 40 184262224486 39346 4310 224 38 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 6957 7201 7215 21 123275211486 88155 3010 216 32 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 1513 2000 230 20 154267154421 236 2013 224 38 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 1816 3100 280 11 188278250528 62375 4411 243 51 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 7160 10301 7204 51 167296267562 100231 2810 241 49 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 7155 12401 11144 51 218380345726 127275 2015 340 49 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 162140 22422 17444 84 157267257524 100213 2710 228 40 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 162128 26522 28314 84 203360320681 117253 1917 319 40 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 426353 581021 4714622 214 164301212513 48274 3411 244 51 — — — — — —
202320 A RAWDunedin Blue Jays — 426328 661332 7110922 214 201377277654 76292 2617 317 51 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 168146 23311 17605 81 158268212480 55259 3610 221 36 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAW3 teams — 168139 27411 24445 81 194333259592 65277 2614 287 36 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 1816 3100 280 11 188278250528 62375 4411 243 51 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWDunedin Blue Jays — 1815 4200 360 11 267389400789 133444 3317 360 51 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 7160 10301 7204 51 167296267562 100216 2810 241 49 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 162140 22422 17444 84 157267257524 100200 2710 228 40 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 426354 581021 4714622 214 164301212513 48266 3411 244 51 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 168144 23311 17605 81 160268215483 56258 3610 221 36 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 1816 3100 280 11 188278250528 62375 4411 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 168144 23311 17605 81 160268215483 56258 3610 221 36 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 1816 3100 280 11 188278250528 62375 4411 243 51 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLETOR 0% 200180 35613 16652 41 195270291561 97283 328 257 60 -10 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLETOR 30% 8173 14301 7261 20 198274302576 104283 329 263 64 -3 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
202825 MLB CTXTOR 30% 2422 4100 280 00 199274303578 104285 338 263 64 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2422 4100 280 00 182250227477 45286 338 263 48 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 1082700 542170 00 181249227476 45285 338 263 48 -28 +0 +0 -4 +14 -1.8
Career— MLE — 973830 1382557 10131937 4611 166285234519 67259 3310 239 48 -6 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650554 921735 6721325 317 166284235519 69258 3310 239 48 -29 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 18 PAwOBA .351 → .243 (−108)K% 33.3% → 46.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.968×1.360——46.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.015×0.690—×0.99011.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.006×0.920—×0.99020.11%
Doubles /BIP22.22%÷1.047×0.830—×0.99017.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.284×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .351 → .243; ISO .133 → .088; BABIP .444 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Vancouver Canadians · 84 PAwOBA .285 → .224 (−61)K% 31.0% → 42.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.95%÷0.980×1.350——42.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.10%÷0.974×0.710—×1.0129.66%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP29.79%÷0.964×0.910×1.028×1.01229.25%
Doubles /BIP4.26%÷1.071×0.830×1.028×1.0123.43%
Triples /BIP2.13%÷0.936×0.820×1.028×1.0121.94%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.062×0.830—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 93, 2B 114, 3B 87, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .285 → .224; ISO .055 → .040; BABIP .362 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADunedin Blue Jays · 69 PAwOBA .268 → .216 (−53)K% 23.2% → 30.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.19%÷1.041×1.360——30.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.49%÷0.959×0.690——10.43%
HBP% /PA7.25%—×0.780——5.65%
Singles /BIP10.53%÷0.962×0.920×1.050—10.57%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.999×0.830×1.050—4.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.050—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷1.003×0.800——2.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 108, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .268 → .216; ISO .093 → .075; BABIP .162 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 15 PAwOBA .314 → .224 (−90)K% 13.3% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.33%÷1.009×1.440——19.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.042×0.620—×0.97511.60%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷1.016×0.820—×0.97523.61%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.012×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.925×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .314 → .224; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .300 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADunedin Blue Jays · 426 PAwOBA .311 → .244 (−67)K% 25.6% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.59%÷1.018×1.360——34.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.062×0.690—×1.01510.99%
HBP% /PA5.16%—×0.780—×1.0154.09%
Singles /BIP21.92%÷0.988×0.920×1.000×1.01520.71%
Doubles /BIP5.94%÷1.034×0.830×1.000×1.0154.83%
Triples /BIP1.37%÷1.111×0.910×1.000×1.0151.14%
Home runs /BIP0.91%÷1.279×0.800—×1.0150.58%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 122, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .311 → .244; ISO .076 → .058; BABIP .292 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 162 PAwOBA .310 → .228 (−81)K% 19.1% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.14%÷1.013×1.440——27.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.970×0.620—×0.99510.60%
HBP% /PA2.47%—×0.720—×0.9951.77%
Singles /BIP17.53%÷0.981×0.820×0.978×0.99514.26%
Doubles /BIP5.15%÷0.953×0.720×0.978×0.9953.79%
Triples /BIP2.06%÷0.900×0.720×0.978×0.9951.61%
Home runs /BIP2.06%÷0.904×0.780—×0.9951.77%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .310 → .228; ISO .117 → .094; BABIP .253 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 71 PAwOBA .333 → .241 (−91)K% 19.7% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.72%÷1.000×1.440——28.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.49%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0089.68%
HBP% /PA5.63%—×0.720—×1.0084.09%
Singles /BIP17.07%÷1.000×0.820—×1.00814.11%
Doubles /BIP9.76%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0087.08%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0081.92%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .333 → .241; ISO .127 → .096; BABIP .275 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).